Market value · ungraded
What's your copy worth?
What this price is based on
Low confidenceOnly 1 sale in the last 90 days.
Recent PSA 10 sales
- Jul 17, 2026Fanatics$179
- May 18, 2026Fanatics$91.20
- May 18, 2026Fanatics$91.20
- May 18, 2026Fanatics$132
- May 18, 2026Fanatics$110
- Apr 20, 2026Fanatics$100
By grade
- PSA 10$1056 sales
- CGC 8.5$9.003 sales
- PSA 9$35.001 sale
- Lot$8.401 sale
- CGC 9$8.401 sale
From 12 completed sales recorded between Feb 18, 2026 and Jul 17, 2026. Sold prices only — asking prices are never counted.
Grade it or not
GRADE ITBased on 11 graded sales and 4,409,944 pop-report entries for a near-mint copy.
See the numbers — Trader plan and aboveBuy this card
✨ Is it worth it?
An AI market read of this card — value, momentum, grading economics, liquidity. It lays out the data; you decide.
Moltres is a Rare Pokémon card from Lost Thunder (#38), illustrated by Misa Tsutsui. It's a Basic Fire-type Pokémon with 120 HP, weak to Water ×2. Its current blended market value is $1.01 ungraded, with a PSA 10 worth around $120 — a gem-mint grading premium of roughly 119× the raw value. Prices are aggregated across marketplaces — raw and graded, updated daily and shown in your local currency.
Prices last updated 20 August 2026.
The receipts
Price history · Raw
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Verified sales history4 in 90 days✓ real completed listings
| Date | Grade | Price | Cert |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr 2026 | PSA 7 | $7.50 | #150198386 ✓ |
| 30 Mar 2026 | PSA 7 | $7.50 | #150198385 ✓ |
| 14 Mar 2023 | PSA 9 | $10.00 | #68767447 ✓ |
| 15 Apr 2020 | PSA 9 | $8.50 | #43726859 ✓ |
Should you grade it?
Expected return across every likely grade, after fees — the realistic average, not the best case. Only 43.3% of copies gem (PSA 10 best case +$48); most land at PSA 9 or below.
The odds
Moltres is a Rare in Lost Thunder — the pack's hit slot lands on Rare 59.7% of the time, split across 38 rare cards in the set, so pulling this exact card is roughly 1 in 64 packs.
Estimates only. Pack odds come from CardTrack's pack model (the same one behind the pack simulator) — not an official rate. Grading odds are the real cumulative PSA population, which skews toward nicer, resubmitted copies, so it overstates the true first-submission gem rate. Full grade-by-grade breakdown below.
Grade-by-grade ROI & risk-adjusted outcomesNet vs raw per target grade, plus the probability-weighted distribution
| Target grade | Est. value | Grading fee | Net vs raw | Multiple |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PSA 10 | $120.00 | $71 | +$48 | 118.8× |
| PSA 9 | $20.99 | $70 | −$50 | 20.8× |
⚖️ Risk-adjusted return
Best case isn't the whole story. Weighting every grade by how often it actually happens, across 383 PSA-graded copies:
| Likely outcome | Chance | Value |
|---|---|---|
| PSA 10 | 43.3% | $120.00 |
| PSA 9 | 46.7% | $21.00 |
| PSA ≤8 | 9.9% | $1.00 |
Net = graded value − raw value − grading cost (tier fee + ~$20 round-trip shipping), using PSA fees as of 2026-06-28; the paused PSA Value tier is excluded so this isn't overstated. Gem rate is estimated from cumulative PSA population, which skews toward nicer, resubmitted copies — so it overstates the true grade rate. Treat it as a guide, not a guarantee.
Population across gradersPSA, CGC & BGS — every grade, with gem rates
Only 43% of 383 PSA-graded Moltres copies are a gem-mint 10 (166 of 383) — the rest grade lower.
Real graded population from PSA, CGC & BGS — a lower gem rate means a Moltres 10 is harder to pull.
Copies for sale right now
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All grades & conditions
Every grade we pricePSA / CGC / BGS ladder with per-grade population
| Grade | Relative value | Price |
|---|---|---|
| PSA 10pop 166 | $120$102–$138 | |
| PSA 9pop 179 | $21$18–$24 |
Raw condition ladderNM → damaged, with real sold medians where we have them
For context: a graded PSA 7 slab of this card sells for about $8 (cert-verified) — a heavily-played raw copy shouldn't cost much more than that.
Market dataCross-market spread, EU price, momentum & community buzz
Market signal
Derived from this card's 90-day price history, recent trend and cross-market price gap. Informational, not advice.
🔥 Trending in the community
#60 on the radarMoltres is one of the most-talked-about Pokémon right now across the Pokémon investing & TCG subreddits. See the hype radar →
What people are saying: “Double Swirl Blaine’s Moltres I just picked up” · 7↑
Card textAttacks, abilities, weakness / resistance / retreat
You may attach a Fire Energy card from your hand to 1 of your Benched Pokémon.
“One of the legendary bird Pokémon. It is said that its appearance indicates the coming of spring.”
About the PokémonSpecies, generation, evolution line
Known as the legendary bird of fire. Every flap of its wings creates a dazzling flash of flames.
Card detailsSet, rarity, artist, Pokédex & specs
Other Moltres cards
There are 9 different Moltres printings — make sure you're valuing the right one. This is Lost Thunder #38 (Rare).
More from Lost Thunder
Frequently asked questions
How much is Moltres (Lost Thunder #38) worth?
As of 20 August 2026, Moltres from Lost Thunder is worth approximately $1.01 ungraded (near-mint), and around $120 in PSA 10 gem mint. Values are blended from real Cardmarket, eBay sold and TCGplayer prices and update daily.
What is the PSA 10 price for Moltres?
A PSA 10 (gem mint) Moltres from Lost Thunder is worth around $120 — roughly 119× the raw ungraded value of $1.01.
Should I grade my Moltres?
A PSA 10 sells for about $120 versus $1.01 raw — roughly a 119× uplift. Grading is worth it when that premium comfortably beats the grading fee and the card is clean enough to have a real shot at a 10. See the "Should you grade it?" estimate above for net profit per grade.
Is Moltres rare?
Moltres is a Rare card from Lost Thunder (card #38), illustrated by Misa Tsutsui. Its current blended market value is $1.01 ungraded.
Cite & embed this card
Free to use with attribution to CardTrack.
Moltres (Lost Thunder #38) — Pokémon market value $1.01, PSA 10 $120.00. Source: CardTrack, https://cardtrack.com/pokemon/card/lost-thunder/moltres-38<iframe src="https://cardtrack.com/embed/card?id=sm8-38" width="100%" height="160" style="border:0;max-width:460px" title="Moltres price — CardTrack" loading="lazy"></iframe>
<p style="font:12px system-ui">Source: <a href="https://cardtrack.com">CardTrack</a></p>