Alolan Ninetales-GX205/214 · Lost Thunder Price & Value
Market value · Near Mint
- PSA 8$26pop 55
- PSA 9$552 sold · 90d · pop 150
- PSA 10$2222 sold · 90d · pop 136
Make sure you have the right card
Every price on this page is for Lost Thunder #205/214, 2018. Check yours against the tells below before you buy, sell or grade.
The picture itself is foiled and the card body is flat. This is the standard holo.
What's your copy worth?
✨ Is it worth it?
An AI market read of this card — value, momentum, grading economics, liquidity. It lays out the data; you decide.
Alolan Ninetales-GX is a Rare Ultra Pokémon card from Lost Thunder (#205, released 2018), illustrated by 5ban Graphics. It's a Stage 1 GX Fairy-type Pokémon with 200 HP, evolving from Alolan Vulpix, weak to Metal ×2. Prices below are aggregated across marketplaces — raw and graded, updated daily and shown in your local currency.
Prices last updated 8 September 2026.
Alolan Ninetales-GX price history & recent sales
Graded a PSA 10? See its cert-verified sales and price history → — individual sales PSA tied to a specific slab, each with a cert number you can check.
Price history · Raw
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Verified sales history
High confidence10 sales in 90 days, closely clustered. · Liquid — Sells regularly
Sale mix: 4 auctions, 3 accepted offers, 3 fixed-price. A graded copy trades roughly every 6 days (median gap between cert-verified sales).
By grade
- Raw$31.9915 sales · 10 in 90d, sells regularly
- PSA 10$2759 sales · 2 in 90d, rare
- PSA 9$51.508 sales · 2 in 90d, rare
- CGC 9$18.001 sale
Is Alolan Ninetales-GX worth grading?
Most copies come back PSA 9 — worth $55 against the $109 you put in, a $54 loss. The money is in the 1 in 1 that reach PSA 9 or 10 and sell for $55–$275. Averaged over every outcome that is +$22 a card.
That is the average submitted copy. Tell us about yours and the verdict re-prices — most cards stop being worth grading here. Not sure? Grade it from a photo →
These are set to a flawless copy — the answer above. Change any of them to re-price it for the card in your hand.
Compare graders, and the live market
The verdict above is PSA's — the grader the population report, the ROI table and the price ladder on this page all use. Trader prices all three graders against each other and adds what the asking market is doing right now.
- PSA, CGC and Beckett side by side — each on its own population and its own fees, with Beckett scored on the 9.5 its market actually pays for.
- Lightly and moderately played — the same expected return for a copy that cannot gem.
- Ask vs sold — what the live listings want, against what copies have really closed at.
- Momentum — the 30-day median against the 90-day, per grade.
- Where it sells higher — the Fanatics-versus-eBay premium, with the sale counts behind it.
- Population history — the weekly PSA census, so you can see how fast 10s are arriving before you post the card.
The odds
Alolan Ninetales-GX is a Ultra Rare in Lost Thunder — the pack's hit slot lands on Ultra Rare 10% of the time, split across 20 ultra rare cards in the set, so pulling this exact card is roughly 1 in 201 packs.
Estimates only. Pack odds come from CardTrack's pack model (the same one behind the pack simulator) — not an official rate. Grading odds are the real cumulative PSA population, which skews toward nicer, resubmitted copies, so it overstates the true first-submission gem rate. Full grade-by-grade breakdown below.
Grade-by-grade ROI & risk-adjusted outcomesNet vs raw per target grade, plus the probability-weighted distribution
| Target grade | Est. value | Grading fee | Net vs raw | Multiple |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PSA 10 | $222.00 | $72 | +$112 | 5.9× |
| PSA 9 | $54.50 | $71 | −$54 | 1.4× |
| PSA 8 | $26.00 | $70 | −$82 | 0.7× |
⚖️ Risk-adjusted return
Best case isn't the whole story. Weighting every grade by how often it actually happens, across 338 PSA-graded copies:
| Outcome | Chance | Value |
|---|---|---|
| PSA 10 | 37.6% | $275.00 |
| PSA 9 — typical | 42.6% | $54.50 |
| PSA 8 | 15.7% | $26.00 |
| PSA 7 | 2.1% | $26.00 |
| PSA 6 | 0.6% | $26.00 |
| PSA 5 | 0.9% | $12.00 |
| PSA 4 | 0.3% | $12.00 |
| Other (half grades, authentic) | 0.3% | $37.90 |
Net = graded value − raw value − grading cost (tier fee + ~$20 round-trip shipping), using PSA fees as of 2026-08-26; the paused PSA Value tier is excluded so this isn't overstated. Gem rate is estimated from cumulative PSA population, which skews toward nicer, resubmitted copies — so it overstates the true grade rate. Treat it as a guide, not a guarantee.
