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Check your printing7 different Alolan Ninetales-GX printings exist — is this your card? Lost Thunder #205
Alolan Ninetales-GX Lost Thunder #205 Pokémon card
Rare Ultra

Alolan Ninetales-GX

Lost Thunder · 205/214 · Illustrated by 5ban Graphics
200 HPFairyPokémonStage 1GX

Market value · ungraded

$33.62 7.9% · 30d
Confidencemedium
Range$34$35
Cert-verified10 PSA sales
Sold prices, not asking. TCGplayer. Updated 20 August 2026. 2 sources agree within 3%. Estimate, not an appraisalhow we price →

What's your copy worth?

What's your copy worth?
Not sure which condition? Grade it from a photo
Estimated value · Near Mint
$33.62

What this price is based on

High confidence

8 sales in 90 days, closely clustered.

Median · Raw$37.4810 sales
Trimmed mean$38.53outliers removed
Range$20.00$49.95lowest to highest sale
Sales rate2.2/mo13 recorded

Recent Raw sales

  • Jul 31, 2026eBay — Alolan Ninetales GX 205/214 SM Lost Thunder Ultra Rare Holo Pokemon Card NMNM$49.95
  • Jul 27, 2026eBay — Alolan Ninetales GX 205/214 Ultra Rare Lost Thunder$31.99
  • Jul 1, 2026eBay — Alolan Ninetales GX 205/214 Ultra Rare Lost Thunder Pokemon Near Mint A946NM$35.00
  • Jun 21, 2026eBay — Alolan Ninetales GX 205/214 Ultra Rare Lost Thunder Pokemon Near Mint A946NM$30.99
  • Jun 18, 2026eBay — Alolan Ninetales GX 205/214 Ultra Rare Lost Thunder Pokemon Near Mint A946NM$42.99
  • Jun 1, 2026eBay — Alolan Ninetales GX 205/214 Ultra Rare Lost Thunder Pokemon Near Mint A945NM$42.99
  • May 28, 2026eBay — The Pokemon Company Alolan Ninetales GX 205/214 Lost Thunder Ultra Rare Holo$26.00
  • May 27, 2026eBay — Alolan Ninetales GX - 205/214 - Lost Thunder - NM - Pokemon - Read Desc.NM$48.32

By grade

  • Raw$37.4810 sales
  • PSA 9$22.801 sale
  • PSA 10$2761 sale
  • CGC 9$18.001 sale

From 13 completed sales recorded between Feb 23, 2026 and Jul 31, 2026. Sold prices only — asking prices are never counted.

Grade it or not

GRADE IT

Based on 3 graded sales and 4,409,898 pop-report entries for a near-mint copy.

See the numbers — Trader plan and above

Buy this card

ViewingRaw / ungraded (this page)PSA 10 price pagePSA 9 price page

Is it worth it?

An AI market read of this card — value, momentum, grading economics, liquidity. It lays out the data; you decide.

Sign in to analyse

Alolan Ninetales-GX is a Rare Ultra Pokémon card from Lost Thunder (#205), illustrated by 5ban Graphics. It's a Stage 1 GX Fairy-type Pokémon with 200 HP, evolving from Alolan Vulpix, weak to Metal ×2. Its current blended market value is $33.62 ungraded, with a PSA 10 worth around $238 — a gem-mint grading premium of roughly 7× the raw value. Prices are aggregated across marketplaces — raw and graded, updated daily and shown in your local currency.

Prices last updated 20 August 2026.

The receipts

Graded a PSA 10? See its cert-verified sales and price history — individual sales PSA tied to a specific slab, each with a cert number you can check.

