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Check your printing5 different Dubwool printings exist — is this your card? Shining Fates Shiny Vault #SV104
Dubwool Shining Fates Shiny Vault #SV104 Pokémon card
Rare Shiny

Dubwool

Shining Fates Shiny Vault · SV104/SV122 · Illustrated by Kouki Saitou
130 HPColorlessPokémonStage 1

Market value · ungraded

$1.41 10.8% · 30d
Confidencehigh
Range$1$3
Cert-verified10 PSA sales
Sold prices, not asking. TCGplayer + Cardmarket. Updated 20 August 2026. Estimate, not an appraisalhow we price →

What's your copy worth?

What's your copy worth?
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Estimated value · Near Mint
$1.41

Grade it or not

NOT WORTH IT

Based on 0 graded sales and 4,409,561 pop-report entries for a near-mint copy.

See the numbers — Trader plan and above

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Is it worth it?

An AI market read of this card — value, momentum, grading economics, liquidity. It lays out the data; you decide.

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Dubwool is a Rare Shiny Pokémon card from Shining Fates Shiny Vault (#SV104), illustrated by Kouki Saitou. It's a Stage 1 Colorless-type Pokémon with 130 HP, evolving from Wooloo, weak to Fighting ×2. Its current blended market value is $1.41 ungraded, with a PSA 10 worth around $32 — a gem-mint grading premium of roughly 23× the raw value. Prices are aggregated across marketplaces — raw and graded, updated daily and shown in your local currency.

Prices last updated 20 August 2026.

The receipts

Price history · Raw

23 May 202620 Aug 2026
Latest
$1.41
Period high
$1.64
Period low
$1.29
Change
3.4%
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Verified sales history10 in 90 daysreal completed listings

DateGradePriceCert
13 Apr 2026PSA 10$20.50#61371806
5 Apr 2026PSA 10$29.99#60322011
26 Feb 2026PSA 9$19.95#69924288
17 Feb 2026PSA 10$30.00#71129730
13 Jan 2026PSA 10$29.99#57593004
19 Dec 2025PSA 10$32.35#61882928
2 Nov 2025PSA 10$39.99#112286232
14 Aug 2025PSA 9$6.00#62520087
17 Jul 2025PSA 9$5.50#62520087
28 Apr 2025PSA 9$9.00#85958171

Should you grade it?

$52

Expected return across every likely grade, after fees — the realistic average, not the best case. Only 56.8% of copies gem (PSA 10 best case $39); most land at PSA 9 or below.

Gem rate (est.)56.8%
Expected return$52
PSA 10 best case$39
VerdictNot worth it

The odds

Dubwool is a Rare in Shining Fates Shiny Vault — the pack's hit slot lands on Rare 66.3% of the time, split across 104 rare cards in the set, so pulling this exact card is roughly 1 in 157 packs.

Rare66.3%104 cards
PSA 10 (gem mint)56.8%54 of 95
PSA 941.1%39 of 95
PSA graded so far95
Gem Mint 1054
Total graded95

Estimates only. Pack odds come from CardTrack's pack model (the same one behind the pack simulator) — not an official rate. Grading odds are the real cumulative PSA population, which skews toward nicer, resubmitted copies, so it overstates the true first-submission gem rate. Full grade-by-grade breakdown below.

Grade-by-grade ROI & risk-adjusted outcomesNet vs raw per target grade, plus the probability-weighted distribution
Target gradeEst. valueGrading feeNet vs rawMultiple
PSA 10$32.35$70$3922.9×
PSA 9$4.00$70$672.8×

⚖️ Risk-adjusted return

Best case isn't the whole story. Weighting every grade by how often it actually happens, across 95 PSA-graded copies:

Likely outcomeChanceValue
PSA 1056.8%$32.00
PSA 941.1%$4.00
PSA ≤82.1%$1.00

Net = graded value − raw value − grading cost (tier fee + ~$20 round-trip shipping), using PSA fees as of 2026-06-28; the paused PSA Value tier is excluded so this isn't overstated. Gem rate is estimated from cumulative PSA population, which skews toward nicer, resubmitted copies — so it overstates the true grade rate. Treat it as a guide, not a guarantee.

Population across gradersPSA, CGC & BGS — every grade, with gem rates

Only 57% of 95 PSA-graded Dubwool copies are a gem-mint 10 (54 of 95) — the rest grade lower.

PSA95 gradedPSA 10 · 54 · 57% gem
1054
939
81
61
CGC930 gradedCGC 10 · 234 · 25% gem
10234
9.530
9414
8.5192
836

Real graded population from PSA, CGC & BGS — a lower gem rate means a Dubwool 10 is harder to pull.

