cardtrack
Upgrade
Sign in
Nihilego Lost Thunder #106 Pokémon card
Rare Holo

Nihilego

Lost Thunder · 106/214 · Illustrated by Megumi Mizutani
110 HPPsychicPokémonBasicUltra Beast

Market value · ungraded

$14.04
Confidencehigh
Range$13$14
Sold prices, not asking. TCGplayer. Updated 20 August 2026. 2 sources agree within 6%. Estimate, not an appraisalhow we price →

What's your copy worth?

What's your copy worth?
Not sure which condition? Grade it from a photo
Estimated value · Near Mint
$14.04

What this price is based on

High confidence

32 sales in 90 days, closely clustered.

Median · Raw$11.7232 sales
Trimmed mean$11.15outliers removed
Range$1.99$30.99lowest to highest sale
Sales rate5.3/mo32 recorded

What each version actually sells for

PrintingNear MintLightly PlayedModerately Played
Common$12.00 23 sales$11.49 6 sales

Every figure is the median of real completed sales whose listing claimed that printing and condition — not a percentage of the headline price. A dash means we haven't seen enough sales of that exact version to publish one.

Recent Raw sales

  • Aug 16, 2026eBay — Pokemon Nihilego 106/214 - Holo Rare - SM Lost Thunder - ExcellentLP$24.31
  • Aug 14, 2026eBay — Nihilego 106/214 Rare Lost Thunder Pokemon Holo NM/LPLP$11.98
  • Aug 13, 2026eBay — Nihilego Pokemon TCG Holo Rare SM-Lost Thunder 106/214 English 2018 110 HP$10.00
  • Aug 11, 2026eBay — Pokémon TCG Near Mint Nihilego 106/214 Holo Rare Lost ThunderNM$14.99
  • Aug 10, 2026eBay — NIHILEGO 106/214 HOLO LOST THUNDER LP / A100-41LP$12.00
  • Aug 10, 2026eBay — Nihilego 106/214 Holo Rare Lost Thunder Pokemon Near MintNM$13.00
  • Aug 9, 2026eBay — Pokémon TCG Nihilego Lost Thunder Holo Rare Eng 106/214$10.00
  • Aug 7, 2026eBay — Pokemon NIHILEGO Holo-Foil Rare S&M Lost Thunder 106/214$7.25

From 32 completed sales recorded between May 30, 2026 and Aug 16, 2026. Sold prices only — asking prices are never counted. The range is wide because these sales span different printings and conditions — 1st Edition, Shadowless and Unlimited copies all carry this card's name, and they trade at very different levels. Each sale above is labelled with what its listing claimed, so you can see which ones describe the same object. Treat the median as the typical copy, not the range.

Grade it or not

Not enough graded evidence yet — 0 graded sales recorded.

Buy this card

ViewingRaw / ungraded (this page)PSA 9 price pageReverse Holo price

Is it worth it?

An AI market read of this card — value, momentum, grading economics, liquidity. It lays out the data; you decide.

Sign in to analyse

Nihilego is a Rare Holo Pokémon card from Lost Thunder (#106), illustrated by Megumi Mizutani. It's a Basic Ultra Beast Psychic-type Pokémon with 110 HP, weak to Psychic ×2. Its current blended market value is $14.04 ungraded. Prices are aggregated across marketplaces — raw and graded, updated daily and shown in your local currency.

Prices last updated 20 August 2026.

The receipts

Price history · Raw

1 Sept 202320 Aug 2026
Latest
$14.04
Period high
$14.13
Period low
$3.90
Change
260.0%
Set a price alert

We'll email you when this card's value crosses your target.

Alert me when the priceNo password needed — we'll set up your free account.

Recent sold prices

No recent sold listings tracked.

Should you grade it?

$77

Raw $14.04 → graded PSA 9$7.00, after ~$70.06 grading fee → 0.5× the raw value.

The odds

Nihilego is a Holo / V / ex in Lost Thunder — the pack's hit slot lands on Holo / V / ex 27.9% of the time, split across 34 holo / v / ex cards in the set, so pulling this exact card is roughly 1 in 122 packs.

Holo / V / ex27.9%34 cards
PSA 10 (gem mint)0%0 of 8
PSA 975%6 of 8
PSA graded so far8
Gem Mint 100
Total graded8

Estimates only. Pack odds come from CardTrack's pack model (the same one behind the pack simulator) — not an official rate. Grading odds are the real cumulative PSA population, which skews toward nicer, resubmitted copies, so it overstates the true first-submission gem rate. Full grade-by-grade breakdown below.

