Best Paldea Evolved Cards to Grade
The Paldea Evolved cards worth grading, ranked by expected profit per submission — every grade outcome weighted by how often the card actually receives it — after current grading fees. The PSA 10 best case is shown on every row but does not decide the order. Top pick: Magikarp at an expected +$519.
Ranked by expected profit 41
| # | Card | Raw | PSA 9 | PSA 10 | Cost | Best case | Gem rate | Expected | Sample |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Expected +$519 per submission: 15.9% of 24,778 graded copies came back PSA 10 ($4,080), and a PSA 9 ($489) still clears the $768 you have in it. Confidence high on that sample. | $358 | $489 | $4,080 | $410 | +$3,313 | 15.9% | +$519 | 24,778 high |
| 2 | Expected +$76 per submission: 19% of 8,394 graded copies came back PSA 10 ($910), and only a PSA 10 covers the $179 you have in it — a 9 loses money. Confidence high on that sample. | $90 | $98 | $910 | $89 | +$730 | 19% | +$76 | 8,394 high |
| 3 | Expected +$34 per submission: 12.7% of 3,047 graded copies came back PSA 10 ($923), and only a PSA 10 covers the $172 you have in it — a 9 loses money. Confidence high on that sample. | $83 | $110 | $923 | $89 | +$751 | 12.7% | +$34 | 3,047 high |
| 4 | Expected +$28 per submission: 17.8% of 9,608 graded copies came back PSA 10 ($690), and only a PSA 10 covers the $157 you have in it — a 9 loses money. Confidence high on that sample. | $70 | $79 | $690 | $87 | +$533 | 17.8% | +$28 | 9,608 high |
| 5 | Expected +$17 per submission: 22.1% of 3,011 graded copies came back PSA 10 ($465), and only a PSA 10 covers the $130 you have in it — a 9 loses money. Confidence high on that sample. | $45 | $56 | $465 | $85 | +$335 | 22.1% | +$17 | 3,011 high |
| 6 | Expected +$12 per submission: 20.4% of 2,979 graded copies came back PSA 10 ($284), and a PSA 9 ($113) still clears the $111 you have in it. Confidence high on that sample. | $28 | $113 | $284 | $83 | +$173 | 20.4% | +$12 | 2,979 high |
| 7 | Expected loss −$2 per submission: 16.8% of 1,911 graded copies came back PSA 10 ($425), and only a PSA 10 covers the $103 you have in it — a 9 loses money. Confidence high on that sample. | $19 | $40 | $425 | $84 | +$322 | 16.8% | −$2 | 1,911 high |
| 8 | Expected loss −$3 per submission: 21.7% of 2,604 graded copies came back PSA 10 ($320), and only a PSA 10 covers the $113 you have in it — a 9 loses money. Confidence high on that sample. | $30 | $60 | $320 | $83 | +$207 | 21.7% | −$3 | 2,604 high |
| 9 | Expected loss −$3 per submission: 54% of 6,064 graded copies came back PSA 10 ($200), and only a PSA 10 covers the $135 you have in it — a 9 loses money. Confidence high on that sample. | $53 | $55 | $200 | $82 | +$65 | 54% | −$3 | 6,064 high |
| 10 | Expected loss −$4 per submission: 19.2% of 3,628 graded copies came back PSA 10 ($420), and only a PSA 10 covers the $125 you have in it — a 9 loses money. Confidence high on that sample. | $41 | $55 | $420 | $84 | +$295 | 19.2% | −$4 | 3,628 high |
| 11 | Expected loss −$10 per submission: 16.6% of 4,215 graded copies came back PSA 10 ($450), and only a PSA 10 covers the $134 you have in it — a 9 loses money. Confidence high on that sample. | $50 | $69 | $450 | $84 | +$316 | 16.6% | −$10 | 4,215 high |
| 12 | Expected loss −$10 per submission: 17.6% of 1,309 graded copies came back PSA 10 ($400), and only a PSA 10 covers the $108 you have in it — a 9 loses money. Confidence high on that sample. | $24 | $32 | $400 | $84 | +$292 | 17.6% | −$10 | 1,309 high |
