Market value · ungraded
What's your copy worth?
What this price is based on
High confidence113 sales in 90 days, closely clustered.
Recent Raw sales
- Aug 14, 2026eBay — Pokemon Mega evolutions Mega Charizard X EX #23 Black Star Promo. Mint 💎NM$30.99
- Aug 13, 2026eBay — Pokémon Mega Charizard X EX 23 Black Star UPC Promo Phantasmal Flames NM/MNM$38.99
- Aug 12, 2026eBay — Mega Charizard X ex Promo ME Mega Evolution Promo 023 Pokemon TCG English NMNM$34.99
- Aug 12, 2026eBay — Mega Charizard X ex Promo ME Mega Evolution Promo 023 Pokemon TCG English NMNM$34.99
- Aug 12, 2026eBay — Mega Charizard X ex Promo ME Mega Evolution Promo 023 Pokemon TCG English NMNM$34.99
- Aug 11, 2026eBay — Mega Charizard X ex Promo ME Mega Evolution Promo 023 Pokemon TCG English NMNM$34.99
- Aug 11, 2026eBay — 2025 Pokemon TCG Mega Evolution Black Star Promos #023 Mega Charizard X ex$28.00
- Aug 10, 2026eBay — Pokémon Mega Charizard X EX 23 Black Star UPC Promo Phantasmal Flames NM/MNM$38.99
By grade
- CGC 10$88.80723 sales
- CGC 9$39.60230 sales
- PSA 10$297142 sales
- Raw$40.00129 sales
- CGC 9.5$43.2083 sales
- CGC 8.5$36.0082 sales
- PSA 9$55.0076 sales
- CGC 9.6$55.0046 sales
From 1,626 completed sales recorded between Dec 29, 2025 and Aug 14, 2026. Sold prices only — asking prices are never counted.
Grade it or not
GRADE ITBased on 1,490 graded sales and 5,185,849 pop-report entries for a near-mint copy.
See the numbers — Trader plan and aboveBuy this card
✨ Is it worth it?
An AI market read of this card — value, momentum, grading economics, liquidity. It lays out the data; you decide.
Mega Charizard X ex is a Promo Pokémon card from Mega Evolution Black Star Promos (#23), illustrated by Saboteri. Its current blended market value is $43.01 ungraded, with a PSA 10 worth around $204 — a gem-mint grading premium of roughly 5× the raw value. Prices are aggregated across marketplaces — raw and graded, updated daily and shown in your local currency.
Prices last updated 21 August 2026.
The receipts
Price history · Raw
We'll email you when this card's value crosses your target.
Verified sales history10 in 90 days✓ real completed listings
| Date | Grade | Price | Cert |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug 2026 | PSA 9 | $33.00 | #146187230 ✓ |
| 16 Aug 2026 | PSA 9 | $45.00 | #165880849 ✓ |
| 16 Aug 2026 | PSA 9 | $44.00 | #163711811 ✓ |
| 16 Aug 2026 | PSA 9 | $38.01 | #153803050 ✓ |
| 16 Aug 2026 | PSA 9 | $47.00 | #163711813 ✓ |
| 16 Aug 2026 | PSA 9 | $50.00 | #157967389 ✓ |
| 16 Aug 2026 | PSA 10 | $169.50 | #165880848 ✓ |
| 16 Aug 2026 | PSA 10 | $196.00 | #165880851 ✓ |
| 16 Aug 2026 | PSA 10 | $198.00 | #163711812 ✓ |
| 16 Aug 2026 | PSA 10 | $170.00 | #147615764 ✓ |
Should you grade it?
Expected return across every likely grade, after fees — the realistic average, not the best case. Only 46.8% of copies gem (PSA 10 best case +$89); most land at PSA 9 or below.
The odds
Mega Charizard X ex is a Commoncard — a guaranteed slot in every pack, not a rarity gamble, so there's no pull-odds figure for it.
Estimates only. Pack odds come from CardTrack's pack model (the same one behind the pack simulator) — not an official rate. Grading odds are the real cumulative PSA population, which skews toward nicer, resubmitted copies, so it overstates the true first-submission gem rate. Full grade-by-grade breakdown below.
Grade-by-grade ROI & risk-adjusted outcomesNet vs raw per target grade, plus the probability-weighted distribution
| Target grade | Est. value | Grading fee | Net vs raw | Multiple |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PSA 10 | $204.00 | $72 | +$89 | 4.7× |
| PSA 9.5 | $95.00 | $71 | −$19 | 2.2× |
| PSA 9 | $52.80 | $71 | −$61 | 1.2× |
| PSA 8 | $35.00 | $70 | −$78 | 0.8× |
⚖️ Risk-adjusted return
Best case isn't the whole story. Weighting every grade by how often it actually happens, across 75,080 PSA-graded copies:
| Likely outcome | Chance | Value |
|---|---|---|
| PSA 10 | 46.8% | $204.00 |
| PSA 9 | 38% | $53.00 |
| PSA ≤8 | 15.2% | $43.00 |
Net = graded value − raw value − grading cost (tier fee + ~$20 round-trip shipping), using PSA fees as of 2026-06-28; the paused PSA Value tier is excluded so this isn't overstated. Gem rate is estimated from cumulative PSA population, which skews toward nicer, resubmitted copies — so it overstates the true grade rate. Treat it as a guide, not a guarantee.
