Best Greninja Cards to Grade
The Greninja cards worth grading, ranked by expected profit per submission — every grade outcome weighted by how often the card actually receives it — after current grading fees. The PSA 10 best case is shown on every row but does not decide the order. Top pick: Greninja (Unbroken Bonds) at an expected +$461.
Ranked by expected profit 22
| # | Card | Raw | PSA 9 | PSA 10 | Cost | Best case | Gem rate | Expected | Sample |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Expected +$461 per submission: 16.2% of 253 graded copies came back PSA 10 ($3,250), and a PSA 9 ($195) still clears the $434 you have in it. Confidence high on that sample. | $32 | $195 | $3,250 | $402 | +$2,817 | 16.2% | +$461 | 253 high |
| 2 | Expected +$441 per submission: 45.5% of 3,084 graded copies came back PSA 10 ($1,800), and only a PSA 10 covers the $612 you have in it — a 9 loses money. Confidence high on that sample. | $375 | $352 | $1,800 | $237 | +$1,188 | 45.5% | +$441 | 3,084 high |
| 3 | Expected +$323 per submission: 10.1% of 326 graded copies came back PSA 10 ($3,248), and a PSA 9 ($299) still clears the $417 you have in it. Confidence high on that sample. | $16 | $299 | $3,248 | $401 | +$2,831 | 10.1% | +$323 | 326 high |
| 4 | Expected +$291 per submission: 62% of 50 graded copies came back PSA 10 ($775), and only a PSA 10 covers the $253 you have in it — a 9 loses money. Confidence medium on that sample. | $165 | $163 | $775 | $88 | +$522 | 62% | +$291 | 50 medium |
| 5 | Expected +$268 per submission: 47.8% of 801 graded copies came back PSA 10 ($705), and a PSA 9 ($150) still clears the $132 you have in it. Confidence high on that sample. | $45 | $150 | $705 | $87 | +$572 | 47.8% | +$268 | 801 high |
| 6 | Expected +$128 per submission: 44.8% of 601 graded copies came back PSA 10 ($500), and only a PSA 10 covers the $143 you have in it — a 9 loses money. Confidence high on that sample. | $58 | $95 | $500 | $85 | +$357 | 44.8% | +$128 | 601 high |
| 7 | Expected +$120 per submission: 81.3% of 209 graded copies came back PSA 10 ($421), and only a PSA 10 covers the $264 you have in it — a 9 loses money. Confidence high on that sample. | $180 | $249 | $421 | $84 | +$157 | 81.3% | +$120 | 209 high |
| 8 | Expected +$113 per submission: 54.6% of 1,326 graded copies came back PSA 10 ($416), and only a PSA 10 covers the $150 you have in it — a 9 loses money. Confidence high on that sample. | $66 | $82 | $416 | $84 | +$266 | 54.6% | +$113 | 1,326 high |
| 9 | Expected +$100 per submission: 45.3% of 1,119 graded copies came back PSA 10 ($435), and a PSA 9 ($205) still clears the $184 you have in it. Confidence high on that sample. | $100 | $205 | $435 | $84 | +$251 | 45.3% | +$100 | 1,119 high |
| 10 | Expected +$91 per submission: 44.3% of 21,763 graded copies came back PSA 10 ($690), and only a PSA 10 covers the $376 you have in it — a 9 loses money. Confidence high on that sample. | $289 | $291 | $690 | $87 | +$314 | 44.3% | +$91 | 21,763 high |
| 11 | Expected +$89 per submission: 24.2% of 186 graded copies came back PSA 10 ($679), and only a PSA 10 covers the $107 you have in it — a 9 loses money. Confidence high on that sample. | $20 | $55 | $679 | $87 | +$572 | 24.2% | +$89 | 186 high |
| 12 | Expected +$76 per submission: 47.4% of 388 graded copies came back PSA 10 ($322), and only a PSA 10 covers the $103 you have in it — a 9 loses money. Confidence high on that sample. | $20 | $55 | $322 | $83 | +$219 | 47.4% | +$76 | 388 high |
| 13 | Expected +$59 per submission: 40.1% of 36,240 graded copies came back PSA 10 ($430), and only a PSA 10 covers the $172 you have in it — a 9 loses money. Confidence high on that sample. | $88 | $100 | $430 | $84 | +$258 | 40.1% | +$59 | 36,240 high |
| 14 | Expected +$50 per submission: 26.3% of 544 graded copies came back PSA 10 ($395), and only a PSA 10 covers the $92 you have in it — a 9 loses money. Confidence high on that sample. | $8 | $60 | $395 | $84 | +$303 | 26.3% | +$50 | 544 high |
| 15 | Expected +$38 per submission: 48.4% of 3,389 graded copies came back PSA 10 ($289), and only a PSA 10 covers the $133 you have in it — a 9 loses money. Confidence high on that sample. | $50 | $66 | $289 | $83 | +$156 | 48.4% | +$38 | 3,389 high |
| 16 | Expected +$3 per submission: 55.5% of 8,836 graded copies came back PSA 10 ($235), and only a PSA 10 covers the $167 you have in it — a 9 loses money. Confidence high on that sample. | $85 | $93 | $235 | $82 | +$67 | 55.5% | +$3 | 8,836 high |
