Best Arceus Cards to Grade
The Arceus cards worth grading, ranked by expected profit per submission — every grade outcome weighted by how often the card actually receives it — after current grading fees. The PSA 10 best case is shown on every row but does not decide the order. Top pick: Arceus LV.X (Arceus) at an expected +$6,788.
Ranked by expected profit 27
| # | Card | Raw | PSA 9 | PSA 10 | Cost | Best case | Gem rate | Expected | Sample |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Expected +$6,788 per submission: 3.3% of 663 graded copies came back PSA 10 ($156,000), and a PSA 9 ($8,008) still clears the $6,704 you have in it. Confidence high on that sample. | $125 | $8,008 | $156,000 | $6,579 | +$149,296 | 3.3% | +$6,788 | 663 high |
| 2 | Expected +$2,386 per submission: 4.2% of 745 graded copies came back PSA 10 ($39,600), and a PSA 9 ($3,335) still clears the $2,485 you have in it. Confidence high on that sample. | $70 | $3,335 | $39,600 | $2,415 | +$37,115 | 4.2% | +$2,386 | 745 high |
| 3 | Expected +$1,130 per submission: 8.2% of 574 graded copies came back PSA 10 ($12,519), and a PSA 9 ($750) still clears the $1,202 you have in it. Confidence high on that sample. | $58 | $750 | $12,519 | $1,144 | +$11,317 | 8.2% | +$1,130 | 574 high |
| 4 | Expected +$1,047 per submission: 36% of 4,541 graded copies came back PSA 10 ($3,840), and a PSA 9 ($880) still clears the $1,017 you have in it. Confidence high on that sample. | $610 | $880 | $3,840 | $407 | +$2,823 | 36% | +$1,047 | 4,541 high |
| 5 | Expected +$706 per submission: 4.4% of 505 graded copies came back PSA 10 ($10,606), and a PSA 9 ($1,245) still clears the $1,163 you have in it. Confidence high on that sample. | $38 | $1,245 | $10,606 | $1,125 | +$9,442 | 4.4% | +$706 | 505 high |
| 6 | Expected +$620 per submission: 7% of 573 graded copies came back PSA 10 ($7,829), and a PSA 9 ($600) still clears the $727 you have in it. Confidence high on that sample. | $30 | $600 | $7,829 | $697 | +$7,102 | 7% | +$620 | 573 high |
| 7 | Expected +$613 per submission: 6.2% of 533 graded copies came back PSA 10 ($8,775), and a PSA 9 ($500) still clears the $747 you have in it. Confidence high on that sample. | $40 | $500 | $8,775 | $707 | +$8,028 | 6.2% | +$613 | 533 high |
| 8 | Expected +$549 per submission: 5.2% of 575 graded copies came back PSA 10 ($10,000), and a PSA 9 ($476) still clears the $769 you have in it. Confidence high on that sample. | $50 | $476 | $10,000 | $719 | +$9,231 | 5.2% | +$549 | 575 high |
| 9 | Expected +$489 per submission: 2.4% of 332 graded copies came back PSA 10 ($7,300), and a PSA 9 ($1,931) still clears the $724 you have in it. Confidence high on that sample. | $32 | $1,931 | $7,300 | $692 | +$6,576 | 2.4% | +$489 | 332 high |
| 10 | Expected +$380 per submission: 5.5% of 531 graded copies came back PSA 10 ($3,960), and a PSA 9 ($775) still clears the $486 you have in it. Confidence high on that sample. | $77 | $775 | $3,960 | $409 | +$3,474 | 5.5% | +$380 | 531 high |
| 11 | Expected +$380 per submission: 9.3% of 508 graded copies came back PSA 10 ($3,720), and a PSA 9 ($400) still clears the $436 you have in it. Confidence high on that sample. | $30 | $400 | $3,720 | $406 | +$3,284 | 9.3% | +$380 | 508 high |
| 12 | Expected +$298 per submission: 4.1% of 588 graded copies came back PSA 10 ($5,280), and a PSA 9 ($538) still clears the $702 you have in it. Confidence high on that sample. | $30 | $538 | $5,280 | $672 | +$4,578 | 4.1% | +$298 | 588 high |
| 13 | Expected +$296 per submission: 6.3% of 606 graded copies came back PSA 10 ($4,380), and a PSA 9 ($370) still clears the $453 you have in it. Confidence high on that sample. | $40 | $370 | $4,380 | $413 | +$3,927 | 6.3% | +$296 | 606 high |
| 14 | Expected +$286 per submission: 8.8% of 320 graded copies came back PSA 10 ($3,500), and a PSA 9 ($210) still clears the $421 you have in it. Confidence high on that sample. | $17 | $210 | $3,500 | $404 | +$3,079 | 8.8% | +$286 | 320 high |
| 15 | Expected +$183 per submission: 0.7% of 910 graded copies came back PSA 10 ($2,076), and a PSA 9 ($1,800) still clears the $301 you have in it. Confidence high on that sample. | $61 | $1,800 | $2,076 | $240 | +$1,775 | 0.7% | +$183 | 910 high |
| 16 | Expected +$145 per submission: 44.3% of 1,680 graded copies came back PSA 10 ($560), and only a PSA 10 covers the $166 you have in it — a 9 loses money. Confidence high on that sample. | $80 | $130 | $560 | $86 | +$394 | 44.3% | +$145 | 1,680 high |
| 17 | Expected +$108 per submission: 1.9% of 949 graded copies came back PSA 10 ($3,999), and a PSA 9 ($458) still clears the $446 you have in it. Confidence high on that sample. | $37 | $458 | $3,999 | $409 | +$3,553 | 1.9% | +$108 | 949 high |
