Chien-Pao ex242/91 · Paldean Fates Price & Value
Market value · Near Mint
Typical copy sold $10 49 sales, all conditionsPack fresh $15est.
- PSA 8$6modelled · pop 88
- PSA 9$183 sold · 90d · pop 465
- PSA 10$1012 sold · 90d · pop 238
What's your copy worth?
Estimated. This card has enough sales to price the top 15% but not the top 5%, so pack-fresh is projected from the gap we measure between those two tiers on cards that do — about 1.4x on vintage, 1.2x on modern. $16.09. That's about +49% over a typical Near Mint copy.
ⓘ How do we work this out?
We take every real sale of this exact card over the last 12 months (49 sales), sort them by price, and read off the top 15% and top 5%. No multipliers, no guesses — the prices cleaner copies actually fetched.
Why cleaner copies cost more: buyers can see condition in the photos and pay for it. Listings sellers describe as pack fresh or gem mint land in this top band 1.7× more often than ordinary ones — the premium follows the card, not the hype.
Copies in this band are also the ones collectors send to grading: far more likely than a typical binder copy to be submitted at all — and to come back with the strong grade that carries the PSA prices shown on this page. That prospect is part of what buyers are paying for here.
These are read straight off this card's own completed sales — sort them by price and take the top 15% and top 5%. Whether your copy qualifies is a judgment made by looking at the card.
What this price is based on
High confidence49 sales in 90 days, closely clustered.
Recent Raw sales
- Sep 2, 2026eBay — Chien-Pao ex - 242/091 - Pokemon Paldean Fates Hyper Rare Card NM HOLONM$9.00
- Aug 16, 2026eBay — CHIEN-PAO EX 242/091 HYPER RARE PALDEAN FATES POKEMON HOLO NMNM$12.75
- Aug 15, 2026eBay — The Pokémon Company Pokemon TCG Chien-Pao ex 242/091 Paldean Fates HR Holo Eng$9.23
- Aug 14, 2026eBay — Chien-Pao ex 242/091 Hyper Rare Paldean Fates Pokemon Holo Near MintNM$10.99
- Aug 9, 2026eBay — Chien-Pao ex 242/091 Gold Hyper Rare Pokemon Paldean Fates$6.50
- Aug 9, 2026eBay — Chien-Pao ex 242/091 Hyper Rare Paldean Fates Pokemon Holo$9.99
- Aug 5, 2026eBay — Pokemon TCG Paldean Fates #242/091 Chien Pao EX NMNM$10.00
- Aug 5, 2026eBay — Chien-Pao ex - 242/091 - Pokemon Paldean Fates Hyper Rare Card NMNM$11.56
By grade
- Raw$9.9987 sales
- PSA 9$18.007 sales
- PSA 10$99.995 sales
- CGC 9$12.003 sales
- CGC 10$30.003 sales
- CGC 9.5$18.001 sale
- CGC 8.5$3.251 sale
- BGS 9$9.501 sale
From 109 completed sales recorded between Mar 29, 2024 and Sep 2, 2026. Sold prices only — asking prices are never counted.
Grade it or not
NOT WORTH ITBased on 22 graded sales and 5,111,685 pop-report entries for a near-mint copy.
See the numbers — Trader plan and aboveBuy this card
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✨ Is it worth it?
An AI market read of this card — value, momentum, grading economics, liquidity. It lays out the data; you decide.
Chien-Pao ex is a Hyper Rare Pokémon card from Paldean Fates (#242, released 2024), illustrated by aky CG Works. It's a Basic ex Water-type Pokémon with 220 HP, weak to Metal ×2. Its current blended market value is $10.78 ungraded, with a PSA 10 worth around $101 — a gem-mint grading premium of roughly 9× the raw value. Prices are aggregated across marketplaces — raw and graded, updated daily and shown in your local currency.
Prices last updated 5 September 2026.
Chien-Pao ex price history & recent sales
Graded a PSA 10? See its cert-verified sales and price history → — individual sales PSA tied to a specific slab, each with a cert number you can check.
Price history · Raw
We'll email you when this card's value crosses your target.
Verified sales history70 in 90 days✓ real completed listings
Real completed eBay sales, refreshed periodically. Grade read from the listing title. Implausibly priced listings (lots, proxies, empty slabs) and wrong-variant sales are filtered out. Links to eBay are affiliate links — we may earn a commission.
Demand & liquidity
Last sold $9 · Raw · 2 Sep 2026
How often each grade sells · last 90 days, all marketplaces
Is Chien-Pao ex worth grading?
Expected return across every likely grade, after fees — the realistic average, not the best case. Only 28.4% of copies gem (PSA 10 best case +$19); most land at PSA 9 or below.
The odds
Chien-Pao ex is a Secret / Rainbow in Paldean Fates — the pack's hit slot lands on Secret / Rainbow 2.5% of the time, split across 14 secret / rainbow cards in the set, so pulling this exact card is roughly 1 in 563 packs.
Estimates only. Pack odds come from CardTrack's pack model (the same one behind the pack simulator) — not an official rate. Grading odds are the real cumulative PSA population, which skews toward nicer, resubmitted copies, so it overstates the true first-submission gem rate. Full grade-by-grade breakdown below.
