Market value · ungraded
What's your copy worth?
What this price is based on
Low confidenceOnly 1 sale in the last 90 days.
Recent Raw sales
- Jul 21, 2026eBay — Moltres - 21/53 Wizards Black Star Promos - Pokémon TCG - 2000$29.99
By grade
- PSA 10$16019 sales
- CGC 10$72.0015 sales
- PSA 9$46.8011 sales
- CGC 9$31.208 sales
- Lot$16.804 sales
- CGC 8$21.104 sales
- CGC 9.6$37.502 sales
- CGC 8.5$16.802 sales
From 71 completed sales recorded between Jan 11, 2024 and Jul 26, 2026. Sold prices only — asking prices are never counted.
Grade it or not
CLOSE CALLBased on 66 graded sales and 1,890,224 pop-report entries for a near-mint copy.
See the numbers — Trader plan and aboveBuy this card
✨ Is it worth it?
An AI market read of this card — value, momentum, grading economics, liquidity. It lays out the data; you decide.
Moltres is a Promo Pokémon card from Wizards Black Star Promos (#21), illustrated by Toshinao Aoki. It's a Basic Fire-type Pokémon with 70 HP. Its current blended market value is $19.82 ungraded, with a PSA 10 worth around $402 — a gem-mint grading premium of roughly 20× the raw value. Prices are aggregated across marketplaces — raw and graded, updated daily and shown in your local currency.
Prices last updated 21 August 2026.
The receipts
Graded a PSA 10? See its cert-verified sales and price history → — individual sales PSA tied to a specific slab, each with a cert number you can check.
Price history · Raw
We'll email you when this card's value crosses your target.
Verified sales history10 in 90 days✓ real completed listings
| Date | Grade | Price | Cert |
|---|---|---|---|
| 6 Aug 2026 | PSA 7 | $50.00 | #160316493 ✓ |
| 22 Jul 2026 | PSA 9 | $83.00 | #129656786 ✓ |
| 1 Jul 2026 | PSA 9 | $53.09 | #58918898 ✓ |
| 14 Jun 2026 | PSA 8 | $71.06 | #101870836 ✓ |
| 12 Jun 2026 | PSA 8 | $125.00 | #56049363 ✓ |
| 4 Jun 2026 | PSA 10 | $670.91 | #101209372 ✓ |
| 3 Jun 2026 | PSA 10 | $620.00 | #98937192 ✓ |
| 28 May 2026 | PSA 10 | $402.05 | #61998046 ✓ |
| 4 May 2026 | PSA 10 | $321.00 | #98937192 ✓ |
| 27 Apr 2026 | PSA 9 | $36.00 | #55684323 ✓ |
Should you grade it?
Expected return across every likely grade, after fees — the realistic average, not the best case. Only 33.2% of copies gem (PSA 10 best case +$308); most land at PSA 9 or below.
The odds
Moltres is a Commoncard — a guaranteed slot in every pack, not a rarity gamble, so there's no pull-odds figure for it.
Estimates only. Pack odds come from CardTrack's pack model (the same one behind the pack simulator) — not an official rate. Grading odds are the real cumulative PSA population, which skews toward nicer, resubmitted copies, so it overstates the true first-submission gem rate. Full grade-by-grade breakdown below.
Grade-by-grade ROI & risk-adjusted outcomesNet vs raw per target grade, plus the probability-weighted distribution
| Target grade | Est. value | Grading fee | Net vs raw | Multiple |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PSA 10 | $402.00 | $74 | +$308 | 20.3× |
| PSA 9 | $53.01 | $71 | −$37 | 2.7× |
| PSA 8.5 | $39.00 | $70 | −$51 | 2.0× |
⚖️ Risk-adjusted return
Best case isn't the whole story. Weighting every grade by how often it actually happens, across 383 PSA-graded copies:
| Likely outcome | Chance | Value |
|---|---|---|
| PSA 10 | 33.2% | $402.00 |
| PSA 9 | 23.8% | $53.00 |
| PSA ≤8 | 43.1% | $20.00 |
Net = graded value − raw value − grading cost (tier fee + ~$20 round-trip shipping), using PSA fees as of 2026-06-28; the paused PSA Value tier is excluded so this isn't overstated. Gem rate is estimated from cumulative PSA population, which skews toward nicer, resubmitted copies — so it overstates the true grade rate. Treat it as a guide, not a guarantee.
