Chien-Pao ex
Market value · ungraded
What's your copy worth?
What this price is based on
High confidence60 sales in 90 days, closely clustered.
Recent Raw sales
- Aug 15, 2026eBay — The Pokemon Company Chien-Pao ex 261/193 SV02 Paldea Evolved SIR FA Holo Eng$19.50
- Aug 13, 2026eBay — Pokémon TCG Chien-Pao EX Scarlet & Violet Paldea Evolved Card 261/193$23.01
- Aug 12, 2026eBay — Chien-Pao EX 261/193 - Paldea Evolved - Pokemon Card SV02 - TCG - Holo - NMNM$29.74
- Aug 11, 2026eBay — Pokemon Chien-Pao ex 261/193 Sv02: Paldea Evolved Holo NM TCG CCGNM$25.00
- Aug 9, 2026eBay — Pokémon TCG Chien-Pao EX 261/193 Sv02 Paldea Evolved Holo Special Illustration$18.99
- Aug 8, 2026eBay — Chien-Pao EX 261/193 SIR Sv02: Paldea Evolved Holo Pokémon$20.50
- Aug 6, 2026eBay — Chien-Pao EX SIR Paldea Evolved 261/193 Near Mint Pokemon CardNM$31.99
- Aug 4, 2026eBay — The Pokémon Company Chien-Pao ex 261/193 Paldea Evolved SIR Holo 220HP EN$22.00
By grade
- Raw$24.9961 sales
- PSA 10$12535 sales
- CGC 10$39.9911 sales
- PSA 9$29.756 sales
- TAG 9$26.002 sales
- CGC 9$19.802 sales
- CGC 8.5$15.702 sales
- CGC 9.5$33.601 sale
From 123 completed sales recorded between Feb 21, 2026 and Aug 15, 2026. Sold prices only — asking prices are never counted.
Grade it or not
GRADE ITBased on 61 graded sales and 5,115,483 pop-report entries for a near-mint copy.
See the numbers — Trader plan and aboveBuy this card
✨ Is it worth it?
An AI market read of this card — value, momentum, grading economics, liquidity. It lays out the data; you decide.
Chien-Pao ex is a Special Illustration Rare Pokémon card from Paldea Evolved (#261), illustrated by kodama. It's a Basic ex Water-type Pokémon with 220 HP, weak to Metal ×2. Its current blended market value is $30.95 ungraded, with a PSA 10 worth around $112 — a gem-mint grading premium of roughly 4× the raw value. Prices are aggregated across marketplaces — raw and graded, updated daily and shown in your local currency.
Prices last updated 20 August 2026.
The receipts
Price history · Raw
We'll email you when this card's value crosses your target.
Verified sales history10 in 90 days✓ real completed listings
| Date | Grade | Price | Cert |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug 2026 | PSA 10 | $102.50 | #112762723 ✓ |
| 15 Aug 2026 | PSA 10 | $110.00 | #94476220 ✓ |
| 14 Aug 2026 | PSA 9 | $30.00 | #103874864 ✓ |
| 10 Aug 2026 | PSA 10 | $115.00 | #90982243 ✓ |
| 10 Aug 2026 | PSA 9 | $29.00 | #120980189 ✓ |
| 10 Aug 2026 | PSA 9 | $24.50 | #79729468 ✓ |
| 10 Aug 2026 | PSA 9 | $31.60 | #124050249 ✓ |
| 6 Aug 2026 | PSA 10 | $112.00 | #124950932 ✓ |
| 5 Aug 2026 | PSA 10 | $98.00 | #79762519 ✓ |
| 3 Aug 2026 | PSA 10 | $125.00 | #109733995 ✓ |
Should you grade it?
Expected return across every likely grade, after fees — the realistic average, not the best case. Only 52.1% of copies gem (PSA 10 best case +$10); most land at PSA 9 or below.
The odds
Chien-Pao ex is a Secret / Rainbow in Paldea Evolved — the pack's hit slot lands on Secret / Rainbow 2.5% of the time, split across 24 secret / rainbow cards in the set, so pulling this exact card is roughly 1 in 965 packs.
Estimates only. Pack odds come from CardTrack's pack model (the same one behind the pack simulator) — not an official rate. Grading odds are the real cumulative PSA population, which skews toward nicer, resubmitted copies, so it overstates the true first-submission gem rate. Full grade-by-grade breakdown below.
