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Check your printing3 different Genesect-GX printings exist — is this your card? Lost Thunder #204
Genesect-GX Lost Thunder #204 Pokémon card
Rare Ultra

Genesect-GX

Lost Thunder · 204/214 · Illustrated by Yoshinobu Saito
180 HPMetalPokémonBasicGX

Market value · ungraded

$7.98 10.2% · 30d
Confidencehigh
Range$7$8
Cert-verified10 PSA sales
Sold prices, not asking. TCGplayer + Cardmarket. Updated 21 August 2026. 3 sources agree within 18%. Estimate, not an appraisalhow we price →

What's your copy worth?

What's your copy worth?
Not sure which condition? Grade it from a photo
Estimated value · Near Mint
$7.98

What this price is based on

Low confidence

Only 1 sale in the last 90 days.

Median · Raw$5.751 sale
Trimmed mean$5.75outliers removed
Range$5.75$5.75lowest to highest sale
Sales rate0.3/mo2 recorded

Recent Raw sales

  • Jul 1, 2026eBay — Pokemon 2018 Lost Thunder Genesect GX FA #204/214$5.75

By grade

  • Raw$5.751 sale
  • CGC 9$10.801 sale

From 2 completed sales recorded between Feb 23, 2026 and Jul 1, 2026. Sold prices only — asking prices are never counted.

Grade it or not

GRADE IT

Based on 1 graded sales and 4,409,561 pop-report entries for a near-mint copy.

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Is it worth it?

An AI market read of this card — value, momentum, grading economics, liquidity. It lays out the data; you decide.

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Genesect-GX is a Rare Ultra Pokémon card from Lost Thunder (#204), illustrated by Yoshinobu Saito. It's a Basic GX Metal-type Pokémon with 180 HP, weak to Fire ×2. Its current blended market value is $7.98 ungraded, with a PSA 10 worth around $145 — a gem-mint grading premium of roughly 18× the raw value. Prices are aggregated across marketplaces — raw and graded, updated daily and shown in your local currency.

Prices last updated 21 August 2026.

The receipts

Graded a PSA 10? See its cert-verified sales and price history — individual sales PSA tied to a specific slab, each with a cert number you can check.

Price history · Raw

1 Sept 202321 Aug 2026
Latest
$7.98
Period high
$8.14
Period low
$3.97
Change
49.2%
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Verified sales history10 in 90 daysreal completed listings

DateGradePriceCert
11 Aug 2026PSA 10$180.00#69316104
29 Jul 2026PSA 10$145.00#141746651
15 Jul 2026PSA 6$11.50#156182396
30 May 2026PSA 10$179.99#126662685
30 May 2026PSA 10$159.99#59997138
23 Apr 2026PSA 10$135.00#138655255
15 Apr 2026PSA 10$100.00#142058357
13 Mar 2026PSA 9$14.54#129447209
8 Feb 2026PSA 9$12.50#136414994
17 Jan 2026PSA 9$22.50#59000859

Should you grade it?

$5

Expected return across every likely grade, after fees — the realistic average, not the best case. Only 47% of copies gem (PSA 10 best case +$66); most land at PSA 9 or below.

Gem rate (est.)47%
Expected return$5
PSA 10 best case+$66
Break-evenPSA 10+
VerdictNot worth it

The odds

Genesect-GX is a Ultra Rare in Lost Thunder — the pack's hit slot lands on Ultra Rare 10% of the time, split across 20 ultra rare cards in the set, so pulling this exact card is roughly 1 in 201 packs.

Ultra Rare10%20 cards
PSA 10 (gem mint)47%71 of 151
PSA 935.1%53 of 151
PSA graded so far151
Gem Mint 1071
Total graded151

Estimates only. Pack odds come from CardTrack's pack model (the same one behind the pack simulator) — not an official rate. Grading odds are the real cumulative PSA population, which skews toward nicer, resubmitted copies, so it overstates the true first-submission gem rate. Full grade-by-grade breakdown below.

Grade-by-grade ROI & risk-adjusted outcomesNet vs raw per target grade, plus the probability-weighted distribution
Target gradeEst. valueGrading feeNet vs rawMultiple
PSA 10$145.00$71+$6618.2×
PSA 9$15.00$70$631.9×
PSA 8$6.87$70$710.9×

⚖️ Risk-adjusted return

Best case isn't the whole story. Weighting every grade by how often it actually happens, across 151 PSA-graded copies:

Likely outcomeChanceValue
PSA 1047%$145.00
PSA 935.1%$15.00
PSA ≤817.9%$8.00

Net = graded value − raw value − grading cost (tier fee + ~$20 round-trip shipping), using PSA fees as of 2026-06-28; the paused PSA Value tier is excluded so this isn't overstated. Gem rate is estimated from cumulative PSA population, which skews toward nicer, resubmitted copies — so it overstates the true grade rate. Treat it as a guide, not a guarantee.

