Market value · ungraded
What's your copy worth?
What this price is based on
High confidence709 sales in 90 days, closely clustered.
Recent CGC 10 sales
- Jul 27, 2026Fanatics$88.80
- Jul 27, 2026Fanatics$62.40
- Jul 27, 2026Fanatics$62.40
- Jul 27, 2026Fanatics$69.60
- Jul 27, 2026Fanatics$67.20
- Jul 27, 2026Fanatics$67.20
- Jul 27, 2026Fanatics$67.20
- Jul 27, 2026Fanatics$67.20
By grade
- CGC 10$31.20888 sales
- CGC 9$14.40176 sales
- CGC 9.5$15.6042 sales
- CGC 8.5$12.0034 sales
- CGC 8$9.6016 sales
- CGC 9.6$21.009 sales
- CGC 7$8.404 sales
- CGC 6$6.003 sales
From 1,179 completed sales recorded between Apr 6, 2026 and Jul 27, 2026. Sold prices only — asking prices are never counted. The range is wide because these sales span different printings and conditions — 1st Edition, Shadowless and Unlimited copies all carry this card's name, and they trade at very different levels. Each sale above is labelled with what its listing claimed, so you can see which ones describe the same object. Treat the median as the typical copy, not the range.
Grade it or not
NOT WORTH ITBased on 1,178 graded sales and 5,111,471 pop-report entries for a near-mint copy.
See the numbers — Trader plan and aboveBuy this card
✨ Is it worth it?
An AI market read of this card — value, momentum, grading economics, liquidity. It lays out the data; you decide.
Mega Charizard X ex is a Promo Pokémon card from Mega Evolution Black Star Promos (#29), illustrated by takuyoa. Its current blended market value is $3.87 ungraded, with a PSA 10 worth around $84 — a gem-mint grading premium of roughly 22× the raw value. Prices are aggregated across marketplaces — raw and graded, updated daily and shown in your local currency.
Prices last updated 20 August 2026.
The receipts
Price history · Raw
We'll email you when this card's value crosses your target.
Verified sales history10 in 90 days✓ real completed listings
| Date | Grade | Price | Cert |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug 2026 | PSA 10 | $95.99 | #160486252 ✓ |
| 16 Aug 2026 | PSA 10 | $71.00 | #163711826 ✓ |
| 16 Aug 2026 | PSA 10 | $72.00 | #169239958 ✓ |
| 16 Aug 2026 | PSA 10 | $66.00 | #155019954 ✓ |
| 16 Aug 2026 | PSA 10 | $59.00 | #154784440 ✓ |
| 16 Aug 2026 | PSA 10 | $72.00 | #155019951 ✓ |
| 16 Aug 2026 | PSA 9 | $23.53 | #165889686 ✓ |
| 16 Aug 2026 | PSA 9 | $18.50 | #167760773 ✓ |
| 16 Aug 2026 | PSA 9 | $24.50 | #165889685 ✓ |
| 14 Aug 2026 | PSA 9 | $19.46 | #167871170 ✓ |
Should you grade it?
Expected return across every likely grade, after fees — the realistic average, not the best case. Only 64.7% of copies gem (PSA 10 best case +$9); most land at PSA 9 or below.
The odds
Mega Charizard X ex is a Commoncard — a guaranteed slot in every pack, not a rarity gamble, so there's no pull-odds figure for it.
Estimates only. Pack odds come from CardTrack's pack model (the same one behind the pack simulator) — not an official rate. Grading odds are the real cumulative PSA population, which skews toward nicer, resubmitted copies, so it overstates the true first-submission gem rate. Full grade-by-grade breakdown below.
