cardtrack
Upgrade
Sign in
Check your printing3 different Sceptile-GX printings exist — is this your card? Lost Thunder #22
Sceptile-GX Lost Thunder #22 Pokémon card
Rare Holo GX

Sceptile-GX

Lost Thunder · 22/214 · Illustrated by Yoshinobu Saito
230 HPGrassPokémonStage 2GX

Market value · ungraded

$10.24 2.8% · 30d
Confidencehigh
Range$9$10
Cert-verified10 PSA sales
Sold prices, not asking. TCGplayer. Updated 20 August 2026. 2 sources agree within 11%. Estimate, not an appraisalhow we price →

What's your copy worth?

What's your copy worth?
Not sure which condition? Grade it from a photo
Estimated value · Near Mint
$10.24

What this price is based on

Low confidence

Only 1 sale in the last 90 days.

Median · CGC 8.5$14.401 sale
Trimmed mean$14.40outliers removed
Range$14.40$14.40lowest to highest sale
Sales rate0.3/mo2 recorded

Recent CGC 8.5 sales

By grade

  • CGC 8.5$14.401 sale
  • CGC 10$99.001 sale

From 2 completed sales recorded between Jul 10, 2026 and Jul 27, 2026. Sold prices only — asking prices are never counted.

Grade it or not

GRADE IT

Based on 2 graded sales and 4,409,561 pop-report entries for a near-mint copy.

See the numbers — Trader plan and above

Buy this card

ViewingRaw / ungraded (this page)PSA 10 price pagePSA 9 price page

Is it worth it?

An AI market read of this card — value, momentum, grading economics, liquidity. It lays out the data; you decide.

Sign in to analyse

Sceptile-GX is a Rare Holo GX Pokémon card from Lost Thunder (#22), illustrated by Yoshinobu Saito. It's a Stage 2 GX Grass-type Pokémon with 230 HP, evolving from Grovyle, weak to Fire ×2. Its current blended market value is $10.24 ungraded, with a PSA 10 worth around $180 — a gem-mint grading premium of roughly 18× the raw value. Prices are aggregated across marketplaces — raw and graded, updated daily and shown in your local currency.

Prices last updated 20 August 2026.

The receipts

Graded a PSA 10? See its cert-verified sales and price history — individual sales PSA tied to a specific slab, each with a cert number you can check.

Price history · Raw

1 Sept 202320 Aug 2026
Latest
$10.24
Period high
$10.30
Period low
$2.79
Change
156.0%
Set a price alert

We'll email you when this card's value crosses your target.

Alert me when the priceNo password needed — we'll set up your free account.

Verified sales history10 in 90 daysreal completed listings

DateGradePriceCert
11 Aug 2026PSA 8$50.00#154785314
15 Jul 2026PSA 6$9.25#156182478
8 Jun 2026PSA 10$180.00#94243406
9 Apr 2026PSA 9$21.67#134167808
16 Mar 2026PSA 8$13.51#113613741
26 Feb 2026PSA 10$149.99#107366399
2 Feb 2026PSA 10$164.19#135180230
18 Nov 2025PSA 8$18.99#69677533
30 Sep 2025PSA 9$17.50#57631340
29 Sep 2025PSA 9$26.00#122103278

Should you grade it?

$3

Expected return across every likely grade, after fees — the realistic average, not the best case. Only 37.7% of copies gem (PSA 10 best case +$98); most land at PSA 9 or below.

Gem rate (est.)37.7%
Expected return$3
PSA 10 best case+$98
Break-evenPSA 10+
VerdictNot worth it

The odds

Sceptile-GX is a Holo / V / ex in Lost Thunder — the pack's hit slot lands on Holo / V / ex 27.9% of the time, split across 34 holo / v / ex cards in the set, so pulling this exact card is roughly 1 in 122 packs.

Holo / V / ex27.9%34 cards
PSA 10 (gem mint)37.7%49 of 130
PSA 944.6%58 of 130
PSA graded so far130
Gem Mint 1049
Total graded130

Estimates only. Pack odds come from CardTrack's pack model (the same one behind the pack simulator) — not an official rate. Grading odds are the real cumulative PSA population, which skews toward nicer, resubmitted copies, so it overstates the true first-submission gem rate. Full grade-by-grade breakdown below.

Grade-by-grade ROI & risk-adjusted outcomesNet vs raw per target grade, plus the probability-weighted distribution
Target gradeEst. valueGrading feeNet vs rawMultiple
PSA 10$180.00$72+$9817.6×
PSA 9$22.00$70$582.1×
PSA 8$13.55$70$671.3×

⚖️ Risk-adjusted return

Best case isn't the whole story. Weighting every grade by how often it actually happens, across 130 PSA-graded copies:

Likely outcomeChanceValue
PSA 1037.7%$180.00
PSA 944.6%$22.00
PSA ≤817.7%$10.00

Net = graded value − raw value − grading cost (tier fee + ~$20 round-trip shipping), using PSA fees as of 2026-06-28; the paused PSA Value tier is excluded so this isn't overstated. Gem rate is estimated from cumulative PSA population, which skews toward nicer, resubmitted copies — so it overstates the true grade rate. Treat it as a guide, not a guarantee.

