Market value · ungraded
What's your copy worth?
What this price is based on
Medium confidence6 sales in 90 days — enough for a guide, not a guarantee.
Recent Raw sales
- Aug 1, 2026eBay — 2018 POKEMON SUN & MOON LOST THUNDER #209/214 JUDGE ULTRA RARE$30.67
- Jul 23, 2026eBay — Judge 209/214 Ultra Rare Lost Thunder Pokemon Holo Near MintNM$70.00
- Jul 19, 2026eBay — Judge 2018 Pokemon Sun & Moon Lost Thunder #209/214$51.50
- Jul 18, 2026eBay — The Pokémon Company Judge 209/214 SM-Lost Thunder Holo ULTRA RARE!!! EN 2018 NMNM$55.00
- Jul 9, 2026eBay — Judge 209/214 - Ultra Rare Lost Thunder Pokemon Holo MPMP$49.99
- Jun 30, 2026eBay — Judge 209/214 - SM - Lost Thunder - MP Pokemon TCGMP$43.29
By grade
- Raw$50.756 sales
- PSA 9$32.001 sale
From 7 completed sales recorded between Oct 30, 2025 and Aug 1, 2026. Sold prices only — asking prices are never counted.
Grade it or not
CLOSE CALLBased on 1 graded sales and 4,409,561 pop-report entries for a near-mint copy.
See the numbers — Trader plan and aboveBuy this card
✨ Is it worth it?
An AI market read of this card — value, momentum, grading economics, liquidity. It lays out the data; you decide.
Judge is a Rare Ultra Pokémon card from Lost Thunder (#209), illustrated by Sanosuke Sakuma. It's a Supporter Trainer card. Its current blended market value is $66.73 ungraded, with a PSA 10 worth around $135 — a gem-mint grading premium of roughly 2× the raw value. Prices are aggregated across marketplaces — raw and graded, updated daily and shown in your local currency.
Prices last updated 20 August 2026.
The receipts
Graded a PSA 10? See its cert-verified sales and price history → — individual sales PSA tied to a specific slab, each with a cert number you can check.
Price history · Raw
We'll email you when this card's value crosses your target.
Verified sales history10 in 90 days✓ real completed listings
| Date | Grade | Price | Cert |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jul 2026 | PSA 9 | $42.30 | #156182499 ✓ |
| 2 Jul 2026 | PSA 10 | $135.00 | #106362368 ✓ |
| 31 May 2026 | PSA 10 | $113.16 | #107364903 ✓ |
| 12 May 2026 | PSA 10 | $185.00 | #74001724 ✓ |
| 28 Apr 2026 | PSA 8 | $40.00 | #50582624 ✓ |
| 7 Apr 2026 | PSA 9 | $45.00 | #43034317 ✓ |
| 28 Mar 2026 | PSA 10 | $135.00 | #83537385 ✓ |
| 22 Feb 2026 | PSA 9 | $50.00 | #62282000 ✓ |
| 28 Jan 2026 | PSA 9 | $35.00 | #58937007 ✓ |
| 27 Jan 2026 | PSA 8 | $19.99 | #113567443 ✓ |
Should you grade it?
Expected return across every likely grade, after fees — the realistic average, not the best case. Only 38.3% of copies gem (PSA 10 best case −$3); most land at PSA 9 or below.
The odds
Judge is a Ultra Rare in Lost Thunder — the pack's hit slot lands on Ultra Rare 10% of the time, split across 20 ultra rare cards in the set, so pulling this exact card is roughly 1 in 201 packs.
Estimates only. Pack odds come from CardTrack's pack model (the same one behind the pack simulator) — not an official rate. Grading odds are the real cumulative PSA population, which skews toward nicer, resubmitted copies, so it overstates the true first-submission gem rate. Full grade-by-grade breakdown below.
