Market value · ungraded
What's your copy worth?
What this price is based on
Medium confidence3 sales in 90 days — enough for a guide, not a guarantee.
Recent CGC 10 sales
- Jun 8, 2026Fanatics$19.20
- Jun 8, 2026Fanatics$30.00
- Jun 8, 2026Fanatics$20.40
- May 4, 2026Fanatics$8.40
- Apr 13, 2026Fanatics$9.60
- Apr 6, 2026Fanatics$13.20
- Mar 27, 2026Fanatics$30.00
- Mar 16, 2026Fanatics$8.40
By grade
- CGC 10$17.1010 sales
- CGC 9$9.602 sales
- PSA 9$10.801 sale
- PSA 5$8.401 sale
- PSA 10$24.001 sale
- CGC 8.5$6.001 sale
From 16 completed sales recorded between Feb 9, 2026 and Jul 20, 2026. Sold prices only — asking prices are never counted.
Grade it or not
NOT WORTH ITBased on 16 graded sales and 5,111,092 pop-report entries for a near-mint copy.
See the numbers — Trader plan and aboveBuy this card
✨ Is it worth it?
An AI market read of this card — value, momentum, grading economics, liquidity. It lays out the data; you decide.
Air Balloon is a Ultra Rare Pokémon card from Mega Evolution (#166), illustrated by Studio Bora Inc.. It's a Pokémon Tool Trainer card. Its current blended market value is $2.40 ungraded, with a PSA 10 worth around $35 — a gem-mint grading premium of roughly 15× the raw value. Prices are aggregated across marketplaces — raw and graded, updated daily and shown in your local currency.
Prices last updated 20 August 2026.
The receipts
Price history · Raw
We'll email you when this card's value crosses your target.
Verified sales history10 in 90 days✓ real completed listings
| Date | Grade | Price | Cert |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug 2026 | PSA 10 | $36.00 | #142602805 ✓ |
| 2 Aug 2026 | PSA 10 | $41.00 | #136039836 ✓ |
| 20 Jul 2026 | PSA 10 | $24.00 | #143479534 ✓ |
| 17 Jul 2026 | PSA 10 | $36.00 | #147864530 ✓ |
| 12 Jul 2026 | PSA 9 | $15.00 | #144650744 ✓ |
| 6 Jul 2026 | PSA 10 | $18.50 | #144616213 ✓ |
| 22 Jun 2026 | PSA 10 | $46.31 | #144451442 ✓ |
| 7 Jun 2026 | PSA 9 | $7.50 | #152026563 ✓ |
| 7 Jun 2026 | PSA 9 | $10.00 | #144650744 ✓ |
| 4 Jun 2026 | PSA 8 | $6.50 | #144698113 ✓ |
Should you grade it?
Expected return across every likely grade, after fees — the realistic average, not the best case. Only 47.2% of copies gem (PSA 10 best case −$38); most land at PSA 9 or below.
The odds
Air Balloon is a Ultra Rare in Mega Evolution — the pack's hit slot lands on Ultra Rare 10% of the time, split across 44 ultra rare cards in the set, so pulling this exact card is roughly 1 in 442 packs.
Estimates only. Pack odds come from CardTrack's pack model (the same one behind the pack simulator) — not an official rate. Grading odds are the real cumulative PSA population, which skews toward nicer, resubmitted copies, so it overstates the true first-submission gem rate. Full grade-by-grade breakdown below.
Grade-by-grade ROI & risk-adjusted outcomesNet vs raw per target grade, plus the probability-weighted distribution
| Target grade | Est. value | Grading fee | Net vs raw | Multiple |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PSA 10 | $35.00 | $70 | −$38 | 14.6× |
| PSA 9 | $11.45 | $70 | −$61 | 4.8× |
| PSA 8 | $8.50 | $70 | −$64 | 3.5× |
⚖️ Risk-adjusted return
Best case isn't the whole story. Weighting every grade by how often it actually happens, across 316 PSA-graded copies:
| Likely outcome | Chance | Value |
|---|---|---|
| PSA 10 | 47.2% | $35.00 |
| PSA 9 | 39.6% | $11.00 |
| PSA ≤8 | 13.3% | $2.00 |
Net = graded value − raw value − grading cost (tier fee + ~$20 round-trip shipping), using PSA fees as of 2026-06-28; the paused PSA Value tier is excluded so this isn't overstated. Gem rate is estimated from cumulative PSA population, which skews toward nicer, resubmitted copies — so it overstates the true grade rate. Treat it as a guide, not a guarantee.
Population across gradersPSA, CGC & BGS — every grade, with gem rates
Only 47% of 316 PSA-graded Air Balloon copies are a gem-mint 10 (149 of 316) — the rest grade lower.
Real graded population from PSA, CGC & BGS — a lower gem rate means a Air Balloon 10 is harder to pull.
Copies for sale right now
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All grades & conditions
Every grade we pricePSA / CGC / BGS ladder with per-grade population
| Grade | Relative value | Price |
|---|---|---|
| PSA 10pop 149 | $35$30–$40 | |
| PSA 9pop 125 | $11$10–$13 | |
| PSA 8pop 28 | $9$7–$10 |
Raw condition ladderNM → damaged, with real sold medians where we have them
Market dataCross-market spread, EU price, momentum & community buzz
Cross-market prices
0% spreadCurrently 0% cheaper on TCGplayer than PriceCharting. These are independent market prices for the same card — a wide gap can mean a buying opportunity. Informational only, not arbitrage advice.
Market signal
Derived from this card's 90-day price history, recent trend and cross-market price gap. Informational, not advice.
Card textAttacks, abilities, weakness / resistance / retreat
The Retreat Cost of the Pokémon this card is attached to is ColorlessColorless less.
You may attach any number of Pokémon Tools to your Pokémon during your turn. You may attach only 1 Pokémon Tool to each Pokémon, and it stays attached.
Card detailsSet, rarity, artist, Pokédex & specs
Other Air Balloon cards
There are 5 different Air Balloon printings — make sure you're valuing the right one. This is Mega Evolution #166 (Ultra Rare).
More from Mega Evolution
Frequently asked questions
How much is Air Balloon (Mega Evolution #166) worth?
As of 20 August 2026, Air Balloon from Mega Evolution is worth approximately $2.40 ungraded (near-mint), and around $35 in PSA 10 gem mint. Values are blended from real Cardmarket, eBay sold and TCGplayer prices and update daily.
What is the PSA 10 price for Air Balloon?
A PSA 10 (gem mint) Air Balloon from Mega Evolution is worth around $35 — roughly 15× the raw ungraded value of $2.40.
Should I grade my Air Balloon?
A PSA 10 sells for about $35 versus $2.40 raw — roughly a 15× uplift. Grading is worth it when that premium comfortably beats the grading fee and the card is clean enough to have a real shot at a 10. See the "Should you grade it?" estimate above for net profit per grade.
Is Air Balloon rare?
Air Balloon is a Ultra Rare card from Mega Evolution (card #166), illustrated by Studio Bora Inc.. Its current blended market value is $2.40 ungraded.
Cite & embed this card
Free to use with attribution to CardTrack.
Air Balloon (Mega Evolution #166) — Pokémon market value $2.40, PSA 10 $35.00. Source: CardTrack, https://cardtrack.com/pokemon/card/mega-evolution/air-balloon-166<iframe src="https://cardtrack.com/embed/card?id=me1-166" width="100%" height="160" style="border:0;max-width:460px" title="Air Balloon price — CardTrack" loading="lazy"></iframe>
<p style="font:12px system-ui">Source: <a href="https://cardtrack.com">CardTrack</a></p>