Best Arceus Cards to Grade
The Arceus cards worth grading, ranked by expected profit per submission — every grade outcome weighted by how often the card actually receives it — after current grading fees. The PSA 10 best case is shown on every row but does not decide the order. Top pick: Arceus & Dialga & Palkia-GX (Cosmic Eclipse) at an expected +$861.
Ranked by expected profit 21
| # | Card | Raw | PSA 9 | PSA 10 | Cost | Best case | Gem rate | Expected | Sample |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Expected +$861 per submission: 36% of 4,541 graded copies came back PSA 10 ($4,050), and only a PSA 10 covers the $1,193 you have in it — a 9 loses money. Confidence high on that sample. | $783 | $681 | $4,050 | $410 | +$2,858 | 36% | +$861 | 4,541 high |
| 2 | Expected +$325 per submission: 3.3% of 663 graded copies came back PSA 10 ($3,750), and a PSA 9 ($850) still clears the $476 you have in it. Confidence high on that sample. | $69 | $850 | $3,750 | $407 | +$3,275 | 3.3% | +$325 | 663 high |
| 3 | Expected +$234 per submission: 5.5% of 531 graded copies came back PSA 10 ($3,787), and a PSA 9 ($370) still clears the $456 you have in it. Confidence high on that sample. | $49 | $370 | $3,787 | $407 | +$3,331 | 5.5% | +$234 | 531 high |
| 4 | Expected +$215 per submission: 6.2% of 533 graded copies came back PSA 10 ($3,000), and a PSA 9 ($305) still clears the $436 you have in it. Confidence high on that sample. | $37 | $305 | $3,000 | $399 | +$2,564 | 6.2% | +$215 | 533 high |
| 5 | Expected +$192 per submission: 8.2% of 574 graded copies came back PSA 10 ($1,500), and a PSA 9 ($420) still clears the $170 you have in it. Confidence high on that sample. | $55 | $420 | $1,500 | $115 | +$1,330 | 8.2% | +$192 | 574 high |
| 6 | Expected +$107 per submission: 44.3% of 1,680 graded copies came back PSA 10 ($506), and only a PSA 10 covers the $187 you have in it — a 9 loses money. Confidence high on that sample. | $82 | $100 | $506 | $105 | +$319 | 44.3% | +$107 | 1,680 high |
| 7 | Expected +$74 per submission: 29.8% of 6,152 graded copies came back PSA 10 ($460), and only a PSA 10 covers the $106 you have in it — a 9 loses money. Confidence high on that sample. | $31 | $65 | $460 | $75 | +$354 | 29.8% | +$74 | 6,152 high |
| 8 | Expected +$66 per submission: 0.7% of 910 graded copies came back PSA 10 ($2,071), and a PSA 9 ($700) still clears the $224 you have in it. Confidence high on that sample. | $34 | $700 | $2,071 | $190 | +$1,847 | 0.7% | +$66 | 910 high |
| 9 | Expected +$61 per submission: 43.9% of 1,326 graded copies came back PSA 10 ($349), and only a PSA 10 covers the $133 you have in it — a 9 loses money. Confidence high on that sample. | $60 | $80 | $349 | $73 | +$215 | 43.9% | +$61 | 1,326 high |
| 10 | Expected +$48 per submission: 2.2% of 670 graded copies came back PSA 10 ($329), and a PSA 9 ($132) still clears the $125 you have in it. Confidence high on that sample. | $52 | $132 | $329 | $73 | +$204 | 2.2% | +$48 | 670 high |
| 11 | Expected +$42 per submission: 14.2% of 5,224 graded copies came back PSA 10 ($780), and only a PSA 10 covers the $136 you have in it — a 9 loses money. Confidence high on that sample. | $28 | $50 | $780 | $108 | +$644 | 14.2% | +$42 | 5,224 high |
| 12 | Expected +$31 per submission: 0.3% of 340 graded copies came back PSA 10 ($1,334), and a PSA 9 ($1,189) still clears the $150 you have in it. Confidence high on that sample. | $37 | $1,189 | $1,334 | $113 | +$1,184 | 0.3% | +$31 | 340 high |
