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Check your printing7 different Alolan Ninetales-GX printings exist — is this your card? Lost Thunder #225
Alolan Ninetales-GX Lost Thunder #225 Pokémon card
Rare Rainbow

Alolan Ninetales-GX

Lost Thunder · 225/214 · Illustrated by 5ban Graphics
200 HPFairyPokémonStage 1GX

Market value · ungraded

$86.78 0.7% · 30d
Confidencemedium
Range$66$88
Cert-verified10 PSA sales
Sold prices, not asking. TCGplayer. Updated 20 August 2026. 2 sources agree within 32%. Estimate, not an appraisalhow we price →

What's your copy worth?

What's your copy worth?
Not sure which condition? Grade it from a photo
Estimated value · Near Mint
$86.78

What this price is based on

Medium confidence

4 sales in 90 days — enough for a guide, not a guarantee.

Median · Raw$63.004 sales
Trimmed mean$61.81outliers removed
Range$53.95$67.28lowest to highest sale
Sales rate1/mo6 recorded

Recent Raw sales

  • Aug 8, 2026eBay — Pokemon Alolan Ninetales GX Holo Card Lost Thunder Secret Rainbow Rare, 225/214$53.95
  • Jul 27, 2026eBay — Pokémon Alolan Ninetales GX 225/214 Lost Thunder 2018 Rainbow Secret$65.00
  • Jul 24, 2026eBay — Pokemon Alolan Ninetales GX Holo Card Lost Thunder Secret Rainbow Rare, 225/214$67.28
  • Jun 11, 2026eBay — Pokemon Lost Thunder Alolan Ninetales GX 225/214 - Lost Thunder$61.00

By grade

  • Raw$63.004 sales
  • PSA 8$85.001 sale
  • PSA 10$4801 sale

From 6 completed sales recorded between May 28, 2026 and Aug 8, 2026. Sold prices only — asking prices are never counted.

Grade it or not

GRADE IT

Based on 2 graded sales and 4,410,030 pop-report entries for a near-mint copy.

See the numbers — Trader plan and above

Buy this card

ViewingRaw / ungraded (this page)PSA 10 price pagePSA 9 price page

Is it worth it?

An AI market read of this card — value, momentum, grading economics, liquidity. It lays out the data; you decide.

Sign in to analyse

Alolan Ninetales-GX is a Rare Rainbow Pokémon card from Lost Thunder (#225), illustrated by 5ban Graphics. It's a Stage 1 GX Fairy-type Pokémon with 200 HP, evolving from Alolan Vulpix, weak to Metal ×2. Its current blended market value is $86.78 ungraded, with a PSA 10 worth around $480 — a gem-mint grading premium of roughly 6× the raw value. Prices are aggregated across marketplaces — raw and graded, updated daily and shown in your local currency.

Prices last updated 20 August 2026.

The receipts

Graded a PSA 10? See its cert-verified sales and price history — individual sales PSA tied to a specific slab, each with a cert number you can check.

Price history · Raw

23 May 202620 Aug 2026
Latest
$86.78
Period high
$87.70
Period low
$82.33
Change
5.4%
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Verified sales history10 in 90 daysreal completed listings

DateGradePriceCert
10 Aug 2026PSA 9$61.00#133384919
7 Aug 2026PSA 9$76.01#139919997
9 Jul 2026PSA 10$473.00#154014407
6 Jul 2026PSA 10$465.00#144531885
21 Jun 2026PSA 9$151.09#133671196
8 Jun 2026PSA 10$660.00#135900971
7 Jun 2026PSA 8$85.00#124210670
5 Jun 2026PSA 10$630.00#44305200
4 Jun 2026PSA 10$671.00#99582214
2 Jun 2026PSA 10$810.00#145933960

Should you grade it?

+$105

Expected return across every likely grade, after fees — the realistic average, not the best case. Only 39% of copies gem (PSA 10 best case +$318); most land at PSA 9 or below.

Gem rate (est.)39%
Expected return+$105
PSA 10 best case+$318
Break-evenPSA 10+
VerdictWorth grading

The odds

Alolan Ninetales-GX is a Secret / Rainbow in Lost Thunder — the pack's hit slot lands on Secret / Rainbow 2.5% of the time, split across 29 secret / rainbow cards in the set, so pulling this exact card is roughly 1 in 1,166 packs.

Secret / Rainbow2.5%29 cards
PSA 10 (gem mint)39%183 of 469
PSA 942%197 of 469
PSA graded so far469
Gem Mint 10183
Total graded469

Estimates only. Pack odds come from CardTrack's pack model (the same one behind the pack simulator) — not an official rate. Grading odds are the real cumulative PSA population, which skews toward nicer, resubmitted copies, so it overstates the true first-submission gem rate. Full grade-by-grade breakdown below.

Grade-by-grade ROI & risk-adjusted outcomesNet vs raw per target grade, plus the probability-weighted distribution
Target gradeEst. valueGrading feeNet vs rawMultiple
PSA 10$479.99$75+$3185.5×
PSA 9$149.00$71$91.7×
PSA 8$85.00$71$731.0×

⚖️ Risk-adjusted return

Best case isn't the whole story. Weighting every grade by how often it actually happens, across 469 PSA-graded copies:

Likely outcomeChanceValue
PSA 1039%$480.00
PSA 942%$149.00
PSA ≤819%$87.00

Net = graded value − raw value − grading cost (tier fee + ~$20 round-trip shipping), using PSA fees as of 2026-06-28; the paused PSA Value tier is excluded so this isn't overstated. Gem rate is estimated from cumulative PSA population, which skews toward nicer, resubmitted copies — so it overstates the true grade rate. Treat it as a guide, not a guarantee.

