Blacephalon-GX
Market value · ungraded
What's your copy worth?
What this price is based on
Medium confidence7 sales in 90 days — enough for a guide, not a guarantee.
Recent Raw sales
- Jul 30, 2026eBay — Blacephalon GX 199/214 Ultra Rare Lost Thunder Pokemon Holo Near MintNM$26.72
- Jul 29, 2026eBay — Pokemon Blacephalon GX 199/214 2018$13.25
- Jul 27, 2026eBay — Pokemon TCG Blacephalon GX 199/214 Lost Thunder Holo Card$13.00
- Jul 21, 2026eBay — Blacephalon GX 199/214 Ultra Rare Lost Thunder Pokemon Holo Near MintNM$26.72
- Jul 14, 2026eBay — Blacephalon GX 199/214 Ultra Rare Lost Thunder Pokemon Holo Near MintNM$30.99
- Jun 28, 2026eBay — Pokemon TCG Blacephalon GX 199/214 Lost Thunder Ultra Rare Pokémon Near MintNM$32.26
- May 26, 2026eBay — Pokemon Blacephalon-GX (199/270) Lost Thunder NM HOLO 2018 See Pix MintyNM$19.99
- May 18, 2026eBay — Blacephalon GX 199/214 - Lost Thunder - Pokemon Card NM/MNM$20.98
By grade
- Raw$23.858 sales
- CGC 9$14.501 sale
- CGC 10$99.991 sale
From 10 completed sales recorded between May 12, 2026 and Jul 30, 2026. Sold prices only — asking prices are never counted.
Grade it or not
GRADE ITBased on 2 graded sales and 4,409,561 pop-report entries for a near-mint copy.
See the numbers — Trader plan and aboveBuy this card
✨ Is it worth it?
An AI market read of this card — value, momentum, grading economics, liquidity. It lays out the data; you decide.
Blacephalon-GX is a Rare Ultra Pokémon card from Lost Thunder (#199), illustrated by 5ban Graphics. It's a Basic GX Ultra Beast Fire-type Pokémon with 180 HP, weak to Water ×2. Its current blended market value is $35.87 ungraded, with a PSA 10 worth around $224 — a gem-mint grading premium of roughly 6× the raw value. Prices are aggregated across marketplaces — raw and graded, updated daily and shown in your local currency.
Prices last updated 21 August 2026.
The receipts
Graded a PSA 10? See its cert-verified sales and price history → — individual sales PSA tied to a specific slab, each with a cert number you can check.
Price history · Raw
We'll email you when this card's value crosses your target.
Verified sales history10 in 90 days✓ real completed listings
| Date | Grade | Price | Cert |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jul 2026 | PSA 9 | $32.00 | #156182387 ✓ |
| 7 Jul 2026 | PSA 9 | $34.00 | #155156652 ✓ |
| 3 Jul 2026 | PSA 10 | $240.00 | #61849120 ✓ |
| 10 Jun 2026 | PSA 9 | $34.99 | #43491028 ✓ |
| 15 May 2026 | PSA 10 | $240.00 | #145296882 ✓ |
| 13 Apr 2026 | PSA 9 | $33.00 | #139322420 ✓ |
| 30 Mar 2026 | PSA 9 | $39.99 | #144614499 ✓ |
| 11 Mar 2026 | PSA 10 | $200.00 | #138327748 ✓ |
| 20 Feb 2026 | PSA 10 | $269.09 | #130159220 ✓ |
| 17 Feb 2026 | PSA 10 | $170.00 | #42930189 ✓ |
Should you grade it?
Expected return across every likely grade, after fees — the realistic average, not the best case. Only 35.8% of copies gem (PSA 10 best case +$116); most land at PSA 9 or below.
The odds
Blacephalon-GX is a Ultra Rare in Lost Thunder — the pack's hit slot lands on Ultra Rare 10% of the time, split across 20 ultra rare cards in the set, so pulling this exact card is roughly 1 in 201 packs.
Estimates only. Pack odds come from CardTrack's pack model (the same one behind the pack simulator) — not an official rate. Grading odds are the real cumulative PSA population, which skews toward nicer, resubmitted copies, so it overstates the true first-submission gem rate. Full grade-by-grade breakdown below.
