Lugia-GX159/214 · Lost Thunder Price & Value
Market value · Near Mint
Pack fresh $54est.
- PSA 8$452 sold · 90d · pop 231
- PSA 9$6319 sold · 90d · pop 728
- PSA 10$42519 sold · 90d · pop 592
Make sure you have the right card
Every price on this page is for Lost Thunder #159/214, 2018. Check yours against the tells below before you buy, sell or grade.
The picture itself is foiled and the card body is flat. This is the standard holo.
What's your copy worth?
Estimated. This card has enough sales to price the top 15% but not the top 5%, so pack-fresh is projected from the gap we measure between those two tiers on cards that do — about 1.4x on vintage, 1.2x on modern. $54.07. That's about +50% over a typical Near Mint copy.
ⓘ How do we work this out?
We take every real sale of this exact card over the last 12 months (30 sales), sort them by price, and read off the top 15% and top 5%. No multipliers, no guesses — the prices cleaner copies actually fetched.
Why cleaner copies cost more: buyers can see condition in the photos and pay for it. Listings sellers describe as pack fresh or gem mint land in this top band 1.7× more often than ordinary ones — the premium follows the card, not the hype.
Copies in this band are also the ones collectors send to grading: far more likely than a typical binder copy to be submitted at all — and to come back with the strong grade that carries the PSA prices shown on this page. That prospect is part of what buyers are paying for here.
These are read straight off this card's own completed sales — sort them by price and take the top 15% and top 5%. Whether your copy qualifies is a judgment made by looking at the card.
✨ Is it worth it?
An AI market read of this card — value, momentum, grading economics, liquidity. It lays out the data; you decide.
Lugia-GX is a Rare Holo GX Pokémon card from Lost Thunder (#159, released 2018), illustrated by PLANETA Igarashi. It's a Basic GX Colorless-type Pokémon with 190 HP, weak to Lightning ×2. Prices below are aggregated across marketplaces — raw and graded, updated daily and shown in your local currency.
Prices last updated 8 September 2026.
Lugia-GX price history & recent sales
Graded a PSA 10? See its cert-verified sales and price history → — individual sales PSA tied to a specific slab, each with a cert number you can check.
Price history · Raw
We'll email you when this card's value crosses your target.
Verified sales history
High confidence86 sales in 90 days, closely clustered. · Very liquid — Sells often
Sale mix: 3 auctions, 3 accepted offers, 4 fixed-price. A graded copy trades roughly every day (median gap between cert-verified sales).
By grade
- Raw$30.00123 sales · 86 in 90d, sells often
- PSA 10$47028 sales · 19 in 90d, sells regularly
- PSA 9$69.9927 sales · 19 in 90d, sells regularly
- CGC 10$1386 sales · 2 in 90d, rare
- PSA 8$43.504 sales · 2 in 90d, rare
- CGC 9$32.604 sales
- CGC 8.5$33.602 sales · 2 in 90d, rare
- TAG 9$74.991 sale
Is Lugia-GX worth grading?
Most copies come back PSA 9 — worth $63 against the $108 you put in, a $45 loss. The money is in the 1 in 1 that reach PSA 9 or 10 and sell for $63–$470. Averaged over every outcome that is +$100 a card.
That is the average submitted copy. Tell us about yours and the verdict re-prices — most cards stop being worth grading here. Not sure? Grade it from a photo →
These are set to a flawless copy — the answer above. Change any of them to re-price it for the card in your hand.
Compare graders, and the live market
The verdict above is PSA's — the grader the population report, the ROI table and the price ladder on this page all use. Trader prices all three graders against each other and adds what the asking market is doing right now.
- PSA, CGC and Beckett side by side — each on its own population and its own fees, with Beckett scored on the 9.5 its market actually pays for.
- Lightly and moderately played — the same expected return for a copy that cannot gem.
- Ask vs sold — what the live listings want, against what copies have really closed at.
- Momentum — the 30-day median against the 90-day, per grade.
- Where it sells higher — the Fanatics-versus-eBay premium, with the sale counts behind it.
- Population history — the weekly PSA census, so you can see how fast 10s are arriving before you post the card.
The odds
Lugia-GX is a Holo / V / ex in Lost Thunder — the pack's hit slot lands on Holo / V / ex 27.9% of the time, split across 34 holo / v / ex cards in the set, so pulling this exact card is roughly 1 in 122 packs.
Estimates only. Pack odds come from CardTrack's pack model (the same one behind the pack simulator) — not an official rate. Grading odds are the real cumulative PSA population, which skews toward nicer, resubmitted copies, so it overstates the true first-submission gem rate. Full grade-by-grade breakdown below.
Grade-by-grade ROI & risk-adjusted outcomesNet vs raw per target grade, plus the probability-weighted distribution
| Target grade | Est. value | Grading fee | Net vs raw | Multiple |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PSA 10 | $425.00 | $74 | +$315 | 11.8× |
| PSA 9 | $63.00 | $71 | −$44 | 1.7× |
| PSA 8 | $45.00 | $70 | −$61 | 1.2× |
⚖️ Risk-adjusted return
Best case isn't the whole story. Weighting every grade by how often it actually happens, across 1,576 PSA-graded copies:
| Outcome | Chance | Value |
|---|---|---|
| PSA 10 | 36.7% | $470.00 |
| PSA 9 — typical | 43.3% | $63.00 |
| PSA 8 | 13.8% | $45.00 |
| PSA 7 | 3.3% | $31.00 |
| PSA 6 | 1.7% | $28.64 |
| PSA 5 | 0.8% | $28.64 |
| PSA 4 | 0.2% | $28.64 |
| PSA 3 | 0.1% | $16.50 |
| PSA 2 | 0.1% | $16.50 |
| PSA 1 | 0.1% | $16.50 |
| Other (half grades, authentic) | 0.1% | $36.01 |
Net = graded value − raw value − grading cost (tier fee + ~$20 round-trip shipping), using PSA fees as of 2026-08-26; the paused PSA Value tier is excluded so this isn't overstated. Gem rate is estimated from cumulative PSA population, which skews toward nicer, resubmitted copies — so it overstates the true grade rate. Treat it as a guide, not a guarantee.