Population across gradersPSA, CGC & BGS — every grade, with gem rates
Only 47% of 75,080 PSA-graded Mega Charizard X ex copies are a gem-mint 10 (35,104 of 75,080) — the rest grade lower.
Real graded population from PSA, CGC & BGS — a lower gem rate means a Mega Charizard X ex 10 is harder to pull.
Copies for sale right now
Pokemon TCG Phantasmal Flames UPC Mega Charizard X ex #23 Black Star Promo - NMRaw · eBay$44.99
Pokemon TCG Phantasmal Flames UPC Mega Charizard X ex #23 Black Star Promo - NMRaw · eBay$44.99
MEGA EVOLUTION BLACK STAR PROMOS MEGA EVOLUTION MEGA CHARIZARD X EXRaw · eBay$65.00Cheapest raw copy $44.99 — 5% above our estimate of $43
2025 POKEMON MEP EN-ME BLACK STAR PROMO #023 MEGA CHARIZARD X EX PSA 10PSA 10 · eBay$199.00
2025 POKEMON MEP EN-ME BLACK STAR PROMO #023 MEGA CHARIZARD X EX PSA 10PSA 10 · eBay$199.00
Mega Charizard X ex 023 - Mega Charizard X ex UPC Promo Pokemon Card - PSA 10PSA 10 · eBay$219.95
Mega Charizard X ex 023 Me: Mega Evolution Promo Holo PSA 10PSA 10 · eBay$230.00
2025 Pokemon Mep En-Me Black Star Promo #023 Mega Charizard X Ex PSA 10PSA 10 · eBay$250.00Cheapest PSA 10 $199.00 — in line with our estimate of $204
Affiliate links — we may earn a commission. Prices shown are sold-based, not sponsored placements.
All grades & conditions
Every grade we pricePSA / CGC / BGS ladder with per-grade population
| Grade | Relative value | Price |
|---|---|---|
| PSA 10pop 35,104 | 105 sold$204$173–$235 | |
| PSA 9.5 | $95$95–$95 | |
| PSA 9pop 28,544 | 37 sold$53$45–$61 | |
| PSA 8pop 9,569 | ✓ 116 cert-verified$35$34–$46 | |
| PSA 5pop 237 | $32$32–$44 |
Raw condition ladderNM → damaged, with real sold medians where we have them
Market dataCross-market spread, EU price, momentum & community buzz
Cross-market prices
11% spreadCurrently 11% cheaper on TCGplayer than PriceCharting. These are independent market prices for the same card — a wide gap can mean a buying opportunity. Informational only, not arbitrage advice.
Market signal
Derived from this card's 90-day price history, recent trend and cross-market price gap. Informational, not advice.
🔥 Trending in the community
#2 on the radarCharizard is one of the most-talked-about Pokémon right now across the Pokémon investing & TCG subreddits. See the hype radar →
What people are saying: “I had no clue my prized card was so sought after until today 😳” · 445↑
About the PokémonSpecies, generation, evolution line
It is said that Charizard’s fire burns hotter if it has experienced harsh battles.
Card detailsSet, rarity, artist, Pokédex & specs
Other Mega Charizard X ex cards
There are 6 different Mega Charizard X ex printings — make sure you're valuing the right one. This is Mega Evolution Black Star Promos #23 (Promo).
More from Mega Evolution Black Star Promos
Frequently asked questions
How much is Mega Charizard X ex (Mega Evolution Black Star Promos #23) worth?
As of 21 August 2026, Mega Charizard X ex from Mega Evolution Black Star Promos is worth approximately $43.01 ungraded (near-mint), and around $204 in PSA 10 gem mint. Values are blended from real Cardmarket, eBay sold and TCGplayer prices and update daily.
What is the PSA 10 price for Mega Charizard X ex?
A PSA 10 (gem mint) Mega Charizard X ex from Mega Evolution Black Star Promos is worth around $204 — roughly 5× the raw ungraded value of $43.01.
Should I grade my Mega Charizard X ex?
A PSA 10 sells for about $204 versus $43.01 raw — roughly a 5× uplift. Grading is worth it when that premium comfortably beats the grading fee and the card is clean enough to have a real shot at a 10. See the "Should you grade it?" estimate above for net profit per grade.
Is Mega Charizard X ex rare?
Mega Charizard X ex is a Promo card from Mega Evolution Black Star Promos (card #23), illustrated by Saboteri. Its current blended market value is $43.01 ungraded.
Cite & embed this card
Free to use with attribution to CardTrack.
Mega Charizard X ex (Mega Evolution Black Star Promos #23) — Pokémon market value $43.01, PSA 10 $204.00. Source: CardTrack, https://cardtrack.com/pokemon/card/mega-evolution-black-star-promos/mega-charizard-x-ex-23<iframe src="https://cardtrack.com/embed/card?id=mep-23" width="100%" height="160" style="border:0;max-width:460px" title="Mega Charizard X ex price — CardTrack" loading="lazy"></iframe>
<p style="font:12px system-ui">Source: <a href="https://cardtrack.com">CardTrack</a></p>