Market value · ungraded
What's your copy worth?
What this price is based on
Medium confidence3 sales in 90 days — enough for a guide, not a guarantee.
Recent CGC 10 sales
- Jul 20, 2026Fanatics$27.60
- Jun 20, 2026Fanatics$29.70
- May 31, 2026Fanatics$28.00
- Dec 16, 2025Fanatics$25.00
From 4 completed sales recorded between Dec 16, 2025 and Jul 20, 2026. Sold prices only — asking prices are never counted.
Grade it or not
NOT WORTH ITBased on 4 graded sales and 5,110,777 pop-report entries for a near-mint copy.
See the numbers — Trader plan and aboveBuy this card
✨ Is it worth it?
An AI market read of this card — value, momentum, grading economics, liquidity. It lays out the data; you decide.
Arctibax is a Shiny Rare Pokémon card from Paldean Fates (#129), illustrated by Kouki Saitou. It's a Stage 1 Water-type Pokémon with 90 HP, evolving from Frigibax, weak to Metal ×2. Its current blended market value is $3.84 ungraded, with a PSA 10 worth around $175 — a gem-mint grading premium of roughly 46× the raw value. Prices are aggregated across marketplaces — raw and graded, updated daily and shown in your local currency.
Prices last updated 20 August 2026.
The receipts
Price history · Raw
We'll email you when this card's value crosses your target.
Verified sales history10 in 90 days✓ real completed listings
| Date | Grade | Price | Cert |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug 2026 | PSA 10 | $175.00 | #98860622 ✓ |
| 15 Jul 2026 | PSA 9 | $24.72 | #158509659 ✓ |
| 22 Jun 2026 | PSA 9 | $23.83 | #88200988 ✓ |
| 19 Feb 2026 | PSA 7 | $13.50 | #140925823 ✓ |
| 26 Jan 2026 | PSA 10 | $50.00 | #136576899 ✓ |
| 22 Jan 2026 | PSA 10 | $61.00 | #138538311 ✓ |
| 14 Sep 2025 | PSA 10 | $13.05 | #91139255 ✓ |
| 8 Sep 2025 | PSA 9 | $13.20 | #89953316 ✓ |
| 8 Sep 2025 | PSA 9 | $27.20 | #119262032 ✓ |
| 3 Sep 2025 | PSA 10 | $65.00 | #88059693 ✓ |
Should you grade it?
Expected return across every likely grade, after fees — the realistic average, not the best case. Only 47.8% of copies gem (PSA 10 best case +$99); most land at PSA 9 or below.
The odds
Arctibax is a Rare in Paldean Fates — the pack's hit slot lands on Rare 59.7% of the time, split across 136 rare cards in the set, so pulling this exact card is roughly 1 in 228 packs.
Estimates only. Pack odds come from CardTrack's pack model (the same one behind the pack simulator) — not an official rate. Grading odds are the real cumulative PSA population, which skews toward nicer, resubmitted copies, so it overstates the true first-submission gem rate. Full grade-by-grade breakdown below.
Grade-by-grade ROI & risk-adjusted outcomesNet vs raw per target grade, plus the probability-weighted distribution
| Target grade | Est. value | Grading fee | Net vs raw | Multiple |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PSA 10 | $175.00 | $72 | +$99 | 45.6× |
| PSA 9 | $24.72 | $70 | −$49 | 6.4× |
⚖️ Risk-adjusted return
Best case isn't the whole story. Weighting every grade by how often it actually happens, across 90 PSA-graded copies:
| Likely outcome | Chance | Value |
|---|---|---|
| PSA 10 | 47.8% | $175.00 |
| PSA 9 | 44.4% | $25.00 |
| PSA ≤8 | 7.8% | $4.00 |
Net = graded value − raw value − grading cost (tier fee + ~$20 round-trip shipping), using PSA fees as of 2026-06-28; the paused PSA Value tier is excluded so this isn't overstated. Gem rate is estimated from cumulative PSA population, which skews toward nicer, resubmitted copies — so it overstates the true grade rate. Treat it as a guide, not a guarantee.
Population across gradersPSA, CGC & BGS — every grade, with gem rates
Only 48% of 90 PSA-graded Arctibax copies are a gem-mint 10 (43 of 90) — the rest grade lower.
Real graded population from PSA, CGC & BGS — a lower gem rate means a Arctibax 10 is harder to pull.
Copies for sale right now
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All grades & conditions
Every grade we pricePSA / CGC / BGS ladder with per-grade population
| Grade | Relative value | Price |
|---|---|---|
| PSA 10pop 43 | ✓ 9 cert-verified$175$17–$175 | |
| PSA 9pop 40 | $25$21–$28 | |
| PSA 7pop 2 | $2$2–$2 |
Raw condition ladderNM → damaged, with real sold medians where we have them
Market dataCross-market spread, EU price, momentum & community buzz
Cross-market prices
4% spreadCurrently 4% cheaper on TCGplayer than PriceCharting. These are independent market prices for the same card — a wide gap can mean a buying opportunity. Informational only, not arbitrage advice.
Market signal
Derived from this card's 90-day price history, recent trend and cross-market price gap. Informational, not advice.
Card textAttacks, abilities, weakness / resistance / retreat
Evolves from Frigibax.
“Arctibax freezes the air around it, protecting its face with an ice mask and turning its dorsal fin into a blade of ice.”
About the PokémonSpecies, generation, evolution line
Arctibax freezes the air around it, protecting its face with an ice mask and turning its dorsal fin into a blade of ice.
Card detailsSet, rarity, artist, Pokédex & specs
Other Arctibax cards
There are 4 different Arctibax printings — make sure you're valuing the right one. This is Paldean Fates #129 (Shiny Rare).
More from Paldean Fates
Frequently asked questions
How much is Arctibax (Paldean Fates #129) worth?
As of 20 August 2026, Arctibax from Paldean Fates is worth approximately $3.84 ungraded (near-mint), and around $175 in PSA 10 gem mint. Values are blended from real Cardmarket, eBay sold and TCGplayer prices and update daily.
What is the PSA 10 price for Arctibax?
A PSA 10 (gem mint) Arctibax from Paldean Fates is worth around $175 — roughly 46× the raw ungraded value of $3.84.
Should I grade my Arctibax?
A PSA 10 sells for about $175 versus $3.84 raw — roughly a 46× uplift. Grading is worth it when that premium comfortably beats the grading fee and the card is clean enough to have a real shot at a 10. See the "Should you grade it?" estimate above for net profit per grade.
Is Arctibax rare?
Arctibax is a Shiny Rare card from Paldean Fates (card #129), illustrated by Kouki Saitou. Its current blended market value is $3.84 ungraded.
Cite & embed this card
Free to use with attribution to CardTrack.
Arctibax (Paldean Fates #129) — Pokémon market value $3.84, PSA 10 $175.00. Source: CardTrack, https://cardtrack.com/pokemon/card/paldean-fates/arctibax-129<iframe src="https://cardtrack.com/embed/card?id=sv4pt5-129" width="100%" height="160" style="border:0;max-width:460px" title="Arctibax price — CardTrack" loading="lazy"></iframe>
<p style="font:12px system-ui">Source: <a href="https://cardtrack.com">CardTrack</a></p>