Arceus
Market value · ungraded
What's your copy worth?
What this price is based on
Medium confidence34 sales in 90 days, but prices vary widely.
Recent Raw sales
- Aug 16, 2026eBay — 2016 Pokémon XY Promos Arceus Mythical Collection Black Star XY116$19.00
- Aug 12, 2026eBay — Arceus XY116 Black Star Promo Holo Pokemon NM Near Mint!NM$20.00
- Aug 5, 2026eBay — Arceus XY116 Holo Black Star Promo Pokémon Card Near Mint ConditionNM$50.00
- Jul 29, 2026eBay — Arceus XY116 Holo Black Star Promo Pokémon Card$19.50
- Jul 29, 2026eBay — Pokemon - XY - XY Black Star Promos - Arceus - XY116 PO$20.10
- Jul 29, 2026eBay — Pokémon TCG Arceus XY116 XY Black Star Promo Holofoil$40.00
- Jul 27, 2026eBay — Arceus XY116 Holo Promo - Black Star Promo XY - Pokemon Card - LP - View ImagesLP$38.83
- Jul 26, 2026eBay — Arceus - XY116 - XY: Black Star Promos - HPHP$8.79
By grade
- Raw$29.4942 sales
- PSA 7$55.003 sales
- PSA 9$3382 sales
- PSA 8$91.312 sales
- PSA 5$22.501 sale
From 50 completed sales recorded between May 10, 2026 and Aug 16, 2026. Sold prices only — asking prices are never counted. The range is wide because these sales span different printings and conditions — 1st Edition, Shadowless and Unlimited copies all carry this card's name, and they trade at very different levels. Each sale above is labelled with what its listing claimed, so you can see which ones describe the same object. Treat the median as the typical copy, not the range.
Grade it or not
NOT WORTH ITBased on 8 graded sales and 1,306,808 pop-report entries for a near-mint copy.
See the numbers — Trader plan and aboveBuy this card
✨ Is it worth it?
An AI market read of this card — value, momentum, grading economics, liquidity. It lays out the data; you decide.
Arceus is a Promo Pokémon card from XY Black Star Promos (#XY116), illustrated by Naoki Saito. It's a Basic Colorless-type Pokémon with 130 HP, weak to Fighting ×2. Its current blended market value is $57.93 ungraded, with a PSA 10 worth around $3,999 — a gem-mint grading premium of roughly 69× the raw value. Prices are aggregated across marketplaces — raw and graded, updated daily and shown in your local currency.
Prices last updated 21 August 2026.
The receipts
Graded a PSA 10? See its cert-verified sales and price history → — individual sales PSA tied to a specific slab, each with a cert number you can check.
Price history · Raw
We'll email you when this card's value crosses your target.
Verified sales history21 in 90 days✓ real completed listings
Real completed eBay sales, refreshed periodically. Grade read from the listing title. Implausibly priced listings (lots, proxies, empty slabs) and wrong-variant sales are filtered out. Links to eBay are affiliate links — we may earn a commission.
Demand & liquidity
Last sold $21 · Raw · 9 Aug 2026
Should you grade it?
Expected return across every likely grade, after fees — the realistic average, not the best case. Only 1.9% of copies gem (PSA 10 best case +$3,706); most land at PSA 9 or below.
The odds
Arceus is a Commoncard — a guaranteed slot in every pack, not a rarity gamble, so there's no pull-odds figure for it.
Estimates only. Pack odds come from CardTrack's pack model (the same one behind the pack simulator) — not an official rate. Grading odds are the real cumulative PSA population, which skews toward nicer, resubmitted copies, so it overstates the true first-submission gem rate. Full grade-by-grade breakdown below.
Grade-by-grade ROI & risk-adjusted outcomesNet vs raw per target grade, plus the probability-weighted distribution
| Target grade | Est. value | Grading fee | Net vs raw | Multiple |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PSA 10 | $3,999.00 | $235 | +$3,706 | 69.0× |
| PSA 9 | $255.00 | $73 | +$125 | 4.4× |
| PSA 8 | $101.00 | $71 | −$28 | 1.7× |
⚖️ Risk-adjusted return
Best case isn't the whole story. Weighting every grade by how often it actually happens, across 949 PSA-graded copies:
| Likely outcome | Chance | Value |
|---|---|---|
| PSA 10 | 1.9% | $3,999.00 |
| PSA 9 | 23.7% | $255.00 |
| PSA ≤8 | 74.4% | $58.00 |
Net = graded value − raw value − grading cost (tier fee + ~$20 round-trip shipping), using PSA fees as of 2026-06-28; the paused PSA Value tier is excluded so this isn't overstated. Gem rate is estimated from cumulative PSA population, which skews toward nicer, resubmitted copies — so it overstates the true grade rate. Treat it as a guide, not a guarantee.
