Fletchinder199/193 · Paldea Evolved Price & Value
Market value · Near Mint
Pack fresh $27est.
- PSA 8$131 sold · 90d · pop 242
- PSA 9$216 sold · 90d · pop 497
- PSA 10$1755 sold · 90d · pop 223
Make sure you have the right card
Every price on this page is for Paldea Evolved #199/193, 2023. Check yours against the tells below before you buy, sell or grade.
The picture itself is foiled and the card body is flat. This is the standard holo.
What's your copy worth?
Estimated. This card has enough sales to price the top 15% but not the top 5%, so pack-fresh is projected from the gap we measure between those two tiers on cards that do — about 1.4x on vintage, 1.2x on modern. $25.27. That's about +34% over a typical Near Mint copy.
ⓘ How do we work this out?
We take every real sale of this exact card over the last 12 months (22 sales), sort them by price, and read off the top 15% and top 5%. No multipliers, no guesses — the prices cleaner copies actually fetched.
Why cleaner copies cost more: buyers can see condition in the photos and pay for it. Listings sellers describe as pack fresh or gem mint land in this top band 1.7× more often than ordinary ones — the premium follows the card, not the hype.
Copies in this band are also the ones collectors send to grading: far more likely than a typical binder copy to be submitted at all — and to come back with the strong grade that carries the PSA prices shown on this page. That prospect is part of what buyers are paying for here.
These are read straight off this card's own completed sales — sort them by price and take the top 15% and top 5%. Whether your copy qualifies is a judgment made by looking at the card.
✨ Is it worth it?
An AI market read of this card — value, momentum, grading economics, liquidity. It lays out the data; you decide.
Fletchinder is a Illustration Rare Pokémon card from Paldea Evolved (#199, released 2023), illustrated by Atsushi Furusawa. It's a Stage 1 Fire-type Pokémon with 80 HP, evolving from Fletchling, weak to Lightning ×2. Prices below are aggregated across marketplaces — raw and graded, updated daily and shown in your local currency.
Prices last updated 15 September 2026.
Fletchinder price history & recent sales
Graded a PSA 10? See its cert-verified sales and price history → — individual sales PSA tied to a specific slab, each with a cert number you can check.
Price history · Raw
We'll email you when this card's value crosses your target.
Verified sales history
High confidence88 sales in 90 days, closely clustered. · Very liquid — Sells often
5 of 10 verified sales were competitive auctions — this price reflects real bidding, not asking prices. A graded copy trades roughly every 3 days (median gap between cert-verified sales).
By grade
- Raw$16.00125 sales · 88 in 90d, sells often
- PSA 10$2009 sales · 5 in 90d, occasional
- PSA 9$19.006 sales · 6 in 90d, occasional
- PSA 8$15.003 sales · 1 in 90d, rare
- CGC 10$40.002 sales · 1 in 90d, rare
- PSA 7$14.991 sale
- CGC 9$22.001 sale · 1 in 90d, rare
- CGC 8.5$7.501 sale
Is Fletchinder worth grading?
Most copies come back PSA 9 — worth $21 against the $90 you put in, a $69 loss. The money is in the 1 in 2 that reach PSA 9 or 10 and sell for $21–$200. Averaged over every outcome that is −$35 a card.
That is the average submitted copy. Tell us about yours and the verdict re-prices — most cards stop being worth grading here. Not sure? Grade it from a photo →
These are set to a flawless copy — the answer above. Change any of them to re-price it for the card in your hand.
Compare graders, and the live market
The verdict above is PSA's — the grader the population report, the ROI table and the price ladder on this page all use. Trader prices all three graders against each other and adds what the asking market is doing right now.
- PSA, CGC and Beckett side by side — each on its own population and its own fees, with Beckett scored on the 9.5 its market actually pays for.
- Lightly and moderately played — the same expected return for a copy that cannot gem.
- Ask vs sold — what the live listings want, against what copies have really closed at.
- Momentum — the 30-day median against the 90-day, per grade.
- Where it sells higher — the Fanatics-versus-eBay premium, with the sale counts behind it.
- Population history — the weekly PSA census, so you can see how fast 10s are arriving before you post the card.
The odds
Fletchinder is a Ultra Rare in Paldea Evolved — the pack's hit slot lands on Ultra Rare 10% of the time, split across 62 ultra rare cards in the set, so pulling this exact card is roughly 1 in 623 packs.
Estimates only. Pack odds come from CardTrack's pack model (the same one behind the pack simulator) — not an official rate. Grading odds are the real cumulative PSA population, which skews toward nicer, resubmitted copies, so it overstates the true first-submission gem rate. Full grade-by-grade breakdown below.
Grade-by-grade ROI & risk-adjusted outcomesNet vs raw per target grade, plus the probability-weighted distribution
| Target grade | Est. value | Grading fee | Net vs raw | Multiple |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PSA 10 | $175.00 | $72 | +$84 | 9.3× |
| PSA 9 | $21.00 | $70 | −$68 | 1.1× |
| PSA 8.5 | $14.00 | $70 | −$75 | 0.7× |
| PSA 8 | $13.20 | $70 | −$76 | 0.7× |
⚖️ Risk-adjusted return
Best case isn't the whole story. Weighting every grade by how often it actually happens, across 1,082 PSA-graded copies:
| Outcome | Chance | Value |
|---|---|---|
| PSA 10 | 20.6% | $200.00 |
| PSA 9 — typical | 45.2% | $21.00 |
| PSA 8 | 21.5% | $13.20 |
| PSA 7 | 7.4% | $9.00 |
| PSA 6 | 4.2% | $7.37 |
| PSA 5 | 0.4% | $7.37 |
| PSA 4 | 0.1% | $7.37 |
| Other (half grades, authentic) | 0.6% | $18.88 |
Net = graded value − raw value − grading cost (tier fee + ~$20 round-trip shipping), using PSA fees as of 2026-08-26; the paused PSA Value tier is excluded so this isn't overstated. Gem rate is estimated from cumulative PSA population, which skews toward nicer, resubmitted copies — so it overstates the true grade rate. Treat it as a guide, not a guarantee.