Population across gradersPSA, CGC, BGS & TAG — every grade, with gem rates
136 of the 355 PSA-graded Alolan Ninetales-GX copies came back a gem-mint 10 — 38%. The rest graded lower.
Bar length is relative to this grader's most common grade; the figure on the right is the share of all 355.
Bar length is relative to this grader's most common grade; the figure on the right is the share of all 68.
Real graded population from PSA, CGC, BGS & TAG — a lower gem rate means a Alolan Ninetales-GX 10 is harder to pull.
Copies for sale right now
Alolan Ninetales GX (Full Art) 205/214 Sm-Lost Thunder HoloRaw · eBay$20.00
The Pokémon Company Alolan Ninetales GX 205/214 SM-Lost Thunder Full Art HoloRaw · eBay$24.99
Pokemon TCG Alolan Ninetales GX 205/214 SM Lost Thunder Ultra Rare Holo ENGRaw · eBay$30.00
The Pokemon Company Alolan Ninetales GX 205/214 SM Lost Thunder UR FA Holo EngRaw · eBay$30.00
Alolan Ninetales GX (Full Art) 205/214 Sm-Lost Thunder Holo HPRaw · eBay$35.00
Alolan Ninetales GX (Full Art) 205/214 Sm-Lost Thunder HoloRaw · eBay$35.00Cheapest raw copy $20.00 — 47% below our near-mint estimate of $38
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All grades & conditions
Every grade we pricePSA / CGC / BGS ladder with per-grade population
| Grade | Relative value | Price |
|---|---|---|
| PSA 10pop 136 | ✓ 19 cert-verified$222$222–$322 | |
| PSA 9pop 150 | $55$46–$63 | |
| PSA 8pop 55 | ✓ 5 cert-verified$26$20–$26 | |
| PSA 5pop 3 | modelled$12$12–$12 |
Raw condition ladderNM → damaged, with real sold medians where we have them
Market dataCross-market spread, EU price, momentum & community buzz
Cross-market prices
13% spreadCurrently 13% cheaper on PriceCharting than TCGplayer. These are independent market prices for the same card — a wide gap can mean a buying opportunity. Informational only, not arbitrage advice.
Market signal
Derived from this card's 90-day price history, recent trend and cross-market price gap. Informational, not advice.
Card textAttacks, abilities, weakness / resistance / retreat
Evolves from Alolan Vulpix.
When you play this Pokémon from your hand to evolve 1 of your Pokémon during your turn, you may search your deck for up to 2 Item cards, reveal them, and put them into your hand. Then, shuffle your deck.
This attack does 30 damage to 1 of your opponent's Benched Pokémon. (Don't apply Weakness and Resistance for Benched Pokémon.)
If your opponent's Active Pokémon is an Ultra Beast, it is Knocked Out. (You can't use more than 1 GX attack in a game.)
Pokémon-GX rule: When your Pokémon-GX is Knocked Out, your opponent takes 2 Prize cards.
Card detailsSet, rarity, artist, Pokédex & specs
Other Alolan Ninetales-GX cards
There are 7 different Alolan Ninetales-GX printings — make sure you're valuing the right one. This is Lost Thunder #205 (Rare Ultra).
More from Lost Thunder
Frequently asked questions
How much is Alolan Ninetales-GX (Lost Thunder #205) worth?
As of 8 September 2026, Alolan Ninetales-GX from Lost Thunder is worth approximately $37.90 ungraded (near-mint), and around $222 in PSA 10 gem mint. Values are blended from real Cardmarket, eBay sold and TCGplayer prices and update daily.
What is the PSA 10 price for Alolan Ninetales-GX?
A PSA 10 (gem mint) Alolan Ninetales-GX from Lost Thunder is worth around $222 — roughly 6× the raw ungraded value of $37.90.
Should I grade my Alolan Ninetales-GX?
Grading is worth it when the PSA 10 premium comfortably beats the grading fee and the card is clean enough to have a real shot at a 10 — the "Should you grade it?" estimate above works that out per grade, net of the current fee.
Is Alolan Ninetales-GX rare?
Alolan Ninetales-GX is a Rare Ultra card from Lost Thunder (card #205).
How do I know if my Alolan Ninetales-GX is Holofoil?
The illustration window: The picture itself is foiled and the card body is flat. This is the standard holo.
Cite & embed this card
Free to use with attribution to CardTrack.
Alolan Ninetales-GX (Lost Thunder #205) — Pokémon market value $37.90, PSA 10 $222.00. Source: CardTrack, https://cardtrack.com/pokemon/card/lost-thunder/alolan-ninetales-gx-205<iframe src="https://cardtrack.com/embed/card?id=sm8-205" width="100%" height="160" style="border:0;max-width:460px" title="Alolan Ninetales-GX price — CardTrack" loading="lazy"></iframe>
<p style="font:12px system-ui">Source: <a href="https://cardtrack.com">CardTrack</a></p>