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Check your printing7 different Mega Lucario ex printings exist — is this your card? Mega Evolution #160
Mega Lucario ex Mega Evolution #160 Pokémon card
Ultra Rare

Mega Lucario ex

Mega Evolution · 160/132 · Illustrated by takuyoa
340 HPFightingPokémonStage 1MEGAex

Market value · ungraded

$12.61 14.1% · 30d
Confidencehigh
Range$12$13
Cert-verified10 PSA sales
Sold prices, not asking. TCGplayer. Updated 20 August 2026. 2 sources agree within 9%. Estimate, not an appraisalhow we price →

What's your copy worth?

What's your copy worth?
Not sure which condition? Grade it from a photo
Estimated value · Near Mint
$12.61

What this price is based on

High confidence

147 sales in 90 days, closely clustered.

Median · Raw$14.59150 sales
Trimmed mean$14.37outliers removed
Range$2.49$110lowest to highest sale
Sales rate61/mo372 recorded

Recent Raw sales

  • Aug 15, 2026eBay — Pokemon TCG Mega Lucario ex 160/132 ME01 Mega Evolution UR Holo ENG$10.25
  • Aug 15, 2026eBay — Mega Lucario Ex #160 Mega Evolution MEG PSA MINT 9 Pokemon TCGNM$33.87
  • Aug 15, 2026eBay — Pokemon TCG Mega Lucario Ex 160/132 Me01 Mega Evolution Holo UR EN 340 HP$14.99
  • Aug 14, 2026eBay — Mega Lucario ex 160/132 Ultra Rare Mega Evolution Pokemon Holo LPLP$12.79
  • Aug 14, 2026eBay — Mega Lucario ex - 160/132 - Pokemon Mega Evolution Ultra Rare NMNM$16.20
  • Aug 14, 2026eBay — Mega Lucario EX 160/132 ME01 Mega Evolution Ultra Rare Holo ENG HP 340 Stage 1$10.00
  • Aug 14, 2026eBay — Mega Lucario ex 160/132 Ultra Rare Mega Evolution Pokemon Holo$13.50
  • Aug 14, 2026eBay — Mega Lucario ex 160/132 Ultra Rare Mega Evolution Pokemon HOLO NMNM$15.30

By grade

  • Raw$14.59150 sales
  • PSA 10$85.0090 sales
  • CGC 10$39.0063 sales
  • PSA 9$26.0034 sales
  • CGC 9$15.0015 sales
  • CGC 8.5$10.804 sales
  • TAG 9$29.493 sales
  • CGC 9.5$16.803 sales

From 372 completed sales recorded between Dec 22, 2025 and Aug 15, 2026. Sold prices only — asking prices are never counted. The range is wide because these sales span different printings and conditions — 1st Edition, Shadowless and Unlimited copies all carry this card's name, and they trade at very different levels. Each sale above is labelled with what its listing claimed, so you can see which ones describe the same object. Treat the median as the typical copy, not the range.

Grade it or not

GRADE IT

Based on 221 graded sales and 5,120,994 pop-report entries for a near-mint copy.

See the numbers — Trader plan and above

Buy this card

ViewingRaw / ungraded (this page)PSA 10 price pagePSA 9 price page

Is it worth it?

An AI market read of this card — value, momentum, grading economics, liquidity. It lays out the data; you decide.

Sign in to analyse

Mega Lucario ex is a Ultra Rare Pokémon card from Mega Evolution (#160), illustrated by takuyoa. It's a Stage 1 MEGA ex Fighting-type Pokémon with 340 HP, evolving from Riolu, weak to Psychic ×2. Its current blended market value is $12.61 ungraded, with a PSA 10 worth around $85 — a gem-mint grading premium of roughly 7× the raw value. Prices are aggregated across marketplaces — raw and graded, updated daily and shown in your local currency.

Prices last updated 20 August 2026.

4.6%
Played in 4.6% of competitive decks — 146 of 3,174 decklists across the last 41 Standard tournaments.

