ArceusPR-XY XY197 · XY Black Star Promos Price & Value
Market value · Near Mint
Pack fresh $37est.
- PSA 8$51pop 68
- PSA 9$1651 sold · 90d · pop 83
- PSA 10$247modelled · pop 5
Make sure you have the right card
Every price on this page is for XY Black Star Promos #PR-XY XY197, 2013. Check yours against the tells below before you buy, sell or grade.
The picture itself is foiled and the card body is flat. This is the standard holo.
What's your copy worth?
Estimated. This card has enough sales to price the top 15% but not the top 5%, so pack-fresh is projected from the gap we measure between those two tiers on cards that do — about 1.4x on vintage, 1.2x on modern. $34.44. That's about +85% over a typical Near Mint copy.
ⓘ How do we work this out?
We take every real sale of this exact card over the last 12 months (42 sales), sort them by price, and read off the top 15% and top 5%. No multipliers, no guesses — the prices cleaner copies actually fetched.
Why cleaner copies cost more: buyers can see condition in the photos and pay for it. Listings sellers describe as pack fresh or gem mint land in this top band 1.7× more often than ordinary ones — the premium follows the card, not the hype.
Copies in this band are also the ones collectors send to grading: far more likely than a typical binder copy to be submitted at all — and to come back with the strong grade that carries the PSA prices shown on this page. That prospect is part of what buyers are paying for here.
These are read straight off this card's own completed sales — sort them by price and take the top 15% and top 5%. Whether your copy qualifies is a judgment made by looking at the card.
✨ Is it worth it?
An AI market read of this card — value, momentum, grading economics, liquidity. It lays out the data; you decide.
Arceus is a Promo Pokémon card from XY Black Star Promos (#XY197, released 2013), illustrated by kirisAki. It's a Basic Colorless-type Pokémon with 130 HP, weak to Fighting ×2. Prices below are aggregated across marketplaces — raw and graded, updated daily and shown in your local currency.
Prices last updated 12 September 2026.
Arceus price history & recent sales
Graded a PSA 9? See its cert-verified sales and price history → — individual sales PSA tied to a specific slab, each with a cert number you can check.
Price history · Raw
We'll email you when this card's value crosses your target.
Verified sales history
High confidence42 sales in 90 days, closely clustered. · Liquid — Sells regularly
Sale mix: 3 auctions, 7 accepted offers. A graded copy trades roughly every 9 days (median gap between cert-verified sales).
By grade
- Raw$14.9968 sales · 42 in 90d, sells often
- PSA 9$1146 sales · 1 in 90d, rare
- PSA 7$27.992 sales · 1 in 90d, rare
- TAG 6$9.501 sale
- SGC 9$94.491 sale
- PSA 8$69.991 sale
- CGC 9.5$59.991 sale
- CGC 8.5$40.001 sale
Is Arceus worth grading?
Most copies come back PSA 8 — worth $51 against the $90 you put in, a $39 loss. The money is in the 1 in 3 that reach PSA 9 or 10 and sell for $165–$247. Averaged over every outcome that is +$0 a card.
That is the average submitted copy. Tell us about yours and the verdict re-prices — most cards stop being worth grading here. Not sure? Grade it from a photo →
These are set to a flawless copy — the answer above. Change any of them to re-price it for the card in your hand.
Compare graders, and the live market
The verdict above is PSA's — the grader the population report, the ROI table and the price ladder on this page all use. Trader prices all three graders against each other and adds what the asking market is doing right now.
- PSA, CGC and Beckett side by side — each on its own population and its own fees, with Beckett scored on the 9.5 its market actually pays for.
- Lightly and moderately played — the same expected return for a copy that cannot gem.
- Ask vs sold — what the live listings want, against what copies have really closed at.
- Momentum — the 30-day median against the 90-day, per grade.
- Where it sells higher — the Fanatics-versus-eBay premium, with the sale counts behind it.
- Population history — the weekly PSA census, so you can see how fast 10s are arriving before you post the card.
The odds
Arceus is a Commoncard — a guaranteed slot in every pack, not a rarity gamble, so there's no pull-odds figure for it.
Estimates only. Pack odds come from CardTrack's pack model (the same one behind the pack simulator) — not an official rate. Grading odds are the real cumulative PSA population, which skews toward nicer, resubmitted copies, so it overstates the true first-submission gem rate. Full grade-by-grade breakdown below.
Grade-by-grade ROI & risk-adjusted outcomesNet vs raw per target grade, plus the probability-weighted distribution
| Target grade | Est. value | Grading fee | Net vs raw | Multiple |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PSA 10 | $246.57 | $72 | +$155 | 13.2× |
| PSA 9 | $165.00 | $72 | +$75 | 8.9× |
| PSA 8 | $51.00 | $71 | −$38 | 2.7× |
⚖️ Risk-adjusted return
Best case isn't the whole story. Weighting every grade by how often it actually happens, across 224 PSA-graded copies:
| Outcome | Chance | Value |
|---|---|---|
| PSA 10 | 2.2% | $246.57 |
| PSA 9 | 37.1% | $165.00 |
| PSA 8 — typical | 29.5% | $51.00 |
| PSA 7 | 14.3% | $29.42 |
| PSA 6 | 9.4% | $18.62 |
| PSA 5 | 5.4% | $18.62 |
| PSA 4 | 1.3% | $18.62 |
| PSA 1 | 0.4% | $18.62 |
| Other (half grades, authentic) | 0.4% | $18.62 |
Net = graded value − raw value − grading cost (tier fee + ~$20 round-trip shipping), using PSA fees as of 2026-08-26; the paused PSA Value tier is excluded so this isn't overstated. Gem rate is estimated from cumulative PSA population, which skews toward nicer, resubmitted copies — so it overstates the true grade rate. Treat it as a guide, not a guarantee.
