Mega Lucario ex
Market value · ungraded
What's your copy worth?
What this price is based on
High confidence49 sales in 90 days, closely clustered.
Recent Raw sales
- Aug 3, 2026eBay — 2025 POKEMON MEG EN-MEGA EVOLUTION #179 MEGA LUCARIO EX$200
- Aug 3, 2026eBay — The Pokémon TCG Mega Lucario EX 179/132 Mega Evolutions SIR Holo English NMNM$215
- Aug 2, 2026eBay — Mega Lucario EX 179/132 Mega Evolution SIR Pokemon TCG$215
- Aug 1, 2026eBay — MEGA LUCARIO EX 179/132 MEGA EVOLUTION POKEMON HOLO NM/MNM$200
- Jul 31, 2026eBay — Mega Lucario Ex 179/132 ME01 Mega Evolution Holo EX 340 HP English SIR$200
- Jul 30, 2026eBay — Pokemon Mega Lucario Ex 179/132 ME01 Mega Evolution Holo SIR 340HP EN MintNM$200
- Jul 30, 2026eBay — Mega Lucario Ex 179/132 Me01: Pokemon Mega Evolution Holo - Well Kept!$187
- Jul 30, 2026eBay — The Pokemon Company Mega Lucario ex 179/132 Me01 SIR Holo English 340 HP$190
By grade
- PSA 10$435103 sales
- CGC 10$21069 sales
- Raw$20051 sales
- PSA 9$19729 sales
- CGC 9$12017 sales
- TAG 10$4003 sales
- CGC 9.5$1263 sales
- PSA 8$1592 sales
From 293 completed sales recorded between Dec 19, 2025 and Aug 3, 2026. Sold prices only — asking prices are never counted. The range is wide because these sales span different printings and conditions — 1st Edition, Shadowless and Unlimited copies all carry this card's name, and they trade at very different levels. Each sale above is labelled with what its listing claimed, so you can see which ones describe the same object. Treat the median as the typical copy, not the range.
Grade it or not
GRADE ITBased on 236 graded sales and 5,127,317 pop-report entries for a near-mint copy.
See the numbers — Trader plan and aboveBuy this card
✨ Is it worth it?
An AI market read of this card — value, momentum, grading economics, liquidity. It lays out the data; you decide.
Mega Lucario ex is a Special Illustration Rare Pokémon card from Mega Evolution (#179), illustrated by Atsushi Furusawa. It's a Stage 1 MEGA ex Fighting-type Pokémon with 340 HP, evolving from Riolu, weak to Psychic ×2. Its current blended market value is $208.61 ungraded, with a PSA 10 worth around $419 — a gem-mint grading premium of roughly 2× the raw value. Prices are aggregated across marketplaces — raw and graded, updated daily and shown in your local currency.
Prices last updated 7 August 2026.
The receipts
Price history · Raw
We'll email you when this card's value crosses your target.
Verified sales history10 in 90 days✓ real completed listings
| Date | Grade | Price | Cert |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Aug 2026 | PSA 10 | $479.99 | #159942389 ✓ |
| 2 Aug 2026 | PSA 10 | $390.00 | #143660995 ✓ |
| 2 Aug 2026 | PSA 10 | $390.00 | #158991569 ✓ |
| 2 Aug 2026 | PSA 10 | $420.00 | #150674681 ✓ |
| 2 Aug 2026 | PSA 10 | $385.99 | #157645184 ✓ |
| 2 Aug 2026 | PSA 10 | $410.00 | #165552375 ✓ |
| 2 Aug 2026 | PSA 9 | $177.50 | #164230672 ✓ |
| 31 Jul 2026 | PSA 9 | $177.50 | #153786501 ✓ |
| 30 Jul 2026 | PSA 9 | $205.00 | #158193711 ✓ |
| 29 Jul 2026 | PSA 9 | $190.00 | #166609964 ✓ |
Should you grade it?
Expected return across every likely grade, after fees — the realistic average, not the best case. Only 64.1% of copies gem (PSA 10 best case +$136); most land at PSA 9 or below.
The odds
Mega Lucario ex is a Secret / Rainbow in Mega Evolution — the pack's hit slot lands on Secret / Rainbow 2.5% of the time, split across 12 secret / rainbow cards in the set, so pulling this exact card is roughly 1 in 482 packs.
Estimates only. Pack odds come from CardTrack's pack model (the same one behind the pack simulator) — not an official rate. Grading odds are the real cumulative PSA population, which skews toward nicer, resubmitted copies, so it overstates the true first-submission gem rate. Full grade-by-grade breakdown below.
