Moltres38/214 · Lost Thunder Price & Value
Market value · Near Mint
- PSA 9$213 sold · 90d · pop 8
- PSA 10$1441 sold · 90d · pop 6
Make sure you have the right card
Every price on this page is for Lost Thunder #38/214, 2018. Check yours against the tells below before you buy, sell or grade.
Everything except the illustration window is foiled — the mirror image of a normal holo, where only the picture shines.
No foil anywhere — the non-holo printing.
What's your copy worth?
✨ Is it worth it?
An AI market read of this card — value, momentum, grading economics, liquidity. It lays out the data; you decide.
Moltres is a Rare Pokémon card from Lost Thunder (#38, released 2018), illustrated by Misa Tsutsui. It's a Basic Fire-type Pokémon with 120 HP, weak to Water ×2. Prices below are aggregated across marketplaces — raw and graded, updated daily and shown in your local currency.
Prices last updated 12 September 2026.
Moltres price history & recent sales
Price history · Raw
We'll email you when this card's value crosses your target.
Verified sales history
Low confidenceOnly 1 sale in the last 90 days. · Moderate — Occasional sales
3 of 4 verified sales were competitive auctions — this price reflects real bidding, not asking prices. A graded copy trades roughly every 1063 days (median gap between cert-verified sales).
By grade
- PSA 10$10510 sales · 1 in 90d, rare
- PSA 9$32.415 sales · 3 in 90d, occasional
- CGC 8.5$9.003 sales
- CGC 9$8.452 sales · 1 in 90d, rare
- PSA 8$15.001 sale · 1 in 90d, rare
- PSA 7$7.501 sale
- Lot$8.401 sale
- CGC 10$39.991 sale
Is Moltres worth grading?
Most copies come back PSA 9 — worth $21 against the $72 you put in, a $51 loss. The money is in the 1 in 1 that reach PSA 9 or 10 and sell for $21–$105. Averaged over every outcome that is −$16 a card.
That is the average submitted copy. Tell us about yours and the verdict re-prices — most cards stop being worth grading here. Not sure? Grade it from a photo →
These are set to a flawless copy — the answer above. Change any of them to re-price it for the card in your hand.
Compare graders, and the live market
The verdict above is PSA's — the grader the population report, the ROI table and the price ladder on this page all use. Trader prices all three graders against each other and adds what the asking market is doing right now.
- PSA, CGC and Beckett side by side — each on its own population and its own fees, with Beckett scored on the 9.5 its market actually pays for.
- Lightly and moderately played — the same expected return for a copy that cannot gem.
- Ask vs sold — what the live listings want, against what copies have really closed at.
- Momentum — the 30-day median against the 90-day, per grade.
- Where it sells higher — the Fanatics-versus-eBay premium, with the sale counts behind it.
- Population history — the weekly PSA census, so you can see how fast 10s are arriving before you post the card.
The odds
Moltres is a Rare in Lost Thunder — the pack's hit slot lands on Rare 59.7% of the time, split across 38 rare cards in the set, so pulling this exact card is roughly 1 in 64 packs.
Estimates only. Pack odds come from CardTrack's pack model (the same one behind the pack simulator) — not an official rate. Grading odds are the real cumulative PSA population, which skews toward nicer, resubmitted copies, so it overstates the true first-submission gem rate. Full grade-by-grade breakdown below.
Grade-by-grade ROI & risk-adjusted outcomesNet vs raw per target grade, plus the probability-weighted distribution
| Target grade | Est. value | Grading fee | Net vs raw | Multiple |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PSA 10 | $143.58 | $71 | +$71 | 127.1× |
| PSA 9 | $20.99 | $70 | −$50 | 18.6× |
⚖️ Risk-adjusted return
Best case isn't the whole story. Weighting every grade by how often it actually happens, across 383 PSA-graded copies:
| Outcome | Chance | Value |
|---|---|---|
| PSA 10 | 43.3% | $105.00 |
| PSA 9 — typical | 46.7% | $20.99 |
| PSA 8 | 7.8% | $1.13 |
| PSA 7 | 1.6% | $1.13 |
| PSA 6 | 0.5% | $1.13 |
Net = graded value − raw value − grading cost (tier fee + ~$20 round-trip shipping), using PSA fees as of 2026-08-26; the paused PSA Value tier is excluded so this isn't overstated. Gem rate is estimated from cumulative PSA population, which skews toward nicer, resubmitted copies — so it overstates the true grade rate. Treat it as a guide, not a guarantee.