Population across gradersPSA, CGC & BGS — every grade, with gem rates

Only 38% of 130 PSA-graded Sceptile-GX copies are a gem-mint 10 (49 of 130) — the rest grade lower.

PSA130 gradedPSA 10 · 49 · 38% gem
1049
958
817
74
61
51
CGC310 gradedCGC 10 · 80 · 26% gem
1080
9.55
985
8.585
815

Real graded population from PSA, CGC & BGS — a lower gem rate means a Sceptile-GX 10 is harder to pull.

Copies for sale right now

Check recent sold prices

Affiliate links — we may earn a commission. Prices shown are sold-based, not sponsored placements.

All grades & conditions

Every grade we pricePSA / CGC / BGS ladder with per-grade population
Graded prices
Ungraded (raw)$10.24
PSA graded price estimates by grade
GradeRelative valuePrice
PSA 10pop 49✓ 7 cert-verified$180$134$181
PSA 9pop 58✓ 6 cert-verified$22$17$23
PSA 8pop 17$14$14$19
“Sold” = median of real recent sold listings at that grade (eBay or Fanatics Collect — hover a badge to see which). Other figures are blended marketplace estimates. Confidence reflects source backing and price spread — not PSA-official values.
Raw condition ladderNM → damaged, with real sold medians where we have them
Raw price by condition
Holofoil · live market via TCGplayer
NMNear Mint$10.24
LPLightly Played$7.64
MPModerately Played$5.59
HPHeavily Played$5.27
DMGDamaged$3.44
7-day 6.8%
30-day 49.5%
90-day 54.2%
All-time high$10
All-time low$4
What NM / LP / MP actually mean — and how much they cost
Market dataCross-market spread, EU price, momentum & community buzz

Cross-market prices

11% spread
PriceCharting · cheapest$9
TCGplayer · dearest$10

Currently 11% cheaper on PriceCharting than TCGplayer. These are independent market prices for the same card — a wide gap can mean a buying opportunity. Informational only, not arbitrage advice.

Market signal

Momentum · 30dFlat +3%
Cross-marketSome gap 11% gap

Derived from this card's 90-day price history, recent trend and cross-market price gap. Informational, not advice.

Card textAttacks, abilities, weakness / resistance / retreat

Evolves from Grovyle.

Mach Cut60
Grass

Discard a Special Energy from your opponent's Active Pokémon.

Leaf Cyclone130
Grass · Grass

Move a Grass Energy from this Pokémon to 1 of your Benched Pokémon.

Jungle Heal-GX
Grass

Heal all damage from each of your Pokémon that has any Grass Energy attached to it. (You can't use more than 1 GX attack in a game.)

Weakness Fire ×2Retreat 1

Pokémon-GX rule: When your Pokémon-GX is Knocked Out, your opponent takes 2 Prize cards.

Card detailsSet, rarity, artist, Pokédex & specs
Number#22
RarityRare Holo GX
SupertypePokémon
SubtypesStage 2, GX
TypeGrass
HP230
Evolves fromGrovyle
WeaknessFire ×2
Retreat cost1
National Pokédex#254
Card IDsm8-22
SourceAggregated marketplaces

Other Sceptile-GX cards

There are 3 different Sceptile-GX printings — make sure you're valuing the right one. This is Lost Thunder #22 (Rare Holo GX).

More from Lost Thunder

Frequently asked questions

How much is Sceptile-GX (Lost Thunder #22) worth?

As of 20 August 2026, Sceptile-GX from Lost Thunder is worth approximately $10.24 ungraded (near-mint), and around $180 in PSA 10 gem mint. Values are blended from real Cardmarket, eBay sold and TCGplayer prices and update daily.

What is the PSA 10 price for Sceptile-GX?

A PSA 10 (gem mint) Sceptile-GX from Lost Thunder is worth around $180 — roughly 18× the raw ungraded value of $10.24.

Should I grade my Sceptile-GX?

A PSA 10 sells for about $180 versus $10.24 raw — roughly a 18× uplift. Grading is worth it when that premium comfortably beats the grading fee and the card is clean enough to have a real shot at a 10. See the "Should you grade it?" estimate above for net profit per grade.

Is Sceptile-GX rare?

Sceptile-GX is a Rare Holo GX card from Lost Thunder (card #22), illustrated by Yoshinobu Saito. Its current blended market value is $10.24 ungraded.

Cite & embed this card

Free to use with attribution to CardTrack.

Citation
Sceptile-GX (Lost Thunder #22) — Pokémon market value $10.24, PSA 10 $180.00. Source: CardTrack, https://cardtrack.com/pokemon/card/lost-thunder/sceptile-gx-22
Embed this on your site
<iframe src="https://cardtrack.com/embed/card?id=sm8-22" width="100%" height="160" style="border:0;max-width:460px" title="Sceptile-GX price — CardTrack" loading="lazy"></iframe> <p style="font:12px system-ui">Source: <a href="https://cardtrack.com">CardTrack</a></p>