| 13 | Expected +$27 per submission: 55.2% of 11,873 graded copies came back PSA 10 ($230), and only a PSA 10 covers the $131 you have in it — a 9 loses money. Confidence high on that sample. | $59 | $75 | $230 | $72 | +$99 | 55.2% | +$27 | 11,873 high |
| 14 | Expected +$21 per submission: 41.3% of 5,633 graded copies came back PSA 10 ($240), and only a PSA 10 covers the $101 you have in it — a 9 loses money. Confidence high on that sample. | $29 | $45 | $240 | $72 | +$138 | 41.3% | +$21 | 5,633 high |
| 15 | Expected +$4 per submission: 57% of 34,780 graded copies came back PSA 10 ($383), and only a PSA 10 covers the $295 you have in it — a 9 loses money. Confidence high on that sample. | $221 | $200 | $383 | $74 | +$87 | 57% | +$4 | 34,780 high |
| 16 | Expected +$-0 per submission: 2.2% of 224 graded copies came back PSA 10 ($247), and a PSA 9 ($165) still clears the $91 you have in it. Confidence high on that sample. | $19 | $165 | $247 | $72 | +$155 | 2.2% | +$0 | 224 high |
| 17 | Expected +$-0 per submission: 36.4% of 151 graded copies came back PSA 10 ($198), and only a PSA 10 covers the $79 you have in it — a 9 loses money. Confidence high on that sample. | $7 | $15 | $198 | $72 | +$119 | 36.4% | +$0 | 151 high |
| 18 | Expected loss −$17 per submission: 59% of 1,099 graded copies came back PSA 10 ($93), and only a PSA 10 covers the $82 you have in it — a 9 loses money. Confidence high on that sample. | $11 | $28 | $93 | $71 | +$11 | 59% | −$17 | 1,099 high |
| 19 | Expected loss −$20 per submission: 58.3% of 3,504 graded copies came back PSA 10 ($100), and only a PSA 10 covers the $90 you have in it — a 9 loses money. Confidence high on that sample. | $19 | $31 | $100 | $71 | +$10 | 58.3% | −$20 | 3,504 high |
| 20 | Expected loss −$28 per submission: 42.4% of 1,715 graded copies came back PSA 10 ($86), and only a PSA 10 covers the $77 you have in it — a 9 loses money. Confidence high on that sample. | $6 | $27 | $86 | $71 | +$9 | 42.4% | −$28 | 1,715 high |
| 21 | Expected loss −$40 per submission: 8.8% of 320 graded copies came back PSA 10 ($188), and only a PSA 10 covers the $88 you have in it — a 9 loses money. Confidence high on that sample. | $16 | $40 | $188 | $72 | +$100 | 8.8% | −$40 | 320 high |
Best case only — no gem-rate evidence 8
Fewer than 10 graded copies in the PSA and CGC population reports. They clear the grading cost if they gem — that is all the numbers support.
| # | Card | Raw | PSA 9 | PSA 10 | Cost | Best case | Gem rate | Expected | Sample |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | $68 | — | $24,999 | $1,269 | +$23,662 | — | — | none <10 | |
| 23 | $38 | — | $7,000 | $689 | +$6,273 | — | — | none <10 | |
| 24 | $46 | — | $5,040 | $669 | +$4,325 | — | — | none <10 | |
| 25 | $22 | — | $4,260 | $412 | +$3,827 | — | — | none <10 | |
| 26 | $25 | — | $4,080 | $410 | +$3,645 | — | — | none <10 | |
| 27 | $34 | — | $3,999 | $409 | +$3,556 | — | — | none <10 | |
| 28 | $31 | — | $3,720 | $406 | +$3,283 | — | — | none <10 | |
| 29 | $31 | — | $3,720 | $406 | +$3,283 | — | — | none <10 |
Expected = every grade outcome weighted by its share of the card's graded population, minus the raw price and the grading cost (PSA tier fee for the graded value plus ~$20 round-trip shipping, fees as of 2026-08-26). Best case is the PSA 10 leg alone. Gem rates come from a self-selected population — collectors grade their cleanest copies — so read them as an upper bound. Raw is a blended market price, not a sale of your copy. Full method and filters on the grading index.