Greninja
Market value · ungraded
What's your copy worth?
What this price is based on
Medium confidence58 sales in 90 days, but prices vary widely.
What each version actually sells for
Every figure is the median of real completed sales whose listing claimed that printing and condition — not a percentage of the headline price. A dash means we haven't seen enough sales of that exact version to publish one.
Recent Raw sales
- Aug 15, 2026eBay — Greninja XY24 Black Star Promo Holo Pokémon 2014 XY LPLP$99.99
- Aug 14, 2026eBay — Greninja XY24 Pokemon Promo Black Star LPLP$99.99
- Aug 10, 2026eBay — The Pokémon Company Greninja XY24 Holo Promo XY Black Star Promos EN 2016 130HP$40.00
- Aug 9, 2026eBay — Greninja XY24 Black Star Promo Holo Pokémon 2014 XY LPLP$99.99
- Aug 7, 2026eBay — 2014 XY Greninja Black Star Promo #XY24$65.00
- Aug 7, 2026eBay — Greninja XY24 Pokemon Black Star Promo Holo LPLP$100
- Aug 7, 2026eBay — Greninja XY24 Black Star Promo Holo Pokémon 2014 XY LPLP$140
- Aug 6, 2026eBay — Pokemon TCG Greninja XY24 XY Black Star Promo Holo MPMP$49.99
By grade
- Raw$60.0068 sales
- PSA 7$2932 sales
- PSA 9$2,0001 sale
- PSA 3$65.001 sale
- CGC 8.5$2401 sale
From 73 completed sales recorded between Jan 11, 2026 and Aug 15, 2026. Sold prices only — asking prices are never counted. The range is wide because these sales span different printings and conditions — 1st Edition, Shadowless and Unlimited copies all carry this card's name, and they trade at very different levels. Each sale above is labelled with what its listing claimed, so you can see which ones describe the same object. Treat the median as the typical copy, not the range.
Grade it or not
GRADE ITBased on 5 graded sales and 1,305,862 pop-report entries for a near-mint copy.
See the numbers — Trader plan and aboveBuy this card
✨ Is it worth it?
An AI market read of this card — value, momentum, grading economics, liquidity. It lays out the data; you decide.
Greninja is a Promo Pokémon card from XY Black Star Promos (#XY24), illustrated by Akira Komayama. It's a Stage 2 Darkness-type Pokémon with 130 HP, evolving from Frogadier, weak to Fighting ×2. Its current blended market value is $87.69 ungraded, with a PSA 10 worth around $511 — a gem-mint grading premium of roughly 6× the raw value. Prices are aggregated across marketplaces — raw and graded, updated daily and shown in your local currency.
Prices last updated 21 August 2026.
The receipts
Graded a PSA 9? See its cert-verified sales and price history → — individual sales PSA tied to a specific slab, each with a cert number you can check.
Price history · Raw
We'll email you when this card's value crosses your target.
Verified sales history11 in 90 days✓ real completed listings
Real completed sale prices from Fanatics Collect — weekly and premier auctions plus marketplace Buy It Now sales, refreshed periodically. Grade read from the listing title.
Should you grade it?
Expected return across every likely grade, after fees — the realistic average, not the best case. Only 1.6% of copies gem (PSA 10 best case +$338); most land at PSA 9 or below.
The odds
Greninja is a Commoncard — a guaranteed slot in every pack, not a rarity gamble, so there's no pull-odds figure for it.
Estimates only. Pack odds come from CardTrack's pack model (the same one behind the pack simulator) — not an official rate. Grading odds are the real cumulative PSA population, which skews toward nicer, resubmitted copies, so it overstates the true first-submission gem rate. Full grade-by-grade breakdown below.
Grade-by-grade ROI & risk-adjusted outcomesNet vs raw per target grade, plus the probability-weighted distribution
| Target grade | Est. value | Grading fee | Net vs raw | Multiple |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PSA 10 | $511.00 | $85 | +$338 | 5.8× |
| PSA 9 | $425.56 | $74 | +$264 | 4.9× |
| PSA 8 | $63.73 | $71 | −$95 | 0.7× |
⚖️ Risk-adjusted return
Best case isn't the whole story. Weighting every grade by how often it actually happens, across 129 PSA-graded copies:
| Likely outcome | Chance | Value |
|---|---|---|
| PSA 10 | 1.6% | $511.00 |
| PSA 9 | 10.1% | $426.00 |
| PSA ≤8 | 88.4% | $88.00 |
Net = graded value − raw value − grading cost (tier fee + ~$20 round-trip shipping), using PSA fees as of 2026-06-28; the paused PSA Value tier is excluded so this isn't overstated. Gem rate is estimated from cumulative PSA population, which skews toward nicer, resubmitted copies — so it overstates the true grade rate. Treat it as a guide, not a guarantee.
