Market value · ungraded
What's your copy worth?
What this price is based on
High confidence35 sales in 90 days, closely clustered.
Recent Raw sales
- Aug 16, 2026eBay — The Pokémon Company Pokémon TCG Mela 254/182 SV04 Paradox Rift SIR Holo ENG$8.99
- Aug 13, 2026eBay — Mela Pokemon SV04: Paradox Rift #254/182 Holo Near MintNM$10.00
- Aug 7, 2026eBay — Holofoil Mela 254/182 Paradox Rift$8.49
- Aug 2, 2026eBay — Pokemon - 254/182 - Mela - Paradox Rift$13.71
- Jul 29, 2026eBay — Mela 254/182 SV04 Paradox Rift Trainer Pokémon TCG Special Illustration Rar$8.49
- Jul 26, 2026eBay — Mela 254/182 SV04 Paradox Rift Trainer Pokémon TCG Special Illustration Rar$8.95
- Jul 22, 2026eBay — 2023 Pokemon SV Paradox Rift Mela #254/182$8.50
- Jul 21, 2026eBay — Mela - 254/182 #254/182 (Holo) (NM) SV04: Paradox Rift PAR PokemonNM$11.15
By grade
- Raw$9.0046 sales
- PSA 10$60.003 sales
- CGC 9$12.003 sales
- CGC 10$25.203 sales
- PSA 9$20.001 sale
From 56 completed sales recorded between Feb 22, 2026 and Aug 16, 2026. Sold prices only — asking prices are never counted. The range is wide because these sales span different printings and conditions — 1st Edition, Shadowless and Unlimited copies all carry this card's name, and they trade at very different levels. Each sale above is labelled with what its listing claimed, so you can see which ones describe the same object. Treat the median as the typical copy, not the range.
Grade it or not
NOT WORTH ITBased on 10 graded sales and 5,112,260 pop-report entries for a near-mint copy.
See the numbers — Trader plan and aboveBuy this card
✨ Is it worth it?
An AI market read of this card — value, momentum, grading economics, liquidity. It lays out the data; you decide.
Mela is a Special Illustration Rare Pokémon card from Paradox Rift (#254), illustrated by rika. It's a Supporter Trainer card. Its current blended market value is $8.76 ungraded, with a PSA 10 worth around $74 — a gem-mint grading premium of roughly 8× the raw value. Prices are aggregated across marketplaces — raw and graded, updated daily and shown in your local currency.
Prices last updated 20 August 2026.
The receipts
Price history · Raw
We'll email you when this card's value crosses your target.
Verified sales history10 in 90 days✓ real completed listings
| Date | Grade | Price | Cert |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Aug 2026 | PSA 9 | $23.79 | #94293147 ✓ |
| 7 Aug 2026 | PSA 10 | $73.00 | #91175432 ✓ |
| 27 Jul 2026 | PSA 9 | $10.00 | #96321975 ✓ |
| 22 Jul 2026 | PSA 9 | $14.99 | #86074205 ✓ |
| 11 Jul 2026 | PSA 9 | $15.14 | #117107582 ✓ |
| 10 Jul 2026 | PSA 8 | $36.00 | #157139875 ✓ |
| 7 Jul 2026 | PSA 9 | $12.50 | #132793557 ✓ |
| 7 Jul 2026 | PSA 10 | $90.00 | #111764947 ✓ |
| 6 Jul 2026 | PSA 10 | $100.00 | #113941788 ✓ |
| 6 Jul 2026 | PSA 7 | $15.00 | #152268917 ✓ |
Should you grade it?
Expected return across every likely grade, after fees — the realistic average, not the best case. Only 34.3% of copies gem (PSA 10 best case −$5); most land at PSA 9 or below.
The odds
Mela is a Secret / Rainbow in Paradox Rift — the pack's hit slot lands on Secret / Rainbow 2.5% of the time, split across 22 secret / rainbow cards in the set, so pulling this exact card is roughly 1 in 884 packs.
Estimates only. Pack odds come from CardTrack's pack model (the same one behind the pack simulator) — not an official rate. Grading odds are the real cumulative PSA population, which skews toward nicer, resubmitted copies, so it overstates the true first-submission gem rate. Full grade-by-grade breakdown below.
