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Check your printing9 different Palkia printings exist — is this your card? Paradox Rift #40
Palkia Paradox Rift #40 Pokémon card
Rare

Palkia

Paradox Rift · 40/182 · Illustrated by Ryuta Fuse
130 HPWaterPokémonBasic

Market value · ungraded

$0.22 87.7% · 30d
Confidencehigh
Range$0$0
Sold prices, not asking. TCGplayer + Cardmarket. Updated 20 August 2026. Estimate, not an appraisalhow we price →

What's your copy worth?

What's your copy worth?
Not sure which condition? Grade it from a photo
Estimated value · Near Mint
$0.22

What this price is based on

Low confidence

Only 1 sale in the last 90 days.

Median · CGC 8.5$25.001 sale
Trimmed mean$25.00outliers removed
Range$25.00$25.00lowest to highest sale
Sales rate0.3/mo2 recorded

Recent CGC 8.5 sales

By grade

  • CGC 8.5$25.001 sale
  • CGC 10$9.601 sale

From 2 completed sales recorded between Feb 23, 2026 and Jun 6, 2026. Sold prices only — asking prices are never counted.

Grade it or not

NOT WORTH IT

Based on 2 graded sales and 5,110,777 pop-report entries for a near-mint copy.

See the numbers — Trader plan and above

Buy this card

ViewingRaw / ungraded (this page)Reverse Holo price

Is it worth it?

An AI market read of this card — value, momentum, grading economics, liquidity. It lays out the data; you decide.

Sign in to analyse

Palkia is a Rare Pokémon card from Paradox Rift (#40), illustrated by Ryuta Fuse. It's a Basic Water-type Pokémon with 130 HP, weak to Lightning ×2. Its current blended market value is $0.22 ungraded, with a PSA 10 worth around $40 — a gem-mint grading premium of roughly 182× the raw value. Prices are aggregated across marketplaces — raw and graded, updated daily and shown in your local currency.

Prices last updated 20 August 2026.

The receipts

Price history · Raw

1 Nov 202320 Aug 2026
Latest
$0.22
Period high
$2.00
Period low
$0.13
Change
89.0%
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Recent sold prices

No recent sold listings tracked.

Should you grade it?

$55

Expected return across every likely grade, after fees — the realistic average, not the best case. Only 32.4% of copies gem (PSA 10 best case $31); most land at PSA 9 or below.

Gem rate (est.)32.4%
Expected return$55
PSA 10 best case$31
VerdictNot worth it

The odds

Palkia is a Rare in Paradox Rift — the pack's hit slot lands on Rare 59.7% of the time, split across 27 rare cards in the set, so pulling this exact card is roughly 1 in 45 packs.

Rare59.7%27 cards

Estimates only. Pack odds come from CardTrack's pack model (the same one behind the pack simulator) — not an official rate. Grading odds are the real cumulative PSA population, which skews toward nicer, resubmitted copies, so it overstates the true first-submission gem rate. Full grade-by-grade breakdown below.

Grade-by-grade ROI & risk-adjusted outcomesNet vs raw per target grade, plus the probability-weighted distribution
Target gradeEst. valueGrading feeNet vs rawMultiple
PSA 10$40.00$70$31181.8×
PSA 9$12.79$70$5858.1×

⚖️ Risk-adjusted return

Best case isn't the whole story. Weighting every grade by how often it actually happens, across 136 PSA-graded copies:

Likely outcomeChanceValue
PSA 1032.4%$40.00
PSA 922.1%$13.00
PSA ≤845.6%$0.00

Net = graded value − raw value − grading cost (tier fee + ~$20 round-trip shipping), using PSA fees as of 2026-06-28; the paused PSA Value tier is excluded so this isn't overstated. Gem rate is estimated from cumulative PSA population, which skews toward nicer, resubmitted copies — so it overstates the true grade rate. Treat it as a guide, not a guarantee.

Population across gradersPSA, CGC & BGS — every grade, with gem rates

Only 32% of 136 CGC-graded Palkia copies are a gem-mint 10 (44 of 136) — the rest grade lower.

CGC136 gradedCGC 10 · 44 · 32% gem
1044
9.510
930
8.528
88

Real graded population from PSA, CGC & BGS — a lower gem rate means a Palkia 10 is harder to pull.

