Market value · ungraded
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NOT WORTH ITBased on 0 graded sales and 4,409,561 pop-report entries for a near-mint copy.
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✨ Is it worth it?
An AI market read of this card — value, momentum, grading economics, liquidity. It lays out the data; you decide.
Cobalion is a Rare Holo Pokémon card from Lost Thunder (#129), illustrated by Kouki Saitou. It's a Basic Metal-type Pokémon with 120 HP, weak to Fire ×2. Its current blended market value is $0.72 ungraded, with a PSA 10 worth around $34 — a gem-mint grading premium of roughly 47× the raw value. Prices are aggregated across marketplaces — raw and graded, updated daily and shown in your local currency.
Prices last updated 20 August 2026.
The receipts
Price history · Raw
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Recent sold prices
No recent sold listings tracked.
Should you grade it?
Expected return across every likely grade, after fees — the realistic average, not the best case. Only 27.3% of copies gem (PSA 10 best case −$37); most land at PSA 9 or below.
The odds
Cobalion is a Holo / V / ex in Lost Thunder — the pack's hit slot lands on Holo / V / ex 27.9% of the time, split across 34 holo / v / ex cards in the set, so pulling this exact card is roughly 1 in 122 packs.
Estimates only. Pack odds come from CardTrack's pack model (the same one behind the pack simulator) — not an official rate. Grading odds are the real cumulative PSA population, which skews toward nicer, resubmitted copies, so it overstates the true first-submission gem rate. Full grade-by-grade breakdown below.
Grade-by-grade ROI & risk-adjusted outcomesNet vs raw per target grade, plus the probability-weighted distribution
| Target grade | Est. value | Grading fee | Net vs raw | Multiple |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PSA 10 | $33.61 | $70 | −$37 | 46.7× |
⚖️ Risk-adjusted return
Best case isn't the whole story. Weighting every grade by how often it actually happens, across 11 PSA-graded copies:
| Likely outcome | Chance | Value |
|---|---|---|
| PSA 10 | 27.3% | $34.00 |
| PSA 9 | 54.5% | $13.00 |
| PSA ≤8 | 18.2% | $1.00 |
Net = graded value − raw value − grading cost (tier fee + ~$20 round-trip shipping), using PSA fees as of 2026-06-28; the paused PSA Value tier is excluded so this isn't overstated. Gem rate is estimated from cumulative PSA population, which skews toward nicer, resubmitted copies — so it overstates the true grade rate. Treat it as a guide, not a guarantee.
Population across gradersPSA, CGC & BGS — every grade, with gem rates
Only 27% of 11 PSA-graded Cobalion copies are a gem-mint 10 (3 of 11) — the rest grade lower.
Real graded population from PSA, CGC & BGS — a lower gem rate means a Cobalion 10 is harder to pull.
Copies for sale right now
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All grades & conditions
Every grade we pricePSA / CGC / BGS ladder with per-grade population
| Grade | Relative value | Price |
|---|---|---|
| PSA 10pop 3 | $34$34–$34 |
Raw condition ladderNM → damaged, with real sold medians where we have them
Market dataCross-market spread, EU price, momentum & community buzz
Cross-market prices
17% spreadCurrently 17% cheaper on TCGplayer than PriceCharting. These are independent market prices for the same card — a wide gap can mean a buying opportunity. Informational only, not arbitrage advice.
Market signal
Derived from this card's 90-day price history, recent trend and cross-market price gap. Informational, not advice.
Card textAttacks, abilities, weakness / resistance / retreat
During your opponent's next turn, this Pokémon takes 30 less damage from attacks (after applying Weakness and Resistance).
If this Pokémon has a Pokémon Tool card attached to it, this attack does 40 more damage.
“It has a body and heart of steel. It worked with its allies to punish people when they hurt Pokémon.”
About the PokémonSpecies, generation, evolution line
This legendary Pokémon battled against humans to protect Pokémon. Its personality is calm and composed.
Card detailsSet, rarity, artist, Pokédex & specs
Other Cobalion cards
There are 9 different Cobalion printings — make sure you're valuing the right one. This is Lost Thunder #129 (Rare Holo).
More from Lost Thunder
Frequently asked questions
How much is Cobalion (Lost Thunder #129) worth?
As of 20 August 2026, Cobalion from Lost Thunder is worth approximately $0.72 ungraded (near-mint), and around $34 in PSA 10 gem mint. Values are blended from real Cardmarket, eBay sold and TCGplayer prices and update daily.
What is the PSA 10 price for Cobalion?
A PSA 10 (gem mint) Cobalion from Lost Thunder is worth around $34 — roughly 47× the raw ungraded value of $0.72.
Should I grade my Cobalion?
A PSA 10 sells for about $34 versus $0.72 raw — roughly a 47× uplift. Grading is worth it when that premium comfortably beats the grading fee and the card is clean enough to have a real shot at a 10. See the "Should you grade it?" estimate above for net profit per grade.
Is Cobalion rare?
Cobalion is a Rare Holo card from Lost Thunder (card #129), illustrated by Kouki Saitou. Its current blended market value is $0.72 ungraded.
Cite & embed this card
Free to use with attribution to CardTrack.
Cobalion (Lost Thunder #129) — Pokémon market value $0.72, PSA 10 $33.61. Source: CardTrack, https://cardtrack.com/pokemon/card/lost-thunder/cobalion-129<iframe src="https://cardtrack.com/embed/card?id=sm8-129" width="100%" height="160" style="border:0;max-width:460px" title="Cobalion price — CardTrack" loading="lazy"></iframe>
<p style="font:12px system-ui">Source: <a href="https://cardtrack.com">CardTrack</a></p>