| 13 | Expected loss −$12 per submission: 18.6% of 3,699 graded copies came back PSA 10 ($365), and only a PSA 10 covers the $114 you have in it — a 9 loses money. Confidence high on that sample. | $30 | $45 | $365 | $84 | +$251 | 18.6% | −$12 | 3,699 high |
| 14 | Expected loss −$13 per submission: 17.3% of 1,553 graded copies came back PSA 10 ($160), and a PSA 9 ($108) still clears the $101 you have in it. Confidence high on that sample. | $19 | $108 | $160 | $82 | +$60 | 17.3% | −$13 | 1,553 high |
| 15 | Expected loss −$15 per submission: 21.8% of 1,186 graded copies came back PSA 10 ($298), and only a PSA 10 covers the $101 you have in it — a 9 loses money. Confidence high on that sample. | $18 | $30 | $298 | $83 | +$197 | 21.8% | −$15 | 1,186 high |
| 16 | Expected loss −$15 per submission: 36.9% of 602 graded copies came back PSA 10 ($145), and only a PSA 10 covers the $87 you have in it — a 9 loses money. Confidence high on that sample. | $6 | $32 | $145 | $81 | +$57 | 36.9% | −$15 | 602 high |
| 17 | Expected loss −$16 per submission: 17.6% of 2,074 graded copies came back PSA 10 ($361), and only a PSA 10 covers the $104 you have in it — a 9 loses money. Confidence high on that sample. | $20 | $31 | $361 | $84 | +$258 | 17.6% | −$16 | 2,074 high |
| 18 | Expected loss −$18 per submission: 19% of 1,502 graded copies came back PSA 10 ($315), and only a PSA 10 covers the $98 you have in it — a 9 loses money. Confidence high on that sample. | $15 | $27 | $315 | $83 | +$217 | 19% | −$18 | 1,502 high |
| 19 | Expected loss −$20 per submission: 20.4% of 2,009 graded copies came back PSA 10 ($290), and only a PSA 10 covers the $101 you have in it — a 9 loses money. Confidence high on that sample. | $18 | $27 | $290 | $83 | +$189 | 20.4% | −$20 | 2,009 high |
| 20 | Expected loss −$20 per submission: 22.6% of 536 graded copies came back PSA 10 ($250), and only a PSA 10 covers the $89 you have in it — a 9 loses money. Confidence high on that sample. | $7 | $16 | $250 | $82 | +$161 | 22.6% | −$20 | 536 high |
| 21 | Expected loss −$21 per submission: 20.8% of 3,084 graded copies came back PSA 10 ($341), and only a PSA 10 covers the $118 you have in it — a 9 loses money. Confidence high on that sample. | $35 | $34 | $341 | $83 | +$223 | 20.8% | −$21 | 3,084 high |
| 22 | Expected loss −$25 per submission: 41.9% of 688 graded copies came back PSA 10 ($134), and only a PSA 10 covers the $91 you have in it — a 9 loses money. Confidence high on that sample. | $10 | $18 | $134 | $81 | +$43 | 41.9% | −$25 | 688 high |
| 23 | Expected loss −$27 per submission: 20.3% of 1,226 graded copies came back PSA 10 ($275), and only a PSA 10 covers the $113 you have in it — a 9 loses money. Confidence high on that sample. | $30 | $37 | $275 | $83 | +$162 | 20.3% | −$27 | 1,226 high |
| 24 | Expected loss −$27 per submission: 24.5% of 559 graded copies came back PSA 10 ($200), and only a PSA 10 covers the $93 you have in it — a 9 loses money. Confidence high on that sample. | $11 | $24 | $200 | $82 | +$107 | 24.5% | −$27 | 559 high |
| 25 | Expected loss −$28 per submission: 21.6% of 871 graded copies came back PSA 10 ($225), and only a PSA 10 covers the $95 you have in it — a 9 loses money. Confidence high on that sample. | $13 | $24 | $225 | $82 | +$130 | 21.6% | −$28 | 871 high |
| 26 | Expected loss −$29 per submission: 20.8% of 1,225 graded copies came back PSA 10 ($203), and only a PSA 10 covers the $95 you have in it — a 9 loses money. Confidence high on that sample. | $13 | $31 | $203 | $82 | +$108 | 20.8% | −$29 | 1,225 high |
