Lugia-GX
Market value · ungraded
What's your copy worth?
What this price is based on
High confidence93 sales in 90 days, closely clustered.
What each version actually sells for
Every figure is the median of real completed sales whose listing claimed that printing and condition — not a percentage of the headline price. A dash means we haven't seen enough sales of that exact version to publish one.
Recent Raw sales
- Aug 15, 2026eBay — Pokemon Lugia GX 159/214 SM Lost Thunder Holo Ultra Rare English HP 190$20.00
- Aug 14, 2026eBay — Pokémon TCG Lugia GX Holo Ultra Rare Card Lost Thunder 159/214 NMNM$39.99
- Aug 14, 2026eBay — Pokémon TCG Lugia GX 159/214 Lost Thunder Ultra Rare Holo Card$31.62
- Aug 13, 2026eBay — The Pokémon Company Lugia GX 159/214 SM-Lost Thunder Ultra Rare Holo English$30.00
- Aug 12, 2026eBay — Lugia GX 159/214 SM-Lost Thunder Holo Ultra Rare Pokemon Card LPLP$32.00
- Aug 11, 2026eBay — The Pokémon Company Lugia GX 159/214 Lost Thunder UR Holo EN HP 190$20.00
- Aug 9, 2026eBay — Lugia GX 159/214 Holo GX Rare Lost Thunder Pokemon Lightly PlayedLP$30.49
- Aug 9, 2026eBay — Pokemon Card Lugia GX 159/214 Sun & Moon Rare Lost Thunder Holo Near MintNM$40.46
By grade
- Raw$30.49109 sales
- PSA 10$47923 sales
- PSA 9$65.0021 sales
- CGC 10$1386 sales
- PSA 8$43.504 sales
- CGC 9$32.604 sales
- CGC 8.5$33.602 sales
- TAG 9$74.991 sale
From 175 completed sales recorded between Mar 31, 2025 and Aug 15, 2026. Sold prices only — asking prices are never counted. The range is wide because these sales span different printings and conditions — 1st Edition, Shadowless and Unlimited copies all carry this card's name, and they trade at very different levels. Each sale above is labelled with what its listing claimed, so you can see which ones describe the same object. Treat the median as the typical copy, not the range.
Grade it or not
GRADE ITBased on 65 graded sales and 4,411,136 pop-report entries for a near-mint copy.
See the numbers — Trader plan and aboveBuy this card
✨ Is it worth it?
An AI market read of this card — value, momentum, grading economics, liquidity. It lays out the data; you decide.
Lugia-GX is a Rare Holo GX Pokémon card from Lost Thunder (#159), illustrated by PLANETA Igarashi. It's a Basic GX Colorless-type Pokémon with 190 HP, weak to Lightning ×2. Its current blended market value is $37.97 ungraded, with a PSA 10 worth around $420 — a gem-mint grading premium of roughly 11× the raw value. Prices are aggregated across marketplaces — raw and graded, updated daily and shown in your local currency.
Prices last updated 20 August 2026.
The receipts
Graded a PSA 10? See its cert-verified sales and price history → — individual sales PSA tied to a specific slab, each with a cert number you can check.
Price history · Raw
We'll email you when this card's value crosses your target.
Verified sales history10 in 90 days✓ real completed listings
| Date | Grade | Price | Cert |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug 2026 | PSA 10 | $480.00 | #124666974 ✓ |
| 7 Aug 2026 | PSA 9 | $47.00 | #157449242 ✓ |
| 4 Aug 2026 | PSA 10 | $420.00 | #112840608 ✓ |
| 3 Aug 2026 | PSA 10 | $510.00 | #131419308 ✓ |
| 2 Aug 2026 | PSA 10 | $550.00 | #115307479 ✓ |
| 31 Jul 2026 | PSA 9 | $46.50 | #161057549 ✓ |
| 31 Jul 2026 | PSA 9 | $48.00 | #157311490 ✓ |
| 28 Jul 2026 | PSA 10 | $637.00 | #153597912 ✓ |
| 26 Jul 2026 | PSA 10 | $488.88 | #68921066 ✓ |
| 26 Jul 2026 | PSA 9 | $64.99 | #159162442 ✓ |
Should you grade it?
Expected return across every likely grade, after fees — the realistic average, not the best case. Only 36.7% of copies gem (PSA 10 best case +$308); most land at PSA 9 or below.
The odds
Lugia-GX is a Holo / V / ex in Lost Thunder — the pack's hit slot lands on Holo / V / ex 27.9% of the time, split across 34 holo / v / ex cards in the set, so pulling this exact card is roughly 1 in 122 packs.
Estimates only. Pack odds come from CardTrack's pack model (the same one behind the pack simulator) — not an official rate. Grading odds are the real cumulative PSA population, which skews toward nicer, resubmitted copies, so it overstates the true first-submission gem rate. Full grade-by-grade breakdown below.
Grade-by-grade ROI & risk-adjusted outcomesNet vs raw per target grade, plus the probability-weighted distribution
| Target grade | Est. value | Grading fee | Net vs raw | Multiple |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PSA 10 | $420.00 | $74 | +$308 | 11.1× |
| PSA 9 | $60.00 | $71 | −$49 | 1.6× |
| PSA 8 | $45.00 | $70 | −$63 | 1.2× |
⚖️ Risk-adjusted return
Best case isn't the whole story. Weighting every grade by how often it actually happens, across 1,576 PSA-graded copies:
| Likely outcome | Chance | Value |
|---|---|---|
| PSA 10 | 36.7% | $420.00 |
| PSA 9 | 43.3% | $60.00 |
| PSA ≤8 | 20% | $38.00 |
Net = graded value − raw value − grading cost (tier fee + ~$20 round-trip shipping), using PSA fees as of 2026-06-28; the paused PSA Value tier is excluded so this isn't overstated. Gem rate is estimated from cumulative PSA population, which skews toward nicer, resubmitted copies — so it overstates the true grade rate. Treat it as a guide, not a guarantee.
