Market value · ungraded
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NOT WORTH ITBased on 0 graded sales and 5,110,777 pop-report entries for a near-mint copy.
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✨ Is it worth it?
An AI market read of this card — value, momentum, grading economics, liquidity. It lays out the data; you decide.
Numel is a Common Pokémon card from Paldean Fates (#11), illustrated by Mina Nakai. It's a Basic Fire-type Pokémon with 80 HP, weak to Water ×2. Its current blended market value is $0.04 ungraded, with a PSA 10 worth around $30 — a gem-mint grading premium of roughly 753× the raw value. Prices are aggregated across marketplaces — raw and graded, updated daily and shown in your local currency.
Prices last updated 20 August 2026.
The receipts
Price history · Raw
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Recent sold prices
No recent sold listings tracked.
Should you grade it?
Expected return across every likely grade, after fees — the realistic average, not the best case. Only 20% of copies gem (PSA 10 best case −$40); most land at PSA 9 or below.
The odds
Numel is a Commoncard — a guaranteed slot in every pack, not a rarity gamble, so there's no pull-odds figure for it.
Estimates only. Pack odds come from CardTrack's pack model (the same one behind the pack simulator) — not an official rate. Grading odds are the real cumulative PSA population, which skews toward nicer, resubmitted copies, so it overstates the true first-submission gem rate. Full grade-by-grade breakdown below.
Grade-by-grade ROI & risk-adjusted outcomesNet vs raw per target grade, plus the probability-weighted distribution
| Target grade | Est. value | Grading fee | Net vs raw | Multiple |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PSA 10 | $30.12 | $70 | −$40 | 753.0× |
⚖️ Risk-adjusted return
Best case isn't the whole story. Weighting every grade by how often it actually happens, across 20 PSA-graded copies:
| Likely outcome | Chance | Value |
|---|---|---|
| PSA 10 | 20% | $30.00 |
| PSA 9 | 30% | $12.00 |
| PSA ≤8 | 50% | $0.00 |
Net = graded value − raw value − grading cost (tier fee + ~$20 round-trip shipping), using PSA fees as of 2026-06-28; the paused PSA Value tier is excluded so this isn't overstated. Gem rate is estimated from cumulative PSA population, which skews toward nicer, resubmitted copies — so it overstates the true grade rate. Treat it as a guide, not a guarantee.
Population across gradersPSA, CGC & BGS — every grade, with gem rates
Only 100% of 1 PSA-graded Numel copies are a gem-mint 10 (1 of 1) — the rest grade lower.
Real graded population from PSA, CGC & BGS — a lower gem rate means a Numel 10 is harder to pull.
Copies for sale right now
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All grades & conditions
Every grade we pricePSA / CGC / BGS ladder with per-grade population
| Grade | Relative value | Price |
|---|---|---|
| PSA 10pop 1 | $30$30–$30 |
Raw condition ladderNM → damaged, with real sold medians where we have them
Market dataCross-market spread, EU price, momentum & community buzz
Cross-market prices
33% spreadCurrently 33% cheaper on PriceCharting than TCGplayer. These are independent market prices for the same card — a wide gap can mean a buying opportunity. Informational only, not arbitrage advice.
Market signal
Derived from this card's 90-day price history, recent trend and cross-market price gap. Informational, not advice.
Card textAttacks, abilities, weakness / resistance / retreat
Your opponent's Active Pokémon is now Burned.
“Magma of almost 2,200 degrees Fahrenheit courses through its body. When it grows cold, the magma hardens and slows it.”
About the PokémonSpecies, generation, evolution line
Card detailsSet, rarity, artist, Pokédex & specs
Other Numel cards
There are 9 different Numel printings — make sure you're valuing the right one. This is Paldean Fates #11 (Common).
More from Paldean Fates
Frequently asked questions
How much is Numel (Paldean Fates #11) worth?
As of 20 August 2026, Numel from Paldean Fates is worth approximately $0.04 ungraded (near-mint), and around $30 in PSA 10 gem mint. Values are blended from real Cardmarket, eBay sold and TCGplayer prices and update daily.
What is the PSA 10 price for Numel?
A PSA 10 (gem mint) Numel from Paldean Fates is worth around $30 — roughly 753× the raw ungraded value of $0.04.
Should I grade my Numel?
A PSA 10 sells for about $30 versus $0.04 raw — roughly a 753× uplift. Grading is worth it when that premium comfortably beats the grading fee and the card is clean enough to have a real shot at a 10. See the "Should you grade it?" estimate above for net profit per grade.
Is Numel rare?
Numel is a Common card from Paldean Fates (card #11), illustrated by Mina Nakai. Its current blended market value is $0.04 ungraded.
Cite & embed this card
Free to use with attribution to CardTrack.
Numel (Paldean Fates #11) — Pokémon market value $0.04, PSA 10 $30.12. Source: CardTrack, https://cardtrack.com/pokemon/card/paldean-fates/numel-11<iframe src="https://cardtrack.com/embed/card?id=sv4pt5-11" width="100%" height="160" style="border:0;max-width:460px" title="Numel price — CardTrack" loading="lazy"></iframe>
<p style="font:12px system-ui">Source: <a href="https://cardtrack.com">CardTrack</a></p>