Arceus
Market value · ungraded
What's your copy worth?
What this price is based on
High confidence39 sales in 90 days, closely clustered.
What each version actually sells for
Every figure is the median of real completed sales whose listing claimed that printing and condition — not a percentage of the headline price. A dash means we haven't seen enough sales of that exact version to publish one.
Recent Raw sales
- Aug 12, 2026eBay — Arceus XY83 - XY Black Star Promos Promo Pokemon TCG - HP CardHP$21.18
- Aug 1, 2026eBay — Pokemon TCG Arceus XY83 Holo Promo XY Black Star Promos English 2015 120 HP$20.00
- Jul 30, 2026eBay — 2015 Pokemon XY Black Star Promo Holo Arceus #XY83$27.57
- Jul 30, 2026eBay — Pokemon ARCEUS XY83 Black Star Holo (2015 XY Promo) LP/Light PlayLP$39.99
- Jul 29, 2026eBay — Pokemon TCG Arceus XY83 Black Star Promo Legendary Collection Lightly PlayedLP$20.00
- Jul 28, 2026eBay — Arceus XY83 Pokemon XY Black Star Promo Excellent ConditionLP$73.99
- Jul 27, 2026eBay — Arceus XY83 Black Star Promo Pokemon Card$27.99
- Jul 26, 2026eBay — Arceus Full Art Pokemon XY Black Star Promos #XY83🔥$32.00
By grade
- Raw$27.2950 sales
- PSA 7$72.008 sales
- PSA 8$99.906 sales
- PSA 6$41.003 sales
- PSA 1$1303 sales
- PSA 9$6112 sales
- PSA 4$35.001 sale
- CGC 9$1101 sale
From 76 completed sales recorded between Jan 12, 2026 and Aug 12, 2026. Sold prices only — asking prices are never counted. The range is wide because these sales span different printings and conditions — 1st Edition, Shadowless and Unlimited copies all carry this card's name, and they trade at very different levels. Each sale above is labelled with what its listing claimed, so you can see which ones describe the same object. Treat the median as the typical copy, not the range.
Grade it or not
GRADE ITBased on 25 graded sales and 1,306,772 pop-report entries for a near-mint copy.
See the numbers — Trader plan and aboveBuy this card
✨ Is it worth it?
An AI market read of this card — value, momentum, grading economics, liquidity. It lays out the data; you decide.
Arceus is a Promo Pokémon card from XY Black Star Promos (#XY83), illustrated by Shin Nagasawa. It's a Basic Colorless-type Pokémon with 120 HP, weak to Fighting ×2. Its current blended market value is $40.71 ungraded, with a PSA 10 worth around $2,071 — a gem-mint grading premium of roughly 51× the raw value. Prices are aggregated across marketplaces — raw and graded, updated daily and shown in your local currency.
Prices last updated 20 August 2026.
The receipts
Graded a PSA 9? See its cert-verified sales and price history → — individual sales PSA tied to a specific slab, each with a cert number you can check.
Price history · Raw
We'll email you when this card's value crosses your target.
Verified sales history22 in 90 days✓ real completed listings
Real completed eBay sales, refreshed periodically. Grade read from the listing title. Implausibly priced listings (lots, proxies, empty slabs) and wrong-variant sales are filtered out. Links to eBay are affiliate links — we may earn a commission.
Demand & liquidity
Last sold $32 · Raw · 26 Jul 2026
Should you grade it?
Expected return across every likely grade, after fees — the realistic average, not the best case. Only 0.7% of copies gem (PSA 10 best case +$1,905); most land at PSA 9 or below.
The odds
Arceus is a Commoncard — a guaranteed slot in every pack, not a rarity gamble, so there's no pull-odds figure for it.
Estimates only. Pack odds come from CardTrack's pack model (the same one behind the pack simulator) — not an official rate. Grading odds are the real cumulative PSA population, which skews toward nicer, resubmitted copies, so it overstates the true first-submission gem rate. Full grade-by-grade breakdown below.
Grade-by-grade ROI & risk-adjusted outcomesNet vs raw per target grade, plus the probability-weighted distribution
| Target grade | Est. value | Grading fee | Net vs raw | Multiple |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PSA 10 | $2,071.48 | $126 | +$1,905 | 50.9× |
| PSA 9 | $413.00 | $74 | +$298 | 10.1× |
| PSA 8 | $89.00 | $71 | −$23 | 2.2× |
⚖️ Risk-adjusted return
Best case isn't the whole story. Weighting every grade by how often it actually happens, across 910 PSA-graded copies:
| Likely outcome | Chance | Value |
|---|---|---|
| PSA 10 | 0.7% | $2,071.00 |
| PSA 9 | 14.7% | $413.00 |
| PSA ≤8 | 84.6% | $41.00 |
Net = graded value − raw value − grading cost (tier fee + ~$20 round-trip shipping), using PSA fees as of 2026-06-28; the paused PSA Value tier is excluded so this isn't overstated. Gem rate is estimated from cumulative PSA population, which skews toward nicer, resubmitted copies — so it overstates the true grade rate. Treat it as a guide, not a guarantee.