Population across gradersPSA, CGC & BGS — every grade, with gem rates
Only 37% of 1,576 PSA-graded Lugia-GX copies are a gem-mint 10 (579 of 1,576) — the rest grade lower.
Real graded population from PSA, CGC & BGS — a lower gem rate means a Lugia-GX 10 is harder to pull.
Copies for sale right now
2018 Pokemon, Lost Thunder, #159/214 Lugia GX, Holo Ultra Rare HPRaw · eBay$19.99
Lugia GX 159/214 Sm-Lost Thunder HoloRaw · eBay$25.00
Lugia GX 159/214 Holo GX Rare Lost Thunder Pokemon CardsRaw · eBay$32.99
Pokémon TCG Lugia GX 159/214 Lost Thunder Ultra Rare Full Art Holo Eng 2018Raw · eBay$39.99Cheapest raw copy $19.99 — 47% below our estimate of $38
Pokemon 2018 Lugia GX 159/214 Lost Thunder GEM MINT PSA 10PSA 10 · eBay$488.88
2018 POKEMON SUN & MOON LOST THUNDER #159 LUGIA GX PSA 10PSA 10 · eBay$550.00
Pokemon Lugia GX 159/214 SM Lost Thunder Holo Ultra Rare English PSA 10PSA 10 · eBay$550.00
2018 POKEMON SUN & MOON LOST THUNDER #159 LUGIA GX PSA 10PSA 10 · eBay$749.99
2018 POKEMON SUN & MOON LOST THUNDER #159 LUGIA GX PSA 10PSA 10 · eBay$750.00Cheapest PSA 10 $488.88 — 16% above our estimate of $420
Affiliate links — we may earn a commission. Prices shown are sold-based, not sponsored placements.
All grades & conditions
Every grade we pricePSA / CGC / BGS ladder with per-grade population
| Grade | Relative value | Price |
|---|---|---|
| PSA 10pop 579 | 4 sold$420$357–$483 | |
| PSA 9pop 682 | $60$51–$69 | |
| PSA 8pop 217 | $45$38–$52 | |
| PSA 7pop 52 | ✓ 6 cert-verified$31 | |
| PSA 6pop 27 | 2 sold$29$24–$33 | |
| PSA 3pop 1 | $17$17–$17 |
Raw condition ladderNM → damaged, with real sold medians where we have them
Market dataCross-market spread, EU price, momentum & community buzz
Cross-market prices
27% spreadCurrently 27% cheaper on PriceCharting than TCGplayer. These are independent market prices for the same card — a wide gap can mean a buying opportunity. Informational only, not arbitrage advice.
Market signal
Derived from this card's 90-day price history, recent trend and cross-market price gap. Informational, not advice.
Card textAttacks, abilities, weakness / resistance / retreat
This attack does 30 more damage times the amount of Energy attached to your opponent's Active Pokémon.
This Pokémon can't use Pelagic Blade during your next turn.
Put your opponent's Active Pokémon and all cards attached to it in the Lost Zone. (You can't use more than 1 GX attack in a game.)
Pokémon-GX rule: When your Pokémon-GX is Knocked Out, your opponent takes 2 Prize cards.
Card detailsSet, rarity, artist, Pokédex & specs
Other Lugia-GX cards
There are 3 different Lugia-GX printings — make sure you're valuing the right one. This is Lost Thunder #159 (Rare Holo GX).
More from Lost Thunder
Frequently asked questions
How much is Lugia-GX (Lost Thunder #159) worth?
As of 20 August 2026, Lugia-GX from Lost Thunder is worth approximately $37.97 ungraded (near-mint), and around $420 in PSA 10 gem mint. Values are blended from real Cardmarket, eBay sold and TCGplayer prices and update daily.
What is the PSA 10 price for Lugia-GX?
A PSA 10 (gem mint) Lugia-GX from Lost Thunder is worth around $420 — roughly 11× the raw ungraded value of $37.97.
Should I grade my Lugia-GX?
A PSA 10 sells for about $420 versus $37.97 raw — roughly a 11× uplift. Grading is worth it when that premium comfortably beats the grading fee and the card is clean enough to have a real shot at a 10. See the "Should you grade it?" estimate above for net profit per grade.
Is Lugia-GX rare?
Lugia-GX is a Rare Holo GX card from Lost Thunder (card #159), illustrated by PLANETA Igarashi. Its current blended market value is $37.97 ungraded.
Cite & embed this card
Free to use with attribution to CardTrack.
Lugia-GX (Lost Thunder #159) — Pokémon market value $37.97, PSA 10 $420.00. Source: CardTrack, https://cardtrack.com/pokemon/card/lost-thunder/lugia-gx-159<iframe src="https://cardtrack.com/embed/card?id=sm8-159" width="100%" height="160" style="border:0;max-width:460px" title="Lugia-GX price — CardTrack" loading="lazy"></iframe>
<p style="font:12px system-ui">Source: <a href="https://cardtrack.com">CardTrack</a></p>