Market value · ungraded
What's your copy worth?
What this price is based on
High confidence59 sales in 90 days, closely clustered.
Recent Raw sales
- Aug 13, 2026eBay — Arceus COSMOS HOLO Black Star PROMO card XY197 XY Legendary Pokemon TCG 2017$29.88
- Aug 10, 2026eBay — Arceus Cosmos Holo XY197 XY Black Star Promos Pokemon Card$13.00
- Aug 7, 2026eBay — The Pokémon Company Pokémon TCG Arceus XY197 XY Promo Holo$15.00
- Aug 5, 2026eBay — Pokémon TCG: ARCEUS XY197 Black Star Promo Holo XY, 3 Promos - LP/NMLP$41.00
- Aug 2, 2026eBay — Pokémon TCG Arceus XY Black Star Promos Holo Card XY197$11.25
- Aug 1, 2026eBay — Pokemon Company Arceus XY197 XY Promos Promo Holo ENG 130 HP - LPLP$11.50
- Jul 31, 2026eBay — Arceus XY197 Cosmos Holo Promo XY Promo Pokemon NM/MNM$20.00
- Jul 29, 2026eBay — Pokemon TCG ARCEUS XY197 Black Star Promo Holo XY Promos - LPLP$13.49
By grade
- Raw$14.7769 sales
- PSA 9$3142 sales
- PSA 7$25.991 sale
- CGC 8.5$40.001 sale
From 73 completed sales recorded between May 14, 2026 and Aug 13, 2026. Sold prices only — asking prices are never counted. The range is wide because these sales span different printings and conditions — 1st Edition, Shadowless and Unlimited copies all carry this card's name, and they trade at very different levels. Each sale above is labelled with what its listing claimed, so you can see which ones describe the same object. Treat the median as the typical copy, not the range.
Grade it or not
CLOSE CALLBased on 4 graded sales and 1,306,086 pop-report entries for a near-mint copy.
See the numbers — Trader plan and aboveBuy this card
✨ Is it worth it?
An AI market read of this card — value, momentum, grading economics, liquidity. It lays out the data; you decide.
Arceus is a Promo Pokémon card from XY Black Star Promos (#XY197), illustrated by kirisAki. It's a Basic Colorless-type Pokémon with 130 HP, weak to Fighting ×2. Its current blended market value is $16.85 ungraded, with a PSA 10 worth around $247 — a gem-mint grading premium of roughly 15× the raw value. Prices are aggregated across marketplaces — raw and graded, updated daily and shown in your local currency.
Prices last updated 20 August 2026.
The receipts
Graded a PSA 9? See its cert-verified sales and price history → — individual sales PSA tied to a specific slab, each with a cert number you can check.
Price history · Raw
We'll email you when this card's value crosses your target.
Verified sales history10 in 90 days✓ real completed listings
| Date | Grade | Price | Cert |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul 2026 | PSA 5 | $39.99 | #150106669 ✓ |
| 13 Jul 2026 | PSA 6 | $25.99 | #150579906 ✓ |
| 5 Jul 2026 | PSA 9 | $127.53 | #75262703 ✓ |
| 26 Jun 2026 | PSA 6 | $30.00 | #150106666 ✓ |
| 4 Jun 2026 | PSA 9 | $225.00 | #123877503 ✓ |
| 9 May 2026 | PSA 8 | $88.88 | #130416570 ✓ |
| 2 May 2026 | PSA 9 | $221.02 | #97843490 ✓ |
| 2 May 2026 | PSA 9 | $199.99 | #79538795 ✓ |
| 20 Apr 2026 | PSA 9 | $200.00 | #72854853 ✓ |
| 18 Apr 2026 | PSA 8 | $51.00 | #120530983 ✓ |
Should you grade it?
Expected return across every likely grade, after fees — the realistic average, not the best case. Only 2.2% of copies gem (PSA 10 best case +$157); most land at PSA 9 or below.
The odds
Arceus is a Commoncard — a guaranteed slot in every pack, not a rarity gamble, so there's no pull-odds figure for it.
Estimates only. Pack odds come from CardTrack's pack model (the same one behind the pack simulator) — not an official rate. Grading odds are the real cumulative PSA population, which skews toward nicer, resubmitted copies, so it overstates the true first-submission gem rate. Full grade-by-grade breakdown below.
