Best Arceus Cards to Grade
The Arceus cards worth grading, ranked by expected profit per submission — every grade outcome weighted by how often the card actually receives it — after current grading fees. The PSA 10 best case is shown on every row but does not decide the order. Top pick: Arceus LV.X at an expected +$6,788.
Ranked by expected profit 29
| # | Card | Raw | PSA 9 | PSA 10 | Cost | Best case | Gem rate | Expected | Sample |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Expected +$6,788 per submission: 3.3% of 663 graded copies came back PSA 10 ($156,000), and a PSA 9 ($8,008) still clears the $6,704 you have in it. Confidence high on that sample. | $125 | $8,008 | $156,000 | $6,579 | +$149,296 | 3.3% | +$6,788 | 663 high |
| 2 | Expected +$6,545 per submission: 2% of 2,327 graded copies came back PSA 10 ($240,000), and a PSA 9 ($12,300) still clears the $8,244 you have in it. Confidence high on that sample. | $825 | $12,300 | $240,000 | $7,419 | +$231,756 | 2% | +$6,545 | 2,327 high |
| 3 | Expected +$2,386 per submission: 4.2% of 745 graded copies came back PSA 10 ($39,600), and a PSA 9 ($3,335) still clears the $2,485 you have in it. Confidence high on that sample. | $70 | $3,335 | $39,600 | $2,415 | +$37,115 | 4.2% | +$2,386 | 745 high |
| 4 | Expected +$1,846 per submission: 2.9% of 804 graded copies came back PSA 10 ($26,100), and a PSA 9 ($5,000) still clears the $2,420 you have in it. Confidence high on that sample. | $140 | $5,000 | $26,100 | $2,280 | +$23,680 | 2.9% | +$1,846 | 804 high |
| 5 | Expected +$1,130 per submission: 8.2% of 574 graded copies came back PSA 10 ($12,519), and a PSA 9 ($750) still clears the $1,202 you have in it. Confidence high on that sample. | $58 | $750 | $12,519 | $1,144 | +$11,317 | 8.2% | +$1,130 | 574 high |
| 6 | Expected +$970 per submission: 5.4% of 537 graded copies came back PSA 10 ($10,500), and a PSA 9 ($1,710) still clears the $1,177 you have in it. Confidence high on that sample. | $53 | $1,710 | $10,500 | $1,124 | +$9,323 | 5.4% | +$970 | 537 high |
| 7 | Expected +$938 per submission: 3.5% of 568 graded copies came back PSA 10 ($15,100), and a PSA 9 ($3,000) still clears the $1,391 you have in it. Confidence high on that sample. | $221 | $3,000 | $15,100 | $1,170 | +$13,709 | 3.5% | +$938 | 568 high |
| 8 | Expected +$810 per submission: 3% of 362 graded copies came back PSA 10 ($16,099), and a PSA 9 ($3,000) still clears the $1,380 you have in it. Confidence high on that sample. | $200 | $3,000 | $16,099 | $1,180 | +$14,719 | 3% | +$810 | 362 high |
| 9 | Expected +$706 per submission: 4.4% of 505 graded copies came back PSA 10 ($10,606), and a PSA 9 ($1,245) still clears the $1,163 you have in it. Confidence high on that sample. | $38 | $1,245 | $10,606 | $1,125 | +$9,442 | 4.4% | +$706 | 505 high |
| 10 | Expected +$620 per submission: 7% of 573 graded copies came back PSA 10 ($7,829), and a PSA 9 ($600) still clears the $727 you have in it. Confidence high on that sample. | $30 | $600 | $7,829 | $697 | +$7,102 | 7% | +$620 | 573 high |
| 11 | Expected +$613 per submission: 6.2% of 533 graded copies came back PSA 10 ($8,775), and a PSA 9 ($500) still clears the $747 you have in it. Confidence high on that sample. | $40 | $500 | $8,775 | $707 | +$8,028 | 6.2% | +$613 | 533 high |
| 12 | Expected +$549 per submission: 5.2% of 575 graded copies came back PSA 10 ($10,000), and a PSA 9 ($476) still clears the $769 you have in it. Confidence high on that sample. | $50 | $476 | $10,000 | $719 | +$9,231 | 5.2% | +$549 | 575 high |
| 13 | Expected +$466 per submission: 9.9% of 192 graded copies came back PSA 10 ($5,500), and a PSA 9 ($122) still clears the $681 you have in it. Confidence high on that sample. | $7 | $122 | $5,500 | $674 | +$4,819 | 9.9% | +$466 | 192 high |
| 14 | Expected +$459 per submission: 4% of 353 graded copies came back PSA 10 ($13,000), and a PSA 9 ($178) still clears the $1,168 you have in it. Confidence high on that sample. | $19 | $178 | $13,000 | $1,149 | +$11,832 | 4% | +$459 | 353 high |
| 15 | Expected +$442 per submission: 1.3% of 2,034 graded copies came back PSA 10 ($25,000), and a PSA 9 ($1,413) still clears the $1,334 you have in it. Confidence high on that sample. | $65 | $1,413 | $25,000 | $1,269 | +$23,666 | 1.3% | +$442 | 2,034 high |
| 16 | Expected +$380 per submission: 5.5% of 531 graded copies came back PSA 10 ($3,960), and a PSA 9 ($775) still clears the $486 you have in it. Confidence high on that sample. | $77 | $775 | $3,960 | $409 | +$3,474 | 5.5% | +$380 | 531 high |
| 17 | Expected +$380 per submission: 9.3% of 508 graded copies came back PSA 10 ($3,720), and a PSA 9 ($400) still clears the $436 you have in it. Confidence high on that sample. | $30 | $400 | $3,720 | $406 | +$3,284 | 9.3% | +$380 | 508 high |
| 18 | Expected +$371 per submission: 2.6% of 500 graded copies came back PSA 10 ($3,500), and a PSA 9 ($1,980) still clears the $578 you have in it. Confidence high on that sample. | $174 | $1,980 | $3,500 | $404 | +$2,922 | 2.6% | +$371 | 500 high |
