Best Paldean Fates Cards to Grade
The Paldean Fates cards worth grading, ranked by expected profit per submission — every grade outcome weighted by how often the card actually receives it — after current grading fees. The PSA 10 best case is shown on every row but does not decide the order. Top pick: Mew ex at an expected +$385.
Worth grading59
With a gem-rate sample59100%
Positive expected value27
Median gem rate49.8%
PSA fees as of2026-08-26
Ranked by expected profit 50
| # | Card | Raw | PSA 9 | PSA 10 | Cost | Best case | Gem rate | Expected | Sample |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Expected +$385 per submission: 33.8% of 47,808 graded copies came back PSA 10 ($3,100), and only a PSA 10 covers the $1,394 you have in it — a 9 loses money. Confidence high on that sample. | $994 | $840 | $3,100 | $400 | +$1,706 | 33.8% | +$385 | 47,808 high |
| 2 | Expected +$131 per submission: 52.7% of 182 graded copies came back PSA 10 ($403), and only a PSA 10 covers the $104 you have in it — a 9 loses money. Confidence high on that sample. | $30 | $50 | $403 | $74 | +$299 | 52.7% | +$131 | 182 high |
| 3 | Expected +$104 per submission: 41.1% of 39,269 graded copies came back PSA 10 ($811), and only a PSA 10 covers the $409 you have in it — a 9 loses money. Confidence high on that sample. | $301 | $275 | $811 | $108 | +$402 | 41.1% | +$104 | 39,269 high |
| 4 | Expected +$104 per submission: 50.4% of 226 graded copies came back PSA 10 ($369), and only a PSA 10 covers the $107 you have in it — a 9 loses money. Confidence high on that sample. | $33 | $49 | $369 | $74 | +$263 | 50.4% | +$104 | 226 high |
| 5 | Expected +$102 per submission: 44.8% of 1,148 graded copies came back PSA 10 ($410), and only a PSA 10 covers the $119 you have in it — a 9 loses money. Confidence high on that sample. | $45 | $69 | $410 | $74 | +$291 | 44.8% | +$102 | 1,148 high |
| 6 | Expected +$83 per submission: 43.4% of 1,076 graded copies came back PSA 10 ($400), and only a PSA 10 covers the $129 you have in it — a 9 loses money. Confidence high on that sample. | $55 | $71 | $400 | $74 | +$271 | 43.4% | +$83 | 1,076 high |
| 7 | Expected +$73 per submission: 61.9% of 160 graded copies came back PSA 10 ($200), and a PSA 9 ($100) still clears the $85 you have in it. Confidence high on that sample. | $13 | $100 | $200 | $72 | +$115 | 61.9% | +$73 | 160 high |
| 8 | Expected +$68 per submission: 20% of 6,371 graded copies came back PSA 10 ($810), and only a PSA 10 covers the $199 you have in it — a 9 loses money. Confidence high on that sample. | $91 | $110 | $810 | $108 | +$611 | 20% | +$68 | 6,371 high |
| 9 | Expected +$54 per submission: 50.2% of 638 graded copies came back PSA 10 ($275), and only a PSA 10 covers the $100 you have in it — a 9 loses money. Confidence high on that sample. | $27 | $31 | $275 | $73 | +$175 | 50.2% | +$54 | 638 high |
| 10 | Expected +$53 per submission: 42.9% of 2,711 graded copies came back PSA 10 ($335), and only a PSA 10 covers the $129 you have in it — a 9 loses money. Confidence high on that sample. | $56 | $69 | $335 | $73 | +$206 | 42.9% | +$53 | 2,711 high |
| 11 | Expected +$47 per submission: 33.3% of 9,771 graded copies came back PSA 10 ($360), and only a PSA 10 covers the $114 you have in it — a 9 loses money. Confidence high on that sample. | $40 | $63 | $360 | $74 | +$246 | 33.3% | +$47 | 9,771 high |