Population across gradersPSA, CGC & BGS — every grade, with gem rates
Only 1% of 910 PSA-graded Arceus copies are a gem-mint 10 (6 of 910) — the rest grade lower.
Real graded population from PSA, CGC & BGS — a lower gem rate means a Arceus 10 is harder to pull.
Copies for sale right now
Arceus XY83 Black Star Promo Pokemon CardRaw · eBay$27.99
Arceus XY83 Black Star Promo Pokemon Card #ARaw · eBay$27.99
Arceus XY Black Star Promos XY83 Holo Promo (HP) #XY83Raw · eBay$29.99
Pokémon TCG Arceus XY Black Star Promos XY83 Holo Promo - LPRaw · eBay$41.36
Arceus XY Black Star Promos Holo Pokémon TCG Card XY83Raw · eBay$42.00Cheapest raw copy $27.99 — 31% below our estimate of $41
Affiliate links — we may earn a commission. Prices shown are sold-based, not sponsored placements.
All grades & conditions
Every grade we pricePSA / CGC / BGS ladder with per-grade population
| Grade | Relative value | Price |
|---|---|---|
| PSA 10pop 6 | $2,071$1,400–$2,076 | |
| PSA 9pop 134 | ✓ 18 cert-verified$413$297–$413 | |
| PSA 8pop 392 | ✓ 36 cert-verified$89$48–$89 | |
| PSA 7pop 242 | ✓ 21 cert-verified$66 | |
| PSA 6pop 90 | ✓ 13 cert-verified$40 | |
| PSA 5pop 22 | $19$19–$19 | |
| PSA 4pop 9 | $16$16–$16 |
Raw condition ladderNM → damaged, with real sold medians where we have them
For context: a graded PSA 1 slab of this card sells for about $110 (cert-verified) — a heavily-played raw copy shouldn't cost much more than that.
Market dataCross-market spread, EU price, momentum & community buzz
Cross-market prices
84% spreadCurrently 84% cheaper on PriceCharting than TCGplayer. These are independent market prices for the same card — a wide gap can mean a buying opportunity. Informational only, not arbitrage advice.
Market signal
Derived from this card's 90-day price history, recent trend and cross-market price gap. Informational, not advice.
🇪🇺 Cardmarket price · Europe
45% cheaper than the US🔥 Trending in the community
#85 on the radarArceus is one of the most-talked-about Pokémon right now across the Pokémon investing & TCG subreddits. See the hype radar →
What people are saying: “Pokemon Center Queue is up!” · 27↑
Card textAttacks, abilities, weakness / resistance / retreat
Move as many Energy as you like from your Benched Pokémon to this Pokémon.
This attack does 30 more damage for each different type of basic Energy attached to this Pokémon.
“It is told in mythology that this Pokémon was born before the universe even existed.”
About the PokémonSpecies, generation, evolution line
It is said to have emerged from an egg in a place where there was nothing, then shaped the world.
Card detailsSet, rarity, artist, Pokédex & specs
Other Arceus cards
There are 9 different Arceus printings — make sure you're valuing the right one. This is XY Black Star Promos #XY83 (Promo).
More from XY Black Star Promos
Frequently asked questions
How much is Arceus (XY Black Star Promos #XY83) worth?
As of 20 August 2026, Arceus from XY Black Star Promos is worth approximately $40.71 ungraded (near-mint), and around $2,071 in PSA 10 gem mint. Values are blended from real Cardmarket, eBay sold and TCGplayer prices and update daily.
What is the PSA 10 price for Arceus?
A PSA 10 (gem mint) Arceus from XY Black Star Promos is worth around $2,071 — roughly 51× the raw ungraded value of $40.71.
Should I grade my Arceus?
A PSA 10 sells for about $2,071 versus $40.71 raw — roughly a 51× uplift. Grading is worth it when that premium comfortably beats the grading fee and the card is clean enough to have a real shot at a 10. See the "Should you grade it?" estimate above for net profit per grade.
Is Arceus rare?
Arceus is a Promo card from XY Black Star Promos (card #XY83), illustrated by Shin Nagasawa. Its current blended market value is $40.71 ungraded.
Cite & embed this card
Free to use with attribution to CardTrack.
Arceus (XY Black Star Promos #XY83) — Pokémon market value $40.71, PSA 10 $2071.48. Source: CardTrack, https://cardtrack.com/pokemon/card/xy-black-star-promos/arceus-xy83<iframe src="https://cardtrack.com/embed/card?id=xyp-XY83" width="100%" height="160" style="border:0;max-width:460px" title="Arceus price — CardTrack" loading="lazy"></iframe>
<p style="font:12px system-ui">Source: <a href="https://cardtrack.com">CardTrack</a></p>