Copies for sale right now

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All grades & conditions

Every grade we pricePSA / CGC / BGS ladder with per-grade population
Graded prices
Ungraded (raw)$1.35
PSA graded price estimates by grade
GradeRelative valuePrice
PSA 10pop 54$32$27$37
PSA 9pop 39$4$4$4
“Sold” = median of real recent sold listings at that grade (eBay or Fanatics Collect — hover a badge to see which). Other figures are blended marketplace estimates. Confidence reflects source backing and price spread — not PSA-official values.
Raw condition ladderNM → damaged, with real sold medians where we have them
Raw price by condition
Holofoil · live market via TCGplayer
NMNear Mint$1.41
MPModerately Played$0.98
HPHeavily Played$0.48
7-day 2.1%
30-day 1.4%
90-day 9.9%
All-time high$2
All-time low$1
What NM / LP / MP actually mean — and how much they cost
Market dataCross-market spread, EU price, momentum & community buzz

Cross-market prices

103% spread
TCGplayer · cheapest$1
PriceCharting$2
Cardmarket · dearest$3

Currently 103% cheaper on TCGplayer than Cardmarket. These are independent market prices for the same card — a wide gap can mean a buying opportunity. Informational only, not arbitrage advice.

Market signal

Momentum · 30dFalling -11%
Volatility · 90dModerate ±7%
Cross-marketMarkets disagree 103% gap
90d low $1mid-range$2 high

Derived from this card's 90-day price history, recent trend and cross-market price gap. Informational, not advice.

🇪🇺 Cardmarket price · Europe

Cardmarket · Europe's largest card market$3
Card textAttacks, abilities, weakness / resistance / retreat

Evolves from Wooloo.

Cotton Guard30
Colorless

During your opponent's next turn, this Pokémon takes 30 less damage from attacks (after applying Weakness and Resistance).

Double-Edge120
Colorless · Colorless · Colorless

This Pokémon also does 30 damage to itself.

Weakness Fighting ×2Retreat 2

Its majestic horns are meant only to impress the opposite gender. They never see use in battle.

About the PokémonSpecies, generation, evolution line
Sheep PokémonGEN VIIIWoolooDubwool

Weave a carpet from its springy wool, and you end up with something closer to a trampoline. You’ll start to bounce the moment you set foot on it.

Card detailsSet, rarity, artist, Pokédex & specs
Number#SV104
RarityRare Shiny
SupertypePokémon
SubtypesStage 1
TypeColorless
HP130
Evolves fromWooloo
WeaknessFighting ×2
Retreat cost2
National Pokédex#832
Card IDswsh45sv-SV104
SourceAggregated marketplaces

Other Dubwool cards

There are 5 different Dubwool printings — make sure you're valuing the right one. This is Shining Fates Shiny Vault #SV104 (Rare Shiny).

More from Shining Fates Shiny Vault

Frequently asked questions

How much is Dubwool (Shining Fates Shiny Vault #SV104) worth?

As of 20 August 2026, Dubwool from Shining Fates Shiny Vault is worth approximately $1.41 ungraded (near-mint), and around $32 in PSA 10 gem mint. Values are blended from real Cardmarket, eBay sold and TCGplayer prices and update daily.

What is the PSA 10 price for Dubwool?

A PSA 10 (gem mint) Dubwool from Shining Fates Shiny Vault is worth around $32 — roughly 23× the raw ungraded value of $1.41.

Should I grade my Dubwool?

A PSA 10 sells for about $32 versus $1.41 raw — roughly a 23× uplift. Grading is worth it when that premium comfortably beats the grading fee and the card is clean enough to have a real shot at a 10. See the "Should you grade it?" estimate above for net profit per grade.

Is Dubwool rare?

Dubwool is a Rare Shiny card from Shining Fates Shiny Vault (card #SV104), illustrated by Kouki Saitou. Its current blended market value is $1.41 ungraded.

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Citation
Dubwool (Shining Fates Shiny Vault #SV104) — Pokémon market value $1.41, PSA 10 $32.35. Source: CardTrack, https://cardtrack.com/pokemon/card/shining-fates-shiny-vault/dubwool-sv104
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<iframe src="https://cardtrack.com/embed/card?id=swsh45sv-SV104" width="100%" height="160" style="border:0;max-width:460px" title="Dubwool price — CardTrack" loading="lazy"></iframe> <p style="font:12px system-ui">Source: <a href="https://cardtrack.com">CardTrack</a></p>