Population across gradersPSA, CGC, BGS & TAG — every grade, with gem rates
592 of the 1,652 PSA-graded Lugia-GX copies came back a gem-mint 10 — 36%. The rest graded lower.
Bar length is relative to this grader's most common grade; the figure on the right is the share of all 1,652.
Bar length is relative to this grader's most common grade; the figure on the right is the share of all 414.
Bar length is relative to this grader's most common grade; the figure on the right is the share of all 29.
Bar length is relative to this grader's most common grade; the figure on the right is the share of all 37.
Real graded population from PSA, CGC, BGS & TAG — a lower gem rate means a Lugia-GX 10 is harder to pull.
Copies for sale right now
Lugia GX 159/214 Sm-Lost Thunder Holo HPRaw · eBay$14.99
Pokemon TCG Lugia GX 159/214 Sun & Moon Lost Thunder Ultra Rare - LP/MPRaw · eBay$21.67
Lugia GX 159/214 SM Lost Thunder Holo Ultra Rare 2018Raw · eBay$23.99
SM - Lost Thunder #159/214 Lugia GXRaw · eBay$26.69
Pokemon TCG Lugia GX 159/214 Sun & Moon Lost Thunder Ultra Rare NMRaw · eBay$28.91
Lugia GX 159/214 Holo GX Rare Lost Thunder Pokemon NMRaw · eBay$29.00Cheapest raw copy $23.99 — 33% below our near-mint estimate of $36
Buying this card on eBay? The free CardTrack extension shows our value and a deal verdict right on the listing. Add to Chrome →
Affiliate links — we may earn a commission. Prices shown are sold-based, not sponsored placements.
All grades & conditions
Every grade we pricePSA / CGC / BGS ladder with per-grade population
| Grade | Relative value | Price |
|---|---|---|
| PSA 10pop 592 | ✓ 115 cert-verified$425$420–$569 | |
| PSA 9pop 728 | ✓ 96 cert-verified$63$59–$80 | |
| PSA 8pop 231 | $45$38–$52 | |
| PSA 7pop 55 | ✓ 6 cert-verified$31 | |
| PSA 6pop 27 | 2 sold$29$24–$33 | |
| PSA 3pop 1 | modelled$17$17–$17 |
Raw condition ladderNM → damaged, with real sold medians where we have them
A typical Near Mint copy sells for $35.70. Grading-candidate copies — the cleanest 15% of sales — typically fetch $39.70 (+11%). Pack-fresh examples — the top 5% — go for about $53.60.
From 8 sales in the last 12 months. These describe the market — whether a specific copy is a grading candidate is a judgment made by looking at it.
Market dataCross-market spread, EU price, momentum & community buzz
Cross-market prices
22% spreadCurrently 22% cheaper on PriceCharting than TCGplayer. These are independent market prices for the same card — a wide gap can mean a buying opportunity. Informational only, not arbitrage advice.
Market signal
Derived from this card's 90-day price history, recent trend and cross-market price gap. Informational, not advice.
Card textAttacks, abilities, weakness / resistance / retreat
This attack does 30 more damage times the amount of Energy attached to your opponent's Active Pokémon.
This Pokémon can't use Pelagic Blade during your next turn.
Put your opponent's Active Pokémon and all cards attached to it in the Lost Zone. (You can't use more than 1 GX attack in a game.)
Pokémon-GX rule: When your Pokémon-GX is Knocked Out, your opponent takes 2 Prize cards.
Card detailsSet, rarity, artist, Pokédex & specs
Other Lugia-GX cards
There are 3 different Lugia-GX printings — make sure you're valuing the right one. This is Lost Thunder #159 (Rare Holo GX).
More from Lost Thunder
Frequently asked questions
How much is Lugia-GX (Lost Thunder #159) worth?
As of 8 September 2026, Lugia-GX from Lost Thunder is worth approximately $36.01 ungraded (near-mint), and around $425 in PSA 10 gem mint. Values are blended from real Cardmarket, eBay sold and TCGplayer prices and update daily.
What is the PSA 10 price for Lugia-GX?
A PSA 10 (gem mint) Lugia-GX from Lost Thunder is worth around $425 — roughly 12× the raw ungraded value of $36.01.
Should I grade my Lugia-GX?
Grading is worth it when the PSA 10 premium comfortably beats the grading fee and the card is clean enough to have a real shot at a 10 — the "Should you grade it?" estimate above works that out per grade, net of the current fee.
Is Lugia-GX rare?
Lugia-GX is a Rare Holo GX card from Lost Thunder (card #159).
How do I know if my Lugia-GX is Holofoil?
The illustration window: The picture itself is foiled and the card body is flat. This is the standard holo.
Cite & embed this card
Free to use with attribution to CardTrack.
Lugia-GX (Lost Thunder #159) — Pokémon market value $36.01, PSA 10 $425.00. Source: CardTrack, https://cardtrack.com/pokemon/card/lost-thunder/lugia-gx-159<iframe src="https://cardtrack.com/embed/card?id=sm8-159" width="100%" height="160" style="border:0;max-width:460px" title="Lugia-GX price — CardTrack" loading="lazy"></iframe>
<p style="font:12px system-ui">Source: <a href="https://cardtrack.com">CardTrack</a></p>