Price history · Raw

1 Sept 202321 Aug 2026
Latest
$33.62
Period high
$35.57
Period low
$9.36
Change
228.0%
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Verified sales history10 in 90 daysreal completed listings

DateGradePriceCert
3 Aug 2026PSA 10$222.00#101856378
15 Jul 2026PSA 9$51.00#156182440
24 May 2026PSA 9$55.00#86716277
18 May 2026PSA 10$276.00#43981282
12 May 2026PSA 8$26.00#66499319
10 May 2026PSA 9$50.00#129892533
9 May 2026PSA 10$319.95#139016057
5 May 2026PSA 10$315.00#138463184
26 Apr 2026PSA 8$29.00#146079784
22 Apr 2026PSA 9$59.99#61042926

Should you grade it?

+$13

Expected return across every likely grade, after fees — the realistic average, not the best case. Only 37.6% of copies gem (PSA 10 best case +$132); most land at PSA 9 or below.

Gem rate (est.)37.6%
Expected return+$13
PSA 10 best case+$132
Break-evenPSA 10+
VerdictWorth grading

The odds

Alolan Ninetales-GX is a Ultra Rare in Lost Thunder — the pack's hit slot lands on Ultra Rare 10% of the time, split across 20 ultra rare cards in the set, so pulling this exact card is roughly 1 in 201 packs.

Ultra Rare10%20 cards
PSA 10 (gem mint)37.6%127 of 338
PSA 942.6%144 of 338
PSA graded so far338
Gem Mint 10127
Total graded338

Estimates only. Pack odds come from CardTrack's pack model (the same one behind the pack simulator) — not an official rate. Grading odds are the real cumulative PSA population, which skews toward nicer, resubmitted copies, so it overstates the true first-submission gem rate. Full grade-by-grade breakdown below.

Grade-by-grade ROI & risk-adjusted outcomesNet vs raw per target grade, plus the probability-weighted distribution
Target gradeEst. valueGrading feeNet vs rawMultiple
PSA 10$237.50$72+$1327.1×
PSA 9$54.50$71$501.6×
PSA 8$26.00$70$780.8×

⚖️ Risk-adjusted return

Best case isn't the whole story. Weighting every grade by how often it actually happens, across 338 PSA-graded copies:

Likely outcomeChanceValue
PSA 1037.6%$238.00
PSA 942.6%$55.00
PSA ≤819.8%$34.00

Net = graded value − raw value − grading cost (tier fee + ~$20 round-trip shipping), using PSA fees as of 2026-06-28; the paused PSA Value tier is excluded so this isn't overstated. Gem rate is estimated from cumulative PSA population, which skews toward nicer, resubmitted copies — so it overstates the true grade rate. Treat it as a guide, not a guarantee.

Population across gradersPSA, CGC & BGS — every grade, with gem rates

Only 38% of 338 PSA-graded Alolan Ninetales-GX copies are a gem-mint 10 (127 of 338) — the rest grade lower.

PSA338 gradedPSA 10 · 127 · 38% gem
10127
9144
853
77
62
53
41
CGC330 gradedCGC 10 · 50 · 15% gem
1050
9150
8.575
810

Real graded population from PSA, CGC & BGS — a lower gem rate means a Alolan Ninetales-GX 10 is harder to pull.

Copies for sale right now

Affiliate links — we may earn a commission. Prices shown are sold-based, not sponsored placements.

All grades & conditions

Every grade we pricePSA / CGC / BGS ladder with per-grade population
Graded prices
Ungraded (raw)$33.62
PSA graded price estimates by grade
GradeRelative valuePrice
PSA 10pop 127$238$202$273
PSA 9pop 144$55$46$63
PSA 8pop 53✓ 5 cert-verified$26$20$26
PSA 5pop 3$12$12$12
“Sold” = median of real recent sold listings at that grade (eBay or Fanatics Collect — hover a badge to see which). Other figures are blended marketplace estimates. Confidence reflects source backing and price spread — not PSA-official values.
Raw condition ladderNM → damaged, with real sold medians where we have them
Raw price by condition
Holofoil · live market via TCGplayer
NMNear Mint$33.62
LPLightly Played$29.93
MPModerately Played$20.41
DMGDamaged$19.97
7-dayflat
30-day 2.9%
90-day 0.1%
All-time high$35
All-time low$27
What NM / LP / MP actually mean — and how much they cost
Market dataCross-market spread, EU price, momentum & community buzz

Cross-market prices

3% spread
PriceCharting · cheapest$34
TCGplayer · dearest$35

Currently 3% cheaper on PriceCharting than TCGplayer. These are independent market prices for the same card — a wide gap can mean a buying opportunity. Informational only, not arbitrage advice.

