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Check your printing9 different Heatran printings exist — is this your card? Arceus #3
Heatran Arceus #3 Pokémon card
Rare Holo

Heatran

Arceus · 3/99 · Illustrated by Keiko Moritsugu
100 HPFirePokémonBasic

Market value · ungraded

$3.26 0.9% · 30d
Confidencehigh
Sold prices, not asking. TCGplayer. Updated 20 August 2026. 2 sources agree within 1%. Estimate, not an appraisalhow we price →

What's your copy worth?

What's your copy worth?
Not sure which condition? Grade it from a photo
Estimated value · Near Mint
$3.26

What this price is based on

Low confidence

Only 1 sale in the last 90 days.

Median · CGC 8.5$24.001 sale
Trimmed mean$24.00outliers removed
Range$24.00$24.00lowest to highest sale
Sales rate0.3/mo2 recorded

Recent CGC 8.5 sales

By grade

  • CGC 8.5$24.001 sale
  • CGC 8$12.001 sale

From 2 completed sales recorded between Mar 20, 2026 and Jul 6, 2026. Sold prices only — asking prices are never counted.

Grade it or not

NOT WORTH IT

Based on 2 graded sales and 1,305,862 pop-report entries for a near-mint copy.

See the numbers — Trader plan and above

Buy this card

ViewingRaw / ungraded (this page)Reverse Holo price

Is it worth it?

An AI market read of this card — value, momentum, grading economics, liquidity. It lays out the data; you decide.

Sign in to analyse

Heatran is a Rare Holo Pokémon card from Arceus (#3), illustrated by Keiko Moritsugu. It's a Basic Fire-type Pokémon with 100 HP, weak to Water ×2. Its current blended market value is $3.26 ungraded, with a PSA 10 worth around $83 — a gem-mint grading premium of roughly 25× the raw value. Prices are aggregated across marketplaces — raw and graded, updated daily and shown in your local currency.

Prices last updated 20 August 2026.

1.4%
Played in 1.4% of competitive decks — 43 of 3,174 decklists across the last 41 Standard tournaments.

The receipts

Price history · Raw

1 Sept 202320 Aug 2026
Latest
$3.26
Period high
$4.99
Period low
$2.16
Change
5.8%
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Recent sold prices

No recent sold listings tracked.

Should you grade it?

$55

Expected return across every likely grade, after fees — the realistic average, not the best case. Only 3.2% of copies gem (PSA 10 best case +$9); most land at PSA 9 or below.

Gem rate (est.)3.2%
Expected return$55
PSA 10 best case+$9
Break-evenPSA 10+
VerdictNot worth it

The odds

Heatran is a Holo / V / ex in Arceus — the pack's hit slot lands on Holo / V / ex 33% of the time, split across 18 holo / v / ex cards in the set, so pulling this exact card is roughly 1 in 55 packs.

Holo / V / ex33%18 cards
PSA 10 (gem mint)3.2%3 of 93
PSA 949.5%46 of 93
PSA graded so far93
Gem Mint 103
Total graded93

Estimates only. Pack odds come from CardTrack's pack model (the same one behind the pack simulator) — not an official rate. Grading odds are the real cumulative PSA population, which skews toward nicer, resubmitted copies, so it overstates the true first-submission gem rate. Full grade-by-grade breakdown below.

Grade-by-grade ROI & risk-adjusted outcomesNet vs raw per target grade, plus the probability-weighted distribution
Target gradeEst. valueGrading feeNet vs rawMultiple
PSA 10$83.00$71+$925.5×
PSA 9$29.99$70$449.2×

⚖️ Risk-adjusted return

Best case isn't the whole story. Weighting every grade by how often it actually happens, across 93 PSA-graded copies:

Likely outcomeChanceValue
PSA 103.2%$83.00
PSA 949.5%$30.00
PSA ≤847.3%$3.00

Net = graded value − raw value − grading cost (tier fee + ~$20 round-trip shipping), using PSA fees as of 2026-06-28; the paused PSA Value tier is excluded so this isn't overstated. Gem rate is estimated from cumulative PSA population, which skews toward nicer, resubmitted copies — so it overstates the true grade rate. Treat it as a guide, not a guarantee.

Population across gradersPSA, CGC & BGS — every grade, with gem rates

Only 3% of 93 PSA-graded Heatran copies are a gem-mint 10 (3 of 93) — the rest grade lower.

PSA93 gradedPSA 10 · 3 · 3% gem
103
946
8.51
824
79
63
51
42
32
21
11
CGC60 gradedCGC 10 · 8 · 13% gem
108
9.51
920
8.515
85

Real graded population from PSA, CGC & BGS — a lower gem rate means a Heatran 10 is harder to pull.