Population across gradersPSA, CGC & BGS — every grade, with gem rates

Only 47% of 151 PSA-graded Genesect-GX copies are a gem-mint 10 (71 of 151) — the rest grade lower.

PSA151 gradedPSA 10 · 71 · 47% gem
1071
953
824
73
CGC230 gradedCGC 10 · 55 · 24% gem
1055
9.510
945
8.570
820

Real graded population from PSA, CGC & BGS — a lower gem rate means a Genesect-GX 10 is harder to pull.

Copies for sale right now

Check recent sold prices

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All grades & conditions

Every grade we pricePSA / CGC / BGS ladder with per-grade population
Graded prices
Ungraded (raw)$7.98
PSA graded price estimates by grade
GradeRelative valuePrice
PSA 10pop 71✓ 21 cert-verified$145$88$200
PSA 9pop 53✓ 5 cert-verified$15$15$22
PSA 8pop 24$7$6$8
“Sold” = median of real recent sold listings at that grade (eBay or Fanatics Collect — hover a badge to see which). Other figures are blended marketplace estimates. Confidence reflects source backing and price spread — not PSA-official values.
Raw condition ladderNM → damaged, with real sold medians where we have them
Raw price by condition
Holofoil · live market via TCGplayer
NMNear Mint$7.98
LPLightly Played$6.12
HPHeavily Played$3.88
DMGDamaged$3.86
7-dayflat
30-day 1.3%
90-day 2.1%
All-time high$8
All-time low$6
What NM / LP / MP actually mean — and how much they cost
Market dataCross-market spread, EU price, momentum & community buzz

Cross-market prices

18% spread
Cardmarket · cheapest$7
PriceCharting$8
TCGplayer · dearest$8

Currently 18% cheaper on Cardmarket than TCGplayer. These are independent market prices for the same card — a wide gap can mean a buying opportunity. Informational only, not arbitrage advice.

Market signal

Momentum · 30dRising +10%
Cross-marketSome gap 18% gap

Derived from this card's 90-day price history, recent trend and cross-market price gap. Informational, not advice.

🇪🇺 Cardmarket price · Europe

16% cheaper than the US
Cardmarket · Europe's largest card market$7
Card textAttacks, abilities, weakness / resistance / retreat
Double DriveAbility

This Pokémon may have up to 2 Pokémon Tool cards attached to it. If it loses this Ability, discard Pokémon Tool cards from it until only 1 remains.

Burst Shot130
Metal · Metal · Colorless
Break Buster-GX190
Metal · Metal · Colorless

This attack's damage isn't affected by Resistance. (You can't use more than 1 GX attack in a game.)

Weakness Fire ×2Resistance Psychic -20Retreat 2

Pokémon-GX rule: When your Pokémon-GX is Knocked Out, your opponent takes 2 Prize cards.

Card detailsSet, rarity, artist, Pokédex & specs
Number#204
RarityRare Ultra
SupertypePokémon
SubtypesBasic, GX
TypeMetal
HP180
WeaknessFire ×2
ResistancePsychic -20
Retreat cost2
National Pokédex#649
Card IDsm8-204
SourceAggregated marketplaces

Other Genesect-GX cards

There are 3 different Genesect-GX printings — make sure you're valuing the right one. This is Lost Thunder #204 (Rare Ultra).

More from Lost Thunder

Frequently asked questions

How much is Genesect-GX (Lost Thunder #204) worth?

As of 21 August 2026, Genesect-GX from Lost Thunder is worth approximately $7.98 ungraded (near-mint), and around $145 in PSA 10 gem mint. Values are blended from real Cardmarket, eBay sold and TCGplayer prices and update daily.

What is the PSA 10 price for Genesect-GX?

A PSA 10 (gem mint) Genesect-GX from Lost Thunder is worth around $145 — roughly 18× the raw ungraded value of $7.98.

Should I grade my Genesect-GX?

A PSA 10 sells for about $145 versus $7.98 raw — roughly a 18× uplift. Grading is worth it when that premium comfortably beats the grading fee and the card is clean enough to have a real shot at a 10. See the "Should you grade it?" estimate above for net profit per grade.

Is Genesect-GX rare?

Genesect-GX is a Rare Ultra card from Lost Thunder (card #204), illustrated by Yoshinobu Saito. Its current blended market value is $7.98 ungraded.

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Citation
Genesect-GX (Lost Thunder #204) — Pokémon market value $7.98, PSA 10 $145.00. Source: CardTrack, https://cardtrack.com/pokemon/card/lost-thunder/genesect-gx-204
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