Riolu
Market value · ungraded
What's your copy worth?
What this price is based on
High confidence47 sales in 90 days, closely clustered.
Recent Raw sales
- Aug 15, 2026eBay — Riolu SV21/SV94 Hidden Fates Shiny Vault Pokemon Baby Shiny$11.08
- Aug 9, 2026eBay — Riolu Holo SV21/SV94 NM Hidden Fates: Shiny Vault Pokemon CardNM$9.00
- Aug 8, 2026eBay — Riolu SV21/SV94 Shiny Rare Hidden Fates Shiny Vault Pokemon Holo Near MintNM$12.17
- Aug 8, 2026eBay — Riolu * Near Mint or Better * Hidden Fates * #SV21/SV94 * PokemonNM$8.75
- Aug 4, 2026eBay — Pokemon TCG Riolu SV21/SV94 Hidden Fates Shiny Vault Shiny Holo Rare EN$10.00
- Aug 1, 2026eBay — Pokémon TCG: Riolu (Shiny) SV21/SV94 - Hidden Fates Shiny Vault$10.00
- Aug 1, 2026eBay — Riolu Holo SV21/SV94 NM Hidden Fates: Shiny Vault Pokemon CardNM$14.00
- Jul 30, 2026eBay — Pokemon Hidden Fates Shiny Vault Riolu SV21/SV94 Shiny Holo 70HP EN 2019$11.00
By grade
- Raw$10.0050 sales
- PSA 10$75.0012 sales
- CGC 10$28.809 sales
- PSA 9$21.663 sales
- PSA 8$20.101 sale
- CGC 9$19.991 sale
From 76 completed sales recorded between Feb 23, 2026 and Aug 17, 2026. Sold prices only — asking prices are never counted. The range is wide because these sales span different printings and conditions — 1st Edition, Shadowless and Unlimited copies all carry this card's name, and they trade at very different levels. Each sale above is labelled with what its listing claimed, so you can see which ones describe the same object. Treat the median as the typical copy, not the range.
Grade it or not
GRADE ITBased on 26 graded sales and 4,411,869 pop-report entries for a near-mint copy.
See the numbers — Trader plan and aboveBuy this card
✨ Is it worth it?
An AI market read of this card — value, momentum, grading economics, liquidity. It lays out the data; you decide.
Riolu is a Rare Shiny Pokémon card from Hidden Fates Shiny Vault (#SV21), illustrated by Misa Tsutsui. It's a Basic Fighting-type Pokémon with 70 HP, weak to Psychic ×2. Its current blended market value is $11.56 ungraded, with a PSA 10 worth around $76 — a gem-mint grading premium of roughly 7× the raw value. Prices are aggregated across marketplaces — raw and graded, updated daily and shown in your local currency.
Prices last updated 21 August 2026.
The receipts
Price history · Raw
We'll email you when this card's value crosses your target.
Verified sales history10 in 90 days✓ real completed listings
| Date | Grade | Price | Cert |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9 Aug 2026 | PSA 9 | $11.50 | #119108760 ✓ |
| 8 Aug 2026 | PSA 10 | $79.00 | #146665732 ✓ |
| 3 Aug 2026 | PSA 9 | $21.60 | #52994717 ✓ |
| 24 Jul 2026 | PSA 10 | $79.99 | #53706448 ✓ |
| 22 Jul 2026 | PSA 10 | $72.00 | #153130397 ✓ |
| 16 Jul 2026 | PSA 10 | $71.00 | #54544831 ✓ |
| 15 Jul 2026 | PSA 10 | $84.83 | #58244776 ✓ |
| 13 Jul 2026 | PSA 9 | $33.00 | #131927890 ✓ |
| 11 Jul 2026 | PSA 10 | $45.00 | #56506556 ✓ |
| 30 Jun 2026 | PSA 9 | $24.99 | #51112371 ✓ |
Should you grade it?
Expected return across every likely grade, after fees — the realistic average, not the best case. Only 70.5% of copies gem (PSA 10 best case −$6); most land at PSA 9 or below.
The odds
Riolu is a Rare in Hidden Fates Shiny Vault — the pack's hit slot lands on Rare 59.7% of the time, split across 45 rare cards in the set, so pulling this exact card is roughly 1 in 75 packs.
Estimates only. Pack odds come from CardTrack's pack model (the same one behind the pack simulator) — not an official rate. Grading odds are the real cumulative PSA population, which skews toward nicer, resubmitted copies, so it overstates the true first-submission gem rate. Full grade-by-grade breakdown below.