The receipts

Graded a PSA 10? See its cert-verified sales and price history — individual sales PSA tied to a specific slab, each with a cert number you can check.

Price history · Raw

1 Sept 202520 Aug 2026
Latest
$12.61
Period high
$32.00
Period low
$12.00
Change
60.6%
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Verified sales history10 in 90 daysreal completed listings

DateGradePriceCert
16 Aug 2026PSA 10$79.00#156482519
15 Aug 2026PSA 10$85.00#144618797
15 Aug 2026PSA 10$84.00#149897428
15 Aug 2026PSA 10$84.99#145089479
15 Aug 2026PSA 10$85.00#155493827
15 Aug 2026PSA 9$26.00#149186413
14 Aug 2026PSA 10$65.00#153634711
13 Aug 2026PSA 9$45.00#152325378
12 Aug 2026PSA 9$29.99#163692759
12 Aug 2026PSA 9$36.00#138887443

Should you grade it?

$26

Expected return across every likely grade, after fees — the realistic average, not the best case. Only 54.1% of copies gem (PSA 10 best case +$2); most land at PSA 9 or below.

Gem rate (est.)54.1%
Expected return$26
PSA 10 best case+$2
Break-evenPSA 10+
VerdictNot worth it

The odds

Mega Lucario ex is a Ultra Rare in Mega Evolution — the pack's hit slot lands on Ultra Rare 10% of the time, split across 44 ultra rare cards in the set, so pulling this exact card is roughly 1 in 442 packs.

Ultra Rare10%44 cards
PSA 10 (gem mint)54.1%5,532 of 10,217
PSA 938.5%3,929 of 10,217
PSA graded so far10,217
Gem Mint 105,532
Total graded10,217

Estimates only. Pack odds come from CardTrack's pack model (the same one behind the pack simulator) — not an official rate. Grading odds are the real cumulative PSA population, which skews toward nicer, resubmitted copies, so it overstates the true first-submission gem rate. Full grade-by-grade breakdown below.

Grade-by-grade ROI & risk-adjusted outcomesNet vs raw per target grade, plus the probability-weighted distribution
Target gradeEst. valueGrading feeNet vs rawMultiple
PSA 10$85.00$71+$26.7×
PSA 9$26.00$70$572.1×
PSA 8$18.00$70$651.4×

⚖️ Risk-adjusted return

Best case isn't the whole story. Weighting every grade by how often it actually happens, across 10,217 PSA-graded copies:

Likely outcomeChanceValue
PSA 1054.1%$85.00
PSA 938.5%$26.00
PSA ≤87.4%$13.00

Net = graded value − raw value − grading cost (tier fee + ~$20 round-trip shipping), using PSA fees as of 2026-06-28; the paused PSA Value tier is excluded so this isn't overstated. Gem rate is estimated from cumulative PSA population, which skews toward nicer, resubmitted copies — so it overstates the true grade rate. Treat it as a guide, not a guarantee.

Population across gradersPSA, CGC & BGS — every grade, with gem rates

Only 54% of 10,217 PSA-graded Mega Lucario ex copies are a gem-mint 10 (5,532 of 10,217) — the rest grade lower.

PSA10,217 gradedPSA 10 · 5,532 · 54% gem
105,532
93,929
8598
781
645
520
411
31

Real graded population from PSA, CGC & BGS — a lower gem rate means a Mega Lucario ex 10 is harder to pull.

Copies for sale right now

Check recent sold prices

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All grades & conditions

Every grade we pricePSA / CGC / BGS ladder with per-grade population
Graded prices
Ungraded (raw)$12.61
PSA graded price estimates by grade
GradeRelative valuePrice
PSA 10pop 5,532✓ 768 cert-verified$85$82$111
PSA 9pop 3,929$26$22$30
PSA 8pop 5982 sold$18$15$21
PSA 7pop 81$15$15$15
“Sold” = median of real recent sold listings at that grade (eBay or Fanatics Collect — hover a badge to see which). Other figures are blended marketplace estimates. Confidence reflects source backing and price spread — not PSA-official values.
Raw condition ladderNM → damaged, with real sold medians where we have them
Raw price by condition
Holofoil · live market via TCGplayer
NMNear Mint$12.61
LPLightly Played$12.16
HPHeavily Played$9.15
7-day 0.3%
30-day 7.5%
90-day 3.8%
All-time high$42
All-time low$11
What NM / LP / MP actually mean — and how much they cost
Market dataCross-market spread, EU price, momentum & community buzz