Copies for sale right now

Check recent sold prices

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All grades & conditions

Every grade we pricePSA / CGC / BGS ladder with per-grade population
Graded prices
Ungraded (raw)$0.22
PSA graded price estimates by grade
GradeRelative valuePrice
PSA 10$40$40$40
PSA 9$13$13$13
“Sold” = median of real recent sold listings at that grade (eBay or Fanatics Collect — hover a badge to see which). Other figures are blended marketplace estimates. Confidence reflects source backing and price spread — not PSA-official values.
Raw condition ladderNM → damaged, with real sold medians where we have them
Raw price by condition
Reverse Holofoil · live market via TCGplayer
NMNear Mint$0.22
LPLightly Played$0.15
7-day 16.7%
30-day 16.7%
90-day 33.3%
All-time high$0
All-time low$0
Other printingsHolofoil · $0.19
What NM / LP / MP actually mean — and how much they cost
Price by printingBase vs reverse holo vs 1st edition — priced separately

Price by variant

Reverse Holo$0
Holofoil$0

TCGplayer market price per printing — reverse holo, 1st edition and unlimited often differ sharply.

Market dataCross-market spread, EU price, momentum & community buzz

Cross-market prices

175% spread
Cardmarket · cheapest$0
TCGplayer · dearest$0

Currently 175% cheaper on Cardmarket than TCGplayer. These are independent market prices for the same card — a wide gap can mean a buying opportunity. Informational only, not arbitrage advice.

Market signal

Momentum · 30dFalling -88%
Cross-marketMarkets disagree 175% gap

Derived from this card's 90-day price history, recent trend and cross-market price gap. Informational, not advice.

🇪🇺 Cardmarket price · Europe

64% cheaper than the US
Cardmarket · Europe's largest card market$0
Card textAttacks, abilities, weakness / resistance / retreat
Teleportation Burst30
Colorless · Colorless

You may switch this Pokémon with 1 of your Benched Pokémon.

Prize Count80+
Water · Colorless · Colorless

If you have more Prize cards remaining than your opponent, this attack does 80 more damage.

Weakness Lightning ×2Retreat 2

It has the ability to distort space. It is described as a deity in Sinnoh-region mythology.

About the PokémonSpecies, generation, evolution line
Spatial PokémonGEN IVLegendary

It has the ability to distort space. It is described as a deity in Sinnoh-region mythology.

Card detailsSet, rarity, artist, Pokédex & specs
Number#40
RarityRare
SupertypePokémon
SubtypesBasic
TypeWater
HP130
WeaknessLightning ×2
Retreat cost2
National Pokédex#484
Card IDsv4-40
SourceAggregated marketplaces

Other Palkia cards

There are 9 different Palkia printings — make sure you're valuing the right one. This is Paradox Rift #40 (Rare).

More from Paradox Rift

Frequently asked questions

How much is Palkia (Paradox Rift #40) worth?

As of 20 August 2026, Palkia from Paradox Rift is worth approximately $0.22 ungraded (near-mint), and around $40 in PSA 10 gem mint. Values are blended from real Cardmarket, eBay sold and TCGplayer prices and update daily.

What is the PSA 10 price for Palkia?

A PSA 10 (gem mint) Palkia from Paradox Rift is worth around $40 — roughly 182× the raw ungraded value of $0.22.

Should I grade my Palkia?

A PSA 10 sells for about $40 versus $0.22 raw — roughly a 182× uplift. Grading is worth it when that premium comfortably beats the grading fee and the card is clean enough to have a real shot at a 10. See the "Should you grade it?" estimate above for net profit per grade.

Is Palkia rare?

Palkia is a Rare card from Paradox Rift (card #40), illustrated by Ryuta Fuse. Its current blended market value is $0.22 ungraded.

Cite & embed this card

Free to use with attribution to CardTrack.

Citation
Palkia (Paradox Rift #40) — Pokémon market value $0.22, PSA 10 $40.00. Source: CardTrack, https://cardtrack.com/pokemon/card/paradox-rift/palkia-40
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<iframe src="https://cardtrack.com/embed/card?id=sv4-40" width="100%" height="160" style="border:0;max-width:460px" title="Palkia price — CardTrack" loading="lazy"></iframe> <p style="font:12px system-ui">Source: <a href="https://cardtrack.com">CardTrack</a></p>