Market value · ungraded
What's your copy worth?
What this price is based on
High confidence274 sales in 90 days, closely clustered.
Recent CGC 10 sales
- Jul 27, 2026Fanatics$48.00
- Jul 27, 2026Fanatics$50.40
- Jul 27, 2026Fanatics$72.00
- Jul 27, 2026Fanatics$18.00
- Jul 27, 2026Fanatics$18.00
- Jul 27, 2026Fanatics$19.20
- Jul 27, 2026Fanatics$19.20
- Jul 27, 2026Fanatics$19.20
By grade
- CGC 10$28.80352 sales
- CGC 9$13.2039 sales
- CGC 9.5$10.8033 sales
- PSA 9$49.205 sales
- CGC 8.5$12.004 sales
- CGC 8$13.804 sales
- PSA 10$1153 sales
- CGC 9.6$18.001 sale
From 443 completed sales recorded between Apr 20, 2026 and Jul 27, 2026. Sold prices only — asking prices are never counted. The range is wide because these sales span different printings and conditions — 1st Edition, Shadowless and Unlimited copies all carry this card's name, and they trade at very different levels. Each sale above is labelled with what its listing claimed, so you can see which ones describe the same object. Treat the median as the typical copy, not the range.
Grade it or not
GRADE ITBased on 443 graded sales and 5,111,263 pop-report entries for a near-mint copy.
See the numbers — Trader plan and aboveBuy this card
✨ Is it worth it?
An AI market read of this card — value, momentum, grading economics, liquidity. It lays out the data; you decide.
Popplio is a Promo Pokémon card from Mega Evolution Black Star Promos (#45), illustrated by Saboteri. Its current blended market value is $6.19 ungraded, with a PSA 10 worth around $68 — a gem-mint grading premium of roughly 11× the raw value. Prices are aggregated across marketplaces — raw and graded, updated daily and shown in your local currency.
Prices last updated 21 August 2026.
The receipts
Graded a PSA 10? See its cert-verified sales and price history → — individual sales PSA tied to a specific slab, each with a cert number you can check.
Price history · Raw
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Verified sales history10 in 90 days✓ real completed listings
| Date | Grade | Price | Cert |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug 2026 | PSA 9 | $15.50 | #164814761 ✓ |
| 16 Aug 2026 | PSA 9 | $20.00 | #164078548 ✓ |
| 16 Aug 2026 | PSA 9 | $14.00 | #157965542 ✓ |
| 16 Aug 2026 | PSA 9 | $14.00 | #157295420 ✓ |
| 16 Aug 2026 | PSA 9 | $20.50 | #164538589 ✓ |
| 16 Aug 2026 | PSA 10 | $47.00 | #168334819 ✓ |
| 16 Aug 2026 | PSA 10 | $62.00 | #168334818 ✓ |
| 16 Aug 2026 | PSA 10 | $54.07 | #166636738 ✓ |
| 16 Aug 2026 | PSA 10 | $60.00 | #160923111 ✓ |
| 16 Aug 2026 | PSA 5 | $18.50 | #167181956 ✓ |
Should you grade it?
Expected return across every likely grade, after fees — the realistic average, not the best case. Only 72.4% of copies gem (PSA 10 best case −$9); most land at PSA 9 or below.
The odds
Popplio is a Commoncard — a guaranteed slot in every pack, not a rarity gamble, so there's no pull-odds figure for it.
Estimates only. Pack odds come from CardTrack's pack model (the same one behind the pack simulator) — not an official rate. Grading odds are the real cumulative PSA population, which skews toward nicer, resubmitted copies, so it overstates the true first-submission gem rate. Full grade-by-grade breakdown below.
