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Check your printing3 different Magcargo-GX printings exist — is this your card? Lost Thunder #198
Magcargo-GX Lost Thunder #198 Pokémon card
Rare Ultra

Magcargo-GX

Lost Thunder · 198/214 · Illustrated by 5ban Graphics
210 HPFirePokémonStage 1GX

Market value · ungraded

$7.17 4.8% · 30d
Confidencehigh
Range$7$8
Cert-verified10 PSA sales
Sold prices, not asking. TCGplayer. Updated 20 August 2026. 2 sources agree within 3%. Estimate, not an appraisalhow we price →

What's your copy worth?

What's your copy worth?
Not sure which condition? Grade it from a photo
Estimated value · Near Mint
$7.17

What this price is based on

Medium confidence

4 sales in 90 days — enough for a guide, not a guarantee.

Median · Raw$6.374 sales
Trimmed mean$6.98outliers removed
Range$4.71$10.49lowest to highest sale
Sales rate1.2/mo7 recorded

Recent Raw sales

  • Jul 25, 2026eBay — Magcargo GX - 198/214 - Rare Ultra Holo Lost Thunder - Pokemon Card - LPLP$5.73
  • Jul 16, 2026eBay — Pokémon TCG Magcargo GX - 198/214 - Ultra Rare Holo Lost Thunder - LPLP$7.00
  • Jun 28, 2026eBay — Magcargo GX 198/214 Ultra Rare Lost Thunder Pokemon Near MintNM$10.49
  • Jun 13, 2026eBay — Magcargo GX 198/214 Rare Ultra Holo Lost Thunder Pokemon Card NMNM$4.71

By grade

  • Raw$6.374 sales
  • PSA 9$56.251 sale
  • PSA 10$1321 sale
  • CGC 8.5$7.201 sale

From 7 completed sales recorded between Jun 13, 2026 and Jul 27, 2026. Sold prices only — asking prices are never counted.

Grade it or not

GRADE IT

Based on 3 graded sales and 4,409,561 pop-report entries for a near-mint copy.

See the numbers — Trader plan and above

Buy this card

Is it worth it?

An AI market read of this card — value, momentum, grading economics, liquidity. It lays out the data; you decide.

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Magcargo-GX is a Rare Ultra Pokémon card from Lost Thunder (#198), illustrated by 5ban Graphics. It's a Stage 1 GX Fire-type Pokémon with 210 HP, evolving from Slugma, weak to Water ×2. Its current blended market value is $7.17 ungraded, with a PSA 10 worth around $129 — a gem-mint grading premium of roughly 18× the raw value. Prices are aggregated across marketplaces — raw and graded, updated daily and shown in your local currency.

Prices last updated 20 August 2026.

The receipts

Graded a PSA 10? See its cert-verified sales and price history — individual sales PSA tied to a specific slab, each with a cert number you can check.

Price history · Raw

1 Sept 202320 Aug 2026
Latest
$7.17
Period high
$7.85
Period low
$3.83
Change
68.7%
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Verified sales history10 in 90 daysreal completed listings

DateGradePriceCert
27 Jul 2026PSA 10$132.00#107411442
27 Jun 2026PSA 9$29.99#88506538
26 Jun 2026PSA 9$56.25#58455499
5 Jun 2026PSA 10$149.00#65361024
1 Jun 2026PSA 10$140.00#153216574
25 May 2026PSA 10$100.00#47695825
13 May 2026PSA 10$129.99#83575996
27 Apr 2026PSA 10$130.00#139621302
7 Dec 2025PSA 9$14.00#44343167
16 Nov 2025PSA 8$13.01#111257008

Should you grade it?

$12

Expected return across every likely grade, after fees — the realistic average, not the best case. Only 43.8% of copies gem (PSA 10 best case +$51); most land at PSA 9 or below.

Gem rate (est.)43.8%
Expected return$12
PSA 10 best case+$51
Break-evenPSA 10+
VerdictNot worth it

The odds

Magcargo-GX is a Ultra Rare in Lost Thunder — the pack's hit slot lands on Ultra Rare 10% of the time, split across 20 ultra rare cards in the set, so pulling this exact card is roughly 1 in 201 packs.

Ultra Rare10%20 cards
PSA 10 (gem mint)43.8%49 of 112
PSA 942%47 of 112
PSA graded so far112
Gem Mint 1049
Total graded112

Estimates only. Pack odds come from CardTrack's pack model (the same one behind the pack simulator) — not an official rate. Grading odds are the real cumulative PSA population, which skews toward nicer, resubmitted copies, so it overstates the true first-submission gem rate. Full grade-by-grade breakdown below.

