Market value · ungraded
What's your copy worth?
What this price is based on
High confidence183 sales in 90 days, closely clustered.
Recent Raw sales
- Aug 9, 2026eBay — Pokemon Charmander 038 NM Holo P ME: Mega Evolution PromoNM$37.00
- Aug 8, 2026eBay — Pokémon Charmander 038 Black Star Promo Near MintNM$40.00
- Aug 6, 2026eBay — Charmander 038 Pokémon TCG Mega Evolution Black Star Promo Holo NMNM$48.00
- Aug 6, 2026eBay — Charmander 038 Pokemon TCG Mega Evolution Black Star Promo Holo Grade Worthy 🔥$54.99
- Aug 6, 2026eBay — 2026 Pokemon Mega Evolution Promo #038 Charmander First Partner$39.00
- Aug 5, 2026eBay — Charmander 038 Holo Promo ME: Mega Evolution Promo Pokemon Near MintNM$41.99
- Aug 4, 2026eBay — Pokemon Charmander 038 Holo Promo ME: Mega Evolution Promo NMNM$45.00
- Aug 3, 2026eBay — Pokemon Charmander 038 Me: Mega Evolution Promo Holo First Partners$215
By grade
- CGC 10$141482 sales
- Raw$44.42218 sales
- CGC 9$38.40109 sales
- CGC 9.5$36.0032 sales
- CGC 9.6$63.0014 sales
- CGC 8.5$37.8010 sales
- PSA 10$3007 sales
- CGC 8$36.006 sales
From 883 completed sales recorded between Apr 13, 2026 and Aug 9, 2026. Sold prices only — asking prices are never counted.
Grade it or not
GRADE ITBased on 665 graded sales and 5,112,751 pop-report entries for a near-mint copy.
See the numbers — Trader plan and aboveBuy this card
✨ Is it worth it?
An AI market read of this card — value, momentum, grading economics, liquidity. It lays out the data; you decide.
Charmander is a Promo Pokémon card from Mega Evolution Black Star Promos (#38), illustrated by Saboteri. Its current blended market value is $44.83 ungraded, with a PSA 10 worth around $202 — a gem-mint grading premium of roughly 5× the raw value. Prices are aggregated across marketplaces — raw and graded, updated daily and shown in your local currency.
Prices last updated 20 August 2026.
The receipts
Graded a PSA 10? See its cert-verified sales and price history → — individual sales PSA tied to a specific slab, each with a cert number you can check.
Price history · Raw
We'll email you when this card's value crosses your target.
Verified sales history10 in 90 days✓ real completed listings
| Date | Grade | Price | Cert |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug 2026 | PSA 10 | $147.50 | #158987343 ✓ |
| 16 Aug 2026 | PSA 10 | $165.00 | #156739153 ✓ |
| 16 Aug 2026 | PSA 10 | $179.95 | #165984960 ✓ |
| 16 Aug 2026 | PSA 10 | $160.00 | #167343929 ✓ |
| 16 Aug 2026 | PSA 10 | $153.50 | #167624347 ✓ |
| 16 Aug 2026 | PSA 10 | $175.00 | #168568063 ✓ |
| 16 Aug 2026 | PSA 9 | $42.00 | #166377255 ✓ |
| 16 Aug 2026 | PSA 9 | $52.00 | #163682713 ✓ |
| 16 Aug 2026 | PSA 9 | $37.90 | #164094447 ✓ |
| 16 Aug 2026 | PSA 9 | $46.00 | #163222825 ✓ |
Should you grade it?
Expected return across every likely grade, after fees — the realistic average, not the best case. Only 86.4% of copies gem (PSA 10 best case +$85); most land at PSA 9 or below.
The odds
Charmander is a Commoncard — a guaranteed slot in every pack, not a rarity gamble, so there's no pull-odds figure for it.
Estimates only. Pack odds come from CardTrack's pack model (the same one behind the pack simulator) — not an official rate. Grading odds are the real cumulative PSA population, which skews toward nicer, resubmitted copies, so it overstates the true first-submission gem rate. Full grade-by-grade breakdown below.
Grade-by-grade ROI & risk-adjusted outcomesNet vs raw per target grade, plus the probability-weighted distribution
| Target grade | Est. value | Grading fee | Net vs raw | Multiple |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PSA 10 | $202.00 | $72 | +$85 | 4.5× |
| PSA 9 | $51.00 | $71 | −$64 | 1.1× |
| PSA 8 | $43.00 | $70 | −$72 | 1.0× |
⚖️ Risk-adjusted return
Best case isn't the whole story. Weighting every grade by how often it actually happens, across 1,974 PSA-graded copies:
| Likely outcome | Chance | Value |
|---|---|---|
| PSA 10 | 86.4% | $202.00 |
| PSA 9 | 12.7% | $51.00 |
| PSA ≤8 | 0.9% | $45.00 |
Net = graded value − raw value − grading cost (tier fee + ~$20 round-trip shipping), using PSA fees as of 2026-06-28; the paused PSA Value tier is excluded so this isn't overstated. Gem rate is estimated from cumulative PSA population, which skews toward nicer, resubmitted copies — so it overstates the true grade rate. Treat it as a guide, not a guarantee.