Grade-by-grade ROI & risk-adjusted outcomesNet vs raw per target grade, plus the probability-weighted distribution
| Target grade | Est. value | Grading fee | Net vs raw | Multiple |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PSA 10 | $74.00 | $71 | −$5 | 8.4× |
| PSA 9 | $15.00 | $70 | −$64 | 1.7× |
| PSA 8.5 | $13.00 | $70 | −$66 | 1.5× |
| PSA 8 | $12.28 | $70 | −$67 | 1.4× |
⚖️ Risk-adjusted return
Best case isn't the whole story. Weighting every grade by how often it actually happens, across 1,486 PSA-graded copies:
| Likely outcome | Chance | Value |
|---|---|---|
| PSA 10 | 34.3% | $74.00 |
| PSA 9 | 53.5% | $15.00 |
| PSA ≤8 | 12.2% | $9.00 |
Net = graded value − raw value − grading cost (tier fee + ~$20 round-trip shipping), using PSA fees as of 2026-06-28; the paused PSA Value tier is excluded so this isn't overstated. Gem rate is estimated from cumulative PSA population, which skews toward nicer, resubmitted copies — so it overstates the true grade rate. Treat it as a guide, not a guarantee.
Population across gradersPSA, CGC & BGS — every grade, with gem rates
Only 34% of 1,486 PSA-graded Mela copies are a gem-mint 10 (510 of 1,486) — the rest grade lower.
Real graded population from PSA, CGC & BGS — a lower gem rate means a Mela 10 is harder to pull.
Copies for sale right now
Affiliate links — we may earn a commission. Prices shown are sold-based, not sponsored placements.
All grades & conditions
Every grade we pricePSA / CGC / BGS ladder with per-grade population
| Grade | Relative value | Price |
|---|---|---|
| PSA 10pop 510 | $74$63–$85 | |
| PSA 9pop 795 | ✓ 9 cert-verified$15$15–$23 | |
| PSA 8.5pop 2 | $13$13–$13 | |
| PSA 8pop 154 | $12$7–$15 |
Raw condition ladderNM → damaged, with real sold medians where we have them
Market dataCross-market spread, EU price, momentum & community buzz
Cross-market prices
21% spreadCurrently 21% cheaper on Cardmarket than PriceCharting. These are independent market prices for the same card — a wide gap can mean a buying opportunity. Informational only, not arbitrage advice.
Market signal
Derived from this card's 90-day price history, recent trend and cross-market price gap. Informational, not advice.
🇪🇺 Cardmarket price · Europe
15% cheaper than the USCard textAttacks, abilities, weakness / resistance / retreat
You can use this card only if any of your Pokémon were Knocked Out during your opponent's last turn. Attach a Basic Fire Energy card from your discard pile to 1 of your Pokémon. If you do, draw cards until you have 6 cards in your hand.
You may play only 1 Supporter card during your turn.
Card detailsSet, rarity, artist, Pokédex & specs
Other Mela cards
There are 4 different Mela printings — make sure you're valuing the right one. This is Paradox Rift #254 (Special Illustration Rare).
More from Paradox Rift
Frequently asked questions
How much is Mela (Paradox Rift #254) worth?
As of 20 August 2026, Mela from Paradox Rift is worth approximately $8.76 ungraded (near-mint), and around $74 in PSA 10 gem mint. Values are blended from real Cardmarket, eBay sold and TCGplayer prices and update daily.
What is the PSA 10 price for Mela?
A PSA 10 (gem mint) Mela from Paradox Rift is worth around $74 — roughly 8× the raw ungraded value of $8.76.
Should I grade my Mela?
A PSA 10 sells for about $74 versus $8.76 raw — roughly a 8× uplift. Grading is worth it when that premium comfortably beats the grading fee and the card is clean enough to have a real shot at a 10. See the "Should you grade it?" estimate above for net profit per grade.
Is Mela rare?
Mela is a Special Illustration Rare card from Paradox Rift (card #254), illustrated by rika. Its current blended market value is $8.76 ungraded.
Cite & embed this card
Free to use with attribution to CardTrack.
Mela (Paradox Rift #254) — Pokémon market value $8.76, PSA 10 $74.00. Source: CardTrack, https://cardtrack.com/pokemon/card/paradox-rift/mela-254<iframe src="https://cardtrack.com/embed/card?id=sv4-254" width="100%" height="160" style="border:0;max-width:460px" title="Mela price — CardTrack" loading="lazy"></iframe>
<p style="font:12px system-ui">Source: <a href="https://cardtrack.com">CardTrack</a></p>