| 12 | Expected +$38 per submission: 50.3% of 376 graded copies came back PSA 10 ($230), and only a PSA 10 covers the $92 you have in it — a 9 loses money. Confidence high on that sample. | $20 | $28 | $230 | $72 | +$138 | 50.3% | +$38 | 376 high |
| 13 | Expected +$37 per submission: 50.6% of 237 graded copies came back PSA 10 ($222), and only a PSA 10 covers the $87 you have in it — a 9 loses money. Confidence high on that sample. | $15 | $25 | $222 | $72 | +$134 | 50.6% | +$37 | 237 high |
| 14 | Expected +$35 per submission: 57.7% of 1,417 graded copies came back PSA 10 ($200), and only a PSA 10 covers the $93 you have in it — a 9 loses money. Confidence high on that sample. | $21 | $30 | $200 | $72 | +$107 | 57.7% | +$35 | 1,417 high |
| 15 | Expected +$31 per submission: 53.2% of 316 graded copies came back PSA 10 ($186), and only a PSA 10 covers the $84 you have in it — a 9 loses money. Confidence high on that sample. | $12 | $35 | $186 | $72 | +$102 | 53.2% | +$31 | 316 high |
| 16 | Expected +$27 per submission: 43.9% of 21,067 graded copies came back PSA 10 ($410), and only a PSA 10 covers the $246 you have in it — a 9 loses money. Confidence high on that sample. | $172 | $168 | $410 | $74 | +$164 | 43.9% | +$27 | 21,067 high |
| 17 | Expected +$23 per submission: 64.4% of 101 graded copies came back PSA 10 ($150), and only a PSA 10 covers the $78 you have in it — a 9 loses money. Confidence high on that sample. | $7 | $15 | $150 | $71 | +$71 | 64.4% | +$23 | 101 high |
| 18 | Expected +$19 per submission: 53.9% of 141 graded copies came back PSA 10 ($163), and only a PSA 10 covers the $78 you have in it — a 9 loses money. Confidence high on that sample. | $6 | $19 | $163 | $72 | +$85 | 53.9% | +$19 | 141 high |
| 19 | Expected +$15 per submission: 56% of 100 graded copies came back PSA 10 ($150), and only a PSA 10 covers the $76 you have in it — a 9 loses money. Confidence high on that sample. | $5 | $15 | $150 | $71 | +$73 | 56% | +$15 | 100 high |
| 20 | Expected +$13 per submission: 55.5% of 458 graded copies came back PSA 10 ($165), and only a PSA 10 covers the $96 you have in it — a 9 loses money. Confidence high on that sample. | $24 | $40 | $165 | $72 | +$69 | 55.5% | +$13 | 458 high |
| 21 | Expected +$12 per submission: 49.5% of 920 graded copies came back PSA 10 ($175), and only a PSA 10 covers the $90 you have in it — a 9 loses money. Confidence high on that sample. | $18 | $29 | $175 | $72 | +$86 | 49.5% | +$12 | 920 high |
| 22 | Expected +$9 per submission: 56.3% of 398 graded copies came back PSA 10 ($135), and only a PSA 10 covers the $78 you have in it — a 9 loses money. Confidence high on that sample. | $7 | $26 | $135 | $71 | +$57 | 56.3% | +$9 | 398 high |
| 23 | Expected +$8 per submission: 47.1% of 3,762 graded copies came back PSA 10 ($220), and only a PSA 10 covers the $120 you have in it — a 9 loses money. Confidence high on that sample. | $48 | $47 | $220 | $72 | +$100 | 47.1% | +$8 | 3,762 high |
| 24 | Expected +$8 per submission: 49.8% of 428 graded copies came back PSA 10 ($168), and only a PSA 10 covers the $85 you have in it — a 9 loses money. Confidence high on that sample. | $13 | $18 | $168 | $72 | +$83 | 49.8% | +$8 | 428 high |
| 25 | Expected +$2 per submission: 45% of 131 graded copies came back PSA 10 ($153), and only a PSA 10 covers the $78 you have in it — a 9 loses money. Confidence high on that sample. | $6 | $20 | $153 | $72 | +$75 | 45% | +$2 | 131 high |
