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Xerneas ◇ Lost Thunder #144 Pokémon card
Rare Prism Star

Xerneas ◇

Lost Thunder · 144/214 · Illustrated by Shin Nagasawa
160 HPFairyPokémonBasicPrism Star

Market value · ungraded

$5.89 14.4% · 30d
Confidencemedium
Range$5$6
Cert-verified10 PSA sales
Sold prices, not asking. TCGplayer. Updated 20 August 2026. 2 sources agree within 14%. Estimate, not an appraisalhow we price →

What's your copy worth?

What's your copy worth?
Not sure which condition? Grade it from a photo
Estimated value · Near Mint
$5.89

What this price is based on

Low confidence

Only 0 sales in the last 90 days.

Median · PSA 10$3963 sales
Trimmed meanoutliers removed
Range$372$480lowest to highest sale
Sales rate0.7/mo4 recorded

Recent PSA 10 sales

  • May 18, 2026Fanatics$396
  • May 18, 2026Fanatics$372
  • Apr 6, 2026Fanatics$480

By grade

  • PSA 10$3963 sales
  • CGC 9$7.201 sale

From 4 completed sales recorded between Feb 9, 2026 and May 18, 2026. Sold prices only — asking prices are never counted.

Grade it or not

GRADE IT

Based on 4 graded sales and 4,409,868 pop-report entries for a near-mint copy.

See the numbers — Trader plan and above

Buy this card

ViewingRaw / ungraded (this page)PSA 10 price page

Is it worth it?

An AI market read of this card — value, momentum, grading economics, liquidity. It lays out the data; you decide.

Sign in to analyse

Xerneas ◇ is a Rare Prism Star Pokémon card from Lost Thunder (#144), illustrated by Shin Nagasawa. It's a Basic Prism Star Fairy-type Pokémon with 160 HP, weak to Metal ×2. Its current blended market value is $5.89 ungraded, with a PSA 10 worth around $480 — a gem-mint grading premium of roughly 81× the raw value. Prices are aggregated across marketplaces — raw and graded, updated daily and shown in your local currency.

Prices last updated 20 August 2026.

0.1%
Played in 0.1% of competitive decks — 3 of 3,174 decklists across the last 41 Standard tournaments.

The receipts

Graded a PSA 10? See its cert-verified sales and price history — individual sales PSA tied to a specific slab, each with a cert number you can check.

Price history · Raw

23 May 202620 Aug 2026
Latest
$5.89
Period high
$6.19
Period low
$4.60
Change
28.0%
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Verified sales history10 in 90 daysreal completed listings

DateGradePriceCert
24 Jul 2026PSA 8$25.00#146505984
9 Jul 2026PSA 10$625.00#58459630
8 Jul 2026PSA 10$570.00#58459622
4 Jul 2026PSA 8$24.99#120263875
18 Jun 2026PSA 9$10.50#58459621
11 Jun 2026PSA 9$30.00#55209977
3 Jun 2026PSA 9$14.50#58459631
18 May 2026PSA 8$12.33#140776123
18 May 2026PSA 8$12.00#143273737
18 May 2026PSA 10$396.00#58459632

Should you grade it?

+$8

Expected return across every likely grade, after fees — the realistic average, not the best case. Only 15.3% of copies gem (PSA 10 best case +$399); most land at PSA 9 or below.

Gem rate (est.)15.3%
Expected return+$8
PSA 10 best case+$399
Break-evenPSA 10+
VerdictWorth grading

The odds

Xerneas ◇ is a Secret / Rainbow in Lost Thunder — the pack's hit slot lands on Secret / Rainbow 2.5% of the time, split across 29 secret / rainbow cards in the set, so pulling this exact card is roughly 1 in 1,166 packs.

Secret / Rainbow2.5%29 cards
PSA 10 (gem mint)15.3%47 of 307
PSA 948.9%150 of 307
PSA graded so far307
Gem Mint 1047
Total graded307

Estimates only. Pack odds come from CardTrack's pack model (the same one behind the pack simulator) — not an official rate. Grading odds are the real cumulative PSA population, which skews toward nicer, resubmitted copies, so it overstates the true first-submission gem rate. Full grade-by-grade breakdown below.

Grade-by-grade ROI & risk-adjusted outcomesNet vs raw per target grade, plus the probability-weighted distribution
Target gradeEst. valueGrading feeNet vs rawMultiple
PSA 10$480.00$75+$39981.5×
PSA 9$26.00$70$504.4×
PSA 8$25.00$70$514.2×

⚖️ Risk-adjusted return

Best case isn't the whole story. Weighting every grade by how often it actually happens, across 307 PSA-graded copies:

Likely outcomeChanceValue
PSA 1015.3%$480.00
PSA 948.9%$26.00
PSA ≤835.8%$6.00

Net = graded value − raw value − grading cost (tier fee + ~$20 round-trip shipping), using PSA fees as of 2026-06-28; the paused PSA Value tier is excluded so this isn't overstated. Gem rate is estimated from cumulative PSA population, which skews toward nicer, resubmitted copies — so it overstates the true grade rate. Treat it as a guide, not a guarantee.