Grade-by-grade ROI & risk-adjusted outcomesNet vs raw per target grade, plus the probability-weighted distribution
| Target grade | Est. value | Grading fee | Net vs raw | Multiple |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PSA 10 | $68.00 | $71 | −$9 | 11.0× |
| PSA 9 | $21.40 | $70 | −$55 | 3.5× |
⚖️ Risk-adjusted return
Best case isn't the whole story. Weighting every grade by how often it actually happens, across 486 PSA-graded copies:
| Likely outcome | Chance | Value |
|---|---|---|
| PSA 10 | 72.4% | $68.00 |
| PSA 9 | 26.3% | $21.00 |
| PSA ≤8 | 1.2% | $6.00 |
Net = graded value − raw value − grading cost (tier fee + ~$20 round-trip shipping), using PSA fees as of 2026-06-28; the paused PSA Value tier is excluded so this isn't overstated. Gem rate is estimated from cumulative PSA population, which skews toward nicer, resubmitted copies — so it overstates the true grade rate. Treat it as a guide, not a guarantee.
Population across gradersPSA, CGC & BGS — every grade, with gem rates
Only 72% of 486 PSA-graded Popplio copies are a gem-mint 10 (352 of 486) — the rest grade lower.
Real graded population from PSA, CGC & BGS — a lower gem rate means a Popplio 10 is harder to pull.
Copies for sale right now
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All grades & conditions
Every grade we pricePSA / CGC / BGS ladder with per-grade population
| Grade | Relative value | Price |
|---|---|---|
| PSA 10pop 352 | ✓ 262 cert-verified$68$68–$125 | |
| PSA 9pop 128 | $21$18–$25 |
Raw condition ladderNM → damaged, with real sold medians where we have them
For context: a graded PSA 7 slab of this card sells for about $13 (cert-verified) — a heavily-played raw copy shouldn't cost much more than that.
Market dataCross-market spread, EU price, momentum & community buzz
Cross-market prices
12% spreadCurrently 12% cheaper on TCGplayer than PriceCharting. These are independent market prices for the same card — a wide gap can mean a buying opportunity. Informational only, not arbitrage advice.
Market signal
Derived from this card's 90-day price history, recent trend and cross-market price gap. Informational, not advice.
About the PokémonSpecies, generation, evolution line
Card detailsSet, rarity, artist, Pokédex & specs
Other Popplio cards
There are 8 different Popplio printings — make sure you're valuing the right one. This is Mega Evolution Black Star Promos #45 (Promo).
More from Mega Evolution Black Star Promos
Frequently asked questions
How much is Popplio (Mega Evolution Black Star Promos #45) worth?
As of 21 August 2026, Popplio from Mega Evolution Black Star Promos is worth approximately $6.19 ungraded (near-mint), and around $68 in PSA 10 gem mint. Values are blended from real Cardmarket, eBay sold and TCGplayer prices and update daily.
What is the PSA 10 price for Popplio?
A PSA 10 (gem mint) Popplio from Mega Evolution Black Star Promos is worth around $68 — roughly 11× the raw ungraded value of $6.19.
Should I grade my Popplio?
A PSA 10 sells for about $68 versus $6.19 raw — roughly a 11× uplift. Grading is worth it when that premium comfortably beats the grading fee and the card is clean enough to have a real shot at a 10. See the "Should you grade it?" estimate above for net profit per grade.
Is Popplio rare?
Popplio is a Promo card from Mega Evolution Black Star Promos (card #45), illustrated by Saboteri. Its current blended market value is $6.19 ungraded.
Cite & embed this card
Free to use with attribution to CardTrack.
Popplio (Mega Evolution Black Star Promos #45) — Pokémon market value $6.19, PSA 10 $68.00. Source: CardTrack, https://cardtrack.com/pokemon/card/mega-evolution-black-star-promos/popplio-45<iframe src="https://cardtrack.com/embed/card?id=mep-45" width="100%" height="160" style="border:0;max-width:460px" title="Popplio price — CardTrack" loading="lazy"></iframe>
<p style="font:12px system-ui">Source: <a href="https://cardtrack.com">CardTrack</a></p>