Larvitar
Market value · ungraded
What's your copy worth?
What this price is based on
High confidence45 sales in 90 days, closely clustered.
Recent Raw sales
- Aug 17, 2026eBay — The Pokémon Company Larvitar 203/197 SV03 Obsidian Flames IR Holo$5.00
- Aug 16, 2026eBay — Pokemon TCG Larvitar 203/197 SV03 Obsidian Flames IR Holo Eng$7.00
- Aug 15, 2026eBay — Larvitar Holofoil Obsidian Flames - 203/197 Pokemon Card NMNM$6.94
- Aug 15, 2026eBay — Larvitar 203/197 - Obsidian Flames - Pokemon Card NM/MNM$8.17
- Aug 14, 2026eBay — The Pokemon Company Pokemon TCG Larvitar 203/197 Obsidian Flames Holo IR 70HP$7.50
- Aug 14, 2026eBay — Larvitar 203/197 Obsidian Flames NMNM$5.68
- Aug 12, 2026eBay — Larvitar - Pokémon SV03: Obsidian Flames 203/197$6.99
- Aug 9, 2026eBay — Larvitar 203 -Holo Pokemon Obsidian Flames$7.99
By grade
- Raw$7.0045 sales
- CGC 8.5$10.8015 sales
- CGC 9$7.207 sales
- PSA 9$20.005 sales
- PSA 10$1233 sales
- PSA 8$15.302 sales
- Lot$11.102 sales
- CGC 10$30.001 sale
From 80 completed sales recorded between Sep 22, 2025 and Aug 17, 2026. Sold prices only — asking prices are never counted.
Grade it or not
NOT WORTH ITBased on 33 graded sales and 5,113,618 pop-report entries for a near-mint copy.
See the numbers — Trader plan and aboveBuy this card
✨ Is it worth it?
An AI market read of this card — value, momentum, grading economics, liquidity. It lays out the data; you decide.
Larvitar is a Illustration Rare Pokémon card from Obsidian Flames (#203), illustrated by Miki Tanaka. It's a Basic Fighting-type Pokémon with 70 HP, weak to Grass ×2. Its current blended market value is $6.76 ungraded, with a PSA 10 worth around $228 — a gem-mint grading premium of roughly 34× the raw value. Prices are aggregated across marketplaces — raw and graded, updated daily and shown in your local currency.
Prices last updated 20 August 2026.
The receipts
Graded a PSA 10? See its cert-verified sales and price history → — individual sales PSA tied to a specific slab, each with a cert number you can check.
Price history · Raw
We'll email you when this card's value crosses your target.
Verified sales history10 in 90 days✓ real completed listings
| Date | Grade | Price | Cert |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug 2026 | PSA 8 | $5.00 | #108041346 ✓ |
| 13 Aug 2026 | PSA 9 | $21.00 | #124346608 ✓ |
| 9 Aug 2026 | PSA 8 | $15.00 | #100463107 ✓ |
| 9 Aug 2026 | PSA 9 | $14.50 | #109860550 ✓ |
| 8 Aug 2026 | PSA 9 | $16.00 | #107604903 ✓ |
| 6 Aug 2026 | PSA 10 | $212.50 | #113824224 ✓ |
| 4 Aug 2026 | PSA 8 | $10.50 | #162684570 ✓ |
| 4 Aug 2026 | PSA 9 | $10.50 | #132250814 ✓ |
| 27 Jul 2026 | PSA 8 | $13.00 | #156986831 ✓ |
| 26 Jul 2026 | PSA 8 | $13.00 | #156986832 ✓ |
Should you grade it?
Expected return across every likely grade, after fees — the realistic average, not the best case. Only 18.6% of copies gem (PSA 10 best case +$149); most land at PSA 9 or below.
The odds
Larvitar is a Ultra Rare in Obsidian Flames — the pack's hit slot lands on Ultra Rare 10% of the time, split across 24 ultra rare cards in the set, so pulling this exact card is roughly 1 in 241 packs.
Estimates only. Pack odds come from CardTrack's pack model (the same one behind the pack simulator) — not an official rate. Grading odds are the real cumulative PSA population, which skews toward nicer, resubmitted copies, so it overstates the true first-submission gem rate. Full grade-by-grade breakdown below.