Grade-by-grade ROI & risk-adjusted outcomesNet vs raw per target grade, plus the probability-weighted distribution
Target gradeEst. valueGrading feeNet vs rawMultiple
PSA 10$129.00$71+$5118.0×
PSA 9$22.00$70$553.1×
PSA 8$13.00$70$641.8×

⚖️ Risk-adjusted return

Best case isn't the whole story. Weighting every grade by how often it actually happens, across 112 PSA-graded copies:

Likely outcomeChanceValue
PSA 1043.8%$129.00
PSA 942%$22.00
PSA ≤814.3%$7.00

Net = graded value − raw value − grading cost (tier fee + ~$20 round-trip shipping), using PSA fees as of 2026-06-28; the paused PSA Value tier is excluded so this isn't overstated. Gem rate is estimated from cumulative PSA population, which skews toward nicer, resubmitted copies — so it overstates the true grade rate. Treat it as a guide, not a guarantee.

Population across gradersPSA, CGC & BGS — every grade, with gem rates

Only 44% of 112 PSA-graded Magcargo-GX copies are a gem-mint 10 (49 of 112) — the rest grade lower.

PSA112 gradedPSA 10 · 49 · 44% gem
1049
947
811
72
62
41
CGC240 gradedCGC 10 · 30 · 13% gem
1030
9100
8.575
825

Real graded population from PSA, CGC & BGS — a lower gem rate means a Magcargo-GX 10 is harder to pull.

Copies for sale right now

Check recent sold prices

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All grades & conditions

Every grade we pricePSA / CGC / BGS ladder with per-grade population
Graded prices
Ungraded (raw)$7.17
PSA graded price estimates by grade
GradeRelative valuePrice
PSA 10pop 49$129$110$148
PSA 9pop 47$22$19$25
PSA 8pop 11$13$13$13
“Sold” = median of real recent sold listings at that grade (eBay or Fanatics Collect — hover a badge to see which). Other figures are blended marketplace estimates. Confidence reflects source backing and price spread — not PSA-official values.
Raw condition ladderNM → damaged, with real sold medians where we have them
Raw price by condition
Holofoil · live market via TCGplayer
NMNear Mint$7.17
LPLightly Played$5.32
MPModerately Played$4.11
DMGDamaged$2.11
7-day 1.5%
30-day 4.3%
90-day 13.9%
All-time high$7
All-time low$4
What NM / LP / MP actually mean — and how much they cost
Market dataCross-market spread, EU price, momentum & community buzz

Cross-market prices

3% spread
PriceCharting · cheapest$8
TCGplayer · dearest$8

Currently 3% cheaper on PriceCharting than TCGplayer. These are independent market prices for the same card — a wide gap can mean a buying opportunity. Informational only, not arbitrage advice.

Market signal

Momentum · 30dRising +5%
Cross-marketMarkets agree 3% gap

Derived from this card's 90-day price history, recent trend and cross-market price gap. Informational, not advice.

Card textAttacks, abilities, weakness / resistance / retreat

Evolves from Slugma.

Crushing ChargeAbility

Once during your turn (before your attack), you may discard the top card of your deck. If it's a basic Energy card, attach it to 1 of your Pokémon.

Lava Flow50+
Fire · Fire · Colorless

Discard any amount of basic Energy from this Pokémon. This attack does 50 more damage for each card you discarded in this way.

Burning Magma-GX
Fire

Discard the top 5 cards of your opponent's deck. (You can't use more than 1 GX attack in a game.)

Weakness Water ×2Retreat 3

Pokémon-GX rule: When your Pokémon-GX is Knocked Out, your opponent takes 2 Prize cards.

Card detailsSet, rarity, artist, Pokédex & specs
Number#198
RarityRare Ultra
SupertypePokémon
SubtypesStage 1, GX
TypeFire
HP210
Evolves fromSlugma
WeaknessWater ×2
Retreat cost3
National Pokédex#219
Card IDsm8-198
SourceAggregated marketplaces

Other Magcargo-GX cards

There are 3 different Magcargo-GX printings — make sure you're valuing the right one. This is Lost Thunder #198 (Rare Ultra).

More from Lost Thunder

Frequently asked questions

How much is Magcargo-GX (Lost Thunder #198) worth?

As of 20 August 2026, Magcargo-GX from Lost Thunder is worth approximately $7.17 ungraded (near-mint), and around $129 in PSA 10 gem mint. Values are blended from real Cardmarket, eBay sold and TCGplayer prices and update daily.

What is the PSA 10 price for Magcargo-GX?

A PSA 10 (gem mint) Magcargo-GX from Lost Thunder is worth around $129 — roughly 18× the raw ungraded value of $7.17.

Should I grade my Magcargo-GX?

A PSA 10 sells for about $129 versus $7.17 raw — roughly a 18× uplift. Grading is worth it when that premium comfortably beats the grading fee and the card is clean enough to have a real shot at a 10. See the "Should you grade it?" estimate above for net profit per grade.

Is Magcargo-GX rare?

Magcargo-GX is a Rare Ultra card from Lost Thunder (card #198), illustrated by 5ban Graphics. Its current blended market value is $7.17 ungraded.

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Citation
Magcargo-GX (Lost Thunder #198) — Pokémon market value $7.17, PSA 10 $129.00. Source: CardTrack, https://cardtrack.com/pokemon/card/lost-thunder/magcargo-gx-198
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