Population across gradersPSA, CGC, BGS & TAG — every grade, with gem rates
223 of the 1,096 PSA-graded Fletchinder copies came back a gem-mint 10 — 20%. The rest graded lower.
Bar length is relative to this grader's most common grade; the figure on the right is the share of all 1,096.
Bar length is relative to this grader's most common grade; the figure on the right is the share of all 22.
Real graded population from PSA, CGC, BGS & TAG — a lower gem rate means a Fletchinder 10 is harder to pull.
Copies for sale right now
Fletchinder #199/193 Paldea Evolved 2023 Near Mint Raw · eBay$13.12
The Pokémon Company Pokémon TCG Fletchinder 199/193 Paldea Evolved Holo IR 80Raw · eBay$13.87
The Pokemon Company Pokemon TCG Fletchinder 199/193 Paldea Evolved IR Holo ENRaw · eBay$14.00
Pokemon TCG Fletchinder 199/193SV02: Paldea Evolved Holo CardRaw · eBay$14.99
Fletchinder 199/193 Sv02: Paldea Evolved Illustration Rare Holo NMRaw · eBay$15.00
Fletchinder 199/193 Sv02: Paldea Evolved HoloRaw · eBay$15.00Cheapest raw copy $13.12 — 31% below our near-mint estimate of $19
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All grades & conditions
Every grade we pricePSA / CGC / BGS ladder with per-grade population
| Grade | Relative value | Price |
|---|---|---|
| PSA 10pop 223 | ✓ 54 cert-verified$175$102–$175 | |
| PSA 9pop 497 | ✓ 76 cert-verified$21$18–$25 | |
| PSA 8.5pop 6 | modelled$14$14–$14 | |
| PSA 8pop 242 | 1 sold$13$11–$15 | |
| PSA 7pop 82 | ✓ 10 cert-verified$9 | |
| PSA 6pop 45 | 2 sold$7$6–$8 |
Raw condition ladderNM → damaged, with real sold medians where we have them
A typical Near Mint copy sells for $18.88. Grading-candidate copies — the cleanest 15% of sales — typically fetch $20.88 (+11%). Pack-fresh examples — the top 5% — work out at about $25.27, estimated from the grading-candidate gap rather than counted.
From 22 sales in the last 12 months. These describe the market — whether a specific copy is a grading candidate is a judgment made by looking at it.
Market dataCross-market spread, EU price, momentum & community buzz
Cross-market prices
27% spreadCurrently 27% cheaper on PriceCharting than TCGplayer. These are independent market prices for the same card — a wide gap can mean a buying opportunity. Informational only, not arbitrage advice.
Market signal
Derived from this card's 90-day price history, recent trend and cross-market price gap. Informational, not advice.
Card textAttacks, abilities, weakness / resistance / retreat
Evolves from Fletchling.
This Pokémon also does 10 damage to itself.
“Fletchinder scatters embers in tall grass where bug Pokémon might be hiding and then catches them as they come leaping out.”
About the PokémonSpecies, generation, evolution line
From its beak, it expels embers that set the tall grass on fire. Then it pounces on the bewildered prey that pop out of the grass.
Card detailsSet, rarity, artist, Pokédex & specs
Other Fletchinder cards
There are 14 different Fletchinder printings — make sure you're valuing the right one. This is Paldea Evolved #199 (Illustration Rare). The most valuable 7 are below.
More from Paldea Evolved
Frequently asked questions
How much is Fletchinder (Paldea Evolved #199) worth?
As of 15 September 2026, Fletchinder from Paldea Evolved is worth approximately $18.88 ungraded (near-mint), and around $175 in PSA 10 gem mint. Values are blended from real Cardmarket, eBay sold and TCGplayer prices and update daily.
What is the PSA 10 price for Fletchinder?
A PSA 10 (gem mint) Fletchinder from Paldea Evolved is worth around $175 — roughly 9× the raw ungraded value of $18.88.
Should I grade my Fletchinder?
Grading is worth it when the PSA 10 premium comfortably beats the grading fee and the card is clean enough to have a real shot at a 10 — the "Should you grade it?" estimate above works that out per grade, net of the current fee.
Is Fletchinder rare?
Fletchinder is a Illustration Rare card from Paldea Evolved (card #199).
How do I know if my Fletchinder is Holofoil?
The illustration window: The picture itself is foiled and the card body is flat. This is the standard holo.
Cite & embed this card
Free to use with attribution to CardTrack.
Fletchinder (Paldea Evolved #199) — Pokémon market value $18.88, PSA 10 $175.00. Source: CardTrack, https://cardtrack.com/pokemon/card/paldea-evolved/fletchinder-199<iframe src="https://cardtrack.com/embed/card?id=sv2-199" width="100%" height="160" style="border:0;max-width:460px" title="Fletchinder price — CardTrack" loading="lazy"></iframe>
<p style="font:12px system-ui">Source: <a href="https://cardtrack.com">CardTrack</a></p>