Grade-by-grade ROI & risk-adjusted outcomesNet vs raw per target grade, plus the probability-weighted distribution
| Target grade | Est. value | Grading fee | Net vs raw | Multiple |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PSA 10 | $112.00 | $71 | +$10 | 3.6× |
| PSA 9 | $32.99 | $70 | −$68 | 1.1× |
| PSA 8 | $24.50 | $70 | −$77 | 0.8× |
⚖️ Risk-adjusted return
Best case isn't the whole story. Weighting every grade by how often it actually happens, across 4,707 PSA-graded copies:
| Likely outcome | Chance | Value |
|---|---|---|
| PSA 10 | 52.1% | $112.00 |
| PSA 9 | 42.3% | $33.00 |
| PSA ≤8 | 5.7% | $31.00 |
Net = graded value − raw value − grading cost (tier fee + ~$20 round-trip shipping), using PSA fees as of 2026-06-28; the paused PSA Value tier is excluded so this isn't overstated. Gem rate is estimated from cumulative PSA population, which skews toward nicer, resubmitted copies — so it overstates the true grade rate. Treat it as a guide, not a guarantee.
Population across gradersPSA, CGC & BGS — every grade, with gem rates
Only 52% of 4,707 PSA-graded Chien-Pao ex copies are a gem-mint 10 (2,450 of 4,707) — the rest grade lower.
Real graded population from PSA, CGC & BGS — a lower gem rate means a Chien-Pao ex 10 is harder to pull.
Copies for sale right now
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All grades & conditions
Every grade we pricePSA / CGC / BGS ladder with per-grade population
| Grade | Relative value | Price |
|---|---|---|
| PSA 10pop 2,450 | ✓ 15 cert-verified$112$84–$114 | |
| PSA 9pop 1,989 | $33$28–$38 | |
| PSA 8pop 216 | $25$21–$28 | |
| PSA 7pop 27 | $10$6–$10 |
Raw condition ladderNM → damaged, with real sold medians where we have them
Market dataCross-market spread, EU price, momentum & community buzz
Cross-market prices
43% spreadCurrently 43% cheaper on Cardmarket than TCGplayer. These are independent market prices for the same card — a wide gap can mean a buying opportunity. Informational only, not arbitrage advice.
Market signal
Derived from this card's 90-day price history, recent trend and cross-market price gap. Informational, not advice.
🇪🇺 Cardmarket price · Europe
30% cheaper than the USCard textAttacks, abilities, weakness / resistance / retreat
Once during your turn, if this Pokémon is in the Active Spot, you may search your deck for up to 2 Basic Water Energy cards, reveal them, and put them into your hand. Then, shuffle your deck.
You may discard any amount of Water Energy from your Pokémon. This attack does 60 damage for each card you discarded in this way.
Pokémon ex rule: When your Pokémon ex is Knocked Out, your opponent takes 2 Prize cards.
About the PokémonSpecies, generation, evolution line
This Pokémon can control 100 tons of fallen snow. It plays around innocently by leaping in and out of avalanches it has caused.
Card detailsSet, rarity, artist, Pokédex & specs
Other Chien-Pao ex cards
There are 6 different Chien-Pao ex printings — make sure you're valuing the right one. This is Paldea Evolved #261 (Special Illustration Rare).
More from Paldea Evolved
Frequently asked questions
How much is Chien-Pao ex (Paldea Evolved #261) worth?
As of 20 August 2026, Chien-Pao ex from Paldea Evolved is worth approximately $30.95 ungraded (near-mint), and around $112 in PSA 10 gem mint. Values are blended from real Cardmarket, eBay sold and TCGplayer prices and update daily.
What is the PSA 10 price for Chien-Pao ex?
A PSA 10 (gem mint) Chien-Pao ex from Paldea Evolved is worth around $112 — roughly 4× the raw ungraded value of $30.95.
Should I grade my Chien-Pao ex?
A PSA 10 sells for about $112 versus $30.95 raw — roughly a 4× uplift. Grading is worth it when that premium comfortably beats the grading fee and the card is clean enough to have a real shot at a 10. See the "Should you grade it?" estimate above for net profit per grade.
Is Chien-Pao ex rare?
Chien-Pao ex is a Special Illustration Rare card from Paldea Evolved (card #261), illustrated by kodama. Its current blended market value is $30.95 ungraded.
Cite & embed this card
Free to use with attribution to CardTrack.
Chien-Pao ex (Paldea Evolved #261) — Pokémon market value $30.95, PSA 10 $112.00. Source: CardTrack, https://cardtrack.com/pokemon/card/paldea-evolved/chien-pao-ex-261<iframe src="https://cardtrack.com/embed/card?id=sv2-261" width="100%" height="160" style="border:0;max-width:460px" title="Chien-Pao ex price — CardTrack" loading="lazy"></iframe>
<p style="font:12px system-ui">Source: <a href="https://cardtrack.com">CardTrack</a></p>