Arctibax
Market value · ungraded
What's your copy worth?
What this price is based on
High confidence38 sales in 90 days, closely clustered.
Recent Raw sales
- Aug 16, 2026eBay — 2023 Pokémon Arctibax #209/193 Paldea Evolved$16.00
- Aug 16, 2026eBay — Pokemon - 209/193 - Arctibax - Paldea Evolved$19.99
- Aug 16, 2026eBay — Pokemon TCG Arctibax 209/193 SV02: Paldea Evolved English Illus Rare Holo$17.00
- Aug 15, 2026eBay — Pokemon - 209/193 - Arctibax - Paldea Evolved$21.60
- Aug 13, 2026eBay — Pokémon TCG Arctibax Illustration Paldea Evolved 209/193$25.00
- Aug 11, 2026eBay — Pokemon - 209/193 - Arctibax - Paldea Evolved$17.75
- Aug 10, 2026eBay — Pokemon TCG Arctibax 209/193 SV02 Paldea Evolved Illus Rare Holo Eng 2023$16.50
- Aug 7, 2026eBay — Arctibax 209/193 - IR - NM - Paldea Evolved - Pokemon TCGNM$27.83
By grade
- Raw$17.6438 sales
- PSA 10$2155 sales
- PSA 9$34.004 sales
- CGC 8.5$14.704 sales
- CGC 9$15.603 sales
- Lot$13.201 sale
- CGC 7.5$12.001 sale
From 56 completed sales recorded between Feb 9, 2026 and Aug 16, 2026. Sold prices only — asking prices are never counted.
Grade it or not
GRADE ITBased on 17 graded sales and 5,112,785 pop-report entries for a near-mint copy.
See the numbers — Trader plan and aboveBuy this card
✨ Is it worth it?
An AI market read of this card — value, momentum, grading economics, liquidity. It lays out the data; you decide.
Arctibax is a Illustration Rare Pokémon card from Paldea Evolved (#209), illustrated by Tomokazu Komiya. It's a Stage 1 Water-type Pokémon with 90 HP, evolving from Frigibax, weak to Metal ×2. Its current blended market value is $18.38 ungraded, with a PSA 10 worth around $189 — a gem-mint grading premium of roughly 10× the raw value. Prices are aggregated across marketplaces — raw and graded, updated daily and shown in your local currency.
Prices last updated 20 August 2026.
The receipts
Graded a PSA 10? See its cert-verified sales and price history → — individual sales PSA tied to a specific slab, each with a cert number you can check.
Price history · Raw
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Verified sales history10 in 90 days✓ real completed listings
| Date | Grade | Price | Cert |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9 Aug 2026 | PSA 9 | $21.21 | #110639607 ✓ |
| 6 Aug 2026 | PSA 9 | $25.00 | #106713474 ✓ |
| 27 Jul 2026 | PSA 8 | $8.50 | #109306824 ✓ |
| 24 Jul 2026 | PSA 9 | $30.00 | #81981091 ✓ |
| 23 Jul 2026 | PSA 10 | $250.00 | #101695673 ✓ |
| 19 Jul 2026 | PSA 10 | $359.00 | #132399041 ✓ |
| 19 Jul 2026 | PSA 10 | $195.00 | #101695673 ✓ |
| 17 Jul 2026 | PSA 10 | $300.00 | #104657774 ✓ |
| 14 Jul 2026 | PSA 8 | $20.00 | #126495947 ✓ |
| 13 Jul 2026 | PSA 8 | $20.51 | #121349140 ✓ |
Should you grade it?
Expected return across every likely grade, after fees — the realistic average, not the best case. Only 20.4% of copies gem (PSA 10 best case +$99); most land at PSA 9 or below.
The odds
Arctibax is a Ultra Rare in Paldea Evolved — the pack's hit slot lands on Ultra Rare 10% of the time, split across 62 ultra rare cards in the set, so pulling this exact card is roughly 1 in 623 packs.
Estimates only. Pack odds come from CardTrack's pack model (the same one behind the pack simulator) — not an official rate. Grading odds are the real cumulative PSA population, which skews toward nicer, resubmitted copies, so it overstates the true first-submission gem rate. Full grade-by-grade breakdown below.
