Sceptile-GX
Market value · ungraded
What's your copy worth?
What this price is based on
Medium confidence5 sales in 90 days — enough for a guide, not a guarantee.
Recent Raw sales
- Jun 22, 2026eBay — NM Pokemon Sceptile GX Lost Thunder 196/218NM$23.00
- May 31, 2026eBay — NM Pokemon Sceptile GX Lost Thunder 196/218NM$23.00
- May 31, 2026eBay — Sceptile GX 196/214 - Lost Thunder Rare Ultra Pokemon TCG - HP CardHP$28.13
- May 30, 2026eBay — Pokémon TCG Sceptile GX #196 Lost Thunder HpHP$8.50
- May 27, 2026eBay — Sceptile GX 196/214 Rare Ultra Lost Thunder Pokemon LPLP$14.27
- May 20, 2026eBay — Sceptile GX 196/214 Ultra Rare Lost Thunder Pokemon Near MintNM$20.00
- May 12, 2026eBay — Sceptile GX 196/214 Rare Ultra Lost Thunder Pokemon Near MintNM$24.98
- May 12, 2026eBay — Sceptile GX 196/214 Rare Ultra Lost Thunder Pokemon Near MintNM$21.40
By grade
- Raw$22.208 sales
- PSA 10$3622 sales
- PSA 8$18.001 sale
- CGC 10$31.001 sale
From 12 completed sales recorded between Mar 23, 2026 and Jul 7, 2026. Sold prices only — asking prices are never counted.
Grade it or not
GRADE ITBased on 4 graded sales and 4,409,821 pop-report entries for a near-mint copy.
See the numbers — Trader plan and aboveBuy this card
✨ Is it worth it?
An AI market read of this card — value, momentum, grading economics, liquidity. It lays out the data; you decide.
Sceptile-GX is a Rare Ultra Pokémon card from Lost Thunder (#196), illustrated by Yoshinobu Saito. It's a Stage 2 GX Grass-type Pokémon with 230 HP, evolving from Grovyle, weak to Fire ×2. Its current blended market value is $23.03 ungraded, with a PSA 10 worth around $321 — a gem-mint grading premium of roughly 14× the raw value. Prices are aggregated across marketplaces — raw and graded, updated daily and shown in your local currency.
Prices last updated 21 August 2026.
The receipts
Graded a PSA 10? See its cert-verified sales and price history → — individual sales PSA tied to a specific slab, each with a cert number you can check.
Price history · Raw
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Verified sales history10 in 90 days✓ real completed listings
| Date | Grade | Price | Cert |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Aug 2026 | PSA 10 | $355.00 | #145589225 ✓ |
| 28 Jul 2026 | PSA 7 | $27.00 | #156689237 ✓ |
| 16 Jul 2026 | PSA 8 | $39.98 | #120305737 ✓ |
| 15 Jul 2026 | PSA 10 | $380.88 | #156182465 ✓ |
| 14 Jul 2026 | PSA 10 | $330.00 | #162102960 ✓ |
| 1 Jul 2026 | PSA 10 | $315.00 | #131859807 ✓ |
| 8 Jun 2026 | PSA 10 | $290.00 | #131859807 ✓ |
| 2 Jun 2026 | PSA 10 | $326.00 | #145933972 ✓ |
| 15 May 2026 | PSA 9 | $80.00 | #133837179 ✓ |
| 5 May 2026 | PSA 9 | $56.99 | #147252108 ✓ |
Should you grade it?
Expected return across every likely grade, after fees — the realistic average, not the best case. Only 31.5% of copies gem (PSA 10 best case +$225); most land at PSA 9 or below.
The odds
Sceptile-GX is a Ultra Rare in Lost Thunder — the pack's hit slot lands on Ultra Rare 10% of the time, split across 20 ultra rare cards in the set, so pulling this exact card is roughly 1 in 201 packs.
Estimates only. Pack odds come from CardTrack's pack model (the same one behind the pack simulator) — not an official rate. Grading odds are the real cumulative PSA population, which skews toward nicer, resubmitted copies, so it overstates the true first-submission gem rate. Full grade-by-grade breakdown below.
