Best Mega Evolution Cards to Grade
The Mega Evolution cards worth grading, ranked by expected profit per submission — every grade outcome weighted by how often the card actually receives it — after current grading fees. The PSA 10 best case is shown on every row but does not decide the order. Top pick: Mega Lucario ex at an expected +$41.
Worth grading13
With a gem-rate sample1292%
Positive expected value4
Median gem rate63.8%
PSA fees as of2026-08-26
Ranked by expected profit 12
| # | Card | Raw | PSA 9 | PSA 10 | Cost | Best case | Gem rate | Expected | Sample |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Expected +$41 per submission: 28.3% of 8,807 graded copies came back PSA 10 ($748), and only a PSA 10 covers the $366 you have in it — a 9 loses money. Confidence high on that sample. | $259 | $250 | $748 | $107 | +$382 | 28.3% | +$41 | 8,807 high |
| 2 | Expected +$34 per submission: 64.1% of 16,540 graded copies came back PSA 10 ($381), and only a PSA 10 covers the $274 you have in it — a 9 loses money. Confidence high on that sample. | $200 | $178 | $381 | $74 | +$107 | 64.1% | +$34 | 16,540 high |
| 3 | Expected +$31 per submission: 62.5% of 15,173 graded copies came back PSA 10 ($380), and only a PSA 10 covers the $270 you have in it — a 9 loses money. Confidence high on that sample. | $196 | $170 | $380 | $74 | +$110 | 62.5% | +$31 | 15,173 high |
| 4 | Expected +$14 per submission: 65.5% of 12,663 graded copies came back PSA 10 ($220), and only a PSA 10 covers the $157 you have in it — a 9 loses money. Confidence high on that sample. | $85 | $80 | $220 | $72 | +$63 | 65.5% | +$14 | 12,663 high |
| 5 | Expected loss −$4 per submission: 66.9% of 9,512 graded copies came back PSA 10 ($155), and only a PSA 10 covers the $127 you have in it — a 9 loses money. Confidence high on that sample. | $55 | $56 | $155 | $72 | +$28 | 66.9% | −$4 | 9,512 high |
| 6 | Expected loss −$5 per submission: 23.7% of 7,109 graded copies came back PSA 10 ($600), and only a PSA 10 covers the $317 you have in it — a 9 loses money. Confidence high on that sample. | $211 | $198 | $600 | $106 | +$283 | 23.7% | −$5 | 7,109 high |
| 7 | Expected loss −$15 per submission: 62.1% of 19,249 graded copies came back PSA 10 ($100), and only a PSA 10 covers the $86 you have in it — a 9 loses money. Confidence high on that sample. | $15 | $22 | $100 | $71 | +$14 | 62.1% | −$15 | 19,249 high |
| 8 | Expected loss −$20 per submission: 64.5% of 12,302 graded copies came back PSA 10 ($238), and only a PSA 10 covers the $218 you have in it — a 9 loses money. Confidence high on that sample. | $146 | $128 | $238 | $72 | +$19 | 64.5% | −$20 | 12,302 high |
| 9 | Expected loss −$20 per submission: 66.4% of 9,999 graded copies came back PSA 10 ($149), and only a PSA 10 covers the $136 you have in it — a 9 loses money. Confidence high on that sample. | $65 | $53 | $149 | $71 | +$12 | 66.4% | −$20 | 9,999 high |
| 10 | Expected loss −$22 per submission: 60.6% of 15,719 graded copies came back PSA 10 ($94), and only a PSA 10 covers the $91 you have in it — a 9 loses money. Confidence high on that sample. | $20 | $30 | $94 | $71 | +$3 | 60.6% | −$22 | 15,719 high |
| 11 | Expected loss −$23 per submission: 49.2% of 9,873 graded copies came back PSA 10 ($180), and only a PSA 10 covers the $141 you have in it — a 9 loses money. Confidence high on that sample. | $69 | $56 | $180 | $72 | +$39 | 49.2% | −$23 | 9,873 high |
| 12 | Expected loss −$24 per submission: 63.8% of 11,256 graded copies came back PSA 10 ($90), and only a PSA 10 covers the $90 you have in it — a 9 loses money. Confidence high on that sample. | $19 | $24 | $90 | $71 | +$0 | 63.8% | −$24 | 11,256 high |
Best case only — no gem-rate evidence 1
Fewer than 10 graded copies in the PSA and CGC population reports. They clear the grading cost if they gem — that is all the numbers support.
| # | Card | Raw | PSA 9 | PSA 10 | Cost | Best case | Gem rate | Expected | Sample |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | $24 | — | $120 | $71 | +$25 | — | — | none <10 |
Expected = every grade outcome weighted by its share of the card's graded population, minus the raw price and the grading cost (PSA tier fee for the graded value plus ~$20 round-trip shipping, fees as of 2026-08-26). Best case is the PSA 10 leg alone. Gem rates come from a self-selected population — collectors grade their cleanest copies — so read them as an upper bound. Raw is a blended market price, not a sale of your copy. Full method and filters on the grading index.