Population across gradersPSA, CGC & BGS — every grade, with gem rates
Only 86% of 1,974 PSA-graded Charmander copies are a gem-mint 10 (1,706 of 1,974) — the rest grade lower.
Real graded population from PSA, CGC & BGS — a lower gem rate means a Charmander 10 is harder to pull.
Copies for sale right now
2025 Pokemon Mep Black Star Promos Charmander # 038Raw · eBay$41.99
Charmander MEP 038 NM ME: Mega Evolution Black Star Promo PokemonRaw · eBay$43.99
Pokemon Charmander Mega Evolution Black Star Promos #38 Holofoil Near MintRaw · eBay$44.06
Charmander - MEP038 - MEP Black Star Promos NM, English Pokemon Mega Evolution PRaw · eBay$49.44Cheapest raw copy $41.99 — 6% below our estimate of $45
Charmander 038 Me: Mega Evolution Promo Holo Series 1 Illustration Coll. PSA 10PSA 10 · eBay$229.99
2026 POKEMON MEP EN-ME BLACK STAR PROMO #038 CHARMANDER PSA 10PSA 10 · eBay$230.00
Charmander 038 Me: Mega Evolution Promo PSA 10PSA 10 · eBay$275.00
2026 POKEMON MEP EN-ME BLACK STAR PROMO #038 CHARMANDER PSA 10PSA 10 · eBay$279.99
2026 POKEMON MEP EN-ME BLACK STAR PROMO #038 CHARMANDER PSA 10PSA 10 · eBay$279.99Cheapest PSA 10 $229.99 — 14% above our estimate of $202
Affiliate links — we may earn a commission. Prices shown are sold-based, not sponsored placements.
All grades & conditions
Every grade we pricePSA / CGC / BGS ladder with per-grade population
| Grade | Relative value | Price |
|---|---|---|
| PSA 10pop 1,706 | ✓ 1061 cert-verified$202$202–$325 | |
| PSA 9pop 250 | ✓ 231 cert-verified$51$51–$84 | |
| PSA 8pop 16 | ✓ 5 cert-verified$43 |
Raw condition ladderNM → damaged, with real sold medians where we have them
For context: a graded PSA 6 slab of this card sells for about $40 (cert-verified) — a heavily-played raw copy shouldn't cost much more than that.
Market dataCross-market spread, EU price, momentum & community buzz
Cross-market prices
8% spreadCurrently 8% cheaper on PriceCharting than TCGplayer. These are independent market prices for the same card — a wide gap can mean a buying opportunity. Informational only, not arbitrage advice.
Market signal
Derived from this card's 90-day price history, recent trend and cross-market price gap. Informational, not advice.
🔥 Trending in the community
#92 on the radarCharmander is one of the most-talked-about Pokémon right now across the Pokémon investing & TCG subreddits. See the hype radar →
What people are saying: “My Daughter's Grandmaster Charmander Set. Was the main idea behind my other Daughter's Clefairy Grandmaster set.” · 89↑
About the PokémonSpecies, generation, evolution line
Obviously prefers hot places. When it rains, steam is said to spout from the tip of its tail.
Card detailsSet, rarity, artist, Pokédex & specs
Other Charmander cards
There are 9 different Charmander printings — make sure you're valuing the right one. This is Mega Evolution Black Star Promos #38 (Promo).
More from Mega Evolution Black Star Promos
Frequently asked questions
How much is Charmander (Mega Evolution Black Star Promos #38) worth?
As of 20 August 2026, Charmander from Mega Evolution Black Star Promos is worth approximately $44.83 ungraded (near-mint), and around $202 in PSA 10 gem mint. Values are blended from real Cardmarket, eBay sold and TCGplayer prices and update daily.
What is the PSA 10 price for Charmander?
A PSA 10 (gem mint) Charmander from Mega Evolution Black Star Promos is worth around $202 — roughly 5× the raw ungraded value of $44.83.
Should I grade my Charmander?
A PSA 10 sells for about $202 versus $44.83 raw — roughly a 5× uplift. Grading is worth it when that premium comfortably beats the grading fee and the card is clean enough to have a real shot at a 10. See the "Should you grade it?" estimate above for net profit per grade.
Is Charmander rare?
Charmander is a Promo card from Mega Evolution Black Star Promos (card #38), illustrated by Saboteri. Its current blended market value is $44.83 ungraded.
Cite & embed this card
Free to use with attribution to CardTrack.
Charmander (Mega Evolution Black Star Promos #38) — Pokémon market value $44.83, PSA 10 $202.00. Source: CardTrack, https://cardtrack.com/pokemon/card/mega-evolution-black-star-promos/charmander-38<iframe src="https://cardtrack.com/embed/card?id=mep-38" width="100%" height="160" style="border:0;max-width:460px" title="Charmander price — CardTrack" loading="lazy"></iframe>
<p style="font:12px system-ui">Source: <a href="https://cardtrack.com">CardTrack</a></p>