What's your copy worth?
What this price is based on
Low confidenceOnly 0 sales in the last 90 days.
Recent PSA 9 sales
From 3 completed sales recorded between Oct 24, 2025 and May 4, 2026. Sold prices only — asking prices are never counted.
Grade it or not
NOT WORTH ITBased on 3 graded sales and 5,110,777 pop-report entries for a near-mint copy.
See the numbers — Trader plan and aboveBuy this card
✨ Is it worth it?
An AI market read of this card — value, momentum, grading economics, liquidity. It lays out the data; you decide.
Marill is a Common Pokémon card from Paldea Evolved (#44), illustrated by saino misaki. It's a Basic Water-type Pokémon with 70 HP, weak to Lightning ×2. Its current blended market value is $0.18 ungraded, with a PSA 10 worth around $31 — a gem-mint grading premium of roughly 170× the raw value. Prices are aggregated across marketplaces — raw and graded, updated daily and shown in your local currency.
Prices last updated 20 August 2026.
The receipts
Price history · Raw
We'll email you when this card's value crosses your target.
Verified sales history5 in 90 days✓ real completed listings
| Date | Grade | Price | Cert |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4 May 2026 | PSA 9 | $14.40 | #121607324 ✓ |
| 7 Apr 2026 | PSA 9 | $21.00 | #121607324 ✓ |
| 6 Apr 2026 | PSA 9 | $18.00 | #121607324 ✓ |
| 23 Oct 2025 | PSA 9 | $45.00 | #121607324 ✓ |
| 6 Oct 2025 | PSA 9 | $29.00 | #121607323 ✓ |
Should you grade it?
Expected return across every likely grade, after fees — the realistic average, not the best case. Only 36.4% of copies gem (PSA 10 best case −$40); most land at PSA 9 or below.
The odds
Marill is a Commoncard — a guaranteed slot in every pack, not a rarity gamble, so there's no pull-odds figure for it.
Estimates only. Pack odds come from CardTrack's pack model (the same one behind the pack simulator) — not an official rate. Grading odds are the real cumulative PSA population, which skews toward nicer, resubmitted copies, so it overstates the true first-submission gem rate. Full grade-by-grade breakdown below.
Grade-by-grade ROI & risk-adjusted outcomesNet vs raw per target grade, plus the probability-weighted distribution
| Target grade | Est. value | Grading fee | Net vs raw | Multiple |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PSA 10 | $30.58 | $70 | −$40 | 169.9× |
| PSA 9 | $16.20 | $70 | −$54 | 90.0× |
⚖️ Risk-adjusted return
Best case isn't the whole story. Weighting every grade by how often it actually happens, across 11 PSA-graded copies:
| Likely outcome | Chance | Value |
|---|---|---|
| PSA 10 | 36.4% | $31.00 |
| PSA 9 | 45.5% | $16.00 |
| PSA ≤8 | 18.2% | $0.00 |
Net = graded value − raw value − grading cost (tier fee + ~$20 round-trip shipping), using PSA fees as of 2026-06-28; the paused PSA Value tier is excluded so this isn't overstated. Gem rate is estimated from cumulative PSA population, which skews toward nicer, resubmitted copies — so it overstates the true grade rate. Treat it as a guide, not a guarantee.
Population across gradersPSA, CGC & BGS — every grade, with gem rates
Only 36% of 11 PSA-graded Marill copies are a gem-mint 10 (4 of 11) — the rest grade lower.
Real graded population from PSA, CGC & BGS — a lower gem rate means a Marill 10 is harder to pull.
Copies for sale right now
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All grades & conditions
Every grade we pricePSA / CGC / BGS ladder with per-grade population
| Grade | Relative value | Price |
|---|---|---|
| PSA 10pop 4 | $31$31–$31 | |
| PSA 9pop 5 | 2 sold$16$14–$19 |
Raw condition ladderNM → damaged, with real sold medians where we have them
Price by printingBase vs reverse holo vs 1st edition — priced separately
Price by variant
TCGplayer market price per printing — reverse holo, 1st edition and unlimited often differ sharply.
Market dataCross-market spread, EU price, momentum & community buzz
Cross-market prices
11% spreadCurrently 11% cheaper on TCGplayer than PriceCharting. These are independent market prices for the same card — a wide gap can mean a buying opportunity. Informational only, not arbitrage advice.
Market signal
Derived from this card's 90-day price history, recent trend and cross-market price gap. Informational, not advice.
🇪🇺 Cardmarket price · Europe
83% cheaper than the USCard textAttacks, abilities, weakness / resistance / retreat
Heal 20 damage from this Pokémon.
“The fur on its body naturally repels water. It can stay dry even when it plays in the water.”
About the PokémonSpecies, generation, evolution line
Card detailsSet, rarity, artist, Pokédex & specs
Other Marill cards
There are 9 different Marill printings — make sure you're valuing the right one. This is Paldea Evolved #44 (Common).
More from Paldea Evolved
Frequently asked questions
How much is Marill (Paldea Evolved #44) worth?
As of 20 August 2026, Marill from Paldea Evolved is worth approximately $0.18 ungraded (near-mint), and around $31 in PSA 10 gem mint. Values are blended from real Cardmarket, eBay sold and TCGplayer prices and update daily.
What is the PSA 10 price for Marill?
A PSA 10 (gem mint) Marill from Paldea Evolved is worth around $31 — roughly 170× the raw ungraded value of $0.18.
Should I grade my Marill?
A PSA 10 sells for about $31 versus $0.18 raw — roughly a 170× uplift. Grading is worth it when that premium comfortably beats the grading fee and the card is clean enough to have a real shot at a 10. See the "Should you grade it?" estimate above for net profit per grade.
Is Marill rare?
Marill is a Common card from Paldea Evolved (card #44), illustrated by saino misaki. Its current blended market value is $0.18 ungraded.
Cite & embed this card
Free to use with attribution to CardTrack.
Marill (Paldea Evolved #44) — Pokémon market value $0.18, PSA 10 $30.58. Source: CardTrack, https://cardtrack.com/pokemon/card/paldea-evolved/marill-44<iframe src="https://cardtrack.com/embed/card?id=sv2-44" width="100%" height="160" style="border:0;max-width:460px" title="Marill price — CardTrack" loading="lazy"></iframe>
<p style="font:12px system-ui">Source: <a href="https://cardtrack.com">CardTrack</a></p>