Grade-by-grade ROI & risk-adjusted outcomesNet vs raw per target grade, plus the probability-weighted distribution
| Target grade | Est. value | Grading fee | Net vs raw | Multiple |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PSA 10 | $84.00 | $71 | +$9 | 21.7× |
| PSA 9 | $29.00 | $70 | −$45 | 7.5× |
| PSA 8 | $11.00 | $70 | −$63 | 2.8× |
⚖️ Risk-adjusted return
Best case isn't the whole story. Weighting every grade by how often it actually happens, across 694 PSA-graded copies:
| Likely outcome | Chance | Value |
|---|---|---|
| PSA 10 | 64.7% | $84.00 |
| PSA 9 | 30.1% | $29.00 |
| PSA ≤8 | 5.2% | $4.00 |
Net = graded value − raw value − grading cost (tier fee + ~$20 round-trip shipping), using PSA fees as of 2026-06-28; the paused PSA Value tier is excluded so this isn't overstated. Gem rate is estimated from cumulative PSA population, which skews toward nicer, resubmitted copies — so it overstates the true grade rate. Treat it as a guide, not a guarantee.
Population across gradersPSA, CGC & BGS — every grade, with gem rates
Only 65% of 694 PSA-graded Mega Charizard X ex copies are a gem-mint 10 (449 of 694) — the rest grade lower.
Real graded population from PSA, CGC & BGS — a lower gem rate means a Mega Charizard X ex 10 is harder to pull.
Copies for sale right now
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All grades & conditions
Every grade we pricePSA / CGC / BGS ladder with per-grade population
| Grade | Relative value | Price |
|---|---|---|
| PSA 10pop 449 | ✓ 163 cert-verified$84$84–$150 | |
| PSA 9pop 209 | ✓ 30 cert-verified$29$29–$40 | |
| PSA 8pop 26 | ✓ 5 cert-verified$11$11–$20 |
Raw condition ladderNM → damaged, with real sold medians where we have them
Market dataCross-market spread, EU price, momentum & community buzz
Cross-market prices
27% spreadCurrently 27% cheaper on TCGplayer than PriceCharting. These are independent market prices for the same card — a wide gap can mean a buying opportunity. Informational only, not arbitrage advice.
Market signal
Derived from this card's 90-day price history, recent trend and cross-market price gap. Informational, not advice.
🔥 Trending in the community
#2 on the radarCharizard is one of the most-talked-about Pokémon right now across the Pokémon investing & TCG subreddits. See the hype radar →
What people are saying: “I had no clue my prized card was so sought after until today 😳” · 436↑
About the PokémonSpecies, generation, evolution line
It is said that Charizard’s fire burns hotter if it has experienced harsh battles.
Card detailsSet, rarity, artist, Pokédex & specs
Other Mega Charizard X ex cards
There are 6 different Mega Charizard X ex printings — make sure you're valuing the right one. This is Mega Evolution Black Star Promos #29 (Promo).
More from Mega Evolution Black Star Promos
Frequently asked questions
How much is Mega Charizard X ex (Mega Evolution Black Star Promos #29) worth?
As of 20 August 2026, Mega Charizard X ex from Mega Evolution Black Star Promos is worth approximately $3.87 ungraded (near-mint), and around $84 in PSA 10 gem mint. Values are blended from real Cardmarket, eBay sold and TCGplayer prices and update daily.
What is the PSA 10 price for Mega Charizard X ex?
A PSA 10 (gem mint) Mega Charizard X ex from Mega Evolution Black Star Promos is worth around $84 — roughly 22× the raw ungraded value of $3.87.
Should I grade my Mega Charizard X ex?
A PSA 10 sells for about $84 versus $3.87 raw — roughly a 22× uplift. Grading is worth it when that premium comfortably beats the grading fee and the card is clean enough to have a real shot at a 10. See the "Should you grade it?" estimate above for net profit per grade.
Is Mega Charizard X ex rare?
Mega Charizard X ex is a Promo card from Mega Evolution Black Star Promos (card #29), illustrated by takuyoa. Its current blended market value is $3.87 ungraded.
Cite & embed this card
Free to use with attribution to CardTrack.
Mega Charizard X ex (Mega Evolution Black Star Promos #29) — Pokémon market value $3.87, PSA 10 $84.00. Source: CardTrack, https://cardtrack.com/pokemon/card/mega-evolution-black-star-promos/mega-charizard-x-ex-29<iframe src="https://cardtrack.com/embed/card?id=mep-29" width="100%" height="160" style="border:0;max-width:460px" title="Mega Charizard X ex price — CardTrack" loading="lazy"></iframe>
<p style="font:12px system-ui">Source: <a href="https://cardtrack.com">CardTrack</a></p>