Market value · ungraded
What's your copy worth?
What this price is based on
Medium confidence30 sales in 90 days, but prices vary widely.
Recent Raw sales
- Aug 16, 2026eBay — 30th Anniversary Crystal Lugia 149/147$750
- Aug 16, 2026eBay — 2002 Pokemon Aquapolis #149 Lugia Holo MPMP$2,125
- Aug 11, 2026eBay — Lugia Holo 149/147 Aquapolis Rare Holo Vintage Pokémon Card English e-Reader$4,617
- Aug 10, 2026eBay — Lugia Aquapolis 149/147 Holo Rare Holo 80 HP English Pokemon TCG 2002$3,500
- Aug 9, 2026eBay — Aquapolis Lugia 149/147 Holo Rare 2002 English Crystal Type Pokemon SP CLEAN 💫$7,110
- Aug 3, 2026eBay — Pokemon Lugia Aquapolis Crystal Holo Rare #149- NM ConditionNM$6,711
- Jul 30, 2026eBay — 2002 Pokemon Aquapolis #149 Lugia Holo w/ CreasesDM$1,925
- Jul 30, 2026eBay — Pokemon TCG Aquapolis Lugia 149/147 Holo Rare 2002 English Crystal Type$2,899
By grade
- Raw$3,20041 sales
- PSA 8$10,00021 sales
- PSA 1$2,43816 sales
- PSA 3$3,50011 sales
- PSA 6$6,22510 sales
- PSA 5$5,10610 sales
- PSA 4$4,35010 sales
- PSA 2$1,86010 sales
From 194 completed sales recorded between Jan 15, 2024 and Aug 17, 2026. Sold prices only — asking prices are never counted. The range is wide because these sales span different printings and conditions — 1st Edition, Shadowless and Unlimited copies all carry this card's name, and they trade at very different levels. Each sale above is labelled with what its listing claimed, so you can see which ones describe the same object. Treat the median as the typical copy, not the range.
Grade it or not
GRADE ITBased on 149 graded sales and 1,893,018 pop-report entries for a near-mint copy.
See the numbers — Trader plan and aboveBuy this card
✨ Is it worth it?
An AI market read of this card — value, momentum, grading economics, liquidity. It lays out the data; you decide.
Lugia is a Rare Secret Pokémon card from Aquapolis (#149), illustrated by Naoyo Kimura. It's a Basic Colorless-type Pokémon with 80 HP, weak to Psychic ×2. Its current blended market value is $3,200.00 ungraded, with a PSA 10 worth around $78,000 — a gem-mint grading premium of roughly 24× the raw value. Prices are aggregated across marketplaces — raw and graded, updated daily and shown in your local currency.
Prices last updated 20 August 2026.
The receipts
Graded a PSA 10? See its cert-verified sales and price history → — individual sales PSA tied to a specific slab, each with a cert number you can check.
Price history · Raw
We'll email you when this card's value crosses your target.
Verified sales history21 in 90 days✓ real completed listings
Real completed eBay sales, refreshed periodically. Grade read from the listing title. Implausibly priced listings (lots, proxies, empty slabs) and wrong-variant sales are filtered out. Links to eBay are affiliate links — we may earn a commission.
Demand & liquidity
Last sold $3,450 · PSA 3 · 25 Jul 2026
Should you grade it?
Expected return across every likely grade, after fees — the realistic average, not the best case. Only 4.3% of copies gem (PSA 10 best case +$73,400); most land at PSA 9 or below.
The odds
Lugia is a Secret / Rainbowcard — a guaranteed slot in every pack, not a rarity gamble, so there's no pull-odds figure for it.
Estimates only. Pack odds come from CardTrack's pack model (the same one behind the pack simulator) — not an official rate. Grading odds are the real cumulative PSA population, which skews toward nicer, resubmitted copies, so it overstates the true first-submission gem rate. Full grade-by-grade breakdown below.
Grade-by-grade ROI & risk-adjusted outcomesNet vs raw per target grade, plus the probability-weighted distribution
| Target grade | Est. value | Grading fee | Net vs raw | Multiple |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PSA 10 | $78,000.00 | $1,400 | +$73,400 | 24.4× |
| PSA 9 | $13,200.00 | $552 | +$9,448 | 4.1× |
| PSA 8 | $10,250.00 | $523 | +$6,528 | 3.2× |
⚖️ Risk-adjusted return
Best case isn't the whole story. Weighting every grade by how often it actually happens, across 3,204 PSA-graded copies:
| Likely outcome | Chance | Value |
|---|---|---|
| PSA 10 | 4.3% | $78,000.00 |
| PSA 9 | 16.5% | $13,200.00 |
| PSA ≤8 | 79.2% | $3,200.00 |
Net = graded value − raw value − grading cost (tier fee + ~$20 round-trip shipping), using PSA fees as of 2026-06-28; the paused PSA Value tier is excluded so this isn't overstated. Gem rate is estimated from cumulative PSA population, which skews toward nicer, resubmitted copies — so it overstates the true grade rate. Treat it as a guide, not a guarantee.