Population across gradersPSA, CGC & BGS — every grade, with gem rates
Only 2% of 949 PSA-graded Arceus copies are a gem-mint 10 (18 of 949) — the rest grade lower.
Real graded population from PSA, CGC & BGS — a lower gem rate means a Arceus 10 is harder to pull.
Copies for sale right now
Pokémon TCG Arceus XY116 XY Black Star Promo Holofoil (Bends/creases)Raw · eBay$14.45
Pokémon TCG Arceus XY116 XY Black Star Promo HolofoilRaw · eBay$20.00
Pokemon TCG Arceus XY116 XY Black Star Promos Holo LPRaw · eBay$36.99
Arceus Illustration Rare - XY116 - XY Black Star Promos - Pokemon CardRaw · eBay$49.99
Arceus XY116 Black Star Promo Holo Full ArtRaw · eBay$50.00Cheapest raw copy $14.45 — 75% below our estimate of $58
Affiliate links — we may earn a commission. Prices shown are sold-based, not sponsored placements.
All grades & conditions
Every grade we pricePSA / CGC / BGS ladder with per-grade population
| Grade | Relative value | Price |
|---|---|---|
| PSA 10pop 18 | ✓ 6 cert-verified$3,999 | |
| PSA 9pop 225 | ✓ 40 cert-verified$255$191–$259 | |
| PSA 8pop 324 | ✓ 61 cert-verified$101$79–$109 | |
| PSA 7pop 230 | $45$38–$52 | |
| PSA 6pop 71 | ✓ 5 cert-verified$21 | |
| PSA 5pop 44 | ✓ 8 cert-verified$21$21–$33 |
Raw condition ladderNM → damaged, with real sold medians where we have them
For context: a graded PSA 1 slab of this card sells for about $136 (cert-verified) — a heavily-played raw copy shouldn't cost much more than that.
Market dataCross-market spread, EU price, momentum & community buzz
Market signal
Derived from this card's 90-day price history, recent trend and cross-market price gap. Informational, not advice.
🔥 Trending in the community
#86 on the radarArceus is one of the most-talked-about Pokémon right now across the Pokémon investing & TCG subreddits. See the hype radar →
What people are saying: “Pokemon Center Queue is up!” · 23↑
Card textAttacks, abilities, weakness / resistance / retreat
Choose Grass, Fire, Water, Lightning, Psychic, Fighting, Darkness, Metal, Fairy, or Dragon type. Until the ends of your next turn, this Pokémon is that type.
Discard an Energy attached to this Pokémon.
“It is told in mythology that this Pokémon was born before the universe even existed.”
About the PokémonSpecies, generation, evolution line
It is said to have emerged from an egg in a place where there was nothing, then shaped the world.
Card detailsSet, rarity, artist, Pokédex & specs
Other Arceus cards
There are 9 different Arceus printings — make sure you're valuing the right one. This is XY Black Star Promos #XY116 (Promo).
More from XY Black Star Promos
Frequently asked questions
How much is Arceus (XY Black Star Promos #XY116) worth?
As of 21 August 2026, Arceus from XY Black Star Promos is worth approximately $57.93 ungraded (near-mint), and around $3,999 in PSA 10 gem mint. Values are blended from real Cardmarket, eBay sold and TCGplayer prices and update daily.
What is the PSA 10 price for Arceus?
A PSA 10 (gem mint) Arceus from XY Black Star Promos is worth around $3,999 — roughly 69× the raw ungraded value of $57.93.
Should I grade my Arceus?
A PSA 10 sells for about $3,999 versus $57.93 raw — roughly a 69× uplift. Grading is worth it when that premium comfortably beats the grading fee and the card is clean enough to have a real shot at a 10. See the "Should you grade it?" estimate above for net profit per grade.
Is Arceus rare?
Arceus is a Promo card from XY Black Star Promos (card #XY116), illustrated by Naoki Saito. Its current blended market value is $57.93 ungraded.
Cite & embed this card
Free to use with attribution to CardTrack.
Arceus (XY Black Star Promos #XY116) — Pokémon market value $57.93, PSA 10 $3999.00. Source: CardTrack, https://cardtrack.com/pokemon/card/xy-black-star-promos/arceus-xy116<iframe src="https://cardtrack.com/embed/card?id=xyp-XY116" width="100%" height="160" style="border:0;max-width:460px" title="Arceus price — CardTrack" loading="lazy"></iframe>
<p style="font:12px system-ui">Source: <a href="https://cardtrack.com">CardTrack</a></p>