Grade-by-grade ROI & risk-adjusted outcomesNet vs raw per target grade, plus the probability-weighted distribution
| Target grade | Est. value | Grading fee | Net vs raw | Multiple |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PSA 10 | $224.41 | $72 | +$116 | 6.3× |
| PSA 9 | $34.00 | $70 | −$72 | 0.9× |
| PSA 8 | $9.01 | $70 | −$97 | 0.3× |
⚖️ Risk-adjusted return
Best case isn't the whole story. Weighting every grade by how often it actually happens, across 134 PSA-graded copies:
| Likely outcome | Chance | Value |
|---|---|---|
| PSA 10 | 35.8% | $224.00 |
| PSA 9 | 48.5% | $34.00 |
| PSA ≤8 | 15.7% | $36.00 |
Net = graded value − raw value − grading cost (tier fee + ~$20 round-trip shipping), using PSA fees as of 2026-06-28; the paused PSA Value tier is excluded so this isn't overstated. Gem rate is estimated from cumulative PSA population, which skews toward nicer, resubmitted copies — so it overstates the true grade rate. Treat it as a guide, not a guarantee.
Population across gradersPSA, CGC & BGS — every grade, with gem rates
Only 36% of 134 PSA-graded Blacephalon-GX copies are a gem-mint 10 (48 of 134) — the rest grade lower.
Real graded population from PSA, CGC & BGS — a lower gem rate means a Blacephalon-GX 10 is harder to pull.
Copies for sale right now
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All grades & conditions
Every grade we pricePSA / CGC / BGS ladder with per-grade population
| Grade | Relative value | Price |
|---|---|---|
| PSA 10pop 48 | $224$60–$313 | |
| PSA 8pop 15 | $9$9–$11 |
Raw condition ladderNM → damaged, with real sold medians where we have them
Market dataCross-market spread, EU price, momentum & community buzz
Cross-market prices
158% spreadCurrently 158% cheaper on Cardmarket than TCGplayer. These are independent market prices for the same card — a wide gap can mean a buying opportunity. Informational only, not arbitrage advice.
Market signal
Derived from this card's 90-day price history, recent trend and cross-market price gap. Informational, not advice.
🇪🇺 Cardmarket price · Europe
61% cheaper than the USCard textAttacks, abilities, weakness / resistance / retreat
Your opponent's Active Pokémon is now Burned and Confused.
Put any amount of Fire Energy attached to your Pokémon in the Lost Zone. This attack does 50 damage for each card put in the Lost Zone in this way.
Discard 1 of your Prize cards. If it's an Energy card, attach it to 1 of your Pokémon. (You can't use more than 1 GX attack in a game.)
Pokémon-GX rule: When your Pokémon-GX is Knocked Out, your opponent takes 2 Prize cards.
Card detailsSet, rarity, artist, Pokédex & specs
Other Blacephalon-GX cards
There are 3 different Blacephalon-GX printings — make sure you're valuing the right one. This is Lost Thunder #199 (Rare Ultra).
More from Lost Thunder
Frequently asked questions
How much is Blacephalon-GX (Lost Thunder #199) worth?
As of 21 August 2026, Blacephalon-GX from Lost Thunder is worth approximately $35.87 ungraded (near-mint), and around $224 in PSA 10 gem mint. Values are blended from real Cardmarket, eBay sold and TCGplayer prices and update daily.
What is the PSA 10 price for Blacephalon-GX?
A PSA 10 (gem mint) Blacephalon-GX from Lost Thunder is worth around $224 — roughly 6× the raw ungraded value of $35.87.
Should I grade my Blacephalon-GX?
A PSA 10 sells for about $224 versus $35.87 raw — roughly a 6× uplift. Grading is worth it when that premium comfortably beats the grading fee and the card is clean enough to have a real shot at a 10. See the "Should you grade it?" estimate above for net profit per grade.
Is Blacephalon-GX rare?
Blacephalon-GX is a Rare Ultra card from Lost Thunder (card #199), illustrated by 5ban Graphics. Its current blended market value is $35.87 ungraded.
Cite & embed this card
Free to use with attribution to CardTrack.
Blacephalon-GX (Lost Thunder #199) — Pokémon market value $35.87, PSA 10 $224.41. Source: CardTrack, https://cardtrack.com/pokemon/card/lost-thunder/blacephalon-gx-199<iframe src="https://cardtrack.com/embed/card?id=sm8-199" width="100%" height="160" style="border:0;max-width:460px" title="Blacephalon-GX price — CardTrack" loading="lazy"></iframe>
<p style="font:12px system-ui">Source: <a href="https://cardtrack.com">CardTrack</a></p>