Grade-by-grade ROI & risk-adjusted outcomesNet vs raw per target grade, plus the probability-weighted distribution
| Target grade | Est. value | Grading fee | Net vs raw | Multiple |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PSA 10 | $76.00 | $71 | −$6 | 6.6× |
| PSA 9 | $20.56 | $70 | −$61 | 1.8× |
⚖️ Risk-adjusted return
Best case isn't the whole story. Weighting every grade by how often it actually happens, across 2,312 PSA-graded copies:
| Likely outcome | Chance | Value |
|---|---|---|
| PSA 10 | 70.5% | $76.00 |
| PSA 9 | 26.7% | $21.00 |
| PSA ≤8 | 2.8% | $12.00 |
Net = graded value − raw value − grading cost (tier fee + ~$20 round-trip shipping), using PSA fees as of 2026-06-28; the paused PSA Value tier is excluded so this isn't overstated. Gem rate is estimated from cumulative PSA population, which skews toward nicer, resubmitted copies — so it overstates the true grade rate. Treat it as a guide, not a guarantee.
Population across gradersPSA, CGC & BGS — every grade, with gem rates
Only 71% of 2,312 PSA-graded Riolu copies are a gem-mint 10 (1,630 of 2,312) — the rest grade lower.
Real graded population from PSA, CGC & BGS — a lower gem rate means a Riolu 10 is harder to pull.
Copies for sale right now
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All grades & conditions
Every grade we pricePSA / CGC / BGS ladder with per-grade population
| Grade | Relative value | Price |
|---|---|---|
| PSA 10pop 1,630 | ✓ 15 cert-verified$76$55–$76 | |
| PSA 9pop 618 | $21$17–$24 | |
| PSA 6pop 2 | $7$7–$7 |
Raw condition ladderNM → damaged, with real sold medians where we have them
Market dataCross-market spread, EU price, momentum & community buzz
Cross-market prices
61% spreadCurrently 61% cheaper on Cardmarket than TCGplayer. These are independent market prices for the same card — a wide gap can mean a buying opportunity. Informational only, not arbitrage advice.
Market signal
Derived from this card's 90-day price history, recent trend and cross-market price gap. Informational, not advice.
🇪🇺 Cardmarket price · Europe
38% cheaper than the US🔥 Trending in the community
#116 on the radarRiolu is one of the most-talked-about Pokémon right now across the Pokémon investing & TCG subreddits. See the hype radar →
What people are saying: “Thoughts on my Mega Lucario ex/Hariyama deck?” · 10↑
Card textAttacks, abilities, weakness / resistance / retreat
Flip a coin. If heads, prevent all effects of attacks, including damage, done to this Pokémon during your opponent's next turn.
“It's tough enough to run right through the night, and it's also a hard worker, but it's still just a youngster.”
About the PokémonSpecies, generation, evolution line
Card detailsSet, rarity, artist, Pokédex & specs
Other Riolu cards
There are 9 different Riolu printings — make sure you're valuing the right one. This is Hidden Fates Shiny Vault #SV21 (Rare Shiny).
More from Hidden Fates Shiny Vault
Frequently asked questions
How much is Riolu (Hidden Fates Shiny Vault #SV21) worth?
As of 21 August 2026, Riolu from Hidden Fates Shiny Vault is worth approximately $11.56 ungraded (near-mint), and around $76 in PSA 10 gem mint. Values are blended from real Cardmarket, eBay sold and TCGplayer prices and update daily.
What is the PSA 10 price for Riolu?
A PSA 10 (gem mint) Riolu from Hidden Fates Shiny Vault is worth around $76 — roughly 7× the raw ungraded value of $11.56.
Should I grade my Riolu?
A PSA 10 sells for about $76 versus $11.56 raw — roughly a 7× uplift. Grading is worth it when that premium comfortably beats the grading fee and the card is clean enough to have a real shot at a 10. See the "Should you grade it?" estimate above for net profit per grade.
Is Riolu rare?
Riolu is a Rare Shiny card from Hidden Fates Shiny Vault (card #SV21), illustrated by Misa Tsutsui. Its current blended market value is $11.56 ungraded.
Cite & embed this card
Free to use with attribution to CardTrack.
Riolu (Hidden Fates Shiny Vault #SV21) — Pokémon market value $11.56, PSA 10 $76.00. Source: CardTrack, https://cardtrack.com/pokemon/card/hidden-fates-shiny-vault/riolu-sv21<iframe src="https://cardtrack.com/embed/card?id=sma-SV21" width="100%" height="160" style="border:0;max-width:460px" title="Riolu price — CardTrack" loading="lazy"></iframe>
<p style="font:12px system-ui">Source: <a href="https://cardtrack.com">CardTrack</a></p>