Grade-by-grade ROI & risk-adjusted outcomesNet vs raw per target grade, plus the probability-weighted distribution
| Target grade | Est. value | Grading fee | Net vs raw | Multiple |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PSA 10 | $321.48 | $73 | +$225 | 14.0× |
| PSA 9 | $58.50 | $71 | −$35 | 2.5× |
| PSA 8 | $40.00 | $70 | −$53 | 1.7× |
⚖️ Risk-adjusted return
Best case isn't the whole story. Weighting every grade by how often it actually happens, across 260 PSA-graded copies:
| Likely outcome | Chance | Value |
|---|---|---|
| PSA 10 | 31.5% | $321.00 |
| PSA 9 | 50.4% | $59.00 |
| PSA ≤8 | 18.1% | $23.00 |
Net = graded value − raw value − grading cost (tier fee + ~$20 round-trip shipping), using PSA fees as of 2026-06-28; the paused PSA Value tier is excluded so this isn't overstated. Gem rate is estimated from cumulative PSA population, which skews toward nicer, resubmitted copies — so it overstates the true grade rate. Treat it as a guide, not a guarantee.
Population across gradersPSA, CGC & BGS — every grade, with gem rates
Only 32% of 260 PSA-graded Sceptile-GX copies are a gem-mint 10 (82 of 260) — the rest grade lower.
Real graded population from PSA, CGC & BGS — a lower gem rate means a Sceptile-GX 10 is harder to pull.
Copies for sale right now
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All grades & conditions
Every grade we pricePSA / CGC / BGS ladder with per-grade population
| Grade | Relative value | Price |
|---|---|---|
| PSA 10pop 82 | 8 sold$321$273–$370 | |
| PSA 9pop 131 | $59$50–$67 | |
| PSA 8pop 36 | ✓ 8 cert-verified$40$15–$40 |
Raw condition ladderNM → damaged, with real sold medians where we have them
Market dataCross-market spread, EU price, momentum & community buzz
Cross-market prices
79% spreadCurrently 79% cheaper on Cardmarket than TCGplayer. These are independent market prices for the same card — a wide gap can mean a buying opportunity. Informational only, not arbitrage advice.
Market signal
Derived from this card's 90-day price history, recent trend and cross-market price gap. Informational, not advice.
🇪🇺 Cardmarket price · Europe
44% cheaper than the USCard textAttacks, abilities, weakness / resistance / retreat
Evolves from Grovyle.
Discard a Special Energy from your opponent's Active Pokémon.
Move a Grass Energy from this Pokémon to 1 of your Benched Pokémon.
Heal all damage from each of your Pokémon that has any Grass Energy attached to it. (You can't use more than 1 GX attack in a game.)
Pokémon-GX rule: When your Pokémon-GX is Knocked Out, your opponent takes 2 Prize cards.
Card detailsSet, rarity, artist, Pokédex & specs
Other Sceptile-GX cards
There are 3 different Sceptile-GX printings — make sure you're valuing the right one. This is Lost Thunder #196 (Rare Ultra).
More from Lost Thunder
Frequently asked questions
How much is Sceptile-GX (Lost Thunder #196) worth?
As of 21 August 2026, Sceptile-GX from Lost Thunder is worth approximately $23.03 ungraded (near-mint), and around $321 in PSA 10 gem mint. Values are blended from real Cardmarket, eBay sold and TCGplayer prices and update daily.
What is the PSA 10 price for Sceptile-GX?
A PSA 10 (gem mint) Sceptile-GX from Lost Thunder is worth around $321 — roughly 14× the raw ungraded value of $23.03.
Should I grade my Sceptile-GX?
A PSA 10 sells for about $321 versus $23.03 raw — roughly a 14× uplift. Grading is worth it when that premium comfortably beats the grading fee and the card is clean enough to have a real shot at a 10. See the "Should you grade it?" estimate above for net profit per grade.
Is Sceptile-GX rare?
Sceptile-GX is a Rare Ultra card from Lost Thunder (card #196), illustrated by Yoshinobu Saito. Its current blended market value is $23.03 ungraded.
Cite & embed this card
Free to use with attribution to CardTrack.
Sceptile-GX (Lost Thunder #196) — Pokémon market value $23.03, PSA 10 $321.48. Source: CardTrack, https://cardtrack.com/pokemon/card/lost-thunder/sceptile-gx-196<iframe src="https://cardtrack.com/embed/card?id=sm8-196" width="100%" height="160" style="border:0;max-width:460px" title="Sceptile-GX price — CardTrack" loading="lazy"></iframe>
<p style="font:12px system-ui">Source: <a href="https://cardtrack.com">CardTrack</a></p>