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Check your printing7 different Palafin printings exist — is this your card? Obsidian Flames #200
Palafin Obsidian Flames #200 Pokémon card
Illustration Rare

Palafin

Obsidian Flames · 200/197 · Illustrated by Akira Komayama
150 HPWaterPokémonStage 1

Market value · ungraded

$5.65 1.6% · 30d
Confidencemedium
Range$3$6
Cert-verified10 PSA sales
Sold prices, not asking. TCGplayer + Cardmarket. Updated 20 August 2026. Estimate, not an appraisalhow we price →

What's your copy worth?

What's your copy worth?
Not sure which condition? Grade it from a photo
Estimated value · Near Mint
$5.65

What this price is based on

High confidence

42 sales in 90 days, closely clustered.

Median · Raw$5.2044 sales
Trimmed mean$5.57outliers removed
Range$2.25$9.66lowest to highest sale
Sales rate10.7/mo65 recorded

Recent Raw sales

  • Aug 11, 2026eBay — Pokemon Palafin 200/197 Obsidian Flames OBF$4.75
  • Aug 11, 2026eBay — Pokemon Palafin 200/197 NM Holo Obsidian FlamesNM$9.66
  • Aug 6, 2026eBay — Pokemon - 200/197 - Palafin - Obsidian Flames$7.22
  • Aug 4, 2026eBay — Pokemon - 200/197 - Palafin - Obsidian Flames$7.33
  • Aug 3, 2026eBay — The Pokémon Company Palafin 200/197 SV03 Obsidian Flames Illus Rare FA Holo ENG$4.99
  • Aug 1, 2026eBay — Holofoil Palafin 200/197 NM Obsidian FlamesNM$7.43
  • Jul 31, 2026eBay — Pokemon Palafin (200/274) Obsidian Flames LP HOLOLP$4.95
  • Jul 31, 2026eBay — Pokemon - Palafin 200/197 SV03: Obsidian Flames Holo$5.00

By grade

  • Raw$5.2044 sales
  • CGC 9$10.809 sales
  • PSA 9$19.504 sales
  • PSA 10$1034 sales
  • CGC 0.5$11.502 sales
  • CGC 9.5$9.601 sale
  • CGC 10$20.501 sale

From 65 completed sales recorded between Jan 5, 2026 and Aug 11, 2026. Sold prices only — asking prices are never counted.

Grade it or not

NOT WORTH IT

Based on 21 graded sales and 5,113,157 pop-report entries for a near-mint copy.

See the numbers — Trader plan and above

Buy this card

ViewingRaw / ungraded (this page)PSA 10 price pagePSA 9 price page

Is it worth it?

An AI market read of this card — value, momentum, grading economics, liquidity. It lays out the data; you decide.

Sign in to analyse

Palafin is a Illustration Rare Pokémon card from Obsidian Flames (#200), illustrated by Akira Komayama. It's a Stage 1 Water-type Pokémon with 150 HP, evolving from Finizen, weak to Lightning ×2. Its current blended market value is $5.65 ungraded, with a PSA 10 worth around $92 — a gem-mint grading premium of roughly 16× the raw value. Prices are aggregated across marketplaces — raw and graded, updated daily and shown in your local currency.

Prices last updated 20 August 2026.

0.3%
Played in 0.3% of competitive decks — 8 of 3,174 decklists across the last 41 Standard tournaments.

The receipts

Price history · Raw

1 Sept 202320 Aug 2026
Latest
$5.65
Period high
$5.90
Period low
$1.69
Change
115.6%
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Verified sales history10 in 90 daysreal completed listings

DateGradePriceCert
4 Aug 2026PSA 9$12.50#102293803
3 Aug 2026PSA 7$19.99#112149585
31 Jul 2026PSA 9$18.00#142190430
30 Jul 2026PSA 10$103.15#116434824
29 Jul 2026PSA 10$80.00#87466145
26 Jul 2026PSA 10$76.00#91930488
26 Jul 2026PSA 10$79.00#83724079
18 Jul 2026PSA 10$95.00#138113637
17 Jul 2026PSA 9$17.99#115675300
14 Jul 2026PSA 8$15.00#128964831

Should you grade it?

$45

Expected return across every likely grade, after fees — the realistic average, not the best case. Only 22.2% of copies gem (PSA 10 best case +$15); most land at PSA 9 or below.

Gem rate (est.)22.2%
Expected return$45
PSA 10 best case+$15
Break-evenPSA 10+
VerdictNot worth it

The odds

Palafin is a Ultra Rare in Obsidian Flames — the pack's hit slot lands on Ultra Rare 10% of the time, split across 24 ultra rare cards in the set, so pulling this exact card is roughly 1 in 241 packs.

Ultra Rare10%24 cards
PSA 10 (gem mint)22.2%529 of 2,381
PSA 955.3%1,317 of 2,381
PSA graded so far2,381
Gem Mint 10529
Total graded2,381

Estimates only. Pack odds come from CardTrack's pack model (the same one behind the pack simulator) — not an official rate. Grading odds are the real cumulative PSA population, which skews toward nicer, resubmitted copies, so it overstates the true first-submission gem rate. Full grade-by-grade breakdown below.