Market signal

Momentum · 30dRising +8%
Cross-marketMarkets agree 3% gap

Derived from this card's 90-day price history, recent trend and cross-market price gap. Informational, not advice.

Card textAttacks, abilities, weakness / resistance / retreat

Evolves from Alolan Vulpix.

Mysterious GuidanceAbility

When you play this Pokémon from your hand to evolve 1 of your Pokémon during your turn, you may search your deck for up to 2 Item cards, reveal them, and put them into your hand. Then, shuffle your deck.

Snowy Wind70
Fairy · Colorless

This attack does 30 damage to 1 of your opponent's Benched Pokémon. (Don't apply Weakness and Resistance for Benched Pokémon.)

Sublimation-GX
Fairy · Colorless

If your opponent's Active Pokémon is an Ultra Beast, it is Knocked Out. (You can't use more than 1 GX attack in a game.)

Weakness Metal ×2Resistance Darkness -20Retreat 2

Pokémon-GX rule: When your Pokémon-GX is Knocked Out, your opponent takes 2 Prize cards.

Card detailsSet, rarity, artist, Pokédex & specs
Number#205
RarityRare Ultra
SupertypePokémon
SubtypesStage 1, GX
TypeFairy
HP200
Evolves fromAlolan Vulpix
WeaknessMetal ×2
ResistanceDarkness -20
Retreat cost2
National Pokédex#38
Card IDsm8-205
SourceAggregated marketplaces

Other Alolan Ninetales-GX cards

There are 7 different Alolan Ninetales-GX printings — make sure you're valuing the right one. This is Lost Thunder #205 (Rare Ultra).

More from Lost Thunder

Frequently asked questions

How much is Alolan Ninetales-GX (Lost Thunder #205) worth?

As of 20 August 2026, Alolan Ninetales-GX from Lost Thunder is worth approximately $33.62 ungraded (near-mint), and around $238 in PSA 10 gem mint. Values are blended from real Cardmarket, eBay sold and TCGplayer prices and update daily.

What is the PSA 10 price for Alolan Ninetales-GX?

A PSA 10 (gem mint) Alolan Ninetales-GX from Lost Thunder is worth around $238 — roughly 7× the raw ungraded value of $33.62.

Should I grade my Alolan Ninetales-GX?

A PSA 10 sells for about $238 versus $33.62 raw — roughly a 7× uplift. Grading is worth it when that premium comfortably beats the grading fee and the card is clean enough to have a real shot at a 10. See the "Should you grade it?" estimate above for net profit per grade.

Is Alolan Ninetales-GX rare?

Alolan Ninetales-GX is a Rare Ultra card from Lost Thunder (card #205), illustrated by 5ban Graphics. Its current blended market value is $33.62 ungraded.

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Free to use with attribution to CardTrack.

Citation
Alolan Ninetales-GX (Lost Thunder #205) — Pokémon market value $33.62, PSA 10 $237.50. Source: CardTrack, https://cardtrack.com/pokemon/card/lost-thunder/alolan-ninetales-gx-205
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<iframe src="https://cardtrack.com/embed/card?id=sm8-205" width="100%" height="160" style="border:0;max-width:460px" title="Alolan Ninetales-GX price — CardTrack" loading="lazy"></iframe> <p style="font:12px system-ui">Source: <a href="https://cardtrack.com">CardTrack</a></p>