Population across gradersPSA, CGC & BGS — every grade, with gem rates

Only 39% of 469 PSA-graded Alolan Ninetales-GX copies are a gem-mint 10 (183 of 469) — the rest grade lower.

PSA469 gradedPSA 10 · 183 · 39% gem
10183
9197
857
716
66
55
44
11
CGC495 gradedCGC 10 · 80 · 16% gem
1080
9225
8.590
860

Real graded population from PSA, CGC & BGS — a lower gem rate means a Alolan Ninetales-GX 10 is harder to pull.

Copies for sale right now

Check recent sold prices

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All grades & conditions

Every grade we pricePSA / CGC / BGS ladder with per-grade population
Graded prices
Ungraded (raw)$85.75
PSA graded price estimates by grade
GradeRelative valuePrice
PSA 10pop 183$480$408$552
PSA 9pop 197✓ 13 cert-verified$149$124$149
PSA 8pop 57✓ 5 cert-verified$85$85$120
“Sold” = median of real recent sold listings at that grade (eBay or Fanatics Collect — hover a badge to see which). Other figures are blended marketplace estimates. Confidence reflects source backing and price spread — not PSA-official values.
Raw condition ladderNM → damaged, with real sold medians where we have them
Raw price by condition
Holofoil · live market via TCGplayer
NMNear Mint$86.78
LPLightly Played$68.56
MPModerately Played$39.24
DMGDamaged$32.41
7-day 0.5%
30-day 3.3%
90-day 15.6%
All-time high$87
All-time low$43
What NM / LP / MP actually mean — and how much they cost
Market dataCross-market spread, EU price, momentum & community buzz

Cross-market prices

32% spread
PriceCharting · cheapest$66
TCGplayer · dearest$88

Currently 32% cheaper on PriceCharting than TCGplayer. These are independent market prices for the same card — a wide gap can mean a buying opportunity. Informational only, not arbitrage advice.

Market signal

Momentum · 30dFlat +1%
Volatility · 90dStable ±1%
Cross-marketMarkets disagree 32% gap
90d low $82near its high$88 high

Derived from this card's 90-day price history, recent trend and cross-market price gap. Informational, not advice.

Card textAttacks, abilities, weakness / resistance / retreat

Evolves from Alolan Vulpix.

Mysterious GuidanceAbility

When you play this Pokémon from your hand to evolve 1 of your Pokémon during your turn, you may search your deck for up to 2 Item cards, reveal them, and put them into your hand. Then, shuffle your deck.

Snowy Wind70
Fairy · Colorless

This attack does 30 damage to 1 of your opponent's Benched Pokémon. (Don't apply Weakness and Resistance for Benched Pokémon.)

Sublimation-GX
Fairy · Colorless

If your opponent's Active Pokémon is an Ultra Beast, it is Knocked Out. (You can't use more than 1 GX attack in a game.)

Weakness Metal ×2Resistance Darkness -20Retreat 2

Pokémon-GX rule: When your Pokémon-GX is Knocked Out, your opponent takes 2 Prize cards.

Card detailsSet, rarity, artist, Pokédex & specs
Number#225
RarityRare Rainbow
SupertypePokémon
SubtypesStage 1, GX
TypeFairy
HP200
Evolves fromAlolan Vulpix
WeaknessMetal ×2
ResistanceDarkness -20
Retreat cost2
National Pokédex#38
Card IDsm8-225
SourceAggregated marketplaces

Other Alolan Ninetales-GX cards

There are 7 different Alolan Ninetales-GX printings — make sure you're valuing the right one. This is Lost Thunder #225 (Rare Rainbow).

More from Lost Thunder

Frequently asked questions

How much is Alolan Ninetales-GX (Lost Thunder #225) worth?

As of 20 August 2026, Alolan Ninetales-GX from Lost Thunder is worth approximately $86.78 ungraded (near-mint), and around $480 in PSA 10 gem mint. Values are blended from real Cardmarket, eBay sold and TCGplayer prices and update daily.

What is the PSA 10 price for Alolan Ninetales-GX?

A PSA 10 (gem mint) Alolan Ninetales-GX from Lost Thunder is worth around $480 — roughly 6× the raw ungraded value of $86.78.

Should I grade my Alolan Ninetales-GX?

A PSA 10 sells for about $480 versus $86.78 raw — roughly a 6× uplift. Grading is worth it when that premium comfortably beats the grading fee and the card is clean enough to have a real shot at a 10. See the "Should you grade it?" estimate above for net profit per grade.

Is Alolan Ninetales-GX rare?

Alolan Ninetales-GX is a Rare Rainbow card from Lost Thunder (card #225), illustrated by 5ban Graphics. Its current blended market value is $86.78 ungraded.

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Citation
Alolan Ninetales-GX (Lost Thunder #225) — Pokémon market value $86.78, PSA 10 $479.99. Source: CardTrack, https://cardtrack.com/pokemon/card/lost-thunder/alolan-ninetales-gx-225
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<iframe src="https://cardtrack.com/embed/card?id=sm8-225" width="100%" height="160" style="border:0;max-width:460px" title="Alolan Ninetales-GX price — CardTrack" loading="lazy"></iframe> <p style="font:12px system-ui">Source: <a href="https://cardtrack.com">CardTrack</a></p>