Population across gradersPSA, CGC & BGS — every grade, with gem rates

Only 15% of 307 PSA-graded Xerneas ◇ copies are a gem-mint 10 (47 of 307) — the rest grade lower.

PSA307 gradedPSA 10 · 47 · 15% gem
1047
9150
888
715
63
52
32
CGC730 gradedCGC 10 · 60 · 8% gem
1060
9.510
9270
8.5205
890

Real graded population from PSA, CGC & BGS — a lower gem rate means a Xerneas ◇ 10 is harder to pull.

Copies for sale right now

Check recent sold prices

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All grades & conditions

Every grade we pricePSA / CGC / BGS ladder with per-grade population
Graded prices
Ungraded (raw)$5.73
PSA graded price estimates by grade
GradeRelative valuePrice
PSA 10pop 47✓ 15 cert-verified$480$332$480
PSA 9pop 150✓ 14 cert-verified$26$11$40
PSA 8pop 88✓ 11 cert-verified$25$16$25
“Sold” = median of real recent sold listings at that grade (eBay or Fanatics Collect — hover a badge to see which). Other figures are blended marketplace estimates. Confidence reflects source backing and price spread — not PSA-official values.
Raw condition ladderNM → damaged, with real sold medians where we have them
Raw price by condition
Holofoil · live market via TCGplayer
NMNear Mint$5.89
LPLightly Played$3.88
MPModerately Played$2.49
HPHeavily Played$2.03
DMGDamaged$1.26
7-day 0.9%
30-day 26.4%
90-day 63.8%
All-time high$6
All-time low$1
What NM / LP / MP actually mean — and how much they cost
Market dataCross-market spread, EU price, momentum & community buzz

Cross-market prices

14% spread
PriceCharting · cheapest$5
TCGplayer · dearest$6

Currently 14% cheaper on PriceCharting than TCGplayer. These are independent market prices for the same card — a wide gap can mean a buying opportunity. Informational only, not arbitrage advice.

Market signal

Momentum · 30dRising +14%
Volatility · 90dModerate ±7%
Cross-marketSome gap 14% gap
90d low $5mid-range$6 high

Derived from this card's 90-day price history, recent trend and cross-market price gap. Informational, not advice.

🔥 Trending in the community

#136 on the radar
Mentions this week1

Xerneas is one of the most-talked-about Pokémon right now across the Pokémon investing & TCG subreddits. See the hype radar →

What people are saying: Mid Era Secret Gold Rares · 96↑

Card textAttacks, abilities, weakness / resistance / retreat
Path of LifeAbility

Once during your turn, when this Pokémon moves from your Bench to become your Active Pokémon, you may move any number of Energy from your other Pokémon to it.

Bright Horns160
Fairy · Fairy · Fairy

This Pokémon can't use Bright Horns during your next turn.

Weakness Metal ×2Resistance Darkness -20Retreat 2

◇ (Prism Star) Rule: You can't have more than 1 ◇ card with the same name in your deck. If a ◇ card would go to the discard pile, put it in the Lost Zone instead.

When the horns on its head shine in seven colors, it is said to be sharing everlasting life.

About the PokémonSpecies, generation, evolution line
Life PokémonGEN VILegendary

Legends say it can share eternal life. It slept for a thousand years in the form of a tree before its revival.

Card detailsSet, rarity, artist, Pokédex & specs
Number#144
RarityRare Prism Star
SupertypePokémon
SubtypesBasic, Prism Star
TypeFairy
HP160
WeaknessMetal ×2
ResistanceDarkness -20
Retreat cost2
National Pokédex#716
Card IDsm8-144
SourceAggregated marketplaces

More from Lost Thunder

Frequently asked questions

How much is Xerneas ◇ (Lost Thunder #144) worth?

As of 20 August 2026, Xerneas ◇ from Lost Thunder is worth approximately $5.89 ungraded (near-mint), and around $480 in PSA 10 gem mint. Values are blended from real Cardmarket, eBay sold and TCGplayer prices and update daily.

What is the PSA 10 price for Xerneas ◇?

A PSA 10 (gem mint) Xerneas ◇ from Lost Thunder is worth around $480 — roughly 81× the raw ungraded value of $5.89.

Should I grade my Xerneas ◇?

A PSA 10 sells for about $480 versus $5.89 raw — roughly a 81× uplift. Grading is worth it when that premium comfortably beats the grading fee and the card is clean enough to have a real shot at a 10. See the "Should you grade it?" estimate above for net profit per grade.

Is Xerneas ◇ rare?

Xerneas ◇ is a Rare Prism Star card from Lost Thunder (card #144), illustrated by Shin Nagasawa. Its current blended market value is $5.89 ungraded.

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Citation
Xerneas ◇ (Lost Thunder #144) — Pokémon market value $5.89, PSA 10 $480.00. Source: CardTrack, https://cardtrack.com/pokemon/card/lost-thunder/xerneas-144
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