Population across gradersPSA, CGC & BGS — every grade, with gem rates
Only 2% of 129 PSA-graded Greninja copies are a gem-mint 10 (2 of 129) — the rest grade lower.
Real graded population from PSA, CGC & BGS — a lower gem rate means a Greninja 10 is harder to pull.
Copies for sale right now
Affiliate links — we may earn a commission. Prices shown are sold-based, not sponsored placements.
All grades & conditions
Every grade we pricePSA / CGC / BGS ladder with per-grade population
| Grade | Relative value | Price |
|---|---|---|
| PSA 10pop 2 | $511$511–$511 | |
| PSA 9pop 13 | $426$426–$426 | |
| PSA 8pop 31 | $64$16–$69 | |
| PSA 7pop 36 | $45$45–$45 | |
| PSA 6pop 20 | $27$15–$30 |
Raw condition ladderNM → damaged, with real sold medians where we have them
For context: a graded PSA 5 slab of this card sells for about $63 (cert-verified) — a heavily-played raw copy shouldn't cost much more than that.
Market dataCross-market spread, EU price, momentum & community buzz
Cross-market prices
72% spreadCurrently 72% cheaper on PriceCharting than TCGplayer. These are independent market prices for the same card — a wide gap can mean a buying opportunity. Informational only, not arbitrage advice.
Market signal
Derived from this card's 90-day price history, recent trend and cross-market price gap. Informational, not advice.
🔥 Trending in the community
#10 on the radarGreninja is one of the most-talked-about Pokémon right now across the Pokémon investing & TCG subreddits. See the hype radar →
What people are saying: “Sword & Shield Interest Waining?” · 132↑
Card textAttacks, abilities, weakness / resistance / retreat
Evolves from Frogadier.
When you play this Pokémon from your hand to evolve 1 of your Pokémon, you may prevent all effects of attacks, including damage, done to this Pokémon by your opponent's Pokémon during your opponent's next turn.
This attack does 20 damage to 1 of your opponent's Benched Pokémon. (Don't apply Weakness or Resistance for Benched Pokémon.)
“It creates throwing stars out of compressed water. When it spins them and throws them at high speed, these stars can split metal in two.”
About the PokémonSpecies, generation, evolution line
Card detailsSet, rarity, artist, Pokédex & specs
Other Greninja cards
There are 8 different Greninja printings — make sure you're valuing the right one. This is XY Black Star Promos #XY24 (Promo).
More from XY Black Star Promos
Frequently asked questions
How much is Greninja (XY Black Star Promos #XY24) worth?
As of 21 August 2026, Greninja from XY Black Star Promos is worth approximately $87.69 ungraded (near-mint), and around $511 in PSA 10 gem mint. Values are blended from real Cardmarket, eBay sold and TCGplayer prices and update daily.
What is the PSA 10 price for Greninja?
A PSA 10 (gem mint) Greninja from XY Black Star Promos is worth around $511 — roughly 6× the raw ungraded value of $87.69.
Should I grade my Greninja?
A PSA 10 sells for about $511 versus $87.69 raw — roughly a 6× uplift. Grading is worth it when that premium comfortably beats the grading fee and the card is clean enough to have a real shot at a 10. See the "Should you grade it?" estimate above for net profit per grade.
Is Greninja rare?
Greninja is a Promo card from XY Black Star Promos (card #XY24), illustrated by Akira Komayama. Its current blended market value is $87.69 ungraded.
Cite & embed this card
Free to use with attribution to CardTrack.
Greninja (XY Black Star Promos #XY24) — Pokémon market value $87.69, PSA 10 $511.00. Source: CardTrack, https://cardtrack.com/pokemon/card/xy-black-star-promos/greninja-xy24<iframe src="https://cardtrack.com/embed/card?id=xyp-XY24" width="100%" height="160" style="border:0;max-width:460px" title="Greninja price — CardTrack" loading="lazy"></iframe>
<p style="font:12px system-ui">Source: <a href="https://cardtrack.com">CardTrack</a></p>