Grade-by-grade ROI & risk-adjusted outcomesNet vs raw per target grade, plus the probability-weighted distribution
| Target grade | Est. value | Grading fee | Net vs raw | Multiple |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PSA 10 | $189.00 | $72 | +$99 | 10.3× |
| PSA 9 | $25.08 | $70 | −$64 | 1.4× |
| PSA 8 | $15.50 | $70 | −$73 | 0.8× |
⚖️ Risk-adjusted return
Best case isn't the whole story. Weighting every grade by how often it actually happens, across 2,009 PSA-graded copies:
| Likely outcome | Chance | Value |
|---|---|---|
| PSA 10 | 20.4% | $189.00 |
| PSA 9 | 47.9% | $25.00 |
| PSA ≤8 | 31.7% | $18.00 |
Net = graded value − raw value − grading cost (tier fee + ~$20 round-trip shipping), using PSA fees as of 2026-06-28; the paused PSA Value tier is excluded so this isn't overstated. Gem rate is estimated from cumulative PSA population, which skews toward nicer, resubmitted copies — so it overstates the true grade rate. Treat it as a guide, not a guarantee.
Population across gradersPSA, CGC & BGS — every grade, with gem rates
Only 20% of 2,009 PSA-graded Arctibax copies are a gem-mint 10 (409 of 2,009) — the rest grade lower.
Real graded population from PSA, CGC & BGS — a lower gem rate means a Arctibax 10 is harder to pull.
Copies for sale right now
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All grades & conditions
Every grade we pricePSA / CGC / BGS ladder with per-grade population
| Grade | Relative value | Price |
|---|---|---|
| PSA 10pop 409 | ✓ 129 cert-verified$189$153–$209 | |
| PSA 9pop 963 | $25$21–$29 | |
| PSA 8pop 520 | $16$13–$18 | |
| PSA 7pop 83 | ✓ 6 cert-verified$7 |
Raw condition ladderNM → damaged, with real sold medians where we have them
For context: a graded PSA 7 slab of this card sells for about $19 (cert-verified) — a heavily-played raw copy shouldn't cost much more than that.
Market dataCross-market spread, EU price, momentum & community buzz
Cross-market prices
102% spreadCurrently 102% cheaper on Cardmarket than TCGplayer. These are independent market prices for the same card — a wide gap can mean a buying opportunity. Informational only, not arbitrage advice.
Market signal
Derived from this card's 90-day price history, recent trend and cross-market price gap. Informational, not advice.
🇪🇺 Cardmarket price · Europe
50% cheaper than the USCard textAttacks, abilities, weakness / resistance / retreat
Evolves from Frigibax.
“Arctibax freezes the air around it, protecting its face with an ice mask and turning its dorsal fin into a blade of ice.”
About the PokémonSpecies, generation, evolution line
Arctibax freezes the air around it, protecting its face with an ice mask and turning its dorsal fin into a blade of ice.
Card detailsSet, rarity, artist, Pokédex & specs
Other Arctibax cards
There are 4 different Arctibax printings — make sure you're valuing the right one. This is Paldea Evolved #209 (Illustration Rare).
More from Paldea Evolved
Frequently asked questions
How much is Arctibax (Paldea Evolved #209) worth?
As of 20 August 2026, Arctibax from Paldea Evolved is worth approximately $18.38 ungraded (near-mint), and around $189 in PSA 10 gem mint. Values are blended from real Cardmarket, eBay sold and TCGplayer prices and update daily.
What is the PSA 10 price for Arctibax?
A PSA 10 (gem mint) Arctibax from Paldea Evolved is worth around $189 — roughly 10× the raw ungraded value of $18.38.
Should I grade my Arctibax?
A PSA 10 sells for about $189 versus $18.38 raw — roughly a 10× uplift. Grading is worth it when that premium comfortably beats the grading fee and the card is clean enough to have a real shot at a 10. See the "Should you grade it?" estimate above for net profit per grade.
Is Arctibax rare?
Arctibax is a Illustration Rare card from Paldea Evolved (card #209), illustrated by Tomokazu Komiya. Its current blended market value is $18.38 ungraded.
Cite & embed this card
Free to use with attribution to CardTrack.
Arctibax (Paldea Evolved #209) — Pokémon market value $18.38, PSA 10 $189.00. Source: CardTrack, https://cardtrack.com/pokemon/card/paldea-evolved/arctibax-209<iframe src="https://cardtrack.com/embed/card?id=sv2-209" width="100%" height="160" style="border:0;max-width:460px" title="Arctibax price — CardTrack" loading="lazy"></iframe>
<p style="font:12px system-ui">Source: <a href="https://cardtrack.com">CardTrack</a></p>