| 26 | Expected +$2 per submission: 45.3% of 380 graded copies came back PSA 10 ($161), and only a PSA 10 covers the $92 you have in it — a 9 loses money. Confidence high on that sample. | $20 | $40 | $161 | $72 | +$70 | 45.3% | +$2 | 380 high |
| 27 | Expected +$1 per submission: 56.2% of 452 graded copies came back PSA 10 ($130), and only a PSA 10 covers the $82 you have in it — a 9 loses money. Confidence high on that sample. | $11 | $24 | $130 | $71 | +$48 | 56.2% | +$1 | 452 high |
| 28 | Expected loss −$2 per submission: 59.4% of 187 graded copies came back PSA 10 ($120), and only a PSA 10 covers the $78 you have in it — a 9 loses money. Confidence high on that sample. | $7 | $12 | $120 | $71 | +$42 | 59.4% | −$2 | 187 high |
| 29 | Expected loss −$4 per submission: 55.2% of 181 graded copies came back PSA 10 ($118), and only a PSA 10 covers the $80 you have in it — a 9 loses money. Confidence high on that sample. | $9 | $26 | $118 | $71 | +$37 | 55.2% | −$4 | 181 high |
| 30 | Expected loss −$6 per submission: 52.8% of 176 graded copies came back PSA 10 ($123), and only a PSA 10 covers the $79 you have in it — a 9 loses money. Confidence high on that sample. | $8 | $16 | $123 | $71 | +$44 | 52.8% | −$6 | 176 high |
| 31 | Expected loss −$7 per submission: 53.5% of 342 graded copies came back PSA 10 ($120), and only a PSA 10 covers the $86 you have in it — a 9 loses money. Confidence high on that sample. | $15 | $33 | $120 | $71 | +$34 | 53.5% | −$7 | 342 high |
| 32 | Expected loss −$7 per submission: 61.3% of 1,940 graded copies came back PSA 10 ($118), and only a PSA 10 covers the $90 you have in it — a 9 loses money. Confidence high on that sample. | $19 | $30 | $118 | $71 | +$28 | 61.3% | −$7 | 1,940 high |
| 33 | Expected loss −$7 per submission: 53.8% of 104 graded copies came back PSA 10 ($95), and only a PSA 10 covers the $78 you have in it — a 9 loses money. Confidence high on that sample. | $7 | $50 | $95 | $71 | +$17 | 53.8% | −$7 | 104 high |
| 34 | Expected loss −$10 per submission: 57.8% of 348 graded copies came back PSA 10 ($105), and only a PSA 10 covers the $80 you have in it — a 9 loses money. Confidence high on that sample. | $9 | $22 | $105 | $71 | +$25 | 57.8% | −$10 | 348 high |
| 35 | Expected loss −$11 per submission: 46.8% of 3,332 graded copies came back PSA 10 ($150), and only a PSA 10 covers the $102 you have in it — a 9 loses money. Confidence high on that sample. | $31 | $42 | $150 | $71 | +$48 | 46.8% | −$11 | 3,332 high |
| 36 | Expected loss −$11 per submission: 59.8% of 87 graded copies came back PSA 10 ($95), and only a PSA 10 covers the $77 you have in it — a 9 loses money. Confidence medium on that sample. | $6 | $25 | $95 | $71 | +$18 | 59.8% | −$11 | 87 medium |
| 37 | Expected loss −$12 per submission: 36% of 1,648 graded copies came back PSA 10 ($148), and only a PSA 10 covers the $80 you have in it — a 9 loses money. Confidence high on that sample. | $9 | $23 | $148 | $71 | +$68 | 36% | −$12 | 1,648 high |
| 38 | Expected loss −$12 per submission: 44.1% of 247 graded copies came back PSA 10 ($129), and only a PSA 10 covers the $85 you have in it — a 9 loses money. Confidence high on that sample. | $14 | $30 | $129 | $71 | +$44 | 44.1% | −$12 | 247 high |