Population across gradersPSA, CGC, BGS & TAG — every grade, with gem rates
5 of the 229 PSA-graded Arceus copies came back a gem-mint 10 — 2.2%. The rest graded lower.
Bar length is relative to this grader's most common grade; the figure on the right is the share of all 229.
Bar length is relative to this grader's most common grade; the figure on the right is the share of all 3.
Real graded population from PSA, CGC, BGS & TAG — a lower gem rate means a Arceus 10 is harder to pull.
Copies for sale right now
The Pokémon Company Arceus XY197 XY Promo Holo Card Pokémon TCG English 130 HPRaw · eBay$12.55
The Pokémon Company Arceus XY197 XY Promo Holo English Basic HP 130Raw · eBay$13.00
Pokémon Arceus XY197 XY Holo LP-MPRaw · eBay$13.50
ARCEUS XY197 HOLO PROMO XY PROMO POKEMON LIGHTLY PLAYEDRaw · eBay$14.78
Arceus Cosmos Holo XY197 XY Black Star Promos Pokemon Card LP8Raw · eBay$15.00
Arceus Cosmos Holo XY197 XY Black Star Promos Pokemon Card LP7Raw · eBay$15.00Cheapest raw copy $12.55 — 33% below our near-mint estimate of $19
Buying this card on eBay? The free CardTrack extension shows our value and a deal verdict right on the listing. Add to Chrome →
Affiliate links — we may earn a commission. Prices shown are sold-based, not sponsored placements.
All grades & conditions
Every grade we pricePSA / CGC / BGS ladder with per-grade population
| Grade | Relative value | Price |
|---|---|---|
| PSA 10pop 5 | modelled$247$247–$247 | |
| PSA 9pop 83 | ✓ 19 cert-verified$165$128–$201 | |
| PSA 8pop 68 | ✓ 9 cert-verified$51$20–$70 | |
| PSA 7pop 34 | 2 sold$29$25–$34 |
Raw condition ladderNM → damaged, with real sold medians where we have them
A typical Near Mint copy sells for $20.00. Grading-candidate copies — the cleanest 15% of sales — typically fetch $27.40 (+37%). Pack-fresh examples — the top 5% — go for about $36.99.
From 14 sales in the last 12 months. These describe the market — whether a specific copy is a grading candidate is a judgment made by looking at it.
For context: a graded PSA 6 slab of this card sells for about $30 (cert-verified) — a heavily-played raw copy shouldn't cost much more than that.
Market dataCross-market spread, EU price, momentum & community buzz
Cross-market prices
24% spreadCurrently 24% cheaper on TCGplayer than PriceCharting. These are independent market prices for the same card — a wide gap can mean a buying opportunity. Informational only, not arbitrage advice.
Market signal
Derived from this card's 90-day price history, recent trend and cross-market price gap. Informational, not advice.
🔥 Trending in the community
#65 on the radarArceus is one of the most-talked-about Pokémon right now across the Pokémon investing & TCG subreddits. See the hype radar →
What people are saying: “What moved in August: biggest gainers and losers by price bracket, from daily TCGplayer closes” · 35↑
Card textAttacks, abilities, weakness / resistance / retreat
Choose Grass, Fire, Water, Lightning, Psychic, Fighting, Darkness, Metal, Fairy, or Dragon type. Until the end of your next turn, this Pokémon is that type.
Discard an Energy attached to this Pokémon.
“It is told in mythology that this Pokémon was born before the universe even existed.”
About the PokémonSpecies, generation, evolution line
It is said to have emerged from an egg in a place where there was nothing, then shaped the world.
Card detailsSet, rarity, artist, Pokédex & specs
Other Arceus cards
There are 13 different Arceus printings — make sure you're valuing the right one. This is XY Black Star Promos #XY197 (Promo). The most valuable 7 are below.
More from XY Black Star Promos
Frequently asked questions
How much is Arceus (XY Black Star Promos #XY197) worth?
As of 12 September 2026, Arceus from XY Black Star Promos is worth approximately $18.62 ungraded (near-mint), and around $247 in PSA 10 gem mint. Values are blended from real Cardmarket, eBay sold and TCGplayer prices and update daily.
What is the PSA 10 price for Arceus?
A PSA 10 (gem mint) Arceus from XY Black Star Promos is worth around $247 — roughly 13× the raw ungraded value of $18.62.
Should I grade my Arceus?
Grading is worth it when the PSA 10 premium comfortably beats the grading fee and the card is clean enough to have a real shot at a 10 — the "Should you grade it?" estimate above works that out per grade, net of the current fee.
Is Arceus rare?
Arceus is a Promo card from XY Black Star Promos (card #XY197).
How do I know if my Arceus is Holofoil?
The illustration window: The picture itself is foiled and the card body is flat. This is the standard holo.
Cite & embed this card
Free to use with attribution to CardTrack.
Arceus (XY Black Star Promos #XY197) — Pokémon market value $18.62, PSA 10 $246.57. Source: CardTrack, https://cardtrack.com/pokemon/card/xy-black-star-promos/arceus-xy197<iframe src="https://cardtrack.com/embed/card?id=xyp-XY197" width="100%" height="160" style="border:0;max-width:460px" title="Arceus price — CardTrack" loading="lazy"></iframe>
<p style="font:12px system-ui">Source: <a href="https://cardtrack.com">CardTrack</a></p>