Population across gradersPSA, CGC & BGS — every grade, with gem rates
Only 33% of 383 PSA-graded Moltres copies are a gem-mint 10 (127 of 383) — the rest grade lower.
Real graded population from PSA, CGC & BGS — a lower gem rate means a Moltres 10 is harder to pull.
Copies for sale right now
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All grades & conditions
Every grade we pricePSA / CGC / BGS ladder with per-grade population
| Grade | Relative value | Price |
|---|---|---|
| PSA 10pop 127 | ✓ 14 cert-verified$402$170–$402 | |
| PSA 9pop 91 | $53$45–$61 | |
| PSA 8.5 | $39$39–$39 | |
| PSA 7pop 26 | 3 sold$28$24–$32 | |
| PSA 6pop 34 | 2 sold$24$20–$27 | |
| PSA 5pop 28 | $22$9–$39 | |
| PSA 4pop 13 | $12$10–$15 |
Raw condition ladderNM → damaged, with real sold medians where we have them
Market dataCross-market spread, EU price, momentum & community buzz
Cross-market prices
72% spreadCurrently 72% cheaper on Cardmarket than TCGplayer. These are independent market prices for the same card — a wide gap can mean a buying opportunity. Informational only, not arbitrage advice.
Market signal
Derived from this card's 90-day price history, recent trend and cross-market price gap. Informational, not advice.
🇪🇺 Cardmarket price · Europe
42% cheaper than the US🔥 Trending in the community
#74 on the radarMoltres is one of the most-talked-about Pokémon right now across the Pokémon investing & TCG subreddits. See the hype radar →
What people are saying: “Double Swirl Blaine’s Moltres I just picked up” · 17↑
Card textAttacks, abilities, weakness / resistance / retreat
Flip a coin. If heads, discard 1 Fire Energy card attached to Moltres. If tails, discard all Energy cards attached to Moltres. If you can't discard Energy cards, this attack does nothing.
“The flames on this legendary Pokémon's wings burn so brightly that they can make night seem like day.”
About the PokémonSpecies, generation, evolution line
Known as the legendary bird of fire. Every flap of its wings creates a dazzling flash of flames.
Card detailsSet, rarity, artist, Pokédex & specs
Other Moltres cards
There are 9 different Moltres printings — make sure you're valuing the right one. This is Wizards Black Star Promos #21 (Promo).
More from Wizards Black Star Promos
Frequently asked questions
How much is Moltres (Wizards Black Star Promos #21) worth?
As of 21 August 2026, Moltres from Wizards Black Star Promos is worth approximately $19.82 ungraded (near-mint), and around $402 in PSA 10 gem mint. Values are blended from real Cardmarket, eBay sold and TCGplayer prices and update daily.
What is the PSA 10 price for Moltres?
A PSA 10 (gem mint) Moltres from Wizards Black Star Promos is worth around $402 — roughly 20× the raw ungraded value of $19.82.
Should I grade my Moltres?
A PSA 10 sells for about $402 versus $19.82 raw — roughly a 20× uplift. Grading is worth it when that premium comfortably beats the grading fee and the card is clean enough to have a real shot at a 10. See the "Should you grade it?" estimate above for net profit per grade.
Is Moltres rare?
Moltres is a Promo card from Wizards Black Star Promos (card #21), illustrated by Toshinao Aoki. Its current blended market value is $19.82 ungraded.
Cite & embed this card
Free to use with attribution to CardTrack.
Moltres (Wizards Black Star Promos #21) — Pokémon market value $19.82, PSA 10 $402.00. Source: CardTrack, https://cardtrack.com/pokemon/card/wizards-black-star-promos/moltres-21<iframe src="https://cardtrack.com/embed/card?id=basep-21" width="100%" height="160" style="border:0;max-width:460px" title="Moltres price — CardTrack" loading="lazy"></iframe>
<p style="font:12px system-ui">Source: <a href="https://cardtrack.com">CardTrack</a></p>