| 27 | Expected loss −$30 per submission: 41.1% of 3,140 graded copies came back PSA 10 ($164), and only a PSA 10 covers the $127 you have in it — a 9 loses money. Confidence high on that sample. | $45 | $51 | $164 | $82 | +$37 | 41.1% | −$30 | 3,140 high |
| 28 | Expected loss −$33 per submission: 52.1% of 4,707 graded copies came back PSA 10 ($112), and only a PSA 10 covers the $107 you have in it — a 9 loses money. Confidence high on that sample. | $26 | $33 | $112 | $81 | +$5 | 52.1% | −$33 | 4,707 high |
| 29 | Expected loss −$35 per submission: 21.1% of 703 graded copies came back PSA 10 ($200), and only a PSA 10 covers the $91 you have in it — a 9 loses money. Confidence high on that sample. | $9 | $18 | $200 | $82 | +$109 | 21.1% | −$35 | 703 high |
| 30 | Expected loss −$36 per submission: 45.3% of 15,180 graded copies came back PSA 10 ($156), and only a PSA 10 covers the $137 you have in it — a 9 loses money. Confidence high on that sample. | $55 | $54 | $156 | $82 | +$19 | 45.3% | −$36 | 15,180 high |
| 31 | Expected loss −$38 per submission: 21.2% of 709 graded copies came back PSA 10 ($201), and only a PSA 10 covers the $93 you have in it — a 9 loses money. Confidence high on that sample. | $11 | $15 | $201 | $82 | +$108 | 21.2% | −$38 | 709 high |
| 32 | Expected loss −$39 per submission: 37.5% of 421 graded copies came back PSA 10 ($102), and only a PSA 10 covers the $91 you have in it — a 9 loses money. Confidence high on that sample. | $10 | $24 | $102 | $81 | +$11 | 37.5% | −$39 | 421 high |
| 33 | Expected loss −$41 per submission: 43.6% of 1,050 graded copies came back PSA 10 ($101), and only a PSA 10 covers the $96 you have in it — a 9 loses money. Confidence high on that sample. | $15 | $21 | $101 | $81 | +$5 | 43.6% | −$41 | 1,050 high |
| 34 | Expected loss −$43 per submission: 21.8% of 827 graded copies came back PSA 10 ($160), and only a PSA 10 covers the $93 you have in it — a 9 loses money. Confidence high on that sample. | $11 | $20 | $160 | $82 | +$67 | 21.8% | −$43 | 827 high |
| 35 | Expected loss −$44 per submission: 20.6% of 1,082 graded copies came back PSA 10 ($201), and only a PSA 10 covers the $99 you have in it — a 9 loses money. Confidence high on that sample. | $17 | $18 | $201 | $82 | +$102 | 20.6% | −$44 | 1,082 high |
| 36 | Expected loss −$44 per submission: 16% of 1,017 graded copies came back PSA 10 ($189), and only a PSA 10 covers the $96 you have in it — a 9 loses money. Confidence high on that sample. | $14 | $30 | $189 | $82 | +$93 | 16% | −$44 | 1,017 high |
| 37 | Expected loss −$47 per submission: 19.1% of 1,711 graded copies came back PSA 10 ($175), and only a PSA 10 covers the $99 you have in it — a 9 loses money. Confidence high on that sample. | $17 | $25 | $175 | $82 | +$76 | 19.1% | −$47 | 1,711 high |
| 38 | Expected loss −$48 per submission: 20.3% of 1,811 graded copies came back PSA 10 ($163), and only a PSA 10 covers the $99 you have in it — a 9 loses money. Confidence high on that sample. | $17 | $25 | $163 | $82 | +$65 | 20.3% | −$48 | 1,811 high |
| 39 | Expected loss −$53 per submission: 19.1% of 1,734 graded copies came back PSA 10 ($152), and only a PSA 10 covers the $102 you have in it — a 9 loses money. Confidence high on that sample. | $20 | $25 | $152 | $82 | +$50 | 19.1% | −$53 | 1,734 high |