Population across gradersPSA, CGC, BGS & TAG — every grade, with gem rates
6 of the 20 PSA-graded Moltres copies came back a gem-mint 10 — 30%. The rest graded lower.
Bar length is relative to this grader's most common grade; the figure on the right is the share of all 20.
Bar length is relative to this grader's most common grade; the figure on the right is the share of all 221.
Bar length is relative to this grader's most common grade; the figure on the right is the share of all 1.
Bar length is relative to this grader's most common grade; the figure on the right is the share of all 2.
Real graded population from PSA, CGC, BGS & TAG — a lower gem rate means a Moltres 10 is harder to pull.
Copies for sale right now
Moltres - 38/214 - Rare (Near Mint) Lost Thunder - Fire PokémonRaw · eBay$0.99
Moltres (SM - Lost Thunder 38/214) NMRaw · eBay$0.99
2018 Pokemon Moltres 38/214 Rare Non-Holo Lost Thunder LPRaw · eBay$0.99
Moltres 38/214 Sm-Lost Thunder RegularRaw · eBay$1.19
Moltres 38/214 Rare - Lost Thunder Pokemon TCGRaw · eBay$1.30
SM - Lost Thunder #38/214 MoltresRaw · eBay$1.38Cheapest raw copy $0.99 — 12% below our near-mint estimate of $1
Buying this card on eBay? The free CardTrack extension shows our value and a deal verdict right on the listing. Add to Chrome →
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All grades & conditions
Every grade we pricePSA / CGC / BGS ladder with per-grade population
| Grade | Relative value | Price |
|---|---|---|
| PSA 10pop 6 | $144$122–$165 | |
| PSA 9pop 8 | $21$18–$24 |
Raw condition ladderNM → damaged, with real sold medians where we have them
For context: a graded PSA 7 slab of this card sells for about $8 (cert-verified) — a heavily-played raw copy shouldn't cost much more than that.
Price by printingBase vs reverse holo vs 1st edition — priced separately
Price by variant
TCGplayer market price per printing — reverse holo, 1st edition and unlimited often differ sharply.
Market dataCross-market spread, EU price, momentum & community buzz
🔥 Trending in the community
#85 on the radarMoltres is one of the most-talked-about Pokémon right now across the Pokémon investing & TCG subreddits. See the hype radar →
What people are saying: “Best tech attacker for each type? (standard)” · 9↑
Card textAttacks, abilities, weakness / resistance / retreat
You may attach a Fire Energy card from your hand to 1 of your Benched Pokémon.
“One of the legendary bird Pokémon. It is said that its appearance indicates the coming of spring.”
About the PokémonSpecies, generation, evolution line
Known as the legendary bird of fire. Every flap of its wings creates a dazzling flash of flames.
Card detailsSet, rarity, artist, Pokédex & specs
Other Moltres cards
There are 21 different Moltres printings — make sure you're valuing the right one. This is Lost Thunder #38 (Rare). The most valuable 7 are below.
More from Lost Thunder
Frequently asked questions
How much is Moltres (Lost Thunder #38) worth?
As of 12 September 2026, Moltres from Lost Thunder is worth approximately $1.13 ungraded (near-mint), and around $144 in PSA 10 gem mint. Values are blended from real Cardmarket, eBay sold and TCGplayer prices and update daily.
What is the PSA 10 price for Moltres?
A PSA 10 (gem mint) Moltres from Lost Thunder is worth around $144 — roughly 127× the raw ungraded value of $1.13.
Should I grade my Moltres?
Grading is worth it when the PSA 10 premium comfortably beats the grading fee and the card is clean enough to have a real shot at a 10 — the "Should you grade it?" estimate above works that out per grade, net of the current fee.
Is Moltres rare?
Moltres is a Rare card from Lost Thunder (card #38).
How do I know if my Moltres is Reverse Holo?
The card body, not the picture: Everything except the illustration window is foiled — the mirror image of a normal holo, where only the picture shines.
Cite & embed this card
Free to use with attribution to CardTrack.
Moltres (Lost Thunder #38) — Pokémon market value $1.13, PSA 10 $143.58. Source: CardTrack, https://cardtrack.com/pokemon/card/lost-thunder/moltres-38<iframe src="https://cardtrack.com/embed/card?id=sm8-38" width="100%" height="160" style="border:0;max-width:460px" title="Moltres price — CardTrack" loading="lazy"></iframe>
<p style="font:12px system-ui">Source: <a href="https://cardtrack.com">CardTrack</a></p>