Grade-by-grade ROI & risk-adjusted outcomesNet vs raw per target grade, plus the probability-weighted distribution
| Target grade | Est. value | Grading fee | Net vs raw | Multiple |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PSA 10 | $135.00 | $71 | −$3 | 2.0× |
| PSA 9 | $46.15 | $70 | −$91 | 0.7× |
| PSA 8 | $16.63 | $70 | −$120 | 0.2× |
⚖️ Risk-adjusted return
Best case isn't the whole story. Weighting every grade by how often it actually happens, across 196 PSA-graded copies:
| Likely outcome | Chance | Value |
|---|---|---|
| PSA 10 | 38.3% | $135.00 |
| PSA 9 | 45.9% | $46.00 |
| PSA ≤8 | 15.8% | $67.00 |
Net = graded value − raw value − grading cost (tier fee + ~$20 round-trip shipping), using PSA fees as of 2026-06-28; the paused PSA Value tier is excluded so this isn't overstated. Gem rate is estimated from cumulative PSA population, which skews toward nicer, resubmitted copies — so it overstates the true grade rate. Treat it as a guide, not a guarantee.
Population across gradersPSA, CGC & BGS — every grade, with gem rates
Only 38% of 196 PSA-graded Judge copies are a gem-mint 10 (75 of 196) — the rest grade lower.
Real graded population from PSA, CGC & BGS — a lower gem rate means a Judge 10 is harder to pull.
Copies for sale right now
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All grades & conditions
Every grade we pricePSA / CGC / BGS ladder with per-grade population
| Grade | Relative value | Price |
|---|---|---|
| PSA 10pop 75 | ✓ 10 cert-verified$135$135–$195 | |
| PSA 8pop 25 | $17$17–$17 |
Raw condition ladderNM → damaged, with real sold medians where we have them
Market dataCross-market spread, EU price, momentum & community buzz
Cross-market prices
48% spreadCurrently 48% cheaper on PriceCharting than TCGplayer. These are independent market prices for the same card — a wide gap can mean a buying opportunity. Informational only, not arbitrage advice.
Market signal
Derived from this card's 90-day price history, recent trend and cross-market price gap. Informational, not advice.
Card textAttacks, abilities, weakness / resistance / retreat
Each player shuffles their hand into their deck and draws 4 cards.
You may play only 1 Supporter card during your turn (before your attack).
Card detailsSet, rarity, artist, Pokédex & specs
Other Judge cards
There are 9 different Judge printings — make sure you're valuing the right one. This is Lost Thunder #209 (Rare Ultra).
More from Lost Thunder
Frequently asked questions
How much is Judge (Lost Thunder #209) worth?
As of 20 August 2026, Judge from Lost Thunder is worth approximately $66.73 ungraded (near-mint), and around $135 in PSA 10 gem mint. Values are blended from real Cardmarket, eBay sold and TCGplayer prices and update daily.
What is the PSA 10 price for Judge?
A PSA 10 (gem mint) Judge from Lost Thunder is worth around $135 — roughly 2× the raw ungraded value of $66.73.
Should I grade my Judge?
A PSA 10 sells for about $135 versus $66.73 raw — roughly a 2× uplift. Grading is worth it when that premium comfortably beats the grading fee and the card is clean enough to have a real shot at a 10. See the "Should you grade it?" estimate above for net profit per grade.
Is Judge rare?
Judge is a Rare Ultra card from Lost Thunder (card #209), illustrated by Sanosuke Sakuma. Its current blended market value is $66.73 ungraded.
Cite & embed this card
Free to use with attribution to CardTrack.
Judge (Lost Thunder #209) — Pokémon market value $66.73, PSA 10 $135.00. Source: CardTrack, https://cardtrack.com/pokemon/card/lost-thunder/judge-209<iframe src="https://cardtrack.com/embed/card?id=sm8-209" width="100%" height="160" style="border:0;max-width:460px" title="Judge price — CardTrack" loading="lazy"></iframe>
<p style="font:12px system-ui">Source: <a href="https://cardtrack.com">CardTrack</a></p>