Cross-market prices

9% spread
TCGplayer · cheapest$12
PriceCharting · dearest$13

Currently 9% cheaper on TCGplayer than PriceCharting. These are independent market prices for the same card — a wide gap can mean a buying opportunity. Informational only, not arbitrage advice.

Market signal

Momentum · 30dFalling -14%
Cross-marketMarkets agree 9% gap

Derived from this card's 90-day price history, recent trend and cross-market price gap. Informational, not advice.

🔥 Trending in the community

#6 on the radar
Mentions this week15

Lucario is one of the most-talked-about Pokémon right now across the Pokémon investing & TCG subreddits. See the hype radar →

What people are saying: My girlfriend and I broke up · 2537↑

Card textAttacks, abilities, weakness / resistance / retreat

Evolves from Riolu.

Aura Jab130
Fighting

Attach up to 3 Basic Fighting Energy cards from your discard pile to your Benched Pokémon in any way you like.

Mega Brave270
Fighting · Fighting

During your next turn, this Pokémon can't use Mega Brave.

Weakness Psychic ×2Retreat 2

Mega Evolution ex Rule: When your Mega Evolution Pokémon ex is Knocked Out, your opponent takes 3 Prize cards.

About the PokémonSpecies, generation, evolution line
Aura PokémonGEN IVRioluLucario

It has the ability to sense the auras of all things. It understands human speech.

Card detailsSet, rarity, artist, Pokédex & specs
Number#160
RarityUltra Rare
SupertypePokémon
SubtypesStage 1, MEGA, ex
TypeFighting
HP340
Evolves fromRiolu
WeaknessPsychic ×2
Retreat cost2
National Pokédex#448
Card IDme1-160
SourceAggregated marketplaces

Other Mega Lucario ex cards

There are 7 different Mega Lucario ex printings — make sure you're valuing the right one. This is Mega Evolution #160 (Ultra Rare).

More from Mega Evolution

Frequently asked questions

How much is Mega Lucario ex (Mega Evolution #160) worth?

As of 20 August 2026, Mega Lucario ex from Mega Evolution is worth approximately $12.61 ungraded (near-mint), and around $85 in PSA 10 gem mint. Values are blended from real Cardmarket, eBay sold and TCGplayer prices and update daily.

What is the PSA 10 price for Mega Lucario ex?

A PSA 10 (gem mint) Mega Lucario ex from Mega Evolution is worth around $85 — roughly 7× the raw ungraded value of $12.61.

Should I grade my Mega Lucario ex?

A PSA 10 sells for about $85 versus $12.61 raw — roughly a 7× uplift. Grading is worth it when that premium comfortably beats the grading fee and the card is clean enough to have a real shot at a 10. See the "Should you grade it?" estimate above for net profit per grade.

Is Mega Lucario ex rare?

Mega Lucario ex is a Ultra Rare card from Mega Evolution (card #160), illustrated by takuyoa. Its current blended market value is $12.61 ungraded.

Cite & embed this card

Free to use with attribution to CardTrack.

Citation
Mega Lucario ex (Mega Evolution #160) — Pokémon market value $12.61, PSA 10 $85.00. Source: CardTrack, https://cardtrack.com/pokemon/card/mega-evolution/mega-lucario-ex-160
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<iframe src="https://cardtrack.com/embed/card?id=me1-160" width="100%" height="160" style="border:0;max-width:460px" title="Mega Lucario ex price — CardTrack" loading="lazy"></iframe> <p style="font:12px system-ui">Source: <a href="https://cardtrack.com">CardTrack</a></p>