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NOT WORTH ITBased on 0 graded sales and 4,409,561 pop-report entries for a near-mint copy.
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✨ Is it worth it?
An AI market read of this card — value, momentum, grading economics, liquidity. It lays out the data; you decide.
Alolan Vulpix is a Common Pokémon card from Lost Thunder (#53), illustrated by Naoyo Kimura. It's a Basic Water-type Pokémon with 60 HP, weak to Metal ×2. Its current blended market value is $0.93 ungraded, with a PSA 10 worth around $41 — a gem-mint grading premium of roughly 44× the raw value. Prices are aggregated across marketplaces — raw and graded, updated daily and shown in your local currency.
Prices last updated 21 August 2026.
The receipts
Price history · Raw
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Recent sold prices
No recent sold listings tracked.
Should you grade it?
Expected return across every likely grade, after fees — the realistic average, not the best case. Only 0% of copies gem (PSA 10 best case −$30); most land at PSA 9 or below.
The odds
Alolan Vulpix is a Commoncard — a guaranteed slot in every pack, not a rarity gamble, so there's no pull-odds figure for it.
Estimates only. Pack odds come from CardTrack's pack model (the same one behind the pack simulator) — not an official rate. Grading odds are the real cumulative PSA population, which skews toward nicer, resubmitted copies, so it overstates the true first-submission gem rate. Full grade-by-grade breakdown below.
Grade-by-grade ROI & risk-adjusted outcomesNet vs raw per target grade, plus the probability-weighted distribution
| Target grade | Est. value | Grading fee | Net vs raw | Multiple |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PSA 10 | $40.94 | $70 | −$30 | 44.0× |
| PSA 8 | $7.50 | $70 | −$63 | 8.1× |
⚖️ Risk-adjusted return
Best case isn't the whole story. Weighting every grade by how often it actually happens, across 50 PSA-graded copies:
| Likely outcome | Chance | Value |
|---|---|---|
| PSA 10 | 0% | $41.00 |
| PSA 9 | 20% | $16.00 |
| PSA ≤8 | 80% | $1.00 |
Net = graded value − raw value − grading cost (tier fee + ~$20 round-trip shipping), using PSA fees as of 2026-06-28; the paused PSA Value tier is excluded so this isn't overstated. Gem rate is estimated from cumulative PSA population, which skews toward nicer, resubmitted copies — so it overstates the true grade rate. Treat it as a guide, not a guarantee.
Population across gradersPSA, CGC & BGS — every grade, with gem rates
Only 25% of 8 PSA-graded Alolan Vulpix copies are a gem-mint 10 (2 of 8) — the rest grade lower.
Real graded population from PSA, CGC & BGS — a lower gem rate means a Alolan Vulpix 10 is harder to pull.
Copies for sale right now
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All grades & conditions
Every grade we pricePSA / CGC / BGS ladder with per-grade population
| Grade | Relative value | Price |
|---|---|---|
| PSA 10pop 2 | $41$41–$41 | |
| PSA 8pop 2 | $8$7–$8 | |
| PSA 7pop 2 | $8$8–$8 |
Raw condition ladderNM → damaged, with real sold medians where we have them
Price by printingBase vs reverse holo vs 1st edition — priced separately
Price by variant
TCGplayer market price per printing — reverse holo, 1st edition and unlimited often differ sharply.
Market dataCross-market spread, EU price, momentum & community buzz
Market signal
Derived from this card's 90-day price history, recent trend and cross-market price gap. Informational, not advice.
🇪🇺 Cardmarket price · Europe
32% cheaper than the USCard textAttacks, abilities, weakness / resistance / retreat
If you have any Fairy Pokémon in play, this Pokémon has no Retreat Cost.
“In hot weather, this Pokémon makes ice shards with its six tails and sprays them around to cool itself off.”
Card detailsSet, rarity, artist, Pokédex & specs
Other Alolan Vulpix cards
There are 7 different Alolan Vulpix printings — make sure you're valuing the right one. This is Lost Thunder #53 (Common).
More from Lost Thunder
Frequently asked questions
How much is Alolan Vulpix (Lost Thunder #53) worth?
As of 21 August 2026, Alolan Vulpix from Lost Thunder is worth approximately $0.93 ungraded (near-mint), and around $41 in PSA 10 gem mint. Values are blended from real Cardmarket, eBay sold and TCGplayer prices and update daily.
What is the PSA 10 price for Alolan Vulpix?
A PSA 10 (gem mint) Alolan Vulpix from Lost Thunder is worth around $41 — roughly 44× the raw ungraded value of $0.93.
Should I grade my Alolan Vulpix?
A PSA 10 sells for about $41 versus $0.93 raw — roughly a 44× uplift. Grading is worth it when that premium comfortably beats the grading fee and the card is clean enough to have a real shot at a 10. See the "Should you grade it?" estimate above for net profit per grade.
Is Alolan Vulpix rare?
Alolan Vulpix is a Common card from Lost Thunder (card #53), illustrated by Naoyo Kimura. Its current blended market value is $0.93 ungraded.
Cite & embed this card
Free to use with attribution to CardTrack.
Alolan Vulpix (Lost Thunder #53) — Pokémon market value $0.93, PSA 10 $40.94. Source: CardTrack, https://cardtrack.com/pokemon/card/lost-thunder/alolan-vulpix-53<iframe src="https://cardtrack.com/embed/card?id=sm8-53" width="100%" height="160" style="border:0;max-width:460px" title="Alolan Vulpix price — CardTrack" loading="lazy"></iframe>
<p style="font:12px system-ui">Source: <a href="https://cardtrack.com">CardTrack</a></p>