Grade-by-grade ROI & risk-adjusted outcomesNet vs raw per target grade, plus the probability-weighted distribution
| Target grade | Est. value | Grading fee | Net vs raw | Multiple |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PSA 10 | $228.00 | $72 | +$149 | 33.7× |
| PSA 9 | $18.00 | $70 | −$59 | 2.7× |
| PSA 8 | $13.25 | $70 | −$64 | 2.0× |
⚖️ Risk-adjusted return
Best case isn't the whole story. Weighting every grade by how often it actually happens, across 2,844 PSA-graded copies:
| Likely outcome | Chance | Value |
|---|---|---|
| PSA 10 | 18.6% | $228.00 |
| PSA 9 | 54.5% | $18.00 |
| PSA ≤8 | 26.9% | $7.00 |
Net = graded value − raw value − grading cost (tier fee + ~$20 round-trip shipping), using PSA fees as of 2026-06-28; the paused PSA Value tier is excluded so this isn't overstated. Gem rate is estimated from cumulative PSA population, which skews toward nicer, resubmitted copies — so it overstates the true grade rate. Treat it as a guide, not a guarantee.
Population across gradersPSA, CGC & BGS — every grade, with gem rates
Only 19% of 2,844 PSA-graded Larvitar copies are a gem-mint 10 (530 of 2,844) — the rest grade lower.
Real graded population from PSA, CGC & BGS — a lower gem rate means a Larvitar 10 is harder to pull.
Copies for sale right now
Affiliate links — we may earn a commission. Prices shown are sold-based, not sponsored placements.
All grades & conditions
Every grade we pricePSA / CGC / BGS ladder with per-grade population
| Grade | Relative value | Price |
|---|---|---|
| PSA 10pop 530 | ✓ 179 cert-verified$228$159–$228 | |
| PSA 9pop 1,550 | ✓ 283 cert-verified$18$17–$24 | |
| PSA 8pop 596 | $13$11–$15 | |
| PSA 7pop 122 | $8$5–$11 |
Raw condition ladderNM → damaged, with real sold medians where we have them
Market dataCross-market spread, EU price, momentum & community buzz
Cross-market prices
87% spreadCurrently 87% cheaper on Cardmarket than TCGplayer. These are independent market prices for the same card — a wide gap can mean a buying opportunity. Informational only, not arbitrage advice.
Market signal
Derived from this card's 90-day price history, recent trend and cross-market price gap. Informational, not advice.
🇪🇺 Cardmarket price · Europe
46% cheaper than the USCard textAttacks, abilities, weakness / resistance / retreat
“Born deep underground, this Pokémon becomes a pupa after eating enough dirt to make a mountain.”
About the PokémonSpecies, generation, evolution line
Card detailsSet, rarity, artist, Pokédex & specs
Other Larvitar cards
There are 9 different Larvitar printings — make sure you're valuing the right one. This is Obsidian Flames #203 (Illustration Rare).
More from Obsidian Flames
Frequently asked questions
How much is Larvitar (Obsidian Flames #203) worth?
As of 20 August 2026, Larvitar from Obsidian Flames is worth approximately $6.76 ungraded (near-mint), and around $228 in PSA 10 gem mint. Values are blended from real Cardmarket, eBay sold and TCGplayer prices and update daily.
What is the PSA 10 price for Larvitar?
A PSA 10 (gem mint) Larvitar from Obsidian Flames is worth around $228 — roughly 34× the raw ungraded value of $6.76.
Should I grade my Larvitar?
A PSA 10 sells for about $228 versus $6.76 raw — roughly a 34× uplift. Grading is worth it when that premium comfortably beats the grading fee and the card is clean enough to have a real shot at a 10. See the "Should you grade it?" estimate above for net profit per grade.
Is Larvitar rare?
Larvitar is a Illustration Rare card from Obsidian Flames (card #203), illustrated by Miki Tanaka. Its current blended market value is $6.76 ungraded.
Cite & embed this card
Free to use with attribution to CardTrack.
Larvitar (Obsidian Flames #203) — Pokémon market value $6.76, PSA 10 $228.00. Source: CardTrack, https://cardtrack.com/pokemon/card/obsidian-flames/larvitar-203<iframe src="https://cardtrack.com/embed/card?id=sv3-203" width="100%" height="160" style="border:0;max-width:460px" title="Larvitar price — CardTrack" loading="lazy"></iframe>
<p style="font:12px system-ui">Source: <a href="https://cardtrack.com">CardTrack</a></p>