| 17 | Expected loss −$12 per submission: 3.1% of 128 graded copies came back PSA 10 ($1,300), and a PSA 9 ($145) still clears the $134 you have in it. Confidence high on that sample. | $21 | $145 | $1,300 | $113 | +$1,167 | 3.1% | −$12 | 128 high |
| 18 | Expected loss −$13 per submission: 35.9% of 2,100 graded copies came back PSA 10 ($169), and only a PSA 10 covers the $98 you have in it — a 9 loses money. Confidence high on that sample. | $16 | $41 | $169 | $82 | +$71 | 35.9% | −$13 | 2,100 high |
| 19 | Expected loss −$18 per submission: 65.7% of 134 graded copies came back PSA 10 ($100), and only a PSA 10 covers the $89 you have in it — a 9 loses money. Confidence high on that sample. | $8 | $14 | $100 | $81 | +$11 | 65.7% | −$18 | 134 high |
| 20 | Expected loss −$22 per submission: 59.1% of 132 graded copies came back PSA 10 ($105), and only a PSA 10 covers the $87 you have in it — a 9 loses money. Confidence high on that sample. | $6 | $8 | $105 | $81 | +$18 | 59.1% | −$22 | 132 high |
| 21 | Expected loss −$25 per submission: 12.4% of 145 graded copies came back PSA 10 ($144), and only a PSA 10 covers the $87 you have in it — a 9 loses money. Confidence high on that sample. | $6 | $75 | $144 | $81 | +$57 | 12.4% | −$25 | 145 high |
| 22 | Expected loss −$25 per submission: 41.2% of 17 graded copies came back PSA 10 ($106), and only a PSA 10 covers the $89 you have in it — a 9 loses money. Confidence low on that sample. | $8 | $38 | $106 | $81 | +$17 | 41.2% | −$25 | 17 low |
Best case only — no gem-rate evidence 3
Fewer than 10 graded copies in the PSA and CGC population reports. They clear the grading cost if they gem — that is all the numbers support.
| # | Card | Raw | PSA 9 | PSA 10 | Cost | Best case | Gem rate | Expected | Sample |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | $68 | — | $48,000 | $2,499 | +$45,433 | — | — | none <10 | |
| 24 | $29 | — | $1,427 | $114 | +$1,284 | — | — | none <10 | |
| 25 | $11 | — | $96 | $81 | +$4 | — | — | none <10 |
Expected = every grade outcome weighted by its share of the card's graded population, minus the raw price and the grading cost (PSA tier fee for the graded value plus ~$20 round-trip shipping, fees as of 2026-09-26). Best case is the PSA 10 leg alone. Gem rates come from a self-selected population — collectors grade their cleanest copies — so read them as an upper bound. Raw is a blended market price, not a sale of your copy. Full method and filters on the grading index.
How to read the Greninja ranking
Every Greninja card listed here clears one bar: its PSA 10 price beats its raw price by more than the cost of grading it. 25 Greninja printings pass. 22 of them (88%) have a gem-rate sample of at least ten graded copies in the population reports, and 16 of those keep a positive expected value once every grade outcome is weighted by how often the card actually receives it.
The order is expected profit, not the PSA 10 best case, which rewards the widest raw-to-gem gap whether the card gems one time in two or one in fifty. Here the top row, the Greninja from Unbroken Bonds, gems 16.2% of the time across 253 graded copies: +$461 is what a long run of submissions would average, $2,817 is what one lucky copy returns.
The median gem rate across the sampled Greninja cards is 45.3%. Roughly one submitted copy in 2 came back PSA 10, and most rows here need that PSA 10 to cover raw price plus fee, so the gem rate decides whether a submission pays. Of the 22 ranked cards, 5 still cover raw price plus fee at PSA 9, 17 need a 10 to break even and 6 lose money on expectation. 20 rest on a hundred or more graded copies.
3 cards sit below the ranking with a best case only, fewer than ten graded copies. The largest best case among them is the Greninja ☆ from SWSH Black Star Promos at +$1,284.
Before you submit a Greninja card
Grading pays on condition. The four things every grader scores — centering, corners, edges and surface — can be checked at home before paying a fee, and a copy that is visibly off-centre or has a whitened corner will not gem whatever the population says. Those gem rates come from a self-selected population of clean copies, so a random copy does worse.
The cost column assumes a PSA submission at the tier covering the card's PSA 10 value, fees as of 2026-09-26, and raw is CardTrack's blended near-mint price, not a sale of your copy: pay more, or hold a lighter copy, and the break-even moves against you. Test a card with your own numbers in the ROI calculator, see the printings that fail the bar on the Greninja card list, or see how gem-mint premiums run across the whole catalogue on the PSA premium index.