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✨ Is it worth it?
An AI market read of this card — value, momentum, grading economics, liquidity. It lays out the data; you decide.
Lapras is a Uncommon Pokémon card from Obsidian Flames (#45), illustrated by matazo. It's a Basic Water-type Pokémon with 110 HP, weak to Metal ×2. Its current blended market value is $0.16 ungraded, with a PSA 10 worth around $120 — a gem-mint grading premium of roughly 750× the raw value. Prices are aggregated across marketplaces — raw and graded, updated daily and shown in your local currency.
Prices last updated 20 August 2026.
The receipts
Price history · Raw
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Verified sales history4 in 90 days✓ real completed listings
| Date | Grade | Price | Cert |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jun 2026 | PSA 9 | $29.00 | #143387936 ✓ |
| 20 Jun 2026 | PSA 10 | $124.99 | #141750115 ✓ |
| 7 May 2026 | PSA 10 | $125.00 | #141750113 ✓ |
| 27 Nov 2025 | PSA 10 | $86.00 | #121855346 ✓ |
Should you grade it?
Expected return across every likely grade, after fees — the realistic average, not the best case. Only 46.2% of copies gem (PSA 10 best case +$49); most land at PSA 9 or below.
The odds
Lapras is a Uncommoncard — a guaranteed slot in every pack, not a rarity gamble, so there's no pull-odds figure for it.
Estimates only. Pack odds come from CardTrack's pack model (the same one behind the pack simulator) — not an official rate. Grading odds are the real cumulative PSA population, which skews toward nicer, resubmitted copies, so it overstates the true first-submission gem rate. Full grade-by-grade breakdown below.
Grade-by-grade ROI & risk-adjusted outcomesNet vs raw per target grade, plus the probability-weighted distribution
| Target grade | Est. value | Grading fee | Net vs raw | Multiple |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PSA 10 | $119.99 | $71 | +$49 | 749.9× |
| PSA 9 | $12.00 | $70 | −$58 | 75.0× |
⚖️ Risk-adjusted return
Best case isn't the whole story. Weighting every grade by how often it actually happens, across 13 PSA-graded copies:
| Likely outcome | Chance | Value |
|---|---|---|
| PSA 10 | 46.2% | $120.00 |
| PSA 9 | 46.2% | $12.00 |
| PSA ≤8 | 7.7% | $0.00 |
Net = graded value − raw value − grading cost (tier fee + ~$20 round-trip shipping), using PSA fees as of 2026-06-28; the paused PSA Value tier is excluded so this isn't overstated. Gem rate is estimated from cumulative PSA population, which skews toward nicer, resubmitted copies — so it overstates the true grade rate. Treat it as a guide, not a guarantee.
Population across gradersPSA, CGC & BGS — every grade, with gem rates
Only 46% of 13 PSA-graded Lapras copies are a gem-mint 10 (6 of 13) — the rest grade lower.
Real graded population from PSA, CGC & BGS — a lower gem rate means a Lapras 10 is harder to pull.
Copies for sale right now
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All grades & conditions
Every grade we pricePSA / CGC / BGS ladder with per-grade population
| Grade | Relative value | Price |
|---|---|---|
| PSA 10pop 6 | $120$102–$138 | |
| PSA 9pop 6 | $12$12–$12 |
Raw condition ladderNM → damaged, with real sold medians where we have them
Price by printingBase vs reverse holo vs 1st edition — priced separately
Price by variant
TCGplayer market price per printing — reverse holo, 1st edition and unlimited often differ sharply.
Market dataCross-market spread, EU price, momentum & community buzz
Cross-market prices
129% spreadCurrently 129% cheaper on Cardmarket than TCGplayer. These are independent market prices for the same card — a wide gap can mean a buying opportunity. Informational only, not arbitrage advice.
Market signal
Derived from this card's 90-day price history, recent trend and cross-market price gap. Informational, not advice.
🇪🇺 Cardmarket price · Europe
56% cheaper than the US🔥 Trending in the community
#55 on the radarLapras is one of the most-talked-about Pokémon right now across the Pokémon investing & TCG subreddits. See the hype radar →
What people are saying: “Sharing my (US) Fossil Grandmaster Set” · 90↑
Card textAttacks, abilities, weakness / resistance / retreat
This attack does 10 damage to each of your opponent's Pokémon. (Don't apply Weakness and Resistance for Benched Pokémon.)
“Crossing icy seas is no issue for this cold-resistant Pokémon. Its smooth skin is a little cool to the touch.”
About the PokémonSpecies, generation, evolution line
A POKéMON that has been over hunted almost to extinction. It can ferry people across the water.
Card detailsSet, rarity, artist, Pokédex & specs
Other Lapras cards
There are 9 different Lapras printings — make sure you're valuing the right one. This is Obsidian Flames #45 (Uncommon).
More from Obsidian Flames
Frequently asked questions
How much is Lapras (Obsidian Flames #45) worth?
As of 20 August 2026, Lapras from Obsidian Flames is worth approximately $0.16 ungraded (near-mint), and around $120 in PSA 10 gem mint. Values are blended from real Cardmarket, eBay sold and TCGplayer prices and update daily.
What is the PSA 10 price for Lapras?
A PSA 10 (gem mint) Lapras from Obsidian Flames is worth around $120 — roughly 750× the raw ungraded value of $0.16.
Should I grade my Lapras?
A PSA 10 sells for about $120 versus $0.16 raw — roughly a 750× uplift. Grading is worth it when that premium comfortably beats the grading fee and the card is clean enough to have a real shot at a 10. See the "Should you grade it?" estimate above for net profit per grade.
Is Lapras rare?
Lapras is a Uncommon card from Obsidian Flames (card #45), illustrated by matazo. Its current blended market value is $0.16 ungraded.
Cite & embed this card
Free to use with attribution to CardTrack.
Lapras (Obsidian Flames #45) — Pokémon market value $0.16, PSA 10 $119.99. Source: CardTrack, https://cardtrack.com/pokemon/card/obsidian-flames/lapras-45<iframe src="https://cardtrack.com/embed/card?id=sv3-45" width="100%" height="160" style="border:0;max-width:460px" title="Lapras price — CardTrack" loading="lazy"></iframe>
<p style="font:12px system-ui">Source: <a href="https://cardtrack.com">CardTrack</a></p>