Grade-by-grade ROI & risk-adjusted outcomesNet vs raw per target grade, plus the probability-weighted distribution
| Target grade | Est. value | Grading fee | Net vs raw | Multiple |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PSA 10 | $101.00 | $71 | +$19 | 9.4× |
| PSA 9 | $18.00 | $70 | −$63 | 1.7× |
| PSA 8 | $6.01 | $70 | −$75 | 0.6× |
⚖️ Risk-adjusted return
Best case isn't the whole story. Weighting every grade by how often it actually happens, across 799 PSA-graded copies:
| Likely outcome | Chance | Value |
|---|---|---|
| PSA 10 | 28.4% | $101.00 |
| PSA 9 | 57.1% | $18.00 |
| PSA ≤8 | 14.5% | $7.00 |
Net = graded value − raw value − grading cost (tier fee + ~$20 round-trip shipping), using PSA fees as of 2026-06-28; the paused PSA Value tier is excluded so this isn't overstated. Gem rate is estimated from cumulative PSA population, which skews toward nicer, resubmitted copies — so it overstates the true grade rate. Treat it as a guide, not a guarantee.
Population across gradersPSA, CGC, BGS & TAG — every grade, with gem rates
Only 29% of 825 PSA-graded Chien-Pao ex copies are a gem-mint 10 (238 of 825) — the rest grade lower.
Real graded population from PSA, CGC, BGS & TAG — a lower gem rate means a Chien-Pao ex 10 is harder to pull.
Copies for sale right now
Chien-Pao ex 242/091 SV: Paldean Fates Pokemon TCG MintRaw · eBay$9.00
Chien-Pao ex 242/091 SV: Paldean Fates HoloRaw · eBay$9.00
Chien-Pao ex 242/091 - Paldean Fates - Hyper Rare - NMRaw · eBay$9.00
Chien-Pao ex 242/091 SV: Paldean Fates HoloRaw · eBay$9.00
The Pokemon Company Chien-Pao ex 242/091 Paldean Fates Hyper Rare Holo ENGRaw · eBay$9.00
Chien-Pao ex 242/091 - Paldean Fates - Hyper Rare - NMRaw · eBay$9.49Cheapest raw copy $9.00 — 17% below our estimate of $11
Affiliate links — we may earn a commission. Prices shown are sold-based, not sponsored placements.
All grades & conditions
Every grade we pricePSA / CGC / BGS ladder with per-grade population
| Grade | Relative value | Price |
|---|---|---|
| PSA 10pop 2382 · 90d | $101$86–$116 | |
| PSA 9pop 4653 · 90d | ✓ 51 cert-verified$18$18–$24 | |
| PSA 8pop 88 | modelled$6$6–$8 |
Raw condition ladderNM → damaged, with real sold medians where we have them
A typical Near Mint copy sells for $10.30. Grading-candidate copies — the cleanest 15% of sales — typically fetch $12.70 (+23%). Pack-fresh examples — the top 5% — go for about $15.37.
From 28 sales in the last 12 months. These describe the market — whether a specific copy is a grading candidate is a judgment made by looking at it.
For context: a graded PSA 6 slab of this card sells for about $25 (cert-verified) — a heavily-played raw copy shouldn't cost much more than that.
Market dataCross-market spread, EU price, momentum & community buzz
Cross-market prices
8% spreadCurrently 8% cheaper on PriceCharting than TCGplayer. These are independent market prices for the same card — a wide gap can mean a buying opportunity. Informational only, not arbitrage advice.
Market signal
Derived from this card's 90-day price history, recent trend and cross-market price gap. Informational, not advice.
Card textAttacks, abilities, weakness / resistance / retreat
Once during your turn, if this Pokémon is in the Active Spot, you may search your deck for up to 2 Basic Water Energy cards, reveal them, and put them into your hand. Then, shuffle your deck.
You may discard any amount of Water Energy from your Pokémon. This attack does 60 damage for each card you discarded in this way.
Pokémon ex rule: When your Pokémon ex is Knocked Out, your opponent takes 2 Prize cards.
About the PokémonSpecies, generation, evolution line
This Pokémon can control 100 tons of fallen snow. It plays around innocently by leaping in and out of avalanches it has caused.
Card detailsSet, rarity, artist, Pokédex & specs
Other Chien-Pao ex cards
There are 6 different Chien-Pao ex printings — make sure you're valuing the right one. This is Paldean Fates #242 (Hyper Rare).
More from Paldean Fates
Frequently asked questions
How much is Chien-Pao ex (Paldean Fates #242) worth?
As of 5 September 2026, Chien-Pao ex from Paldean Fates is worth approximately $10.78 ungraded (near-mint), and around $101 in PSA 10 gem mint. Values are blended from real Cardmarket, eBay sold and TCGplayer prices and update daily.
What is the PSA 10 price for Chien-Pao ex?
A PSA 10 (gem mint) Chien-Pao ex from Paldean Fates is worth around $101 — roughly 9× the raw ungraded value of $10.78.
Should I grade my Chien-Pao ex?
A PSA 10 sells for about $101 versus $10.78 raw — roughly a 9× uplift. Grading is worth it when that premium comfortably beats the grading fee and the card is clean enough to have a real shot at a 10. See the "Should you grade it?" estimate above for net profit per grade.
Is Chien-Pao ex rare?
Chien-Pao ex is a Hyper Rare card from Paldean Fates (card #242), illustrated by aky CG Works. Its current blended market value is $10.78 ungraded.
Cite & embed this card
Free to use with attribution to CardTrack.
Chien-Pao ex (Paldean Fates #242) — Pokémon market value $10.78, PSA 10 $101.00. Source: CardTrack, https://cardtrack.com/pokemon/card/paldean-fates/chien-pao-ex-242<iframe src="https://cardtrack.com/embed/card?id=sv4pt5-242" width="100%" height="160" style="border:0;max-width:460px" title="Chien-Pao ex price — CardTrack" loading="lazy"></iframe>
<p style="font:12px system-ui">Source: <a href="https://cardtrack.com">CardTrack</a></p>