| 19 | Expected +$317 per submission: 5.2% of 230 graded copies came back PSA 10 ($4,650), and a PSA 9 ($400) still clears the $432 you have in it. Confidence high on that sample. | $16 | $400 | $4,650 | $416 | +$4,219 | 5.2% | +$317 | 230 high |
| 20 | Expected +$313 per submission: 7.4% of 188 graded copies came back PSA 10 ($5,386), and a PSA 9 ($94) still clears the $685 you have in it. Confidence high on that sample. | $12 | $94 | $5,386 | $673 | +$4,701 | 7.4% | +$313 | 188 high |
| 21 | Expected +$298 per submission: 4.1% of 588 graded copies came back PSA 10 ($5,280), and a PSA 9 ($538) still clears the $702 you have in it. Confidence high on that sample. | $30 | $538 | $5,280 | $672 | +$4,578 | 4.1% | +$298 | 588 high |
| 22 | Expected +$296 per submission: 6.3% of 606 graded copies came back PSA 10 ($4,380), and a PSA 9 ($370) still clears the $453 you have in it. Confidence high on that sample. | $40 | $370 | $4,380 | $413 | +$3,927 | 6.3% | +$296 | 606 high |
| 23 | Expected +$245 per submission: 1.7% of 286 graded copies came back PSA 10 ($5,025), and a PSA 9 ($900) still clears the $727 you have in it. Confidence high on that sample. | $58 | $900 | $5,025 | $669 | +$4,298 | 1.7% | +$245 | 286 high |
| 24 | Expected +$136 per submission: 5.6% of 248 graded copies came back PSA 10 ($2,800), and a PSA 9 ($305) still clears the $427 you have in it. Confidence high on that sample. | $30 | $305 | $2,800 | $397 | +$2,373 | 5.6% | +$136 | 248 high |
| 25 | Expected +$81 per submission: 6.7% of 105 graded copies came back PSA 10 ($1,470), and a PSA 9 ($140) still clears the $124 you have in it. Confidence high on that sample. | $9 | $140 | $1,470 | $115 | +$1,346 | 6.7% | +$81 | 105 high |
| 26 | Expected loss −$27 per submission: 12.7% of 63 graded copies came back PSA 10 ($212), and only a PSA 10 covers the $92 you have in it — a 9 loses money. Confidence medium on that sample. | $10 | $68 | $212 | $82 | +$119 | 12.7% | −$27 | 63 medium |
| 27 | Expected loss −$32 per submission: 21.2% of 33 graded copies came back PSA 10 ($140), and only a PSA 10 covers the $91 you have in it — a 9 loses money. Confidence medium on that sample. | $10 | $50 | $140 | $81 | +$49 | 21.2% | −$32 | 33 medium |
| 28 | Expected loss −$35 per submission: 41.1% of 163 graded copies came back PSA 10 ($106), and only a PSA 10 covers the $87 you have in it — a 9 loses money. Confidence high on that sample. | $6 | $39 | $106 | $81 | +$18 | 41.1% | −$35 | 163 high |
| 29 | Expected loss −$59 per submission: 8.7% of 23 graded copies came back PSA 10 ($137), and only a PSA 10 covers the $89 you have in it — a 9 loses money. Confidence low on that sample. | $8 | $52 | $137 | $81 | +$48 | 8.7% | −$59 | 23 low |
Expected = every grade outcome weighted by its share of the card's graded population, minus the raw price and the grading cost (PSA tier fee for the graded value plus ~$20 round-trip shipping, fees as of 2026-09-26). Best case is the PSA 10 leg alone. Gem rates come from a self-selected population — collectors grade their cleanest copies — so read them as an upper bound. Raw is a blended market price, not a sale of your copy. Full method and filters on the grading index.
How to read the Arceus ranking
Every Arceus card listed here clears one bar: its PSA 10 price beats its raw price by more than the cost of grading it. 29 cards from the set pass. 29 of them (100%) have a gem-rate sample of at least ten graded copies in the population reports, and 25 of those keep a positive expected value once every grade outcome is weighted by how often the card actually receives it.
The order is expected profit, not the PSA 10 best case, which rewards the widest raw-to-gem gap whether the card gems one time in two or one in fifty. Here the top row, the Arceus LV.X from Arceus, gems 3.3% of the time across 663 graded copies: +$6,788 is what a long run of submissions would average, $149,296 is what one lucky copy returns.
The median gem rate across the sampled Arceus cards is 5.4%. Roughly one submitted copy in 19 came back PSA 10, and most rows here still cover raw price plus fee at PSA 9, so the PSA 9 price does most of the work. Of the 29 ranked cards, 25 still cover raw price plus fee at PSA 9, 4 need a 10 to break even and 4 lose money on expectation. 26 rest on a hundred or more graded copies.
Before you submit a Arceus card
Grading pays on condition. The four things every grader scores — centering, corners, edges and surface — can be checked at home before paying a fee, and a copy that is visibly off-centre or has a whitened corner will not gem whatever the population says. Those gem rates come from a self-selected population of clean copies, so a random copy does worse.
The cost column assumes a PSA submission at the tier covering the card's PSA 10 value, fees as of 2026-09-26, and raw is CardTrack's blended near-mint price, not a sale of your copy: pay more, or hold a lighter copy, and the break-even moves against you. Test a card with your own numbers in the ROI calculator, see the printings that fail the bar on the Arceus card list, or see how gem-mint premiums run across the whole catalogue on the PSA premium index.