Grade-by-grade ROI & risk-adjusted outcomesNet vs raw per target grade, plus the probability-weighted distribution
| Target grade | Est. value | Grading fee | Net vs raw | Multiple |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PSA 10 | $419.00 | $74 | +$136 | 2.0× |
| PSA 9 | $210.50 | $72 | −$70 | 1.0× |
| PSA 8 | $138.00 | $71 | −$142 | 0.7× |
⚖️ Risk-adjusted return
Best case isn't the whole story. Weighting every grade by how often it actually happens, across 16,540 PSA-graded copies:
| Likely outcome | Chance | Value |
|---|---|---|
| PSA 10 | 64.1% | $419.00 |
| PSA 9 | 30.8% | $211.00 |
| PSA ≤8 | 5.2% | $209.00 |
Net = graded value − raw value − grading cost (tier fee + ~$20 round-trip shipping), using PSA fees as of 2026-06-28; the paused PSA Value tier is excluded so this isn't overstated. Gem rate is estimated from cumulative PSA population, which skews toward nicer, resubmitted copies — so it overstates the true grade rate. Treat it as a guide, not a guarantee.
Population across gradersPSA, CGC & BGS — every grade, with gem rates
Only 64% of 16,540 PSA-graded Mega Lucario ex copies are a gem-mint 10 (10,600 of 16,540) — the rest grade lower.
Real graded population from PSA, CGC & BGS — a lower gem rate means a Mega Lucario ex 10 is harder to pull.
Copies for sale right now
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All grades & conditions
Every grade we pricePSA / CGC / BGS ladder with per-grade population
| Grade | Relative value | Price |
|---|---|---|
| PSA 10pop 10,600 | ✓ 95 cert-verified$419$400–$541 | |
| PSA 9pop 5,088 | $211$179–$242 | |
| PSA 8pop 655 | 1 sold$138$117–$159 | |
| PSA 7pop 94 | $116$116–$150 |
Raw condition ladderNM → damaged, with real sold medians where we have them
Market dataCross-market spread, EU price, momentum & community buzz
Cross-market prices
8% spreadCurrently 8% cheaper on PriceCharting than TCGplayer. These are independent market prices for the same card — a wide gap can mean a buying opportunity. Informational only, not arbitrage advice.
Market signal
Derived from this card's 90-day price history, recent trend and cross-market price gap. Informational, not advice.
🔥 Trending in the community
#5 on the radarLucario is one of the most-talked-about Pokémon right now across the Pokémon investing & TCG subreddits. See the hype radar →
What people are saying: “I played 200+ games of Hide 'n' Sneak and wrote this 3.5k word guide. Enjoy.” · 186↑
Card textAttacks, abilities, weakness / resistance / retreat
Evolves from Riolu.
Attach up to 3 Basic Fighting Energy cards from your discard pile to your Benched Pokémon in any way you like.
During your next turn, this Pokémon can't use Mega Brave.
Mega Evolution ex Rule: When your Mega Evolution Pokémon ex is Knocked Out, your opponent takes 3 Prize cards.
About the PokémonSpecies, generation, evolution line
Card detailsSet, rarity, artist, Pokédex & specs
Other Mega Lucario ex cards
There are 7 different Mega Lucario ex printings — make sure you're valuing the right one. This is Mega Evolution #179 (Special Illustration Rare).
More from Mega Evolution
Frequently asked questions
How much is Mega Lucario ex (Mega Evolution #179) worth?
As of 7 August 2026, Mega Lucario ex from Mega Evolution is worth approximately $208.61 ungraded (near-mint), and around $419 in PSA 10 gem mint. Values are blended from real Cardmarket, eBay sold and TCGplayer prices and update daily.
What is the PSA 10 price for Mega Lucario ex?
A PSA 10 (gem mint) Mega Lucario ex from Mega Evolution is worth around $419 — roughly 2× the raw ungraded value of $208.61.
Should I grade my Mega Lucario ex?
A PSA 10 sells for about $419 versus $208.61 raw — roughly a 2× uplift. Grading is worth it when that premium comfortably beats the grading fee and the card is clean enough to have a real shot at a 10. See the "Should you grade it?" estimate above for net profit per grade.
Is Mega Lucario ex rare?
Mega Lucario ex is a Special Illustration Rare card from Mega Evolution (card #179), illustrated by Atsushi Furusawa. Its current blended market value is $208.61 ungraded.
Cite & embed this card
Free to use with attribution to CardTrack.
Mega Lucario ex (Mega Evolution #179) — Pokémon market value $208.61, PSA 10 $419.00. Source: CardTrack, https://cardtrack.com/pokemon/card/mega-evolution/mega-lucario-ex-179<iframe src="https://cardtrack.com/embed/card?id=me1-179" width="100%" height="160" style="border:0;max-width:460px" title="Mega Lucario ex price — CardTrack" loading="lazy"></iframe>
<p style="font:12px system-ui">Source: <a href="https://cardtrack.com">CardTrack</a></p>