Grade-by-grade ROI & risk-adjusted outcomesNet vs raw per target grade, plus the probability-weighted distribution
Target gradeEst. valueGrading feeNet vs rawMultiple
PSA 9$7.00$70$770.5×

Net = graded value − raw value − grading cost (tier fee + ~$20 round-trip shipping), using PSA fees as of 2026-06-28; the paused PSA Value tier is excluded so this isn't overstated. Real outcome depends on the grade achieved; PSA 10 is best-case.

Population across gradersPSA, CGC & BGS — every grade, with gem rates

Only 0% of 8 PSA-graded Nihilego copies are a gem-mint 10 (0 of 8) — the rest grade lower.

PSA8 gradedPSA 10 · 0 · 0% gem
96
82
CGC40 gradedCGC 10 · 5 · 13% gem
105
910
8.515

Real graded population from PSA, CGC & BGS — a lower gem rate means a Nihilego 10 is harder to pull.

Copies for sale right now

Check recent sold prices

Affiliate links — we may earn a commission. Prices shown are sold-based, not sponsored placements.

All grades & conditions

Every grade we pricePSA / CGC / BGS ladder with per-grade population
Graded prices

We don't have a graded price for this card yet — there aren't enough verified graded sales to publish one we'd trust. A grade only appears here once enough real sold results back it. See the raw (ungraded) estimate above in the meantime.

Raw condition ladderNM → damaged, with real sold medians where we have them
Raw price by condition
Holofoil · live market via TCGplayer
NMNear Mint$14.04
LPLightly Played$12.20
MPModerately Played$10.94
HPHeavily Played$9.25
DMGDamaged$6.32
7-day 1.8%
30-day 4.5%
90-day 25.2%
All-time high$14
All-time low$11
Other printingsReverse Holofoil · $14.06
What NM / LP / MP actually mean — and how much they cost
Market dataCross-market spread, EU price, momentum & community buzz

Cross-market prices

6% spread
PriceCharting · cheapest$13
TCGplayer · dearest$14

Currently 6% cheaper on PriceCharting than TCGplayer. These are independent market prices for the same card — a wide gap can mean a buying opportunity. Informational only, not arbitrage advice.

Market signal

Momentum · 30dFlat 0%
Cross-marketMarkets agree 6% gap

Derived from this card's 90-day price history, recent trend and cross-market price gap. Informational, not advice.

Card textAttacks, abilities, weakness / resistance / retreat
Nightcap
Psychic

You can use this attack only if your opponent has exactly 2 Prize cards remaining. Choose 1 of your opponent's Pokémon's attacks and use it as this attack.

Void Tentacles
Psychic

Your opponent's Active Pokémon is now Confused and Poisoned.

Weakness Psychic ×2Retreat 1

One of the Ultra Beasts, it's unclear whether or not this Pokémon is sentient, but sometimes it can be observed behaving like a young girl.

About the PokémonSpecies, generation, evolution line
Parasite PokémonGEN VII

One of several mysterious Ultra Beasts. People on the street report observing those infested by it suddenly becoming violent.

Card detailsSet, rarity, artist, Pokédex & specs
Number#106
RarityRare Holo
SupertypePokémon
SubtypesBasic, Ultra Beast
TypePsychic
HP110
WeaknessPsychic ×2
Retreat cost1
National Pokédex#793
Card IDsm8-106
SourceAggregated marketplaces

More from Lost Thunder

Frequently asked questions

How much is Nihilego (Lost Thunder #106) worth?

As of 20 August 2026, Nihilego from Lost Thunder is worth approximately $14.04 ungraded (near-mint). Values are blended from real Cardmarket, eBay sold and TCGplayer prices and update daily.

Is Nihilego rare?

Nihilego is a Rare Holo card from Lost Thunder (card #106), illustrated by Megumi Mizutani. Its current blended market value is $14.04 ungraded.

Cite & embed this card

Free to use with attribution to CardTrack.

Citation
Nihilego (Lost Thunder #106) — Pokémon market value $14.04. Source: CardTrack, https://cardtrack.com/pokemon/card/lost-thunder/nihilego-106
Embed this on your site
<iframe src="https://cardtrack.com/embed/card?id=sm8-106" width="100%" height="160" style="border:0;max-width:460px" title="Nihilego price — CardTrack" loading="lazy"></iframe> <p style="font:12px system-ui">Source: <a href="https://cardtrack.com">CardTrack</a></p>