Market value · ungraded
What's your copy worth?
What this price is based on
Low confidenceOnly 0 sales in the last 90 days.
Recent PSA 10 sales
- Feb 9, 2026Fanatics$54.00
From 1 completed sales recorded between Feb 9, 2026 and Feb 9, 2026. Sold prices only — asking prices are never counted.
Grade it or not
NOT WORTH ITBased on 1 graded sales and 5,110,777 pop-report entries for a near-mint copy.
See the numbers — Trader plan and aboveBuy this card
✨ Is it worth it?
An AI market read of this card — value, momentum, grading economics, liquidity. It lays out the data; you decide.
Palafin is a Shiny Rare Pokémon card from Paldean Fates (#124), illustrated by Shin Nagasawa. It's a Stage 1 Water-type Pokémon with 150 HP, evolving from Finizen, weak to Lightning ×2. Its current blended market value is $3.41 ungraded, with a PSA 10 worth around $50 — a gem-mint grading premium of roughly 15× the raw value. Prices are aggregated across marketplaces — raw and graded, updated daily and shown in your local currency.
Prices last updated 21 August 2026.
The receipts
Price history · Raw
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Verified sales history10 in 90 days✓ real completed listings
| Date | Grade | Price | Cert |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Aug 2026 | PSA 10 | $49.99 | #119239723 ✓ |
| 10 Jul 2026 | PSA 10 | $88.00 | #95016915 ✓ |
| 31 May 2026 | PSA 9 | $12.99 | #111576466 ✓ |
| 17 Apr 2026 | PSA 10 | $50.00 | #99305459 ✓ |
| 29 Mar 2026 | PSA 10 | $49.98 | #90976884 ✓ |
| 7 Mar 2026 | PSA 10 | $45.96 | #116176782 ✓ |
| 9 Feb 2026 | PSA 10 | $54.00 | #107273977 ✓ |
| 14 Jan 2026 | PSA 9 | $14.50 | #127932324 ✓ |
| 1 Jan 2026 | PSA 9 | $18.50 | #119355519 ✓ |
| 23 Dec 2025 | PSA 8 | $9.95 | #97096643 ✓ |
Should you grade it?
Expected return across every likely grade, after fees — the realistic average, not the best case. Only 65% of copies gem (PSA 10 best case −$24); most land at PSA 9 or below.
The odds
Palafin is a Rare in Paldean Fates — the pack's hit slot lands on Rare 59.7% of the time, split across 136 rare cards in the set, so pulling this exact card is roughly 1 in 228 packs.
Estimates only. Pack odds come from CardTrack's pack model (the same one behind the pack simulator) — not an official rate. Grading odds are the real cumulative PSA population, which skews toward nicer, resubmitted copies, so it overstates the true first-submission gem rate. Full grade-by-grade breakdown below.
Grade-by-grade ROI & risk-adjusted outcomesNet vs raw per target grade, plus the probability-weighted distribution
| Target grade | Est. value | Grading fee | Net vs raw | Multiple |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PSA 10 | $49.98 | $70 | −$24 | 14.7× |
| PSA 9 | $13.30 | $70 | −$60 | 3.9× |
| PSA 8 | $9.95 | $70 | −$64 | 2.9× |
⚖️ Risk-adjusted return
Best case isn't the whole story. Weighting every grade by how often it actually happens, across 103 PSA-graded copies:
| Likely outcome | Chance | Value |
|---|---|---|
| PSA 10 | 65% | $50.00 |
| PSA 9 | 32% | $13.00 |
| PSA ≤8 | 2.9% | $3.00 |
Net = graded value − raw value − grading cost (tier fee + ~$20 round-trip shipping), using PSA fees as of 2026-06-28; the paused PSA Value tier is excluded so this isn't overstated. Gem rate is estimated from cumulative PSA population, which skews toward nicer, resubmitted copies — so it overstates the true grade rate. Treat it as a guide, not a guarantee.
Population across gradersPSA, CGC & BGS — every grade, with gem rates
Only 65% of 103 PSA-graded Palafin copies are a gem-mint 10 (67 of 103) — the rest grade lower.
Real graded population from PSA, CGC & BGS — a lower gem rate means a Palafin 10 is harder to pull.
Copies for sale right now
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All grades & conditions
Every grade we pricePSA / CGC / BGS ladder with per-grade population
| Grade | Relative value | Price |
|---|---|---|
| PSA 10pop 67 | $50$42–$57 | |
| PSA 9pop 33 | $13$8–$15 | |
| PSA 8pop 3 | $10$10–$10 |
Raw condition ladderNM → damaged, with real sold medians where we have them
Market dataCross-market spread, EU price, momentum & community buzz
Cross-market prices
35% spreadCurrently 35% cheaper on Cardmarket than TCGplayer. These are independent market prices for the same card — a wide gap can mean a buying opportunity. Informational only, not arbitrage advice.
Market signal
Derived from this card's 90-day price history, recent trend and cross-market price gap. Informational, not advice.
🇪🇺 Cardmarket price · Europe
26% cheaper than the USCard textAttacks, abilities, weakness / resistance / retreat
Evolves from Finizen.
This attack also does 30 damage to 1 of your opponent's Benched Pokémon. (Don't apply Weakness and Resistance for Benched Pokémon.)
If this Pokémon didn't move from the Bench to the Active Spot this turn, this attack does nothing.
“This Pokémon's ancient genes have awakened. It is now so extraordinarily strong that it can easily lift a cruise ship with one fin.”
About the PokémonSpecies, generation, evolution line
Card detailsSet, rarity, artist, Pokédex & specs
Other Palafin cards
There are 7 different Palafin printings — make sure you're valuing the right one. This is Paldean Fates #124 (Shiny Rare).
More from Paldean Fates
Frequently asked questions
How much is Palafin (Paldean Fates #124) worth?
As of 21 August 2026, Palafin from Paldean Fates is worth approximately $3.41 ungraded (near-mint), and around $50 in PSA 10 gem mint. Values are blended from real Cardmarket, eBay sold and TCGplayer prices and update daily.
What is the PSA 10 price for Palafin?
A PSA 10 (gem mint) Palafin from Paldean Fates is worth around $50 — roughly 15× the raw ungraded value of $3.41.
Should I grade my Palafin?
A PSA 10 sells for about $50 versus $3.41 raw — roughly a 15× uplift. Grading is worth it when that premium comfortably beats the grading fee and the card is clean enough to have a real shot at a 10. See the "Should you grade it?" estimate above for net profit per grade.
Is Palafin rare?
Palafin is a Shiny Rare card from Paldean Fates (card #124), illustrated by Shin Nagasawa. Its current blended market value is $3.41 ungraded.
Cite & embed this card
Free to use with attribution to CardTrack.
Palafin (Paldean Fates #124) — Pokémon market value $3.41, PSA 10 $49.98. Source: CardTrack, https://cardtrack.com/pokemon/card/paldean-fates/palafin-124<iframe src="https://cardtrack.com/embed/card?id=sv4pt5-124" width="100%" height="160" style="border:0;max-width:460px" title="Palafin price — CardTrack" loading="lazy"></iframe>
<p style="font:12px system-ui">Source: <a href="https://cardtrack.com">CardTrack</a></p>