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Check your printing3 different Iron Moth printings exist — is this your card? Paradox Rift #187
Iron Moth Paradox Rift #187 Pokémon card
Illustration Rare

Iron Moth

Paradox Rift · 187/182 · Illustrated by Takeshi Nakamura
130 HPFirePokémonBasicFuture

Market value · ungraded

$9.17 3.6% · 30d
Confidencemedium
Range$5$9
Cert-verified10 PSA sales
Sold prices, not asking. TCGplayer + Cardmarket. Updated 20 August 2026. Estimate, not an appraisalhow we price →

What's your copy worth?

What's your copy worth?
Not sure which condition? Grade it from a photo
Estimated value · Near Mint
$9.17

What this price is based on

Low confidence

Only 2 sales in the last 90 days.

Median · CGC 8$6.504 sales
Trimmed mean$8.00outliers removed
Range$6.00$9.00lowest to highest sale
Sales rate2/mo12 recorded

Recent CGC 8 sales

By grade

  • CGC 8$6.504 sales
  • CGC 9$9.603 sales
  • CGC 10$13.203 sales
  • PSA 10$70.001 sale
  • Lot$9.601 sale

From 12 completed sales recorded between Mar 16, 2026 and Jul 27, 2026. Sold prices only — asking prices are never counted.

Grade it or not

NOT WORTH IT

Based on 11 graded sales and 5,111,508 pop-report entries for a near-mint copy.

See the numbers — Trader plan and above

Buy this card

Is it worth it?

An AI market read of this card — value, momentum, grading economics, liquidity. It lays out the data; you decide.

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Iron Moth is a Illustration Rare Pokémon card from Paradox Rift (#187), illustrated by Takeshi Nakamura. It's a Basic Future Fire-type Pokémon with 130 HP, weak to Water ×2. Its current blended market value is $9.17 ungraded, with a PSA 10 worth around $55 — a gem-mint grading premium of roughly 6× the raw value. Prices are aggregated across marketplaces — raw and graded, updated daily and shown in your local currency.

Prices last updated 20 August 2026.

The receipts

Price history · Raw

1 Nov 202320 Aug 2026
Latest
$9.17
Period high
$10.91
Period low
$3.72
Change
93.1%
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Verified sales history10 in 90 daysreal completed listings

DateGradePriceCert
15 Aug 2026PSA 9$19.51#155904157
10 Jul 2026PSA 8$10.00#157139839
1 Jul 2026PSA 10$70.00#118256108
29 Jun 2026PSA 10$55.00#115583153
21 Jun 2026PSA 9$19.60#118626151
20 Jun 2026PSA 10$69.99#108649359
13 Jun 2026PSA 9$17.00#102515664
5 Jun 2026PSA 9$29.50#98110787
30 May 2026PSA 9$14.25#85571334
22 May 2026PSA 10$60.20#98753910

Should you grade it?

$48

Expected return across every likely grade, after fees — the realistic average, not the best case. Only 39.5% of copies gem (PSA 10 best case $25); most land at PSA 9 or below.

Gem rate (est.)39.5%
Expected return$48
PSA 10 best case$25
VerdictNot worth it

The odds

Iron Moth is a Ultra Rare in Paradox Rift — the pack's hit slot lands on Ultra Rare 10% of the time, split across 62 ultra rare cards in the set, so pulling this exact card is roughly 1 in 623 packs.

Ultra Rare10%62 cards
PSA 10 (gem mint)39.5%289 of 731
PSA 944%322 of 731
PSA graded so far731
Gem Mint 10289
Total graded731

Estimates only. Pack odds come from CardTrack's pack model (the same one behind the pack simulator) — not an official rate. Grading odds are the real cumulative PSA population, which skews toward nicer, resubmitted copies, so it overstates the true first-submission gem rate. Full grade-by-grade breakdown below.

Grade-by-grade ROI & risk-adjusted outcomesNet vs raw per target grade, plus the probability-weighted distribution
Target gradeEst. valueGrading feeNet vs rawMultiple
PSA 10$54.99$71$256.0×
PSA 9$20.00$70$592.2×
PSA 8$8.77$70$701.0×

⚖️ Risk-adjusted return

Best case isn't the whole story. Weighting every grade by how often it actually happens, across 731 PSA-graded copies:

Likely outcomeChanceValue
PSA 1039.5%$55.00
PSA 944%$20.00
PSA ≤816.4%$9.00

Net = graded value − raw value − grading cost (tier fee + ~$20 round-trip shipping), using PSA fees as of 2026-06-28; the paused PSA Value tier is excluded so this isn't overstated. Gem rate is estimated from cumulative PSA population, which skews toward nicer, resubmitted copies — so it overstates the true grade rate. Treat it as a guide, not a guarantee.