| 18 | Expected +$92 per submission: 43.9% of 1,326 graded copies came back PSA 10 ($434), and only a PSA 10 covers the $144 you have in it — a 9 loses money. Confidence high on that sample. | $60 | $91 | $434 | $84 | +$290 | 43.9% | +$92 | 1,326 high |
| 19 | Expected +$49 per submission: 29.8% of 6,152 graded copies came back PSA 10 ($420), and only a PSA 10 covers the $116 you have in it — a 9 loses money. Confidence high on that sample. | $32 | $60 | $420 | $84 | +$304 | 29.8% | +$49 | 6,152 high |
| 20 | Expected +$44 per submission: 14.2% of 5,224 graded copies came back PSA 10 ($826), and only a PSA 10 covers the $114 you have in it — a 9 loses money. Confidence high on that sample. | $26 | $48 | $826 | $88 | +$712 | 14.2% | +$44 | 5,224 high |
| 21 | Expected +$14 per submission: 41.3% of 5,633 graded copies came back PSA 10 ($237), and only a PSA 10 covers the $112 you have in it — a 9 loses money. Confidence high on that sample. | $30 | $52 | $237 | $82 | +$125 | 41.3% | +$14 | 5,633 high |
| 22 | Expected +$9 per submission: 55.2% of 11,873 graded copies came back PSA 10 ($209), and only a PSA 10 covers the $132 you have in it — a 9 loses money. Confidence high on that sample. | $50 | $60 | $209 | $82 | +$77 | 55.2% | +$9 | 11,873 high |
| 23 | Expected +$7 per submission: 57% of 34,780 graded copies came back PSA 10 ($348), and only a PSA 10 covers the $269 you have in it — a 9 loses money. Confidence high on that sample. | $186 | $190 | $348 | $83 | +$79 | 57% | +$7 | 34,780 high |
| 24 | Expected loss −$25 per submission: 58.3% of 3,504 graded copies came back PSA 10 ($108), and only a PSA 10 covers the $99 you have in it — a 9 loses money. Confidence high on that sample. | $18 | $30 | $108 | $81 | +$9 | 58.3% | −$25 | 3,504 high |
| 25 | Expected loss −$26 per submission: 36.4% of 151 graded copies came back PSA 10 ($153), and only a PSA 10 covers the $89 you have in it — a 9 loses money. Confidence high on that sample. | $7 | $15 | $153 | $82 | +$64 | 36.4% | −$26 | 151 high |
| 26 | Expected loss −$26 per submission: 59% of 1,099 graded copies came back PSA 10 ($94), and only a PSA 10 covers the $91 you have in it — a 9 loses money. Confidence high on that sample. | $10 | $28 | $94 | $81 | +$3 | 59% | −$26 | 1,099 high |
| 27 | Expected loss −$27 per submission: 58% of 3,642 graded copies came back PSA 10 ($100), and only a PSA 10 covers the $95 you have in it — a 9 loses money. Confidence high on that sample. | $14 | $25 | $100 | $81 | +$5 | 58% | −$27 | 3,642 high |
Expected = every grade outcome weighted by its share of the card's graded population, minus the raw price and the grading cost (PSA tier fee for the graded value plus ~$20 round-trip shipping, fees as of 2026-09-26). Best case is the PSA 10 leg alone. Gem rates come from a self-selected population — collectors grade their cleanest copies — so read them as an upper bound. Raw is a blended market price, not a sale of your copy. Full method and filters on the grading index.
How to read the Arceus ranking
Every Arceus card listed here clears one bar: its PSA 10 price beats its raw price by more than the cost of grading it. 27 Arceus printings pass. 27 of them (100%) have a gem-rate sample of at least ten graded copies in the population reports, and 23 of those keep a positive expected value once every grade outcome is weighted by how often the card actually receives it.
The order is expected profit, not the PSA 10 best case, which rewards the widest raw-to-gem gap whether the card gems one time in two or one in fifty. Here the top row, the Arceus LV.X from Arceus, gems 3.3% of the time across 663 graded copies: +$6,788 is what a long run of submissions would average, $149,296 is what one lucky copy returns.
The median gem rate across the sampled Arceus cards is 8.8%. Roughly one submitted copy in 11 came back PSA 10, and most rows here still cover raw price plus fee at PSA 9, so the PSA 9 price does most of the work. Of the 27 ranked cards, 16 still cover raw price plus fee at PSA 9, 11 need a 10 to break even and 4 lose money on expectation. 27 rest on a hundred or more graded copies.
Before you submit a Arceus card
Grading pays on condition. The four things every grader scores — centering, corners, edges and surface — can be checked at home before paying a fee, and a copy that is visibly off-centre or has a whitened corner will not gem whatever the population says. Those gem rates come from a self-selected population of clean copies, so a random copy does worse.
The cost column assumes a PSA submission at the tier covering the card's PSA 10 value, fees as of 2026-09-26, and raw is CardTrack's blended near-mint price, not a sale of your copy: pay more, or hold a lighter copy, and the break-even moves against you. Test a card with your own numbers in the ROI calculator, see the printings that fail the bar on the Arceus card list, or see how gem-mint premiums run across the whole catalogue on the PSA premium index.