Grade-by-grade ROI & risk-adjusted outcomesNet vs raw per target grade, plus the probability-weighted distribution
Target gradeEst. valueGrading feeNet vs rawMultiple
PSA 10$92.01$71+$1516.3×
PSA 9$18.49$70$573.3×
PSA 8$14.40$70$612.5×

⚖️ Risk-adjusted return

Best case isn't the whole story. Weighting every grade by how often it actually happens, across 2,381 PSA-graded copies:

Likely outcomeChanceValue
PSA 1022.2%$92.00
PSA 955.3%$18.00
PSA ≤822.5%$6.00

Net = graded value − raw value − grading cost (tier fee + ~$20 round-trip shipping), using PSA fees as of 2026-06-28; the paused PSA Value tier is excluded so this isn't overstated. Gem rate is estimated from cumulative PSA population, which skews toward nicer, resubmitted copies — so it overstates the true grade rate. Treat it as a guide, not a guarantee.

Population across gradersPSA, CGC & BGS — every grade, with gem rates

Only 22% of 2,381 PSA-graded Palafin copies are a gem-mint 10 (529 of 2,381) — the rest grade lower.

PSA2,381 gradedPSA 10 · 529 · 22% gem
10529
91,317
8.52
8451
7.52
759
616
53
21
CGC1,382 gradedCGC 10 · 344 · 25% gem
10344
9.5186
9520
8.5190
870

Real graded population from PSA, CGC & BGS — a lower gem rate means a Palafin 10 is harder to pull.

Copies for sale right now

Check recent sold prices

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All grades & conditions

Every grade we pricePSA / CGC / BGS ladder with per-grade population
Graded prices
Ungraded (raw)$5.65
PSA graded price estimates by grade
GradeRelative valuePrice
PSA 10pop 529$92$78$106
PSA 9pop 1,317$18$16$21
PSA 8pop 451$14$12$17
PSA 7.5pop 2$7$7$7
PSA 6pop 16$6$6$6
“Sold” = median of real recent sold listings at that grade (eBay or Fanatics Collect — hover a badge to see which). Other figures are blended marketplace estimates. Confidence reflects source backing and price spread — not PSA-official values.
Raw condition ladderNM → damaged, with real sold medians where we have them
Raw price by condition
Holofoil · live market via TCGplayer
NMNear Mint$5.65
LPLightly Played$4.99
MPModerately Played$3.08
DMGDamaged$2.45
7-day 1.8%
30-day 22.6%
90-day 58.0%
All-time high$6
All-time low$2
What NM / LP / MP actually mean — and how much they cost
Market dataCross-market spread, EU price, momentum & community buzz

Cross-market prices

84% spread
Cardmarket · cheapest$3
PriceCharting$6
TCGplayer · dearest$6

Currently 84% cheaper on Cardmarket than TCGplayer. These are independent market prices for the same card — a wide gap can mean a buying opportunity. Informational only, not arbitrage advice.

Market signal

Momentum · 30dFlat +2%
Cross-marketMarkets disagree 84% gap

Derived from this card's 90-day price history, recent trend and cross-market price gap. Informational, not advice.

🇪🇺 Cardmarket price · Europe

46% cheaper than the US
Cardmarket · Europe's largest card market$3
Card textAttacks, abilities, weakness / resistance / retreat

Evolves from Finizen.

Jet Punch30
Water

This attack also does 30 damage to 1 of your opponent's Benched Pokémon. (Don't apply Weakness and Resistance for Benched Pokémon.)

Justice Kick210
Water · Water

If this Pokémon didn't move from the Bench to the Active Spot this turn, this attack does nothing.

Weakness Lightning ×2Retreat 2

This Pokémon's ancient genes have awakened. It is now so extraordinarily strong that it can easily lift a cruise ship with one fin.

About the PokémonSpecies, generation, evolution line
Dolphin PokémonGEN IXFinizenPalafin

This Pokémon changes its appearance if it hears its allies calling for help. Palafin will never show anybody its moment of transformation.

Card detailsSet, rarity, artist, Pokédex & specs
Number#200
RarityIllustration Rare
SupertypePokémon
SubtypesStage 1
TypeWater
HP150
Evolves fromFinizen
WeaknessLightning ×2
Retreat cost2
National Pokédex#964
Card IDsv3-200
SourceAggregated marketplaces

Other Palafin cards

There are 7 different Palafin printings — make sure you're valuing the right one. This is Obsidian Flames #200 (Illustration Rare).

More from Obsidian Flames

Frequently asked questions

How much is Palafin (Obsidian Flames #200) worth?

As of 20 August 2026, Palafin from Obsidian Flames is worth approximately $5.65 ungraded (near-mint), and around $92 in PSA 10 gem mint. Values are blended from real Cardmarket, eBay sold and TCGplayer prices and update daily.

What is the PSA 10 price for Palafin?

A PSA 10 (gem mint) Palafin from Obsidian Flames is worth around $92 — roughly 16× the raw ungraded value of $5.65.

Should I grade my Palafin?

A PSA 10 sells for about $92 versus $5.65 raw — roughly a 16× uplift. Grading is worth it when that premium comfortably beats the grading fee and the card is clean enough to have a real shot at a 10. See the "Should you grade it?" estimate above for net profit per grade.

Is Palafin rare?

Palafin is a Illustration Rare card from Obsidian Flames (card #200), illustrated by Akira Komayama. Its current blended market value is $5.65 ungraded.

Cite & embed this card

Free to use with attribution to CardTrack.

Citation
Palafin (Obsidian Flames #200) — Pokémon market value $5.65, PSA 10 $92.01. Source: CardTrack, https://cardtrack.com/pokemon/card/obsidian-flames/palafin-200
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