| 40 | Expected loss −$60 per submission: 17.9% of 1,213 graded copies came back PSA 10 ($92), and only a PSA 10 covers the $91 you have in it — a 9 loses money. Confidence high on that sample. | $10 | $20 | $92 | $81 | +$1 | 17.9% | −$60 | 1,213 high |
| 41 | Expected loss −$60 per submission: 19.7% of 558 graded copies came back PSA 10 ($89), and only a PSA 10 covers the $88 you have in it — a 9 loses money. Confidence high on that sample. | $7 | $16 | $89 | $81 | +$1 | 19.7% | −$60 | 558 high |
Best case only — no gem-rate evidence 1
Fewer than 10 graded copies in the PSA and CGC population reports. They clear the grading cost if they gem — that is all the numbers support.
| # | Card | Raw | PSA 9 | PSA 10 | Cost | Best case | Gem rate | Expected | Sample |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 42 | $9 | — | $95 | $81 | +$5 | — | — | none <10 |
Expected = every grade outcome weighted by its share of the card's graded population, minus the raw price and the grading cost (PSA tier fee for the graded value plus ~$20 round-trip shipping, fees as of 2026-09-26). Best case is the PSA 10 leg alone. Gem rates come from a self-selected population — collectors grade their cleanest copies — so read them as an upper bound. Raw is a blended market price, not a sale of your copy. Full method and filters on the grading index.
How to read the Paldea Evolved ranking
Every Paldea Evolved card listed here clears one bar: its PSA 10 price beats its raw price by more than the cost of grading it. 42 cards from the set pass. 41 of them (98%) have a gem-rate sample of at least ten graded copies in the population reports, and 6 of those keep a positive expected value once every grade outcome is weighted by how often the card actually receives it.
The order is expected profit, not the PSA 10 best case, which rewards the widest raw-to-gem gap whether the card gems one time in two or one in fifty. Here the top row, the Magikarp from Paldea Evolved, gems 15.9% of the time across 24,778 graded copies: +$519 is what a long run of submissions would average, $3,313 is what one lucky copy returns.
The median gem rate across the sampled Paldea Evolved cards is 20.4%. Roughly one submitted copy in 5 came back PSA 10, and most rows here need that PSA 10 to cover raw price plus fee, so the gem rate decides whether a submission pays. Of the 41 ranked cards, 3 still cover raw price plus fee at PSA 9, 38 need a 10 to break even and 35 lose money on expectation. 41 rest on a hundred or more graded copies.
1 card sits below the ranking with a best case only, fewer than ten graded copies. The largest best case among them is the Meowscarada ex from Paldea Evolved at +$5.
Before you submit a Paldea Evolved card
Grading pays on condition. The four things every grader scores — centering, corners, edges and surface — can be checked at home before paying a fee, and a copy that is visibly off-centre or has a whitened corner will not gem whatever the population says. Those gem rates come from a self-selected population of clean copies, so a random copy does worse.
The cost column assumes a PSA submission at the tier covering the card's PSA 10 value, fees as of 2026-09-26, and raw is CardTrack's blended near-mint price, not a sale of your copy: pay more, or hold a lighter copy, and the break-even moves against you. Test a card with your own numbers in the ROI calculator, see the printings that fail the bar on the Paldea Evolved card list, or see how gem-mint premiums run across the whole catalogue on the PSA premium index.