| 39 | Expected loss −$12 per submission: 62.6% of 131 graded copies came back PSA 10 ($90), and only a PSA 10 covers the $77 you have in it — a 9 loses money. Confidence high on that sample. | $6 | $23 | $90 | $71 | +$13 | 62.6% | −$12 | 131 high |
| 40 | Expected loss −$13 per submission: 32.5% of 329 graded copies came back PSA 10 ($158), and only a PSA 10 covers the $83 you have in it — a 9 loses money. Confidence high on that sample. | $11 | $26 | $158 | $72 | +$74 | 32.5% | −$13 | 329 high |
| 41 | Expected loss −$13 per submission: 49.4% of 356 graded copies came back PSA 10 ($123), and only a PSA 10 covers the $86 you have in it — a 9 loses money. Confidence high on that sample. | $15 | $25 | $123 | $71 | +$37 | 49.4% | −$13 | 356 high |
| 42 | Expected loss −$13 per submission: 56.6% of 196 graded copies came back PSA 10 ($103), and only a PSA 10 covers the $79 you have in it — a 9 loses money. Confidence high on that sample. | $8 | $20 | $103 | $71 | +$23 | 56.6% | −$13 | 196 high |
| 43 | Expected loss −$13 per submission: 56.4% of 188 graded copies came back PSA 10 ($100), and only a PSA 10 covers the $81 you have in it — a 9 loses money. Confidence high on that sample. | $10 | $27 | $100 | $71 | +$19 | 56.4% | −$13 | 188 high |
| 44 | Expected loss −$13 per submission: 61.7% of 196 graded copies came back PSA 10 ($95), and only a PSA 10 covers the $80 you have in it — a 9 loses money. Confidence high on that sample. | $9 | $20 | $95 | $71 | +$15 | 61.7% | −$13 | 196 high |
| 45 | Expected loss −$17 per submission: 45.7% of 3,907 graded copies came back PSA 10 ($132), and only a PSA 10 covers the $91 you have in it — a 9 loses money. Confidence high on that sample. | $20 | $25 | $132 | $71 | +$40 | 45.7% | −$17 | 3,907 high |
| 46 | Expected loss −$17 per submission: 54.4% of 149 graded copies came back PSA 10 ($96), and only a PSA 10 covers the $79 you have in it — a 9 loses money. Confidence high on that sample. | $8 | $20 | $96 | $71 | +$17 | 54.4% | −$17 | 149 high |
| 47 | Expected loss −$18 per submission: 47.2% of 248 graded copies came back PSA 10 ($104), and only a PSA 10 covers the $80 you have in it — a 9 loses money. Confidence high on that sample. | $9 | $25 | $104 | $71 | +$24 | 47.2% | −$18 | 248 high |
| 48 | Expected loss −$21 per submission: 28.6% of 196 graded copies came back PSA 10 ($130), and only a PSA 10 covers the $79 you have in it — a 9 loses money. Confidence high on that sample. | $8 | $35 | $130 | $71 | +$51 | 28.6% | −$21 | 196 high |
| 49 | Expected loss −$21 per submission: 49.1% of 4,726 graded copies came back PSA 10 ($90), and only a PSA 10 covers the $77 you have in it — a 9 loses money. Confidence high on that sample. | $6 | $24 | $90 | $71 | +$13 | 49.1% | −$21 | 4,726 high |
| 50 | Expected loss −$21 per submission: 54.8% of 299 graded copies came back PSA 10 ($91), and only a PSA 10 covers the $79 you have in it — a 9 loses money. Confidence high on that sample. | $8 | $19 | $91 | $71 | +$12 | 54.8% | −$21 | 299 high |
Expected = every grade outcome weighted by its share of the card's graded population, minus the raw price and the grading cost (PSA tier fee for the graded value plus ~$20 round-trip shipping, fees as of 2026-08-26). Best case is the PSA 10 leg alone. Gem rates come from a self-selected population — collectors grade their cleanest copies — so read them as an upper bound. Raw is a blended market price, not a sale of your copy. Full method and filters on the grading index.