Best Mega Evolution Cards to Grade
The Mega Evolution cards worth grading, ranked by expected profit per submission — every grade outcome weighted by how often the card actually receives it — after current grading fees. The PSA 10 best case is shown on every row but does not decide the order. Top pick: Mega Lucario ex at an expected +$24.
Ranked by expected profit 7
| # | Card | Raw | PSA 9 | PSA 10 | Cost | Best case | Gem rate | Expected | Sample |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Expected +$24 per submission: 64.1% of 16,540 graded copies came back PSA 10 ($360), and only a PSA 10 covers the $269 you have in it — a 9 loses money. Confidence high on that sample. | $185 | $171 | $360 | $84 | +$91 | 64.1% | +$24 | 16,540 high |
| 2 | Expected +$8 per submission: 28.3% of 8,807 graded copies came back PSA 10 ($645), and only a PSA 10 covers the $326 you have in it — a 9 loses money. Confidence high on that sample. | $240 | $218 | $645 | $86 | +$319 | 28.3% | +$8 | 8,807 high |
| 3 | Expected +$6 per submission: 62.5% of 15,173 graded copies came back PSA 10 ($336), and only a PSA 10 covers the $258 you have in it — a 9 loses money. Confidence high on that sample. | $175 | $144 | $336 | $83 | +$78 | 62.5% | +$6 | 15,173 high |
| 4 | Expected loss −$13 per submission: 23.7% of 7,109 graded copies came back PSA 10 ($600), and only a PSA 10 covers the $286 you have in it — a 9 loses money. Confidence high on that sample. | $200 | $168 | $600 | $86 | +$314 | 23.7% | −$13 | 7,109 high |
| 5 | Expected loss −$14 per submission: 65.5% of 12,663 graded copies came back PSA 10 ($180), and only a PSA 10 covers the $157 you have in it — a 9 loses money. Confidence high on that sample. | $75 | $72 | $180 | $82 | +$23 | 65.5% | −$14 | 12,663 high |
| 6 | Expected loss −$31 per submission: 64.5% of 12,302 graded copies came back PSA 10 ($225), and only a PSA 10 covers the $220 you have in it — a 9 loses money. Confidence high on that sample. | $138 | $125 | $225 | $82 | +$5 | 64.5% | −$31 | 12,302 high |
| 7 | Expected loss −$43 per submission: 49.2% of 9,873 graded copies came back PSA 10 ($138), and only a PSA 10 covers the $138 you have in it — a 9 loses money. Confidence high on that sample. | $57 | $54 | $138 | $81 | +$0 | 49.2% | −$43 | 9,873 high |
Best case only — no gem-rate evidence 1
Fewer than 10 graded copies in the PSA and CGC population reports. They clear the grading cost if they gem — that is all the numbers support.
| # | Card | Raw | PSA 9 | PSA 10 | Cost | Best case | Gem rate | Expected | Sample |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | $20 | — | $108 | $81 | +$7 | — | — | none <10 |
Expected = every grade outcome weighted by its share of the card's graded population, minus the raw price and the grading cost (PSA tier fee for the graded value plus ~$20 round-trip shipping, fees as of 2026-09-26). Best case is the PSA 10 leg alone. Gem rates come from a self-selected population — collectors grade their cleanest copies — so read them as an upper bound. Raw is a blended market price, not a sale of your copy. Full method and filters on the grading index.
How to read the Mega Evolution ranking
Every Mega Evolution card listed here clears one bar: its PSA 10 price beats its raw price by more than the cost of grading it. 8 cards from the set pass. 7 of them (88%) have a gem-rate sample of at least ten graded copies in the population reports, and 3 of those keep a positive expected value once every grade outcome is weighted by how often the card actually receives it.
The order is expected profit, not the PSA 10 best case, which rewards the widest raw-to-gem gap whether the card gems one time in two or one in fifty. Here the top row, the Mega Lucario ex from Mega Evolution, gems 64.1% of the time across 16,540 graded copies: +$24 is what a long run of submissions would average, $91 is what one lucky copy returns.
The median gem rate across the sampled Mega Evolution cards is 62.5%. More than half of submitted copies came back PSA 10, and no row here covers raw price plus fee at PSA 9, so the gem rate decides whether a submission pays. Of the 7 ranked cards, 7 need a 10 to break even and 4 lose money on expectation. 7 rest on a hundred or more graded copies.
1 card sits below the ranking with a best case only, fewer than ten graded copies. The largest best case among them is the Bulbasaur from Mega Evolution at +$7.
Before you submit a Mega Evolution card
Grading pays on condition. The four things every grader scores — centering, corners, edges and surface — can be checked at home before paying a fee, and a copy that is visibly off-centre or has a whitened corner will not gem whatever the population says. Those gem rates come from a self-selected population of clean copies, so a random copy does worse.
The cost column assumes a PSA submission at the tier covering the card's PSA 10 value, fees as of 2026-09-26, and raw is CardTrack's blended near-mint price, not a sale of your copy: pay more, or hold a lighter copy, and the break-even moves against you. Test a card with your own numbers in the ROI calculator, see the printings that fail the bar on the Mega Evolution card list, or see how gem-mint premiums run across the whole catalogue on the PSA premium index.