Copies for sale right now

Check recent sold prices

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All grades & conditions

Every grade we pricePSA / CGC / BGS ladder with per-grade population
Graded prices
Ungraded (raw)$3.23
PSA graded price estimates by grade
GradeRelative valuePrice
PSA 10pop 3$83$51$83
PSA 9pop 46$30$30$30
PSA 7pop 9$15$15$15
“Sold” = median of real recent sold listings at that grade (eBay or Fanatics Collect — hover a badge to see which). Other figures are blended marketplace estimates. Confidence reflects source backing and price spread — not PSA-official values.
Raw condition ladderNM → damaged, with real sold medians where we have them
Raw price by condition
Reverse Holofoil · live market via TCGplayer
NMNear Mint$3.26
LPLightly Played$2.47
MPModerately Played$1.56
HPHeavily Played$0.77
DMGDamaged$0.55
7-dayflat
30-day 2.0%
90-day 10.3%
All-time high$4
All-time low$2
Other printingsHolofoil · $3.03
What NM / LP / MP actually mean — and how much they cost
Market dataCross-market spread, EU price, momentum & community buzz

Cross-market prices

1% spread
PriceCharting · cheapest$3
TCGplayer · dearest$3

Currently 1% cheaper on PriceCharting than TCGplayer. These are independent market prices for the same card — a wide gap can mean a buying opportunity. Informational only, not arbitrage advice.

Market signal

Momentum · 30dFlat +1%
Cross-marketMarkets agree 1% gap

Derived from this card's 90-day price history, recent trend and cross-market price gap. Informational, not advice.

🔥 Trending in the community

#168 on the radar
Mentions this week1

Heatran is one of the most-talked-about Pokémon right now across the Pokémon investing & TCG subreddits. See the hype radar →

What people are saying: [US,US] [H] Vintage, Mid Era, Modern singles [W] PayPal · 3↑

Card textAttacks, abilities, weakness / resistance / retreat
Fire Fang20
Fire · Colorless

The Defending Pokémon is now Burned.

Magma Mantle60+
Fire · Fire · Colorless · Colorless

Discard the top 3 cards of your deck. This attack does 60 damage plus 20 more damage for each Fire or Metal Energy card you discarded.

Weakness Water ×2Retreat 3

Its body is made of rugged steel. However, it is partially melted in spots because of its own heat.

About the PokémonSpecies, generation, evolution line
Lava Dome PokémonGEN IVLegendary

It dwells in volcanic caves. It digs in with its cross-shaped feet to crawl on ceilings and walls.

Card detailsSet, rarity, artist, Pokédex & specs
Number#3
RarityRare Holo
SupertypePokémon
SubtypesBasic
TypeFire
HP100
WeaknessWater ×2
Retreat cost3
National Pokédex#485
Card IDpl4-3
SourceAggregated marketplaces

Other Heatran cards

There are 9 different Heatran printings — make sure you're valuing the right one. This is Arceus #3 (Rare Holo).

More from Arceus

Frequently asked questions

How much is Heatran (Arceus #3) worth?

As of 20 August 2026, Heatran from Arceus is worth approximately $3.26 ungraded (near-mint), and around $83 in PSA 10 gem mint. Values are blended from real Cardmarket, eBay sold and TCGplayer prices and update daily.

What is the PSA 10 price for Heatran?

A PSA 10 (gem mint) Heatran from Arceus is worth around $83 — roughly 25× the raw ungraded value of $3.26.

Should I grade my Heatran?

A PSA 10 sells for about $83 versus $3.26 raw — roughly a 25× uplift. Grading is worth it when that premium comfortably beats the grading fee and the card is clean enough to have a real shot at a 10. See the "Should you grade it?" estimate above for net profit per grade.

Is Heatran rare?

Heatran is a Rare Holo card from Arceus (card #3), illustrated by Keiko Moritsugu. Its current blended market value is $3.26 ungraded.

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Citation
Heatran (Arceus #3) — Pokémon market value $3.26, PSA 10 $83.00. Source: CardTrack, https://cardtrack.com/pokemon/card/arceus/heatran-3
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<iframe src="https://cardtrack.com/embed/card?id=pl4-3" width="100%" height="160" style="border:0;max-width:460px" title="Heatran price — CardTrack" loading="lazy"></iframe> <p style="font:12px system-ui">Source: <a href="https://cardtrack.com">CardTrack</a></p>