Population across gradersPSA, CGC & BGS — every grade, with gem rates

Only 40% of 731 PSA-graded Iron Moth copies are a gem-mint 10 (289 of 731) — the rest grade lower.

PSA731 gradedPSA 10 · 289 · 40% gem
10289
9322
874
721
622
51
32
CGC478 gradedCGC 10 · 216 · 45% gem
10216
9.556
996
8.554
826

Real graded population from PSA, CGC & BGS — a lower gem rate means a Iron Moth 10 is harder to pull.

Copies for sale right now

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All grades & conditions

Every grade we pricePSA / CGC / BGS ladder with per-grade population
Graded prices
Ungraded (raw)$9.06
PSA graded price estimates by grade
GradeRelative valuePrice
PSA 10pop 289$55$47$63
PSA 9pop 322✓ 9 cert-verified$20$15$20
PSA 8pop 74$9$3$17
PSA 6pop 22$9$7$11
“Sold” = median of real recent sold listings at that grade (eBay or Fanatics Collect — hover a badge to see which). Other figures are blended marketplace estimates. Confidence reflects source backing and price spread — not PSA-official values.
Raw condition ladderNM → damaged, with real sold medians where we have them
Raw price by condition
Holofoil · live market via TCGplayer
NMNear Mint$9.17
LPLightly Played$6.00
MPModerately Played$5.13
HPHeavily Played$4.89
DMGDamaged$4.09
7-day 2.5%
30-day 9.5%
90-day 73.8%
All-time high$9
All-time low$4
What NM / LP / MP actually mean — and how much they cost
Market dataCross-market spread, EU price, momentum & community buzz

Cross-market prices

74% spread
Cardmarket · cheapest$5
PriceCharting$8
TCGplayer · dearest$9

Currently 74% cheaper on Cardmarket than TCGplayer. These are independent market prices for the same card — a wide gap can mean a buying opportunity. Informational only, not arbitrage advice.

Market signal

Momentum · 30dRising +4%
Cross-marketMarkets disagree 74% gap

Derived from this card's 90-day price history, recent trend and cross-market price gap. Informational, not advice.

🇪🇺 Cardmarket price · Europe

43% cheaper than the US
Cardmarket · Europe's largest card market$5
Card textAttacks, abilities, weakness / resistance / retreat
Thermal ReactorAbility

Once during your turn, when this Pokémon moves from your Bench to the Active Spot, you may move any amount of Fire Energy from your other Pokémon to it.

Heat Ray120
Fire · Fire · Colorless

During your next turn, this Pokémon can't use Heat Ray.

Weakness Water ×2Retreat 2

No records exist of this species being caught. Data is lacking, but the Pokémon's traits match up with an object described in an old book.

Card detailsSet, rarity, artist, Pokédex & specs
Number#187
RarityIllustration Rare
SupertypePokémon
SubtypesBasic, Future
TypeFire
HP130
WeaknessWater ×2
Retreat cost2
National Pokédex#994
Card IDsv4-187
SourceAggregated marketplaces

Other Iron Moth cards

There are 3 different Iron Moth printings — make sure you're valuing the right one. This is Paradox Rift #187 (Illustration Rare).

More from Paradox Rift

Frequently asked questions

How much is Iron Moth (Paradox Rift #187) worth?

As of 20 August 2026, Iron Moth from Paradox Rift is worth approximately $9.17 ungraded (near-mint), and around $55 in PSA 10 gem mint. Values are blended from real Cardmarket, eBay sold and TCGplayer prices and update daily.

What is the PSA 10 price for Iron Moth?

A PSA 10 (gem mint) Iron Moth from Paradox Rift is worth around $55 — roughly 6× the raw ungraded value of $9.17.

Should I grade my Iron Moth?

A PSA 10 sells for about $55 versus $9.17 raw — roughly a 6× uplift. Grading is worth it when that premium comfortably beats the grading fee and the card is clean enough to have a real shot at a 10. See the "Should you grade it?" estimate above for net profit per grade.

Is Iron Moth rare?

Iron Moth is a Illustration Rare card from Paradox Rift (card #187), illustrated by Takeshi Nakamura. Its current blended market value is $9.17 ungraded.

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Citation
Iron Moth (Paradox Rift #187) — Pokémon market value $9.17, PSA 10 $54.99. Source: CardTrack, https://cardtrack.com/pokemon/card/paradox-rift/iron-moth-187
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