Population across gradersPSA, CGC & BGS — every grade, with gem rates
Only 4% of 3,204 PSA-graded Lugia copies are a gem-mint 10 (138 of 3,204) — the rest grade lower.
Real graded population from PSA, CGC & BGS — a lower gem rate means a Lugia 10 is harder to pull.
Copies for sale right now
Affiliate links — we may earn a commission. Prices shown are sold-based, not sponsored placements.
All grades & conditions
Every grade we pricePSA / CGC / BGS ladder with per-grade population
| Grade | Relative value | Price |
|---|---|---|
| PSA 10pop 138 | 7 sold$78,000$66,300–$89,700 | |
| PSA 9pop 529 | 8 sold$13,200$11,220–$15,180 | |
| PSA 8pop 426 | ✓ 55 cert-verified$10,250$8,606–$11,644 | |
| PSA 7pop 361 | $8,150$6,928–$9,373 | |
| PSA 6pop 413 | ✓ 30 cert-verified$6,500$4,008–$6,500 | |
| PSA 5pop 347 | ✓ 37 cert-verified$4,850$3,205–$4,850 | |
| PSA 4pop 251 | ✓ 37 cert-verified$4,292$2,716–$4,292 | |
| PSA 3pop 223 | ✓ 28 cert-verified$3,150$2,290–$3,150 | |
| PSA 2pop 161 | ✓ 22 cert-verified$2,000$2,000–$2,954 | |
| PSA 1.5pop 8 | $847$550–$849 |
Raw condition ladderNM → damaged, with real sold medians where we have them
For context: a graded PSA 1 slab of this card sells for about $2,900 (cert-verified) — a heavily-played raw copy shouldn't cost much more than that.
Market dataCross-market spread, EU price, momentum & community buzz
Market signal
Derived from this card's 90-day price history, recent trend and cross-market price gap. Informational, not advice.
🔥 Trending in the community
#8 on the radarLugia is one of the most-talked-about Pokémon right now across the Pokémon investing & TCG subreddits. See the hype radar →
What people are saying: “Lugia Neo genesis first edition” · 466↑
Card textAttacks, abilities, weakness / resistance / retreat
Whenever you attach a Fire, Water, or Psychic basic Energy card from your hand to Lugia, Lugia's type (color) becomes the same as that Energy card type until the end of the turn.
This attack does 10 damage times the number of Energy cards attached to the Defending Pokémon.
Discard an Energy card attached to Lugia.
About the PokémonSpecies, generation, evolution line
It is said that it quietly spends its time deep at the bottom of the sea because its powers are too strong.
Card detailsSet, rarity, artist, Pokédex & specs
Other Lugia cards
There are 9 different Lugia printings — make sure you're valuing the right one. This is Aquapolis #149 (Rare Secret).
More from Aquapolis
Frequently asked questions
How much is Lugia (Aquapolis #149) worth?
As of 20 August 2026, Lugia from Aquapolis is worth approximately $3,200.00 ungraded (near-mint), and around $78,000 in PSA 10 gem mint. Values are blended from real Cardmarket, eBay sold and TCGplayer prices and update daily.
What is the PSA 10 price for Lugia?
A PSA 10 (gem mint) Lugia from Aquapolis is worth around $78,000 — roughly 24× the raw ungraded value of $3,200.00.
Should I grade my Lugia?
A PSA 10 sells for about $78,000 versus $3,200.00 raw — roughly a 24× uplift. Grading is worth it when that premium comfortably beats the grading fee and the card is clean enough to have a real shot at a 10. See the "Should you grade it?" estimate above for net profit per grade.
Is Lugia rare?
Lugia is a Rare Secret card from Aquapolis (card #149), illustrated by Naoyo Kimura. Its current blended market value is $3,200.00 ungraded.
Cite & embed this card
Free to use with attribution to CardTrack.
Lugia (Aquapolis #149) — Pokémon market value $3200.00, PSA 10 $78000.00. Source: CardTrack, https://cardtrack.com/pokemon/card/aquapolis/lugia-149<iframe src="https://cardtrack.com/embed/card?id=ecard2-149" width="100%" height="160" style="border:0;max-width:460px" title="Lugia price — CardTrack" loading="lazy"></iframe>
<p style="font:12px system-ui">Source: <a href="https://cardtrack.com">CardTrack</a></p>