Grade-by-grade ROI & risk-adjusted outcomesNet vs raw per target grade, plus the probability-weighted distribution
| Target grade | Est. value | Grading fee | Net vs raw | Multiple |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PSA 10 | $246.57 | $72 | +$157 | 14.6× |
| PSA 9 | $150.00 | $71 | +$62 | 8.9× |
| PSA 8 | $51.00 | $71 | −$36 | 3.0× |
⚖️ Risk-adjusted return
Best case isn't the whole story. Weighting every grade by how often it actually happens, across 224 PSA-graded copies:
| Likely outcome | Chance | Value |
|---|---|---|
| PSA 10 | 2.2% | $247.00 |
| PSA 9 | 37.1% | $150.00 |
| PSA ≤8 | 60.7% | $17.00 |
Net = graded value − raw value − grading cost (tier fee + ~$20 round-trip shipping), using PSA fees as of 2026-06-28; the paused PSA Value tier is excluded so this isn't overstated. Gem rate is estimated from cumulative PSA population, which skews toward nicer, resubmitted copies — so it overstates the true grade rate. Treat it as a guide, not a guarantee.
Population across gradersPSA, CGC & BGS — every grade, with gem rates
Only 2% of 224 PSA-graded Arceus copies are a gem-mint 10 (5 of 224) — the rest grade lower.
Real graded population from PSA, CGC & BGS — a lower gem rate means a Arceus 10 is harder to pull.
Copies for sale right now
Affiliate links — we may earn a commission. Prices shown are sold-based, not sponsored placements.
All grades & conditions
Every grade we pricePSA / CGC / BGS ladder with per-grade population
| Grade | Relative value | Price |
|---|---|---|
| PSA 10pop 5 | $247$247–$247 | |
| PSA 9pop 83 | ✓ 18 cert-verified$150$128–$201 | |
| PSA 8pop 66 | ✓ 9 cert-verified$51$20–$70 | |
| PSA 7pop 32 | 2 sold$29$25–$34 |
Raw condition ladderNM → damaged, with real sold medians where we have them
For context: a graded PSA 6 slab of this card sells for about $26 (cert-verified) — a heavily-played raw copy shouldn't cost much more than that.
Market dataCross-market spread, EU price, momentum & community buzz
Cross-market prices
77% spreadCurrently 77% cheaper on Cardmarket than PriceCharting. These are independent market prices for the same card — a wide gap can mean a buying opportunity. Informational only, not arbitrage advice.
Market signal
Derived from this card's 90-day price history, recent trend and cross-market price gap. Informational, not advice.
🇪🇺 Cardmarket price · Europe
43% cheaper than the US🔥 Trending in the community
#85 on the radarArceus is one of the most-talked-about Pokémon right now across the Pokémon investing & TCG subreddits. See the hype radar →
What people are saying: “Pokemon Center Queue is up!” · 27↑
Card textAttacks, abilities, weakness / resistance / retreat
Choose Grass, Fire, Water, Lightning, Psychic, Fighting, Darkness, Metal, Fairy, or Dragon type. Until the end of your next turn, this Pokémon is that type.
Discard an Energy attached to this Pokémon.
“It is told in mythology that this Pokémon was born before the universe even existed.”
About the PokémonSpecies, generation, evolution line
It is said to have emerged from an egg in a place where there was nothing, then shaped the world.
Card detailsSet, rarity, artist, Pokédex & specs
Other Arceus cards
There are 9 different Arceus printings — make sure you're valuing the right one. This is XY Black Star Promos #XY197 (Promo).
More from XY Black Star Promos
Frequently asked questions
How much is Arceus (XY Black Star Promos #XY197) worth?
As of 20 August 2026, Arceus from XY Black Star Promos is worth approximately $16.85 ungraded (near-mint), and around $247 in PSA 10 gem mint. Values are blended from real Cardmarket, eBay sold and TCGplayer prices and update daily.
What is the PSA 10 price for Arceus?
A PSA 10 (gem mint) Arceus from XY Black Star Promos is worth around $247 — roughly 15× the raw ungraded value of $16.85.
Should I grade my Arceus?
A PSA 10 sells for about $247 versus $16.85 raw — roughly a 15× uplift. Grading is worth it when that premium comfortably beats the grading fee and the card is clean enough to have a real shot at a 10. See the "Should you grade it?" estimate above for net profit per grade.
Is Arceus rare?
Arceus is a Promo card from XY Black Star Promos (card #XY197), illustrated by kirisAki. Its current blended market value is $16.85 ungraded.
Cite & embed this card
Free to use with attribution to CardTrack.
Arceus (XY Black Star Promos #XY197) — Pokémon market value $16.85, PSA 10 $246.57. Source: CardTrack, https://cardtrack.com/pokemon/card/xy-black-star-promos/arceus-xy197<iframe src="https://cardtrack.com/embed/card?id=xyp-XY197" width="100%" height="160" style="border:0;max-width:460px" title="Arceus price — CardTrack" loading="lazy"></iframe>
<p style="font:12px system-ui">Source: <a href="https://cardtrack.com">CardTrack</a></p>